Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/3)-(1/5/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(3/1/2)-(2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(2/4)-(2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2/7)-(4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/7)-(4/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(4/9/1)-(3/7/4/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-5   WIN (4/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/1)-(4/9/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/9/1)-(4/9/1/8)-(4/9/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/9/1)-(3/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/1)-(3/7/4/8)-(7/6/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/8)-(7/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/8)-(7/6/4/5)-(2/6/9/3/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/5)-(2/6/9/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/5)-(2/6/9/3/1)-(3/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/6/9/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/3/1)-(2/6/9/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/3/1)-(2/6/9/3/1)-(2/6/9/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/9/3/1)-(3/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4/12/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4/12/7)-(3/1/4/12/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP FIRST Mar11 Feb11 Jan29 May04 Apr16 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 125 1.60 42% 1.40    
2  AIDINGANDABETTING Feb22 Jan29 Jan08 Dec31 Dec10 (arriagada jua)SOSA LAUREANO 116 6.00    
3  CALZONE Mar19 Mar03 Feb12 Jan18 Jan06 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 123 12.00 ★    
4  CREATIVE CHOICE Dec09 Nov30 Oct19 Oct03 Sep20 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 15.00    
5  MONEY SONG Feb15 Dec23 Oct08 Aug29 Aug22 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 123 2.00 22% 3.50    
6  ALL FOOLS DAY Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 Feb27 Feb13 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 4.50 8% 11.50    
7  THEJIGISUP Mar25 Mar05 Feb10 Jan15 Jan07 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 116 15.00    
 
TAM-2   04/07/2023 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL GOOD TIMES Feb15 Dec17 Sep29 Sep18 Aug06 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
2  PASSIONFORTREASURE Nov09 Oct26 Sep20 Sep07 Aug22 (posadas pedro)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 4.50 19% 4.10    
3  CLAY'S MOON STONE Feb15 Dec30 Sep29 Sep18 Aug06 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  STRIKING CHROME Mar17 Feb18 Aug06 Jul17 Feb23 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
5  SOUL OF AN ANGEL Mar17 Feb18 Jan28 Dec31 Dec14 (james gerald)MENESES MARCOS 118 1.80    
6  ELUSIVE AMELIA May01 Mar09 Feb25 Jan17 Jan05 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00    
 
TAM-3   04/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($19.5K) 3 F PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONNIE SANDRA Mar24 Feb25       (gulick james)ARROYO S 120 2.50    
2  CLASSIC DREAMER Mar24 Feb25 Jan29 Dec28   (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.80 59% 0.70    
3  IRISH VICTORY (IRE) Mar24         (gonzalez aldana)FERRER C 120 10.00    
4  KEEP ON ROCKIN Feb08         (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00 10% 9.10    
5  SOLDIERESS         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 6.00 ★    
6  RUNNING FOR ROSES         (charlton rosh)FUENTES MARIO 120 8.00    
SCR  ROMASHKA         (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 ★    
 
TAM-4   04/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLPO D'ORO Nov20         (ryan s)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 4.00    
2  CATATUMBO LIGHTNIN Mar05 Dec09       (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 2.50 66% 0.50    
3  PIDIN Mar30 Mar09 Dec01 Nov17 Oct30 (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 ★    
4  BIG LOUIE         (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
SCR  TOP MAVERICK Feb18 Jan08       (lerman michael)CENTENO E 120 3.00 ★    
6  HE'S CONNECTED Feb17 Jan27 Dec28 Dec03 Sep25 (padilla tim)SOSA LAUREANO 113 15.00    
7  TUMIGA Jan27 Jan11 Dec21 Dec03 Oct22 (laurin r)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 12% 7.70    
8  SEAX Mar22 Feb09 Jan08 Dec22 Dec09 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
 
TAM-5   04/07/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JARA Sep05 Jul17 Jul04 Jun13 May31 (davis richard)SOSA LAUREANO 111 6.00 6% 16.00    
SCR  ANIMAL PRINCESS Sep17 Sep03       (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 118 20.00    
3  TRIPLET Aug28 Jul01 May12 Mar23 Jan14 (holtzinger ca)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 10.00    
4  ST. PAT'S DAY Feb15 Jan20 May07 Mar30   (vinson john )BATISTA A 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  MOANAS POWER Mar09 Feb10 Dec31 Feb25 Jan14 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  I'M A CUTIE Feb22 Feb12 Dec24 Dec07 Nov26 (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 15.00    
7  THINK IT THRU Oct02         (cascallares n)LUGO D 118 30.00    
8  HUNTRESS MOON Jul29 Jun12 May06 Mar18 Feb13 (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.50 ★    
9  BABY'S DIALED IN Mar15 Jan15 Dec14 May12 Apr21 (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 8% 11.10    
 
