Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (3/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/7)-(2/5/1/8)-(4/2/7/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-2   WIN (2/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/8)-(2/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/8)-(4/2/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/8)-(4/2/7/1)-(1/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-3   WIN (4/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/1)-(1/5/2)-(9/14) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(9/14)-(5/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-5   WIN (9/14) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/14)-(9/14) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (9/14)-(5/3/8)-(6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/8)-(5/3/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8)-(6/1)-(6/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-7   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LRL-8   WIN (6/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2)-(6/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   04/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHTNOMOREFOREVER         (boniface kevin )GOMEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 8% 11.50    
2  MUNGO MAGIC Apr16 Mar25 Mar10 Jan27   (wilson gregory)BOYCE FOREST 124 6.00    
3  DISTANT FIRE Apr01 Mar10 Feb20     (geralis emanuel )CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
4  SPUNKY IRISHMAN Apr16 Mar31 Feb20 Jan27 Jan01 (eubanks)BRICENO GREGOR 120 20.00    
5  DA BEERS ON ICE Nov04 Aug21       (cox kennet)RIVERA R 117 5.00    
6  NEUTRAL Mar18         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 3.00 11% 8.50    
7  WHERE'S RAY         (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 8% 11.50    
8  GOLDEN REMEDY Jan20 Dec19 Sep27 Aug27   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 4.50    
 
LRL-2   04/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL OF ATTITUDE Feb22 Jan19 Nov26 Jun11   (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 15.00 8% 11.70    
2  SHE'LL MAKE WAVES Mar31 Mar11 Feb25     (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 8.00 17% 4.90    
3  MIZ THE BEST Mar10 Feb16 Jan26 Jan12 Jun03 (synnefias)CARRASCO R 126 15.00    
SCR  SHARP CATCH Mar10 Jan20 Dec14     (maymo j)AGUILAR M 117 20.00    
5  BRUMMAGEM Nov05 Sep22 Aug27 Jul27   (pickett cry)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Nov22 Oct27 Sep25 Sep09 Aug13 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 126 6.00    
7  BELLA BETTINA Mar18 Feb20 Feb03 Jan15 Dec31 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 126 12.00    
8  O SHAUGHESEY Apr15 Mar17 Feb20 Jan29 Jan08 (mckenzie d)RIVERA R 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BETTER CALL MAMA Nov20 Oct23 Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 (maldonado jonat)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK Jan15 Nov21 Nov11 Oct29 Sep25 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 4.00    
11  GATITA SUAVE Dec03 Nov12       (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 15.00    
SCR  EVANGELINE ALLONS Dec03 Nov06 Oct22 Oct06 Sep16 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 4.50    
SCR  CONDESCENDING Mar01 Jan11 Nov19 Oct13 Sep30 (servis john)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 10.00    
 
LRL-3   04/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC LINK Apr14 Mar19 Mar04 Feb14 Jan18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 13% 7.00    
2  CRUSH IT Apr14 Mar15 Feb02 Jan08 Nov02 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 3.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  KRUG Mar19 Jul23 Jun24 Jun03 May15 (capuano ph)RIVERA R 116 12.00    
4  SOUPER CATCH Mar22 Mar12 Feb10 Jan18 Dec01 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  DEVOTED KITTEN Mar29 Feb10 Jan25 Jan06 Dec06 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 123 15.00    
SCR  SHOFAR Apr02 Feb20 Jan27 Dec06 Nov26 (ness jamie)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00    
7  OXIDE Apr02 Mar19 Feb26 Feb04 Jan22 (merryman micha)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.00 17% 4.70    
 
LRL-4   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY JEAN Apr01 Mar05 Feb10 Feb03 Jan20 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  ROCK ROSE Mar18 Feb20 Jan16 Jan01 Nov27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  PRETTY EDGY Mar05 Feb08 Jan14     (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 119 12.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  TWEET AWAY ROBIN Apr06 Dec07 Nov09 Oct06 Sep17 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 1.60    
5  TAM CHAR Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 Feb03 Jan16 (frock char)RIVERA R 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
6  LITTLE MS SCARLET Mar26 Feb24 Jan20 Dec29 Sep21 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
7  SHINELIKEADIAMOND Apr16 Feb25 Dec29 Nov19 Nov09 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 10.00    
 
