Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Pimlico
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PIM-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(2/7/1)-(6) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
PIM-2   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/6/7/8)-(1/2/6/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(6)-(4/2/5) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
PIM-3   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/5/4/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/6)-(2/4/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6)-(4/2/5)-(2/7/8) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
PIM-4   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/7)-(2/3/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(2/7/8)-(7/3/1/6/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PIM-5   WIN (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/8)-(2/7/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/8)-(2/6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/8)-(1/3/6/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8)-(7/3/1/6/8)-(2/6/7/3/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
PIM-6   WIN (7/3/1/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/6/8)-(7/3/1/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/7/8)-(1/3/6/7/8)-(1/3/6/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/6/7/8)-(2/3/6/7/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/6/8)-(2/6/7/3/9)-(7/4) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
PIM-7   WIN (2/6/7/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/3/9)-(2/6/7/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/7/9)-(2/3/6/7/9)-(2/3/6/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/6/7/9)-(4/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
PIM-8   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PIM-1   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DULCE KIARA Apr15 Apr01 Mar12 Feb24 Feb17 (demario charl)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00    
MY JUBA May04 Apr01 Mar12 Feb01 Jan21 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 13% 6.80    
BACKSTREET AFFAIR Apr20 Apr01 Mar18 Mar05 Feb11 (pickett crystal )CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
MISS CASEY Mar12 Mar05 Feb10 Jan27 Jan15 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
MRS. DEL Apr01 Mar12 Dec29 Dec01 Nov05 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.50    
DANCER'S MELODY May11 Apr20 Mar26 Feb17 Feb03 (mckenzie d)RIVERA R 119 4.00 30% 2.40    
 
PIM-2   05/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Nov22 Oct27 Sep25 Sep09 Aug13 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 126 4.00 8% 11.00    
CREATIVE CADENCE Nov07 Oct19 Sep11 Aug11 Jul15 (pecoraro antho)BLANCO ANDRY 118 3.00 58% 0.70    
ELLIE VICTORINA May07 Mar31 Mar24 Mar19 Feb05 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 114 20.00    
FANCY PRINCESS Feb20 Feb03 Jan16 May14 Mar18 (plumme)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
SASSY BABE Oct27 Sep23 Sep07 Aug14 Jul28 (pickett cr)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
EVANGELINE ALLONS May06 Dec03 Nov06 Oct22 Oct06 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 10.00    
IMAGINE VICTORY Jan28 Dec31 Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 122 6.00 9% 10.50    
TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK Jan15 Nov21 Nov11 Oct29 Sep25 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 2.50    
LADY CINCO DE MAYO Apr14 Mar17 Feb23 Feb04 Jan14 (johnson dewayne )CRUZ ANGEL 126 12.00    
 
PIM-3   05/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT- 1:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALLIGATOR ARMS May04 Apr16 Mar31     (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
CATCHING STARS May05 Mar24 Mar11 Feb10   (corrales jo)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
SCR  THAT'S MY BUSINESS May08 Apr06 Mar12 Feb17 Feb09 (progno chri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00    
STEP AHEAD Apr16 Mar31       (maldonado jo)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 12.00    
TOAST TO COAST Mar31 Mar17 Feb19 Feb12 Jan13 (aguirre an)RIVERA R 117 5.00    
NEW YORK PANTHER Apr29 Apr07 Mar11 Aug04 Jul08 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
BAND CAMP May04 Mar25       (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.50    
 
PIM-4   05/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOWN SAVE Mar24 Mar10 Feb11 Jan14 Dec17 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 10.00    
ALVY May05 Mar25 Mar10 Nov21   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
HE'S ON FIRE Apr29 Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 Feb11 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.50    
FOWL NATION Apr29 Apr01 Feb17 Jan27 Jan08 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 1.60 34% 1.90    
STEELE MONEY Apr16 Mar03 Dec17 Nov20 Oct29 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 117 5.00 12% 7.40    
IRISH WARLOCK May04 Apr01 Feb17     (walters jo)RIVERA R 114 10.00    
SCR  IMAGINE A CURE Apr02 Mar12 Jan14 Dec11 Nov20 (maldonado jo)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 20.00 6% 16.50    
 
