Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - April 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(6/4)-(4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
IND-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(4/1)-(7/3/2/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
IND-3   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(7/3/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(7/3/2/4)-(3/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
IND-4   WIN (7/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/2/4)-(3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/4)-(3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
IND-5   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/4/3/1)-(9) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
IND-6   WIN (2/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/1)-(9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/1)-(9)-(9/10/5/2/1) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
IND-7   WIN (9) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (9)-(9/8/1/10/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (9)-(9/8/1/10/7)-(9/8/1/10/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9)-(9/10/5/2/1) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (9)-(9/10/5/2/1)-(7/6) 10 $0.50 $5.00 
IND-8   WIN (9/10/5/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/5/2/1)-(9/10/5/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/5/2/1)-(9/10/5/2/1)-(9/10/5/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/5/2/1)-(7/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
IND-9   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HE'S A WARRIOR Nov22 Nov09 Oct25 Oct06 Sep14 (phillips ter)RAMOS D 119 1.80    
TOPPING Mar16 Feb17 Nov30 Nov21 Oct05 (lauer micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 15.00    
METALLIC MAN Nov21 Oct17 Sep08 Aug22 Jul11 (klopp randy)SANJUR SANTO 122 4.00 27% 2.80    
MR MANNING Nov21 Nov09 Oct20 Oct04 Sep08 (hammond kim)PRESCOTT R 122 3.00 43% 1.40    
SCR  BANDIDO DE AMORES Nov15 Oct25 Oct06 Sep26 Sep14 (duran antonio)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 3.50    
DEUTERONOMYSTRONG Mar24 Feb10 Jan15 Nov02 Oct20 (egbert james)PARKER L 119 15.00    
TOUCHOFCHILIPEPPER Nov21 Nov13 Nov01 Oct11 Sep13 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-2   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD TAPIT Feb15 Jan26 Dec11 Nov23 Nov09 (klopp r)DE CRUZ 122 3.50    
U SO MONEY BABY Mar17 Feb25 Feb10 Jan27 Jan05 (cundiff way)PETERSON FERRIN 122 8.00    
GOSHEN Apr12 Mar24 Mar11 Jan23 Dec31 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 10.00    
MAMA LOU Oct04 Sep02 Aug08 Jul11 May23 (west w)PARKER L 122 3.00 5% 17.20    
LASHES Nov11 Oct25 Sep27 Aug31 Aug08 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.00    
TEN AT TWELVE Jun01         (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
 
IND-3   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIDEO PRINCESS Sep02 Aug20       (morey w)DE CRUZ 120 2.00 16% 5.30    
  (by KANTHAROS out of PRINCESS PHARAOH by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
WICKED BEAUTIFUL         (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MY JIMMY CHEW GIRL by THUNDER GULCH)
ROLO BOLO Mar31 Feb23 Feb01 Jan01   (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ALL THAT Mar31         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 1.40 61% 0.70    
  (by FLATTER out of CASH CONTROL by DRUMNADROCHIT)
URBAN COWGIRL Mar30 Mar09       (cline c)PARKER L 120 5.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of J J'S CLASSIC by SKY CLASSIC)
MOJO MADAM         (deegan c)PRESCOTT R 120 6.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of GOLDEN LADY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
IND-4   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHANNEL Z Mar15 Sep23       (wisner trace)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 10.00    
VINTAGE VINYL Sep15 Aug08 Apr16 Feb19 Jan22 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 124 4.50 12% 7.50    
FAVORABLE RETURN         (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
LUCIOS ZORAN         (rechy ramon)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
MR. COMMANDER Apr18 Jan13       (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
SCR  BLOWN OUT         (walden willi)RAMOS D 120 4.50    
TIMELY PROSPECT Apr12         (granitz)DE CRUZ 124 1.80 43% 1.30    
 
IND-5   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICA RULES Nov21 Nov11 Aug31 Aug10 Jul14 (haran john)PEREZ E 119 6.00 16% 5.10    
NO DRAMA MOMMA Feb20 Feb05 Jan01 Nov20 Feb26 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 122 5.00    
SPLASH OF TONIC Jan06 Nov15 Sep21 Sep08 Jun22 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
NEVER TO MANY HUGS Nov21 Nov10 Oct25 Oct10 Sep19 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 1.80    
SCR  TIME TO CONFESS Nov15 Oct31 Oct18 Oct05 Aug31 (garci)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 8.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  FAIRE EXPRESS Oct29 Oct17 Sep09 Aug09 Jun27 (west m)MORALES JOSHUA 119 15.00 13% 6.70    
SHES MY TREASURE Nov08 Oct18 Oct12 Sep29 Sep06 (hayes michael )HISBY RONALD 122 20.00    
IWANNABEPERFECT Nov21 Oct31 Oct10 Sep08 Aug16 (wisner trace)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
 