LRL-5   04/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMAGINE IT Feb11 Jan21 Nov13 Oct14   (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 117 12.00    
2  SNEAKING SUSPICION Nov27 Oct28 Oct07     (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 20.00    
3  HAY CHIEF Mar12         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 117 15.00    
SCR  NORTHERN RYE         (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 117 10.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  GAMING SOUL Mar31 Feb26 Jan21 Dec09   (salazar marco)PEREZ XAVIER 117 15.00    
6  SCORESTOSETTLE Feb25         (meister wil)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 15.00    
SCR  BOBSWORTH Apr01 Dec11       (rivera )ORTIZ ORLANDO 113 30.00    
SCR  RECTOR Mar10 Feb05       (meyers madison )GOMEZ KEVIN 117 20.00    
9  CARVELLIAN QUEST Mar26 Jul10 Jun05 May14 Apr07 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 126 1.60 50% 1.00    
10  HIALEAH NATIVE         (schoenthal )CONCEPCION AXEL 112 15.00    
SCR  CURTEIS Mar24 Jan07 Aug14 Jul17 Jul01 (dunham g)CULLUM W 122 8.00    
SCR  PORCH SWING Apr06 Mar19 Aug17     (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 12% 7.20    
13  CARICO         (cash l)KARAMANOS A 117 15.00    
14  NORTH HIGHLAND Mar31 Mar10       (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HENDERSON Mar04 Nov05 Oct21 Sep17 Aug31 (rubley)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR. COWBOY BRADLEY Mar19 Mar11 Feb19 Jan28   (deiter k)BUTTERFLY L 122 50.00    
 
LRL-6   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOODOO PRIESTESS Mar26 Feb26 Nov20     (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00    
2  VIXSINZKELTKBANSHE         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 120 6.00 ★    
3  DONNA'S COURAGE Feb18 Jan16 Dec16 Nov12 Oct13 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 4.50 12% 7.50    
4  SUGAR SIN Apr09 Mar01 Feb02 Jan06   (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 113 3.50    
5  LIL' LATE LUCK Apr14         (smith hamil)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  RIVER CITY ROCKER Mar17 Aug15       (morgan carla)ROSADO JOHAN 124 20.00    
SCR  BEST WORST IDEA Apr16 Mar17 Feb10 Jan07 Jun15 (ramirez a)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
8  CORA'S CHOICE Apr14 Feb18       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 7% 13.70    
 
LRL-7   04/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYK Apr07 Feb20 Jan29 Dec31 Nov09 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
2  MASTER OF NONE Feb04 Jan14 Dec18 Oct13 Sep16 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 20.00    
3  GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Apr06 Mar11 Feb19 Jan27 Dec10 (mancilla ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
4  ASSUME NOTHING Mar11 Feb19 Jan11     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00    
5  BY ITS ABSENCE Apr13 Mar25       (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 12.00 ★    
6  PARKERNESS Apr15 Mar22 Feb26     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
7  R B'S THE BOSS Apr15 Mar25 Mar10 Feb17 Jan28 (magana jo)CARRASCO R 121 8.00 ★    
8  LAMARVELOUS Feb20 Jan21 Nov20     (eppler e)CRUZ ANGEL 121 8.00    
 
LRL-8   04/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAOLIN Feb26 Jan22 Nov25 Oct29 Oct07 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 126 5.00    
2  LUCKY LORRAINE Apr06 Feb11 Jan22 Dec09 Nov18 (eppler e)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 12.00 6% 17.20    
3  SALAGADOOLA Dec31 Dec09 Nov18 Oct07 Sep17 (samaniego j)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00    
4  MO FIRE Apr06 Mar19 Feb26 Feb04 Jan16 (howard da)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 4.00 8% 11.30    
5  SWEET TALIA Apr06 Mar19 Feb20 Feb03 Jan16 (mcfarl)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.00    
6  MUSICAL CAT Apr01 Mar11 Feb24 Feb03 Jan07 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 5.00 40% 1.50    
7  THE HAUNTED ROOM Mar19 Feb24 Feb11 Jan15 Dec11 (sepulveda carl)CEDENO CAROL 126 3.50 19% 4.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.