PIM-5   05/18/2023 5940ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHOOT THEMESSENGER May05 Apr29 Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 (mohan r)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 15.00    
LOST MY VOWCHER Apr14 Mar04 Feb04 Jan18 Dec20 (gonzalez cl)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  VELVET GHOST Apr29 Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 Feb19 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 3.50 33% 2.10    
NEVER CHANGE May06 Apr13 Mar31 Mar11 Feb19 (serey mari)RIVERA R 112 15.00    
GALATIANS Apr02 Feb19 Jan29 Dec31 Nov05 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
ACE NINE NINE May07 Apr14 Mar19 Mar12 Feb20 (dove ke)BRICENO GREGOR 123 20.00    
SOUPER CATCH Apr30 Mar22 Mar12 Feb10 Jan18 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
SICILIA MIKE Apr29 Mar07 Feb22 Jan27 Dec20 (corrale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 4.50 10% 9.50    
 
PIM-6   05/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEMPER FI Apr01 Mar17 Jan20 Dec17 Nov06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  BERKS Apr13 Mar24 Mar04 Jan31 Jan11 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50    
WORKIN ON A DREAM Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb04 Jan15 (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 123 10.00    
COLBALOAF Oct25 Oct10 Sep14 Aug19 Aug04 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 15% 5.50    
DIXIE DRAWL Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb17 Jan20 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 15.00    
SUMMER SILENCE Oct15 Sep25 Jul13 Jun16   (voss elizabeth)CRUZ ANGEL 123 30.00    
KENDAMA Nov14 Nov07 Oct23 Sep23 Sep07 (meyers madi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 4.50 8% 11.70    
STRONG HEADED Oct16 Aug29 Aug09 Jul20   (fout dougla)ALVELO C 119 4.50 33% 2.00    
JACKIE A Apr29 Mar18 Mar01 Jan16 Dec18 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 10.00 7% 12.90    
JOHNG Oct22 Sep25 Aug20 Jul17 Jun19 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00    
10  ONE TWO KID May12 Apr08 Apr01 Feb25 Jan18 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 8.00    
SCR  GALLANT GOLD Apr29 Apr13 Apr01 Mar11 Feb05 (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00    
 
PIM-7   05/18/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT SAY YOU Apr27 Mar30 Mar05 Jan21 Jan01 (shuman mark)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 20.00    
AFFABLE MONARCH Nov27 Nov08 Sep29 Sep03 Aug07 (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 123 3.00 33% 2.10    
LUIGI'S SPIRIT Mar31 Feb18 Feb05 Jan28 Dec30 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 8% 12.20    
SEA GHOST Mar10 Jan06 Nov21 Jun04 May20 (cole c)DELGADO A 123 20.00    
CARVELLIAN QUEST Apr30 Mar26 Jul10 Jun05 May14 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 12.00    
MONTAUK POINT Mar31 Feb10 Jan20 Nov13 Oct29 (mcgaughey cla)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 18% 4.50    
HARDSPUN REASON Apr13 May28 Mar19     (motion h )CARRASCO R 123 10.00 10% 8.70    
ROMP (ARG) Apr20 Mar17 Feb17 Jan27 Sep05 (mancill)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 10.00    
CANDY FOR CARMEL Apr25 Mar20 Mar06 Feb06 Dec30 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 7% 14.00    
10  YOUR ANALYSIS Mar24 Feb05 Jan08 Nov18 Oct02 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 116 8.00    
 
PIM-8   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUSHIN TOTHECIRCLE         (clagett christi)MONTERREY R 126 12.00    
PRESSING CONCERN May04 Apr06 Mar25 Mar18 Feb25 (mohan david)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 112 30.00    
CAVALRY COMMAND May04 Apr02 Mar25 Oct14 Sep10 (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 114 12.00    
SIR SMOAK May11 May05 Apr29 Apr02 Mar25 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 114 3.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  NATAGAR Feb24 Jan23 Dec18 May20 Apr09 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 126 1.60    
SUPERSTITIEUX May05 Apr06 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 5.00    
SHADOW BOX Apr06 Feb18 Aug06     (klesaris ro)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.00 57% 0.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.