Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (3/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/5)-(3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/5)-(3/7/2)-(6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-2   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(6/4/5)-(2/3/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(2/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(2/3/5/1)-(3/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (2/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/4/1)-(2/3/5/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/5/1)-(3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/1)-(3/1/7)-(4/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7)-(4/5/2)-(2/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-6   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-7   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 F PT-10:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEWELED AGAIN         (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 119 4.00 9% 10.20    
2  FLY PARKER FLY Jul23 Jul08       (martinez b)ZUNINO L 119 12.00    
3  SHILSHOLE BAY Jul23         (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 119 2.50 54% 0.80    
4  LUTES SEA GYPSY         (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 119 6.00 8% 11.30    
5  KIKI'S CRUSADER         (freeman v)NEGRON LUIS 119 5.00 7% 12.80    
6  SODA SPRINGS (CHI) Jul08         (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
7  SOLO UN BESO Jul15         (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 119 3.00    
 
EMD-2   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSCOW LADY Jul29 Jun25 Jun17 May29 Sep10 (cryderman s)RADKE K 125 2.50    
2  RED NOVA Jul03 Jun10 May28 Sep18 Sep03 (morris l)MONTALVO C 125 12.00 6% 15.40    
3  PRESKITT Jul29 Jul07 May27 Mar31 Mar05 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 1.60 57% 0.80    
SCR  ANTECEDENCE Jul29 Jun25 Jun17 Sep18 Sep03 (rosales jorg)OROZCO E 125 6.00    
5  GOLD ROSE Jun24 Sep11 Sep03 Feb28 Jan25 (pirone e)ZUNINO L 125 15.00    
6  MISCHIEF MAMA Jul15 Jul07 Jun11 Jun04 Apr29 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 125 10.00    
7  TYCHE AWAITS YOU Aug04 Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 (crowe shelly)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.50 10% 8.90    
 
EMD-3   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 2 F PT-11:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRING A SMILE Jul09         (wright blaine)RADKE K 119 1.20    
2  ALWAYS GALLANT Jul29 Jul15       (martinez b)ZUNINO L 119 20.00    
3  WINANYWAYUCAN Jul29         (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00    
4  ROCKIT A DAY Jul29 Jul15 Jun25     (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 119 6.00 19% 4.40    
5  FLYING COURAGE         (birdwell ten)OROZCO E 119 15.00 8% 10.90    
6  SPEIGHTFUL CAT         (wright blaine)CRUZ M 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  BETTY LUTE         (simkins rosie)NEGRON LUIS 119 8.00    
 
EMD-4   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-11:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEACHERSBUGSAROO Jul15 Jun23 Jun09 May20 May06 (lowe nick)ZUNINO L 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUMMANUS Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 May13 (cooper kay)CRUZ M 123 1.60 66% 0.50    
3  SENOR FABULOSO Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 Jun24 Sep18 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 123 6.00 7% 12.70    
4  NATION OF FAITH Jul08 Jun25 Jun09 May20   (essex charles)RADKE K 125 6.00 ★    
5  TIME 'N TIME AGAIN Jul14 Jun03 May15     (cooper kay)MONTALVO C 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  AGRIGENTO Jul14 Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 Dec04 (raudales jose)ANAYA V 125 15.00    
7  PERFECT ONE Jul23 Jul03 Jun17 Sep10 Aug14 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 8.00    
8  TAP THE BANK Jul23 Jul08 Jun11 May29 Mar12 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 20.00    
9  WEGOTBEERONICE Jul07 Jun16 Nov05 Oct10 Sep18 (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 119 4.50    
 
EMD-5   08/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-11:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE CALABRESE KID Jul23 Jul03 Jun23 May28 Apr08 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.00 15% 5.80    
2  OLYMPIC LEGEND Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 May28 Apr29 (raudales jose)RADKE K 125 10.00    
3  CROOKED FINGER RAY Jul29 Jul03 Jun16 Aug28 Aug12 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 125 1.80 47% 1.10    
4  WESTERN RULE Jul16 Jun23 Jun04 May21 May06 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 10.00    
5  MIRROR IMAGE Jul16 Jun25 Jun10 May21 Apr04 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 8.00    
SCR  MARCH ON LINCH Jul29 Jul14 Jun24 Jun09 May13 (bozell alan)CRUZ M 125 5.00    
7  AMERICAN GRIT Jun17 Jun09 May13 Apr25 Mar27 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
EMD-6   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A VIEW FROM ABOVE Jul28 Jun11 May20 Mar19 Feb27 (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 123 5.00    
2  PESO Jul28 Jul15 Jul03 Jun10 May27 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 4.00 7% 12.40    
3  ALLEVA Jun11 May29 Apr26 Apr11 Mar27 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.50    
4  POLACCO Jul23 Jul02 May28 May06 Mar09 (evans justin)RADKE K 123 1.80 44% 1.30    
5  FANTASTIC DAY Jul29 May20 Apr11 Mar19 Sep09 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 123 6.00 20% 4.10    
6  NEW EVERY MORNING Jul29 Jun25 Jun16 May29 May14 (gibson vince)OROZCO E 123 10.00    
 
EMD-7   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAWLINGBACKTOYOU Jul30 Jul15 Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 (bean rober)ORANTES R 116 20.00    
2  POCO DIABLO ROJO         (wright blain)OROZCO E 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  EXIT STAGE LEFT Jul28 Jul07 Jun16 Sep10 Aug13 (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 121 12.00    
4  HE'S A FLYIN Jul01 Jun04 Feb28 Feb16 Jan18 (pierce michael)ANAYA V 121 5.00 9% 9.80    
5  HASTA LUEGO Jul14 Jul03 Nov24 Oct16 Sep25 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
6  T. J. HOUSE         (balcom cliff)RADKE K 121 10.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  TREASURE'S REALITY Jul28 Jul09 Jun23     (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 125 4.00 26% 2.90    
8  SINGLE MERIT Jul28 Apr14 Mar24     (van debbie)MONTALVO C 125 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.