Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/8)-(8/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8)-(8/2/6/1)-(8/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-2   WIN (8/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/1)-(8/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/1)-(8/2/6/1)-(8/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/1)-(8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/1)-(8/2/1)-(2/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (8/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/1)-(8/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/1)-(8/2/1)-(8/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/1)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1)-(2/1/4)-(4/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(4/6/3)-(2/9/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-5   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(2/9/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(2/9/6/4)-(7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-6   WIN (2/9/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/4)-(2/9/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/4)-(2/9/6/4)-(2/9/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/6/4)-(7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/9/6/4)-(7/6)-(5/3/6/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
IND-7   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/6)-(5/3/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
IND-8   WIN (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   08/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIRP CHIRP Jul20 Jun13 May23     (richardville)MORALES JOSHUA 124 30.00    
PADDI'S WISH Aug23 Jun07 Apr26 Jul12   (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
SCR  GET STORM AWAY Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 Jun17 May31 (prescott calcy)PEREZ A 124 30.00    
ANGELSNDISGUISE Aug11 Jul20 Jul11 May23 May11 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 124 1.40 29% 2.50    
ZIINZI Aug11 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Apr26 (richardville)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
SCR  WOO WOO GIRL Aug11 Jul20 Jul11 Jun08 May16 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 2.50    
GOLDEN HEIST Jul20 Jul03 Jun07 May18 May02 (thompson erin)HUGHES CARLY 124 4.50 20% 3.90    
CABIN ABBY Jun13 May23 May02 Jun22 Jun01 (sanchez emm)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 6.00 15% 5.60    
 
IND-2   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATEGORY TEN Aug01 Jun04       (mott riley)DIAZ RENE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BREAKOUT STAR Aug17 Aug05 Jul18 Jun14 May17 (paquett)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
TOTALITARIAN Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 Jul13 Jun07 (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 120 12.00    
TAKE A DIP Aug17 Aug05 Jul13 Jun21 May25 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 10.00    
RISKY CHOICE Aug02 Jun16 May25 Apr01 Mar10 (spicer james )LEAHEY HANNAH 120 3.50    
REITERATION Aug01 Jul08 Jun17 May29 Jul21 (douglass )BERMUDEZ E 117 15.00 17% 4.80    
SMALL SAILOR Aug05 Jul06 Jun22 May17 May06 (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 110 4.50    
MATLOCK (IRE) Jun23 May12 Apr26 Mar10 Feb10 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
 
IND-3   08/31/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZURITA Aug08 Jun07 Apr19 Nov11 Oct25 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 20.00 9% 10.50    
YOGA QUEEN Aug08 Jul20 Sep11 Feb23   (clark robert )CANUTO THIAGO 122 5.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  STRAWBERRYLEMONADE Oct03 Sep14 Aug27 Jul27 Jun30 (castillo richard)PRESCOTT R 122 30.00    
CAUMSETT Aug08 Jul13 Jun24 Jun08 May16 (egbert james)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00    
MORNIN' BOSS Aug10 Jul16 Jun24 Jun01 Apr20 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 3.00    
LITTLE SISTER SUE Aug08 Jun11 May29 Mar31 Feb25 (garcia genaro)PEREZ E 124 12.00    
FUNNY MONEY HONEY (IRE) Aug08 Apr20 Mar10     (lobo pa)DE CRUZ null      
LA V. Aug12 Jun16 May13 Mar05 Feb20 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.80 38% 1.70    
MONTGOMERY PARK Aug02 Jul06 Jun14 Jun11 Apr30 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
 
IND-4   08/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST COAST JUSTICE Aug22 Aug10 Jul05 Jun10 May15 (gonzalez li)BURNHAM MATILDA 109 2.00 30% 2.30    
MYGALJUSTICE Aug22 Aug03 Jun22 Jun08 May25 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  NEW YEAR'S DELIGHT Aug05 Jul18 Jun27 May29 Oct12 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00    
LUSH BE A LADY Jul18 Jun27 Jun10 Nov14 Nov01 (richardvi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00 8% 11.60    
SUTTON'S PASS Aug01 Jul15 Oct17 Sep28 Aug31 (paquett)DE CRUZ 117 12.00    
LIZZSAIDNO Jul18 Jun27 May31 May11 May02 (nance jona)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 6.00    
RED ROSEBUSH Jul07 Jun20 May17 May02 Nov11 (cluley denni)RAMOS D 119 5.00    
 
