Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Tuesday - March 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/6/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/6/1/4)-(2/7/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7)-(5/4/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(5/4/2/3)-(5/4/6/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-2   WIN (5/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/6/7)-(3/4/1/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRX-3   WIN (5/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/7)-(3/4/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/7)-(3/4/1/2)-(8/2/3/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRX-4   WIN (3/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/7/2)-(3/4/1/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/1/2)-(8/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/2)-(8/2/3/7)-(2/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-5   WIN (8/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/7)-(8/2/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/7)-(8/2/3/6/7)-(8/2/3/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/3/7)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/7)-(2/6/3)-(6/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-6   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3/5/1)-(2/6/3/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(6/5/1)-(7/8/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-7   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1/8/4)-(6/5/1/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(7/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(7/8/5)-(3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-8   WIN (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/5)-(7/8/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/5)-(7/8/5/4)-(7/8/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/5)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5)-(3/4)-(7/4/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-9   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/7/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/7/5/6)-(3/4/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4)-(7/4/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(7/4/1/6)-(12/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-10   WIN (7/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6/3)-(7/4/1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/1/6)-(12/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PRX-11   WIN (12/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (12/4)-(12/4/7/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (12/4)-(12/4/7/5/6)-(12/4/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   03/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIRCLE ME MADDEN Feb27         (servis john)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 4.00    
  (by TONALIST out of BAI BAI BABY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
GUN COLLECTOR Mar02         (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 121 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of WEMBLEY by BERNARDINI)
LIDIA'S PRAYER Feb28 Jan02 Nov16     (avila )GONZALEZ JR 121 15.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of WITH SPRINKLES by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
ZOPPI FISCHBEIN Feb27 Feb08 Jan02 Nov07 Sep24 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 12.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of GUMDROP by ICY GROOM)
SON OF A BUCK Feb27 Feb08 Jan24 Jan02 Dec06 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of BUCK TROUT'S NIECE by WAQUOIT)
SHY DA RUNNER Mar02 Feb02       (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of UNIMAGINEABLE by TWIRLING CANDY)
NORLANDER Feb27 Jan03       (reid e)PENNINGTON F 121 3.00 11% 7.80    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ICY TEA by STORM CAT)
 
PRX-2   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTER UP BUD Feb19 Feb01 Jan10 Aug07 Jul09 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 121 6.00    
PINE VALLEY Mar04 Dec05 Oct08 Sep15 Aug07 (mosco ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.00 14% 6.00    
AMITY ROAD Mar11 Jul30 Jul04 Jun26 Jun04 (santaella-ca)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 10.00 12% 7.40    
MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT Feb27 Jan25 Nov29 Oct11 Jul19 (lake a)OCASIO M 121 2.00 16% 5.10    
THREE COMMA GLENN Feb01 May09 Apr18 Mar23   (reid e)PENNINGTON F 121 3.00 29% 2.40    
RICH'S WAY Feb27         (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00    
NORTHERN EXPRESS (IRE) Mar01 Nov08 Oct11 Aug22 Jul25 (christman k)WOLFSONT ANDREW null      
 
PRX-3   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUMMARY JUDGMENT Feb27 Feb13 Jan25 Jan02 Dec20 (velazquez al)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 8.00    
PROSPERA Mar15 Feb15 Jan24 Jan17 Dec05 (simone mic)SANCHEZ J 124 6.00    
CABRA CHICA Feb14 Jan24 Jan18 Nov21 Oct24 (castillo sa)RAMOS C 116 8.00    
BLUNT FORCE Mar20 Feb22 Feb06 Jan09 Dec21 (guerrero guada)CASTILLO A 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
BLINKERS Mar08 Jan31 Dec18 Jul08 Jun10 (lake scott )NUNEZ Y 121 2.00 22% 3.50    
BEYOND A MILLION Feb28 Oct24 Oct12 Sep07 Aug26 (mosco robert)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.00 16% 5.40    
ISABELLA SMILE Mar07 Jan30 Jan04 Dec20 Nov21 (martinez alex)OCASIO M 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
 
