Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - June 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/6/2)-(5/8/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/2)-(5/8/6/7)-(1/2/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/7)-(5/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/7)-(5/8/6/7)-(5/8/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/6/7)-(1/2/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/7)-(1/2/4/3)-(3/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/3)-(3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/3)-(3/6/8)-(2/4/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8)-(3/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/8)-(2/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8)-(2/4/8/6)-(3/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/6)-(2/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/6)-(2/4/8/6)-(2/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/8/6)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8/6)-(3/5/6)-(8/3/5/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(8/3/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(8/3/5/9)-(6/8/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/3/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/9)-(8/3/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/9)-(8/3/5/9)-(8/3/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/5/9)-(6/8/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/1)-(6/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/1)-(6/8/2/1)-(6/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   06/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA'S NOTION May13 Apr22 Apr01 Feb17 Jan07 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 1.40 36% 1.70    
2  SPUNMAN May12 Mar31 Jan27 Jan06 Nov19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MACHEN'S RIDGE May11 Apr22 Apr06 Mar16 Jan27 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
4  FEARNOUGHT Jun03 May13 Apr20 Apr01 Mar16 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00    
5  VIOLENT ROCK Dec09 Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 Oct19 (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 5.00    
6  NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) Jun09 Nov13 Feb20 Jan22   (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
7  RUN TO DAYLIGHT May22 Apr01 Jan27 Jan06 Nov19 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
CT-2   06/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING KJARTAN Apr14 Mar24 Jan25 Jan04 Dec17 (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 120 6.00    
2  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE May06 Apr14 Mar24 Mar10 Feb23 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
3  BOO TOO May26 May06 Apr13 Mar10 Feb23 (boggs jo)BUTTERFLY L 124 5.00    
SCR  PRETTY CASTLE Jun01 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (boykins k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
5  WINDSOR'S STAR May20 Mar24 Jan06 Dec14 Nov05 (comi w)RODRIGUEZ V 120 1.60 65% 0.50    
6  JUBAY Jun02 May12 Apr27 Mar31 Mar24 (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 108 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SMALL PAW Jun10 May26 May06 Apr13 Nov09 (jackson ang)ESQUILIN J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  J. WICK May26 Apr13 Mar31 Mar10   (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 6% 16.00    
 
CT-3   06/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINK DINGHY Jun03 May13 Apr29 Sep24   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 1.20 37% 1.70    
2  NOW HOOK'EM Jun02 Apr14 Aug25 Jul30 Jul09 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  ELEANORS JACK Apr14         (jackson ang)ESQUILIN J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  THE ILLUSIONIST May26 Apr21 Mar10 Feb02 Jul14 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00 9% 10.00    
5  WELL EQUIPPED Apr27 Mar10 Feb08 Jan06 Dec08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
6  BERTRAM FLIGHT May13 Apr27 Mar30 Feb15 Dec01 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 5.00    
7  LORD OF CORK Jun02 May13 Apr14 Mar10 Feb01 (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 4.50    
 
CT-4   06/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET FACTOR Jun09 May18 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 4.00    
2  OUR GOLDEN COLLEEN May06 Apr15 Mar25 Feb15 Jan21 (hummer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 30.00    
3  TALENTED CORINNA May25 May04 Apr15 Feb17 Jan13 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50 64% 0.60    
4  WAVERLEY Jun10 May06 Apr02 Feb25 Feb04 (bailes )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 5.00    
SCR  WICKED SAUCY May27 May18 Apr27 Apr15 Mar08 (lane j)ADAMS L 117 2.50    
6  SUPER SWEETIE May18 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Mar01 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  MY BEST GIRL May27 May12 Apr20 Mar09 Feb15 (hamlin ka)BOCACHICA J 112 30.00    
8  ESTILO AMOROSO Jun15 May12 Apr08 Mar17 Feb17 (arias alf)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   06/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOCA BIRDIE May12 Apr28 Mar31 Mar18 Mar10 (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
2  BALI BALIFLY Jun09 May12 Sep07 Aug23 Aug17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  FORT ZANNA May27 May06 Mar17 Mar04 Feb04 (conn p)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
4  SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY Jun09 May20 Apr28 Feb09 Jan13 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 118 2.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER May27 May12 Mar31 Mar10 Mar04 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
6  CEDARS BULLS EYE May12 Mar10 Dec10 Nov18 Nov04 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 122 4.00 5% 17.70    
7  TAPPING SOUTH May27 Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 Feb23 (barahona)BUTTERFLY L 122 10.00    
8  HOW IS SHE May25 May05 Apr13 Mar18 Feb24 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
 
CT-6   06/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIME STAR May11 Apr20       (conn li)NUNEZ ANAHI 118 30.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of MIDNIGHT STAR by BOLD BADGETT)
2  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Jun02 May19 Apr28 Apr07   (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of SECRET TRACKER by CIMARRON SECRET)
3  JUBA'S PARADE Jun01 Nov19 Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 41% 1.50    
  (by JUBA out of MUMMERS PARADE by STREET SENSE)
SCR  GATTOLOTTASPARKLE Jun01 May04 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 124 50.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of MARIETTA'S CHARM by WOLFHOUND)
5  WOODEN SHIPS Jun01 Apr20       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.00 32% 2.20    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SAINT PENNY by STREET MAGICIAN)
6  FLATTERING WAY Jun01 Apr20       (barahona is)RAMGEET R 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of FLATTERING ANNIE by FLATTER)
SCR  PRINCESS URSULA         (schottroffe edw)BOCACHICA O 124 10.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of SMART COLONY by COLONY LIGHT)
8  MEGEEZER Jun02 Apr20 Mar31     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 3.50    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of MY SISTER MARGARET by BOP)
 
CT-7   06/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAPPY CHARLIE Jun03 May06 Mar02 Jan06 Dec22 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
2  CHROME HEIR Jun02 May05 Apr08 Mar25 Feb18 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 116 20.00    
3  C R'S MANDATE May12 Apr22 Apr01 Feb17 Jan27 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
4  ARISTOCAT Jun02 May12 Apr13 Mar04 Feb25 (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00    
5  ROYAL PAIN Jun03 Apr22 Mar31 Feb22 Feb08 (johnson)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  LOVERBOY LOU Jun03 May13 Apr25 Apr04 Mar20 (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
7  LOKOYA ROAD Jun09 May20 May05 Mar31 Aug23 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
8  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES May12 Mar31 Feb22 Nov11 Oct08 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 29% 2.40    
9  WHAT DOES IT TAKE May27 Apr13 Jul18 Jun25 Jun04 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  MYSTIFIED Jun03 Mar31 Feb23 Jan25 Jan04 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   06/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORM Jun10         (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00 6% 15.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of REAL SASSY by REAL QUIET)
2  UNALTERED Jun01 May11       (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 118 15.00 7% 13.60    
  (by ALDRIN out of RITE OF PASSAGE by PRIZED)
SCR  HARLAN'S VALENTINE Jun02 May11       (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of HARLAN'S TREASURE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  VIESTE Oct13 Sep23 Sep02     (schiano)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 20.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of FRENCH SADIE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  CANDY LOVES HONEY Jun01 Mar31 Jan26     (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00    
  (by EVANGELISM out of UNVEXED by ALBERTUS MAXIMUS)
6  FAR MORE May12 Apr07 Mar01 Jan18 Nov24 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  AFIRE         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 3.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
8  UNUSUALLY LUCKY         (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of UNUSUAL WINNER by UNUSUAL HEAT)
9  XTENDED STREAK Jun10 May19       (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 118 12.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SNOW FROLIC by ARTAX)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.