Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/1)-(5/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/1)-(5/8/2/1)-(5/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/2/1)-(2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/1)-(2/5/8)-(6/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/8)-(2/5/8)-(2/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/8)-(6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8)-(6/2/7)-(2/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(2/4/5)-(1/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(1/2/3)-(3/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(3/6/1)-(8/10/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(8/10/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(8/10/5/7)-(3/1/5/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/10/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/5/7)-(8/10/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/5/7)-(8/10/5/7)-(8/10/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/10/5/7)-(3/1/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/1/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/9)-(3/1/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/9)-(3/1/5/9)-(3/1/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Aug03 Jul28 Jul15 Jun24 May12 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOLY HIP Jul28 Jul15 Jun24 Mar25 Mar09 (johnson d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00 9% 10.60    
3  BODIE'S STORM Feb15 Jan21 Dec01 Nov11 Oct15 (pyke joseph)MARRERO R 122 30.00    
4  LATE NIGHT SPIRIT Jul28 Jun15       (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00    
5  TALENTED CORINNA Aug03 Jul15 Jun23 May25 May04 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 36% 1.70    
6  UNBRIDLED IRISH Jul29 Jul14 Mar04 Feb11 Jan13 (pickett crystal)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
7  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Aug03 May12 Apr08 Mar17   (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
8  DEVIN ON EARTH Jul28 Jul07 May18 Apr29 Sep16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 33% 2.00    
 
CT-2   08/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN'S DOVE Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May27 May06 (sterling )BOCACHICA J 115 5.00    
2  ICY STARE Aug18 Jul15 Jun15 May18 Apr29 (joy j)ACOSTA D 118 3.00 56% 0.80    
3  TAKE CHARGE LISA Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 Apr20 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50    
SCR  AMERICAS WOMAN Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 Jan05 (shanley tim)ESQUILIN J 120 12.00    
5  GREAT DEVOTION Aug03 Jul14 Jun22 Jun01 Apr20 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
6  BESTLA Jul14 Jul08 Jun01 May11 Mar17 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
7  BROADWAY PEGGY Jul29 Jul22 Jul08 Nov23 Sep17 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
8  HEARDITALL Jun17 May07 Apr20 Apr01 Feb05 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   08/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I SHALLBE RELEASED Aug11 Jul13 Jun17 May18 Apr21 (walters dav)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00    
2  ELLIES AT WINDSOR Aug11 Jul20 Jul07 May19 Apr29 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
3  IT'S A REAL HONOR Aug11 Jun30 Jun03 May11 Apr15 (perez e)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
4  ODINA Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 Apr29 Apr20 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00    
5  LIL BUNNY Jul20 May18 Mar31 Mar16 Jan27 (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
6  SNEAKY LYNK Jul01 Jun10 May25 May12 Apr07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.00 41% 1.50    
7  JUJU ON DA BEAT Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 Jun01 May20 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 6% 14.50    
 
CT-4   08/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUESKYSLOOKINATME         (locklear james)CECIL Y 118 10.00    
2  RIVERVIEW STEVIE Jan11         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.40 20% 3.90    
3  JEALOUS MUCH         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00    
4  EBONY QUEEN         (lucas antho)CARRASCO CARLOS 120 5.00 17% 5.00    
5  KIMSFAVORITESTORM Jul21 Jun09 May04 Sep05 Aug24 (hunt ja)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 4.50 15% 5.50    
6  ARMY BEAUTY Jul07 Jul22       (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
 
CT-5   08/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUSKEGEE CAT Aug05 Jul05 May12 Apr13 Mar17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00 67% 0.50    
2  BLISS THIS Aug05 Jul27 Jun24 Oct01 Sep10 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00 6% 15.40    
3  AMICALOLA FALLS Jul13 Jun03 May18 Apr14 Jan21 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ADARA Aug03 Jul13 Jun15 May25 May05 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00    
5  SCOOTSCOOT Aug05 Jul13 Jun22 Jun03 May25 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 118 12.00    
6  POLITICAL DECISION Aug13 Jul09 Jun17 Jun02 May13 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 15.00    
7  SULEMAN Aug03 Jul05 May18 Mar25 Mar04 (laguna home)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
8  AKINGISALWAYSKING Aug03 Jul13 Jun02 May20 May06 (murtaugh an)ESQUILIN J 122 15.00    
 
CT-6   08/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT DISCOUNT Aug12 Jul29 Jun24 Jun09 May26 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 7% 14.00    
2  HOLY DELITE Jul29 Jul15 Jun16 Apr01 Mar12 (arias alfonso)LARROSA G 124 5.00    
3  SHACKLEFORD COUNTY Jun24 May11 Apr01 Mar18 Feb17 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
4  CALYPSO GHOST Aug09 Jul21 May25 May11 Feb25 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 8.00    
5  SAX Jul29 Jul13 Jul01 Jun17 May27 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
6  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Aug05 Jun16 Jun05 May04 Mar11 (haynes erne)ESQUILIN J 118 3.00 7% 12.90    
7  PRACTICALLY THERE Jul29 Apr27 Mar18 Mar09 Feb16 (campbell larry)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
SCR  CENTERFOLD ANGEL Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May06 Apr15 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50    
 
CT-7   08/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHENANDOAH CAT Jul21 May26 May12 Apr29 Apr20 (lane j)CULLUM W 120 30.00    
2  CASTLE LIGHTS Jul28 Jun02 May13 Feb25 Feb04 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00    
3  CAJUN COUSIN Jul12 Jun18 May23 Apr04 Mar21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
4  EMBERLY Aug10 Jul27 Jul01 Jun15 May27 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
5  TATOR MADE Jul07         (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 10.00 10% 8.70    
6  FORTES Jul07 Jun16 May26 May05 Apr01 (reynolds joan )ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00    
7  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC Jul27 Jun19 Jun03 May13 Nov19 (runco )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 10% 9.10    
8  GRANDIOSELY May05 Mar01 Feb15 Feb04 Jan25 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
9  CASTLE TOY Jul30 Jul06 Jun02 Apr21 Mar25 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00    
10  BELLA MELA Apr29 Apr14 Jan13 Dec03 Oct08 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
CT-8   08/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE N GOLD Aug03 Jun22 May25 Apr27 Nov05 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 1.80 19% 4.10    
SCR  FELICIAS CASTLE Jul06 Jun30 Jun03 May26 May06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50    
3  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Aug11 Jul12 Jun23 May22 Apr01 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  EISELE Jul13 Jun22 May05 Apr20 Mar16 (hummer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 30.00    
5  MISS YOU AJAX Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 May26 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 118 6.00 8% 11.90    
6  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Jul21 Jul13 Jun22 May26 Dec16 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00    
7  ROCK FILE Jul07 Jun22 Jun02 May11 Apr13 (o'neill tonya)SIMPSON JASON 122 50.00    
8  CHIPPEWA'S CASTLE Jul08 Jun17 Jun01 May11 Apr07 (shanley tim)ESQUILIN J 122 15.00    
9  STRONG HEART Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 Jul07 May26 (smith osborne)ADAMS L 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.