Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Sunday - April 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/2/4)-(4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FON-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-4   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
FON-5   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(4/8/1)-(8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-6   WIN (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/1)-(4/8/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/1)-(4/8/1/3)-(4/8/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/1)-(8/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-7   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1/9/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1)-(8/1/9/6)-(8/1/9/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/23/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRICKY MOM Apr15 Mar26 Mar05 Feb09 Jan25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00    
2  SISTER SHIRLEY Apr02 Mar11 Feb24 Feb10 Apr03 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
3  LOT'SA SILVER Mar05 Feb24 Feb11 Jan05 Dec19 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 23% 3.40    
4  CHAOS MAGIC Apr15 Apr02 Mar19 Mar11 Feb17 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  HOT CAVIAR Apr15 Mar26 Mar05 Feb25 Feb10 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50    
6  SENTIMENTAL CROSS Apr14 Mar18 Feb18 Sep27 Sep11 (rushton stacy)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00 21% 3.90    
 
FON-2   04/23/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OGA BEAR Mar18 Mar11 Feb23 Jan27 Jan13 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 0.80 24% 3.20    
2  GRAYDAR'S DREAM Mar26 Feb25 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
SCR  THREE TIME CHARMER Mar26 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Nov04 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 5.00 18% 4.50    
4  RAY'S ANGEL Sep15 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 May18 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 6.00    
5  SACRED KIKI BIRD Nov29 Nov08 Oct24 Sep25 Sep02 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  KID'S INHERITANCE Mar18 Mar04 Sep10 Aug27 Aug17 (bethke a)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
 
FON-3   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULL RING Apr02 Mar18 Mar12 Sep27 Sep13 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
2  JACKIE MOON Mar31 Mar19 Mar03 Feb24 Jan13 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  BRADSTREET Apr01 Mar24 Jan14 Jun05   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 121 1.40 40% 1.50    
4  NO LIMITATION Mar26 Mar10 Feb26 Jan12 Dec21 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 10% 9.40    
5  ASHWINS ORB Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 Feb12 Nov27 (martinez ke)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00    
6  GREAT REALIZATION Apr10 Mar27 Mar07 Dec17 Dec07 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00    
 
FON-4   04/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SATURDAY SERVICE Mar27 Feb19 Feb01 Jan15 Dec10 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
2  MONGOLIAN DIAMOND Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb24 Jan04 (ducheneaux ja)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
3  ROSE OF EKITA Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 Jul19 (lambert joanna)RAMOS B 125 2.50 ★    
4  TAPIT'S LADY Apr08 Mar26 Mar10 Feb28 Feb01 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 57% 0.80    
5  CHERISH THE DAY Apr12 Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 Feb10 (dunlap sh)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
6  SUE HAPPY Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 Feb15 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 11% 7.80    
 
FON-5   04/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAKE SOLUTION Apr16 Mar31 Mar12 Feb26 Feb11 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00    
2  G'S TURN Apr14 Apr01 Mar10 Feb10 Sep25 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 14% 5.90    
3  FORT KNOX Mar25 Mar12 Feb26 Dec15 Oct08 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 125 3.00 15% 5.50    
4  GOLD NOTE Apr07 Mar11 Feb19 Feb11 Jan11 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.50    
5  STAGE DOOR Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Nov06 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
6  SHWEET PERSUASION Apr08 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 (thompson grady)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 31% 2.20    
 
FON-6   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLLIN BLACKOUT Mar26 Sep04 Aug04 Jul10 Jun19 (stankey jannae)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 14% 6.20    
2  LITTLE MORE LOVE Apr08 Sep24 Sep18 Aug14 Jun26 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 8.00    
3  RETRO RITA Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 Feb24 Nov25 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 ★    
4  FOOLISH INTENT Apr02 Mar17       (hoffman robert)ROMAN KEVIN 121 2.00 44% 1.30    
5  POPS GIRL ALEXA Apr16 Apr01 Mar19 Feb25 Feb19 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
SCR  GRACE A'LACE Mar25 Aug17 Jul27 Jun30   (bethke troy )BETHKE A 121 15.00    
7  FLIRTATIOUS SMILE Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 Sep19 Aug26 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
8  FABULOSITY Mar25 Mar11 Feb25 Dec19 Nov18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50 17% 4.80    
 
FON-7   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BER MIS BOY Apr14 Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 May01 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 1.20 33% 2.00    
  (by COUGAR CAT out of GOHAR by FOREST DANGER)
SCR  WANTABE         (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 8% 11.10    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
3  LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT Apr14 Mar17 Feb25 Feb11 Jun17 (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
  (by LIQUOR CABINET out of GAMBLING LADY LUCK by POPULAR (SAF))
4  WHISKEYSPENT Apr14 Mar17 Mar10     (thomsen paula)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00    
  (by I SPENT IT out of SHEZA DIVINE DIVA by DIVINE PARK)
5  SPORTS HIFLYER Apr14 Feb26 Feb11 Jun17   (krause bill)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of CRESCO HIFLYER by BURBANK (IRE))
6  HAVANA JACK Apr08 Mar12       (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 121 15.00 ★    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of QUDZE by DAAHER)
7  THUNDERSTORMACOMIN Apr14 Mar17 Feb11 Jun17 Jun04 (becker h)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00    
  (by BLUE LION out of STORMIN COUSINS by FLASHY BULL)
8  DISTANT HOLIDAY Apr01         (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of DISTANT DELTA by DECARCHY)
9  DONNY'S GOT GAME Apr08         (donlin d)HAAR NATHAN 121 8.00 ★    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of KELLY AND COLA by INFORMED)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.