Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(1/4/3)-(3/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(3/4/1)-(5/6/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(5/6/1)-(7/8/9/6/11) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-4   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(7/8/9/6/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(7/8/9/6/11)-(4/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
DEL-5   WIN (7/8/9/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/6/11)-(7/8/9/6/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/6/11)-(7/8/9/6/11)-(7/8/9/6/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/9/6/11)-(4/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/8/9/6/11)-(4/3)-(5/7/9) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
DEL-6   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(5/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(5/7/9)-(6/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-7   WIN (5/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/9)-(5/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/9)-(5/7/9)-(5/7/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/9)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DEL-8   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STELLWAGEN BANKER Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 Mar30 Mar10 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 1.80    
GOLDEN REMEDY Jun03 Apr30 Jan20 Dec19 Sep27 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 119 2.50    
DISCO DEVIL         (deiter kelly)HALLIDAY VINCE 124 8.00 24% 3.10    
ESTILO CLASICO Jun28 May27 Oct27 Oct07 Aug31 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50 13% 6.70    
CATCHHIMANDFREEHIM Apr20 Mar24 Mar02 Jul20 Jun16 (rigattieri )ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 112 8.00    
COMMISSION ALWAYS         (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 119 6.00 24% 3.10    
 
DEL-2   07/13/2023 4950ft TURF RC9 SOFT Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPASS FIRE Jun24 Jun03 May12 Mar31 Jan15 (seale christoph)MENA E 119 3.50 48% 1.10    
DETERMINED LILLY May24 May04 Dec30 Oct28   (schoenthal phil)GOMEZ KEVIN 115 6.00    
FABULOUS CANDY May25 Feb04 Dec31 Nov02 Oct14 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 115 8.00 7% 13.10    
MARIA'S HONOR Jun03 Mar26 Feb24 Feb01 Dec30 (cibelli jane)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.50 15% 5.80    
GOLDEN HEART Jun10 Oct26 Oct05 Sep15   (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 110 8.00    
NOW YUS CANT LEAVE Jun03 May13 Mar15 May15 Mar12 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 120 1.80    
 
DEL-3   07/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVING IN STYLE         (arriagada )MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SARACINA by BERTRANDO)
SUPER FABULOUS         (sillaman richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 6.00    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of PIKACHU PRINCESS by REDEEMED)
BEADS Jun11         (motion gr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BOURBONSTREETGIRL by LANGFUHR)
RAPID RUBY Jun10         (rigattieri john)MENA E 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of RAPPIN RUBY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
JOYFUL KITTEN         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 3.50    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of WALKING THE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
AMIRATI Jun18 Jun03 May11 May01   (chichakly a)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of CAUSE SHE'S FAST by CREATIVE CAUSE)
 
DEL-4   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON ME AGAIN Jun30 Jun14 May25 Apr30 Oct07 (nazario pedro)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SOUPSTER Nov08 Oct12 Sep24 Sep16 Aug26 (sillaman ri)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.60    
RED PRIESTESS May26 Apr27 Mar30 Feb15 Jan26 (bryant donald)ALICEA JEREMY 113 12.00    
SOME IS NINE Jun24 May31 May05 Mar24 Mar04 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 6.00    
LIKING IT TWISTED Jun14 Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Feb04 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
DAILY BRIEFING Jun24 Jun14 May25 Mar01 Feb05 (arriagada j)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 113 3.50 25% 3.10    
 
DEL-5   07/13/2023 5490ft TURF RC7 SOFT Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BOY COLTON Jun28 Jun01 May16 Apr11 Mar22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50    
RUSHIN TOTHECIRCLE Jun28 Jun14       (clagett christi)MONTERREY R 122 15.00    
SPANISH CZAR Sep22 Sep09 Aug20 Jul21 Jul13 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
COUNTRY CHARLIE Jun21 Jun01 May04 Apr14 Mar16 (deiter kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 117 15.00    
THE MAN TO SEE Jun21 May25 May10 Mar15 Feb15 (dowling william)CENTENO E 122 4.50    
LYING JEFF Jun21 Jun02 Nov20 Oct08 Sep22 (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00 10% 9.10    
TIZ TACT TOE Jun24 Jun03 Mar03 Feb11 Jan15 (gaudet lace)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 44% 1.30    
AIRMAN Jun21 Mar22 Mar05 Feb10 Jan27 (cruz jaime)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
GOLDEN CHELLA Apr03 Mar15 Feb22 Feb08   (sullivan elli)ALICEA JEREMY 115 12.00 11% 8.30    
10  TUCKER ROAD May31 Aug03 Jul21 Jul14 May26 (sepulveda carl)CEDENO CAROL 122 8.00    
11  OUT OF TOWNER Jun21 Oct12 Oct01 Sep22 Sep03 (strauss bev)MARIN A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  LAST SECOND LOUIE Jun21 May28 Feb01 Oct22 Sep09 (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  DISTORTED TIMES Apr28 Apr12 Mar24 Mar05 Jul28 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 122 20.00    
SCR  HIDDEN ROD Jan07 Nov13 Oct12 Sep28 Sep10 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
 
DEL-6   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BETWEEN DREAMS Jun14         (barboza vic)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00    
SCR  MO STYLISH Jun28 Jun09 May25 Feb11 Nov16 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 8.00    
PRETTY EDGY May11 Mar05 Feb08 Jan14   (sillaman ri)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 8.00 24% 3.20    
LET'S BE HONEST Jun14 May24 Apr21 Mar22 Mar08 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 123 3.00 27% 2.60    
MY SUPER SALLY Jun28 May11 Jan20 Dec03 Nov14 (clagett christi)MONTERREY R 123 10.00    
THEA'S THEME Jun30 Jun14 May31 Dec31 Dec02 (ramirez jose )TREJOS JOSEPH 123 6.00    
SCR  BLUNT FORCE May08 Apr24 Mar28 Mar20 Feb22 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 123 4.00 27% 2.60    
LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Jun24 Jun14 May31 Dec03 Nov24 (sullivan ellio)CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00    
 
DEL-7   07/13/2023 4950ft TURF RC10 SOFT Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FUN NOTION Jun09 May19       (white alexa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 114 10.00    
MIGHTY MEISTER Oct09 Sep24 Sep04 Jul23 May12 (rawles alc)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 12.00    
SCR  FOLE'S NOTION Jun20 May31 Apr26 Apr13 Jan16 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
TAPPIN CAT Jun17 May29 Nov25 Oct22 Sep30 (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 4.50    
BERKS Jun30 Jun09 Apr13 Mar24 Mar04 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  SHACKQUEENKING Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 Aug10 Feb19 (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 2.00    
SUE LOVES BARBADOS Jun09 May11 Apr16 Mar16 Feb18 (capuano phillip)ROSE J 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  SHARP RED EAGLE Jun24 Jun02 May11 Mar31 Aug21 (bentley fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 10.00    
CANNON'S ROAR Jun11 May19 May06 Mar01 Jan08 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  STEADY JOHN Jun24 May31 Nov09 Oct08 Sep24 (bentley fennek)CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00    
 
DEL-8   07/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TORO FORWARD         (aguayo ramon)MENA E 119 8.00    
HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Jun16 May20 May05 Apr06 Mar31 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 2.50 9% 10.10    
REBEL JOKE Jun21         (machado ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
PRINCIPE Jun30 Jun18 May24 May16 Apr11 (sanche)GONZALEZ JR 119 8.00    
SUSTENANCE Jun16 Sep01 Aug03     (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 1.80    
BOYD'S BAND Jun23 May27 Sep02 Aug03   (cronk samue)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 6.00 35% 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.