Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Friday - May 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (1/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/4)-(5/2/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/4)-(5/2/4/7)-(3/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
EVD-2   WIN (5/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/7)-(3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/7)-(3/5)-(2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(2/1)-(9/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(9/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(9/3)-(2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-5   WIN (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/3)-(9/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (9/3)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/3)-(2/4/7)-(4/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
EVD-6   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(4/2/1)-(6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
EVD-7   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(6/7)-(7/1/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-8   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/9)-(6/7/9) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (6/7)-(7/1/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
EVD-9   WIN (7/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   05/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEST ANGUS Mar19         (breaux samue)BARRERA J 113 1.80 36% 1.70    
  (by THE PLAYER out of HONEST SCARLET by HONEST MAN)
2  DAT GUITAR Apr12 Jan19 Jan05 Dec09 Nov18 (derousselle p)VARGAS P 115 2.50    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CAT WHO DAT by FIRE SLAM)
3  TIME TO CLOSE Apr12 Mar16 Feb11 Dec19   (celestine )ALBERT S 115 20.00    
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of TIME TO EMBRACE by HALF OURS)
4  SHE'S MY LOUIE V. Mar24 Feb28 Feb11 Jan25 Dec30 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of ONE MORE (NZ) by KENFAIR (NZ))
5  CRYSTAL D'ORO Apr15         (landry r)THORNTON G 115 5.00 11% 7.90    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of EXPRESSO RUN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  REMEMBERIN RONALD Apr12 Feb24 Feb11     (robins)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of STREET BLUSH by STREET BOSS)
7  TONI'S M Apr15         (landry ray)STOKES J 115 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of TONI'S DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
EVD-2   05/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEHRON'S CREED Mar16 Feb09 Jul30 Jun18 Mar05 (ney john)MCMAHON J 117 15.00    
2  ANGEL OF VERDUN Mar08 Feb09 Jan15 Sep24 Sep10 (schwandt e)ALBERT S 115 2.50 20% 4.00    
3  LAKE RUNNER Apr21 Mar05 Feb20 Jan19 Dec23 (richards cor)MAGNON H 117 4.50    
4  CASHEW Feb15 Jan21 Dec19 Oct14 Jun25 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 115 2.00 18% 4.40    
5  SHE'S MY PRIORITY Apr15 Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 Jan04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  MISSGREELEY'SSONG Apr21 Mar16 Jan26 Jan04 Dec16 (west henry)VARGAS P 117 20.00    
7  BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Mar04 Feb14 Jan02     (toups brent)POMPELL L 117 8.00 16% 5.30    
 
EVD-3   05/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHY BOY Feb22 Feb04 Jan12 Nov19 Oct22 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 6.00    
2  BIG ACE Jan27 Dec09 Oct26 Aug18 Aug04 (richard ru)ALBERT S 115 8.00 ★    
3  BILOXI Feb23 Nov10 Oct20 Aug01   (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 123 1.80 59% 0.70    
4  WOOD RIVER Apr15 Feb03 Dec02 Nov12 Oct12 (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 120 15.00    
5  HARD CANDY Apr08 Mar19 Jan18 Dec17 Nov11 (hernandez le)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 2.00 15% 5.60    
6  THROWIN' SHADE Apr14 Feb11 Jan20 Aug27   (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 115 20.00    
7  B W P SPIRIT Apr22 Feb19 Jan28 Jan08 Sep08 (gelner j)THORNTON G 118 3.50 ★    
 
EVD-4   05/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST EVD Distaff Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISHPACHAH Mar26 Feb17 Jan28 Dec29 Dec03 (calhoun wil)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00 19% 4.40    
  (by UNIFIED out of CLEAR SAILING by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  FREE LIKE A GIRL Mar26 Mar04 Feb04 Jan07 Dec31 (pomier chasey )THORNTON G 125 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by EL DEAL out of FLASHY PRIZE by FLASHY BULL)
3  SWEET VIDALIA Apr19 Mar22 Mar11 Feb12 Jan14 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 116 8.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of PURPLE PIANO by STAY THIRSTY)
SCR  EILEEN ALEXANDRA Mar15 Feb24 Feb04 Dec29 Dec09 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 116 5.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of MISS STONESTREET by MR. GREELEY)
5  A G'S CHARLOTTE Apr07 Mar26 Mar04 Feb04 Dec10 (west g)MCMAHON J 122 1.80 ★    
  (by MO TOM out of ADRIANNE G by INDYGO SHINER)
6  OUR LITTLE GIRL Apr08 Mar15 Feb17 Feb04 Dec29 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 119 10.00    
  (by SADIE'S SOLDIER out of DEB'S GAL by DECIBEL)
 
EVD-5   05/05/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ENTERTAINMENT Feb24 Dec22 Dec10 Sep24 Jul19 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
SCR  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Apr19 Feb25 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 20.00 6% 16.20    
3  VODKA GIMLET Mar25 Nov03 Oct08 Aug06 Jul02 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 12.00 23% 3.30    
4  HYPERBOLIST Apr08 Feb28 Feb02 Jan07 Dec23 (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 5.00    
SCR  PARROT HEAD Apr15 Feb18 Jan30     (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 2.50    
SCR  SMARTY ALEX Mar26 Mar04 Jan26 Jan07 Dec19 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.50    
7  CHROME BABY Feb10 Dec16 Dec01 Nov04 Oct07 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00    
8  EYE DEE KAY Apr14 Mar22 Feb10 Jan11 Oct19 (henry eric)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
9  STRONG EAGLE Apr08 Feb25 Feb03 Sep10 Aug26 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 6.00 24% 3.10    
 