IND-5   08/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGEIA Aug05 Jul20 Jul06 Jun20 May16 (granitz )RODRIGUEZ A 117 5.00    
SCR  WEST COASTER Aug11 Jun23 Jun06 May19 May05 (corrigan jim)PRESCOTT R 118 6.00    
SEACHROME Aug01 Jul06 Jun08 Apr25 Jan23 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 118 15.00 10% 8.90    
OH POLLYANNA Aug05 Jul11 Jun17 Feb16 Feb02 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 118 4.50 38% 1.60    
MORNING ANGEL Aug05 Jul06 Jun20 May23 May09 (richardvi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
BIA BOLT RUNNER Aug23 Aug02 Mar11 Feb22 Feb09 (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
BAND OF ROSES Aug22 Aug05 Jul03 Jun10 May18 (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 2.50    
IN A PEACH Jul29 Jun29 Jun08 Oct13 Sep14 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 20.00    
 
IND-6   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOMING Aug17         (lauer michae)RAMOS D 120 12.00    
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of IMALLABOUTTHATBASS by INCLUDE)
CAPTAIN'S BEST Aug10         (douglass )BERMUDEZ E 120 3.50 39% 1.50    
  (by SHAGAF out of BEST MEMORIES by INDY KING)
GLAZED Aug17         (donjuan serg)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 30.00    
  (by TAPRIZE out of PADDYDUNALOT by MORE THAN READY)
TREMOR Aug17         (elliott michelle)PRESCOTT R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of SPECIAL TALENT by TALENT SEARCH)
SCR  DISCREET JUSTICE Aug10         (garci)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 10.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of SUPER STACY by SUPER SAVER)
GREEWHIZ Aug17         (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 4.50 9% 10.10    
  (by GREELEY'S CONQUEST out of MEMORABILIA by UNCLE MO)
KINGSBURY ROAD Aug08         (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 6.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of GLAMOUR QUEEN by ARTIE SCHILLER)
CINCO DE OROS Aug10 Aug02       (duran antonio)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 8.00    
  (by FOREVER D'ORO out of MIDNIGHT ROMANCE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
DATTTS LIFE Aug10 Jul21       (duran antonio)MOJICA O 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by SHAGAF out of DATTTS OUR GIRL by THUNDER GULCH)
 
IND-7   08/31/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNT FROST Aug17 Jul21 Jul06 Jun09 May25 (caramori )BERMUDEZ E 124 12.00    
BARRISTER TOM Aug17 Jul06 Jun17 Sep14 Sep01 (ewing a)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00    
LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Aug17 Aug03 Jul27 Jul11 Jun24 (jarvis kathy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 3.00    
SCR  CHARLIES MEDAL Aug15 Jul12 Jun27 May24 Apr26 (grubbs )DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
GRACEFUL KITTEN Aug05 Jul06 Jun07 May15 Apr01 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 6.00    
NICHOLAS JONES Aug05 Jul06 May12 Apr29 Apr12 (brownfield claud)PRESCOTT R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMER ASSAULT Aug16 Jul11 Jun01 Jan28 Dec15 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 1.60 71% 0.40    
GO NUTS Jul15 May11 Mar24 Mar17 Jan21 (greenhill jeff)MOJICA O 119 20.00    
PRESSLY'S HOPE Jun23 Jun11 May05 Feb20 Dec09 (oliver victo)TERRAZA GERMAN 110 20.00    
SCR  YAK Jul05 Jun08 May09 Feb10 Dec18 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
 
IND-8   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUOY Jul05 Nov14 Oct29 Oct05 Sep19 (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 20.00    
CACTUS FLOWER Aug02 Jul05 Jun14 Nov17 Oct27 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
EKATI FLATTER Aug02 Jul13 Jun21 Apr26 Nov14 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
IMAGE RUN Aug02 Jun14 Oct27 Oct06 Sep01 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00    
IMAGINE THE MOON Jul05 May17 Oct29 Aug22 Aug02 (duran antoni)BURGOS ALBERTO 115 4.50 37% 1.70    
BELLA BOLLE Jun07 Apr27 Jun16 May24 May12 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
RILEYS REDEMPTION Aug02 Jul08 Jun21 May03 Nov14 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 118 15.00    
TRAFALGAR SHORE Aug02 Jun14 May18 Apr27 Nov17 (silva h)DIAZ RENE 122 4.00    
MISS LUV SHACK Aug23 Jul19 Jun27 Jun14 May18 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.