Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Wednesday - July 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(5/4/2)-(6/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(6/4/5)-(3/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(3/1/5)-(5/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(5/4/2)-(1/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(1/3/6)-(7/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-6   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(7/5/1)-(8/1/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(8/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/6)-(1/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/6)-(1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VILLAREGGIA Jun24 Jun10 May19 Apr20 Mar25 (cash l)AYALA ISAIAS 121 8.00    
GOSHEN Jun15 Jun06 May25 May12 Apr27 (evans mic)CORREA L 116 5.00 7% 12.40    
STARSHIP NUGGET Dec26 Dec04 Oct23 Oct07 Sep30 (figueroa cesar)REYES R 121 3.50 13% 6.60    
SCR  MERRY OF SOUL Mar09 Feb16 Jan26 Dec15 Oct11 (thomas mark)MCKEE J 121 6.00    
SPARE A DIME Jun21 Jun09 May12 Apr28 Mar16 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 121 4.00    
TOTO'SRUBYSLIPPERS Jun16 May12 Oct29 Feb11 Jan08 (sims matt)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
BTP-2   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POUR ME A DOUBLE Jun01 May13 Apr27 Feb23 Jan23 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50    
RHYTHMIC RULER Feb22 Jan12 Dec14 Jul14 May04 (west m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50 20% 4.00    
OVER CALENDARED Jun14 Jun03 May18 May11 Apr29 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 115 8.00    
CINDY'S STORM Jul01 Jun16 May13 Apr20 Mar30 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
PAID TWICE Jun17 Jun02 Feb08 Dec29 Dec07 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 122 1.80 26% 2.90    
SENSE SHINES Jun22 Jun01 May18 May04 Apr18 (mcvickers)CORREA L 120 8.00    
 
BTP-3   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAY IT AIN'T SO Jun22 Jun15 May27 Oct11 Sep30 (cook david )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 5.00    
MASTER LEA Jun03 May19 May03 Feb18 Feb03 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
LIMIT UP Jun24 Jun01 Apr27 Mar02 Feb07 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 1.80    
UNCLE EARL Jun15 May20 Mar31 Mar18 Feb15 (brownfield )JIMENEZ J 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
HENDRIX May20 May06 Apr28 Mar15 Feb24 (bahena ismae)MARCANO Y 111 6.00 5% 19.00    
EL PEJE Jun24 May20 May05 Oct25 Oct05 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
BTP-4   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POQUITO ROSE Jul05 Jun07 May24 Apr27 Mar18 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
SHESMYBROKER Jun11 Jun03 May05 Apr14 Mar17 (crumley jevon)MCKEE J 124 3.00    
QUEEN LOUISE Jun18 May20 Mar26 Mar18 Mar03 (kordenbrock)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
ABOUNDING Jun15 May11 Apr28 Mar18 Mar02 (cook david )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 4.00    
SHANNON'S GIRL Apr27 Apr19 Mar18 Feb23 Feb02 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-5   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONTOTHENEXT Jun14 May20 May11 May04 Apr25 (mcvickers lamar)HESS SARA 113 5.00    
SUPORB Jun29 Jun03 May19 May05 Mar17 (edwards w)CORREA L 123 3.00 12% 7.60    
U SO MONEY BABY Jun10 Apr27 Mar17 Feb25 Feb10 (cundiff wayl)MARCANO Y 118 4.00    
LUCKY LAUREN Jun10 May19 Apr28 Feb16 Nov16 (newton troy)MCKEE J 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
JOLIE RULER Jul05 Apr02 Mar01 Feb06 Dec31 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 125 2.00 41% 1.40    
 
BTP-6   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKING SPARKS         (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by ACCELERATE out of GAS TOTAL by SULAMANI)
MANSION PARTY Jun23 Jun03 May15     (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 119 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
BETTERING         (brisset r)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of MS. RUBIN by SKY MESA)
SCR  DREW D'ORO Jun04 May12       (chapman k)MCKEE J 119 2.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SIPMYCHARDONNAYNAE by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  JUST THE OAKS Jun18 Jun02 May11 May04   (chapman james)JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 4.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SENSIBLE GAL by STREET SENSE)
HEARTFELT KARTER         (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HEARTFELT by CONGRATS)
MEXITEXAFORNIA Jun08         (crumley jevon)OUZTS W 119 10.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
 
BTP-7   07/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONGRATS THIS Jun29 Jun09 May19     (rhoden carlto)CANUTO THIAGO 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLUE SKY PAINTER May22 Jun08 May21 May13 Apr18 (delong ben)MARCANO Y 120 6.00    
GOTSOMEMOJO Jun29 Jun09 May24 May06 Apr10 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 10.00    
HONDO GUSTO Jun29 Jun09 May25 Apr29 Apr14 (roq)GONZALEZ JESUS 125 12.00    
ESPECIALLEA Jul01 Jun03 Feb25 Jan25 Jan06 (tsirigotis)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 4.00 18% 4.60    
ESTILO PELIGROSO Jun09 May20 Mar23 Feb22 Jan27 (kordenbrock ma)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50    
CACAHUETE Jun29 Jun08 Apr25 Dec14 Nov08 (coyle vernon )JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
BTP-8   07/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRACING ALLSTAR Feb15         (reed r)OUZTS W 120 3.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DANCING ALLSTAR by MILLENNIUM ALLSTAR)
1A  DOWHATEVERITTAKES Mar31         (reed r)OUZTS W 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CAT ON A TIN ROOF by CATIENUS)
SCR  MY BLUE VALENTINE Jun23 May14       (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 124 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MY BLUE SKY by SKY MESA)
J M VELA Jun07         (caramori caio)REYES R 120 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of VEELA by BARTOK (IRE))
PLEDGULATIONS Jun07         (rider m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50    
  (by CONGRATS out of PLEDGE MOM by WILD RUSH)
SCR  RUE         (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SPELLBOUND by LYPHARD'S WISH (FR))
BRIC A BRAC Jun08 May18       (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SENADA by PULPIT)
ARTEMUS SWEETHEART Jun17 May26 May11 Apr27 Mar23 (bush s)MOJICA JR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of LOVE THE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
NOELANI Jun01         (lobo paul)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ELEMENTAR by MORE THAN READY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.