IND-6   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIDAY NIGHT RIGHT Oct29 Oct10 Sep20 Aug29 Aug08 (patrick gary)PARKER L 118 12.00 10% 8.80    
SPOKE Apr18 Nov08 Oct24 Sep22 Aug15 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 122 1.60 29% 2.40    
FOLLOW THE MONEY Nov16 Nov03 Oct24 Sep22 Aug25 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 122 5.00 12% 7.50    
NEW YEAR'S FEVER Sep30 Sep08 Aug22 Aug03 Jul09 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 122 4.50 18% 4.70    
BLUEGRASS PRAYER Nov22 Oct26 Sep27 Aug15 Jul21 (eggleston ti)RAMOS D 119 10.00    
WIN ME OVER Nov16 Oct29 Oct05 Sep07 Aug08 (gorham m)PEREZ E 118 8.00    
VICTOR'S DEAL Nov22 Nov03 Oct24     (richardville)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00    
VENICE BEACH Nov22 Nov11 Nov02 Oct17 Sep27 (garcia genaro)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 15.00    
 
IND-7   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAFALGAR SHORE Nov17 Oct27 Oct05 Sep15 Sep01 (silva h)MOJICA O 122 3.50    
QUICK AND EASY Nov14 Oct31 Oct19 Sep14 Aug24 (davis j)DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
SCR  LEXI SUN Nov17 Jun20 May18 May03 Apr20 (smith m)PRESCOTT R 119 20.00    
LOOKIN ROYAL Nov24 Nov17       (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
BOTOX KATIE Nov17 Oct31 Oct19 Sep19 Sep09 (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 119 12.00    
ELUSIVE JUSTICE Jan04 Dec07 Nov14 Oct29 Oct19 (davis jos)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 5.00    
GET N TIPSY Mar30 Oct29 Oct03 Sep15 Aug29 (haran john)PEREZ E 122 20.00    
MISS LUV SHACK Nov22 Oct26 Oct06 Sep08 Sep01 (glyshaw tim)PARKER L 122 2.50    
CARIMBA         (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00 72% 0.40    
10  BELLA BOLLE Jun16 May24 May12 Apr20   (smith randy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 10.00    
 
IND-8   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOODOO JUSTICE Aug08 Jun23 May31 May12 Apr20 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
RATTRAPANTE Mar30 Sep23 Aug20 Aug08 Jul15 (delong ben)MAYTA J 122 10.00 6% 16.50    
RAINDROPS ON ROSES Mar30 Aug03 Jul05     (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 20.00    
SCR  ECLIPSED Apr19 Jan21 Jan12 Jan05 Dec16 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 122 12.00    
LIL EVIE Aug29 Aug03 Jul18 Jun20 Jun08 (hammond kim)PRESCOTT R 119 15.00 6% 16.40    
POETIC VERSE Nov02 Oct03 Aug25 Aug03 Jul09 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 20.00    
SMOOTH JUSTICE Nov17 Oct27 Aug25 Jul18 May26 (klopp randy)MOJICA O 119 6.00    
MY MY MUNNY Mar30 Mar09 Feb08 Jan11 Dec21 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50    
SPEEDY DELIVERY Nov17 Oct26 Oct12 Jul09 Jun22 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 112 1.80 39% 1.60    
10  NO MORE FAKE NEWS Oct29 Oct12 Sep19 Aug16 Jul20 (patrick gary)PARKER L 119 5.00 17% 4.80    
 
IND-9   04/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BOSS BEN Apr01 Mar10 Feb24 Dec31 Nov27 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00    
MR. CUNNINGHAM Apr12 Mar30 Mar10 Feb24 Feb11 (meredith char)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 12.00    
HUNTERTOWN Apr04 Mar09 Feb11 Jan19 Nov04 (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 118 15.00    
FIRING RANGE Nov02 Aug30 Aug03 Jul09 Jun22 (garcia genaro)BAYS BROOKE 109 6.00    
WHITE PIGEON Jan28 Dec13 Nov17 Nov08 Oct11 (sanchez j)SANJUR SANTO 122 4.50    
EL ROSILLO Apr18 Mar07 Feb14 Aug06 Jul29 (elliott m)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.50 15% 5.90    
OUR TEAM Jul14 Jun11 May22     (pitts helen)PARKER L 122 1.80 61% 0.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.