PRX-4   03/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. ROUNDTREE Feb20 Jan30 Jan17 Dec21 Dec06 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00 12% 7.70    
SPLICETHEMAINBRACE Mar08 Jan30 Jan17 Dec13 Nov22 (vega richard)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
HE HATE ME Mar15 Feb28 Feb13 Jan17 Oct12 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
HOLDTHEFLIGHT Mar01 Jan30 Dec14 Oct10 Sep19 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 124 2.00 16% 5.20    
LARGE Mar07 Feb21 Jan31 Jan16 Dec12 (jones carl )NUNEZ Y 121 15.00    
COMMISSIONER G Feb20 Feb13 Jan30 Sep10 Aug02 (smith everton)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 8.00    
GEEBERT Mar08 Jan30 Jan11 Dec19 Nov29 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.50    
 
PRX-5   03/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP FOR ALEX Feb22 Feb07 Jan02 Nov02 Oct12 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 15.00    
NIGHT OPS Feb22 Jan23 Jan07 Nov12 Oct21 (lake a)TORRES A 114 5.00 19% 4.20    
WIZARD SERRAT Feb28 Feb13 Jan18 Dec19 Dec05 (velazquez alfredo)BISONO J 121 6.00 14% 6.30    
HIDDEN PROMISE Feb22 Jan24 Jan09 Oct12 Sep21 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00    
COLONEL JUAN Feb28 Jan24 Dec14 Nov08 Oct31 (guerrero gu)RIVERA D 121 6.00    
HARD STING Feb18 Jan30 Jan02 Nov29 Oct25 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 8.00    
SOUPER FLY OVER Feb27 Feb06 Nov23 Oct31 Aug25 (collazo lui)NUNEZ Y 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SUPER DUDE Jan02 Nov30 Nov22 Oct24 Oct05 (rodriguez migue)BOWMAN ADAM 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  CROATIAN Mar15 Feb08 Jan09 Nov30 Nov09 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 124 6.00    
 
PRX-6   03/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LULINDA'S HEART Mar21 Feb08 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 (st uriah)ADORNO ABNER 121 12.00    
MINDING MILLIE Feb27 Jan17 Dec12 Nov04 Oct07 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 1.60 32% 2.10    
CREME CARAMEL Mar08 Jan24 Nov02 Oct19 Sep05 (dominguez )SANCHEZ J 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
DON'T TELL FRANKIE Feb14 Jan25 Jan09 Dec20 Nov29 (pollara fran)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 8.00    
HEY DEWZPOTS Oct31 Sep28 Aug30 Aug13 Aug03 (castillo mich)GUERERE ANGEL 121 12.00    
HALLIGIRL Feb28 Jan10 Dec13 Nov08 Oct11 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
PRX-7   03/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESANTIS Mar06 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Oct28 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE out of CLASSE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
ALL IN ALL Feb19         (duarte jorge )TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of TOTALLY TUCKER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
FINALLY CAPTURED Feb07         (lake a)PENNINGTON F 121 12.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of MORE THAN A PARTY by MORE THAN READY)
MY IMAGINATION Feb07 Jan14 Dec17 Nov13 Oct19 (morey willia)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 4.50    
  (by LEA out of LA CONTESSA by CONGRATS)
EXCESS DEMAND         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of DANCE TO BRISTOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
TATUM Feb21 Feb07 Jul30 Jul09   (velazquez )SANCHEZ J 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CROON by INDIAN CHARLIE)
T'WAS THE NIGHT Feb28 Feb08 Jan24 Jan03   (st ur)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 8.00    
  (by JUMP START out of CHRISTMAS EVE by EXCHANGE RATE)
TALK WITH ME         (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 121 5.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of PLAY WITH ME by BIG SPLASH)
 