EVD-6   05/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cajun Miss Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHES A LUCKY REBEL Apr13 Mar15 Feb18 Jan21 Dec31 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 12.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SHE'S A REBEL TOO by TWO PUNCH)
2  ALPINE MIST Mar25 Feb04 Jan07 Nov22   (garcia lu)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SKI TUNE by BRAHMS)
3  NEW DESTINY Mar25 Feb25 Jan21 Dec31 Dec16 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 115 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MY MELLA BELLA by GRAYDAR)
4  KYLE BEAUTY Apr07 Mar22 Feb04 Jan05   (terre davi)MARQUEZ L 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of HEART OF MINE by PEPPERED CAT)
SCR  I BEAR ARMS Apr19 Feb24       (breaux samue)BARRERA J 115 20.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of ENDURING ERIN by KELA)
6  STAR MOMENT Mar25 Feb20 Dec31 Dec02   (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 122 3.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of MOMENT OF MAJESTY by SAINT LIAM)
7  BANDIT'S PRIDE Apr13 Mar15 Feb23 Oct15   (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 115 10.00 14% 6.20    
  (by TIME BANDIT out of FAR OUT PRIDE by FAR OUT WADLEIGH)
8  LOUISIANA LIBERTY Apr19 Mar25 Feb23 Feb04 Jan07 (flint steve)MELANCON G 115 15.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PLEASANTLY BLESSED by PLEASANT TAP)
 
EVD-7   05/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGEEZ Apr14 Mar26 Mar12 Mar02 Dec20 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 118 12.00 7% 13.80    
2  BLUE CHEESE Apr13 Mar26 Mar12 Jan26 Jan12 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  CITY PARK Apr12 Feb25 Jan07 Dec10 Oct26 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
4  LIKE MIKE Apr12 Mar05 Feb21 Jan29 Dec17 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 120 4.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Apr20 Mar19 Mar03 Feb09 Jan15 (pennino frank)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
6  COSMIC TRAIN Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 Jan25 Dec10 (delhomme jerry)MELANCON G 120 10.00    
SCR  PACIFICISLANDTIME Mar12 Feb21 Jan08 Dec09 Nov11 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
8  BUDRO TALKING Apr13 Mar26 Mar04 Jan07 Dec09 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 123 2.00    
SCR  MANGELSEN Mar16 Mar04 Jan20 Aug06 Jul09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00    
 
EVD-8   05/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Creole Lady Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPIRITED BEAUTY Feb24 Feb04 Jan07 Dec29 Dec10 (camejo jos)MARQUEZ L 116 10.00 9% 10.10    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SUNDAY'S CHILD by DESERT WINE)
2  ROYAL O'HAIGAIN Mar26 Mar11 Dec18 Dec01 Jul13 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of DREAMING OF SUSIE by COWTOWN CAT)
SCR  FREE LIKE A GIRL Mar26 Mar04 Feb04 Jan07 Dec31 (pomier chasey )THORNTON G 123 3.50 27% 2.80    
  (by EL DEAL out of FLASHY PRIZE by FLASHY BULL)
4  THAT'S MY MAMA Feb18 Jul27 Jun03 Apr30 Mar12 (noel dane)VARGAS P 118 15.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of SO WELL READ by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
5  MYFRIENDSAWINNER Mar04 Jan25 Nov22 Nov04 Oct20 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 116 20.00    
  (by SILENT PLEASURE out of MY GIRL MAX by MUSKET MAN)
6  FIRST I'VE SEEN Mar26 Feb24 Jan29 Jan01 Oct20 (arceneaux victor)FUSILIER C 123 5.00 26% 2.90    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of CORRECT CALL by BUCKPOINT (FR))
7  WUPKAR Mar18 Mar01 Feb04 Jan12 Dec18 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 10% 8.60    
  (by BIND out of ANNE MARGARET by SONGANDAPRAYER)
8  SNOWBALL Apr12 Mar26 Feb24 Feb04 Jan12 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50    
  (by APRIORITY out of INNER PEACE by SEATTLE SLEW)
9  FLASHY MEG Feb24 Feb01 Dec29 Oct20 Aug10 (segura kearney)STOKES J 118 8.00 ★    
  (by FLASHPOINT out of MEG'S ANSWER by WEST ACRE)
 
EVD-9   05/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOMIZED SPACE Aug06 Jul02       (david b)MELANCON G 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  REGINALD AURELIUS         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  MADELYN'S SOLDIER Apr13 Mar03 Feb18 Jan20   (latour nicholas)STOKES J 120 6.00    
4  SACRED NATION Jan28 Aug18 Aug03     (woodley car)MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.50    
5  STRAY CAT STRUT         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 115 12.00 13% 6.40    
6  DIAL UNCLE JOEY Apr14 Feb25 Nov30 Nov09   (cormier houston)FUSILIER C 120 4.50    
7  MIDNIGHT CROWN Mar02 Feb17       (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.