TAM-6   04/07/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPINTOYOURBEER Mar24 Mar03 Feb15 Jan27 Dec31 (ubide max)ARROYO S 124 5.00    
2  DIAMOND LUCKIE Mar31         (gurrola ge)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 30.00    
3  SIDNEY'S BID Mar24 Mar10 Feb22 Feb12 Jan06 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
4  BAM BAM WARRIOR Mar24 Mar04 Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.00 9% 9.60    
5  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Mar26 Mar15 Feb11 Dec06 Nov13 (robillard jul)FUENTES MARIO 124 15.00    
6  CEDAR BEACH Mar24 Mar04 Feb03 Dec28 Apr20 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 124 5.00    
7  STRINGS Mar15 Feb18 Dec16 Nov30 Jul23 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
8  LORD DARNLEY Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 May29 Apr10 (machado an)ORDONEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   04/07/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ASCERTAINED         (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LUCKY DAY A'COMIN Mar08 Dec09 Oct20     (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 120 8.00    
3  DAD'S ON A ROLL Mar08 Feb22 Jan27 Dec03   (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
4  K'S PICK         (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  VEGAS PLAYBOY         (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROLLERCOASTER MAN Feb22 Feb05 Jan18 Aug28 Jul31 (raven ke)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
7  PRALINE'S CAT Mar25 Mar08 Feb22 Dec28 Dec07 (posadas pedro)SOSA LAUREANO 113 4.00 36% 1.80    
8  THE BEARRISH ONE Mar25 Mar04 Feb03 Dec02 Oct18 (dini mike)CENTENO E 120 3.50    
9  SICILIANO Mar08 Feb22 Feb05 Jan27 Dec03 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
 
TAM-8   04/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA BRODY Mar15 Jan27 Dec24 Dec09 Nov23 (cascallares ne)MARIN SAMUEL 123 20.00 6% 16.40    
2  MY GIRL MELLY Mar19 Mar05 Feb04 Jan11 Dec16 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 4.50 31% 2.30    
3  MORE MUCHO Mar19 Mar05 Feb18 Feb04 Jan15 (smith g)FERRER C 123 3.50 7% 12.60    
4  BRASS BAND Mar25 Mar05 Aug08 Jul13 May28 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 123 10.00    
5  LUCKY FREEDOM Mar01 Feb12 Jan18 Jan01 Oct29 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 118 4.50    
6  SO SOFTLY Mar15 Jan06 Sep24 Sep16 Sep11 (smith r)SOSA LAUREANO 116 3.00 16% 5.20    
7  BELLA ROMANCE Mar19 Mar05 Feb18 Feb04 Jan15 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 123 8.00    
8  MAY BEAU Mar15 Feb25 Feb10 Jan22 Jan06 (wasiluk peter )COTTO L 123 30.00    
9  LEGEND'S SONG Mar08 Feb17 Jan22 Jan08 Dec23 (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 118 6.00 13% 6.50    
 
TAM-9   04/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEE AT ONE Mar10         (vinson john )BATISTA A 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
  (by TUNWOO out of SEACRYSTAL by THEATRICAL (IRE))
2  JOHNSON Mar15         (motion h)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of GERMAN EDITION by CAPE CROSS)
3  OSKAR MARTINEZ (IRE) Feb18         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.80 45% 1.20    
  (by HAVANA GOLD out of AFLAME by SMOKESTER)
4  CAJUN OCCASION Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 Dec02 Nov12 (cruz )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00 10% 8.50    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of DRIVING MRS B by FACTUM)
SCR  INSTIGATING Feb24         (spanabel k)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 30.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of ENGLISH TEA by TWINING)
6  SCHOOLMASTER (GER) Mar03 Dec02 Oct21     (barrett grant)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SHIORI by TWIRLING CANDY)
7  ELSINORE Feb25 Dec03       (harty eoin)SOSA LAUREANO 108 3.50 ★    
  (by ASTERN out of QUEEN OF DENMARK by KINGMAMBO)
8  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS         (gulick m)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of GIANT DEDUCTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  STARFORCE Mar11 Jan28 Dec17     (albertrani thom)CENTENO E 120 10.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SUMMERSHINE by THREE VALLEYS)
10  EXTREME ACCESS Feb24 Feb01 Jul02     (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HIGH SPEED ACCESS by KINGMAMBO)
SCR  ANTONOV Mar10 Feb19 Feb03 Jan21 Jan07 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 6.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LOVELY DAUGHTER by BIG BROWN)
12  PIETRELCINA Mar15         (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00 ★    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of STRIKING BELLA by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  FAR FROM HOME Mar19 Feb04 Dec22     (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 30.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of ELECTRO PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
14  D' COMPOSER         (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SUPER GIRLIE by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.