PRX-8   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE THE JOKER Mar02 Jan13 Dec12 Nov23 Oct28 (mosco robert)OCASIO M 121 5.00    
BUCKS SOME Mar08 Feb15 Aug01 Jul09 Jun06 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
SCR  MIDTOWN ROSE Mar02 Dec12 Nov13 Oct24 Sep06 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
SENSE A MILLION Feb15 Feb06 Jan02 Dec07 Nov15 (abrams rona)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 10.00    
BILLIEANNE Mar08 Nov09 Nov01 Oct19 Sep27 (farro patri)RAMOS C 116 15.00 8% 10.80    
STARSHIP ROGUE Mar07 Feb22 Jan02 Dec12 Nov23 (smith evert)DE KEMICH 114 15.00    
TARA'S TALENT Feb19 Jan02 Dec07 Nov15 Oct21 (moore mich)SANCHEZ J 121 4.00 11% 7.80    
I CROSS MY HEART Feb27 Jan18 Dec14 Sep18 Aug27 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 3.00 10% 9.50    
 
PRX-9   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE MORE SCOOP Mar01 Feb06 Dec13 Nov16 Oct25 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
PRACTICAL WAY Mar18 Feb27 Jan23 Mar19 Jan29 (avila car)PENNINGTON F 121 8.00    
FIVE DREAMS Mar07 Feb13 Jan21 Jan04 Nov08 (rodriguez m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 1.60 38% 1.70    
JW'STRICKYMISCHIEF Mar08 Feb13 Jan11 Dec21 Dec14 (guerrero gu)RIVERA D 121 5.00 34% 1.90    
A DANGEROUS GUY Jan11 Dec07 Nov16 Oct20 Oct04 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
HUSHION Feb13 Jan30 Jan03 Nov28 Nov15 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 15.00    
ROB THE RICH Feb13 Jan01 Dec14 Nov29 Nov08 (guerrero c)TORRES A 114 3.00    
 
PRX-10   03/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($57K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOOPLA Mar14 Feb13 Jan31 Dec21 Nov29 (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 5.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  PRINCE MARCO Feb08         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 121 6.00    
ROAN MOUNTAIN Feb13 Dec24 Dec10 Sep29 Jul10 (smylie timot)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 15.00    
KOBE B Jan25 Jan10 Nov01 Oct11 Aug24 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
OLYMPIC ROMP Mar01 Feb07 Nov30 Nov08 Oct25 (velazquez daniel)CASTILLO A 121 10.00    
CELTIC TREASURE Mar13 Feb22 Dec03 Nov03 Oct10 (guerrero mele)RIVERA D 121 8.00 6% 16.20    
DREAMING OF GERRY Feb14 Jan23 Jul23 Jun30 May25 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 1.80 38% 1.60    
SCREEN SAVER Mar07 Jan30 Dec21 Nov15 Oct25 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00    
MIDNIGHT CHROME Sep24 Aug03 Jul23 Jun14 May15 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 121 15.00    
10  BRETT'S WORLD Mar07 Feb05 Jan14 Dec14 Nov15 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 8.00    
 
PRX-11   03/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOCA ROYALTY Mar01 Feb07 Jan30 Jan11 Dec14 (diaz jorge)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 8.00    
SCR  FRANKLY MY DEAR Mar15 Feb23 Jan19 Dec21 Oct15 (martinez ale)ROLDAN FELISHA 114 8.00    
GAVICHI Mar13 Feb28 Feb07 Jan30 Jan09 (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 114 8.00    
J J LOVES BILLY Mar13 Feb22 Jun01 May10 Mar28 (hogan willi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
REITERATE Mar09 Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 Nov23 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00    
THE BIGGEST ONE Feb22 Jan24 Dec20 Dec07 Nov28 (crowell susan )MOYA F 121 8.00    
ADHWAA Mar20 Feb17 Feb01 Jan11 Dec12 (ramirez silvi)PANAIJO JORGE 121 4.50    
KNOCK OUT KID Feb22 Feb01 Oct12 Sep21 Aug22 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 8.00    
SCR  THIS ROUND'S MINE Jan18 Dec12 Nov23 Oct31 Oct03 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 121 3.50    
10  NOTHINS FREE Feb14 Jan24 Jan09 Dec14 Nov14 (santaella-ca)TORRES A 114 8.00    
11  GIA'S FUEGO Mar13 Feb22 Feb06 Jan17 Oct26 (diaz jorge)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 111 10.00    
12  CARTWHEEL Feb22 Jan18 Dec07 Nov21 Nov02 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00 74% 0.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.