Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - March 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(3/5/2/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(3/5/2/1/8)-(2/9/4/7/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-2   WIN (3/5/2/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/1/8)-(3/5/2/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/1/8)-(3/5/2/1/8)-(3/5/2/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/2/1/8)-(2/9/4/7/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/1/8)-(2/9/4/7/6)-(3/9/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-3   WIN (2/9/4/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/7/6)-(2/9/4/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/7/6)-(2/9/4/7/6)-(2/9/4/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/4/7/6)-(3/9/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/9/4/7/6)-(3/9/5)-(7/5/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-4   WIN (3/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/5)-(3/9/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/5)-(3/9/4/1/5)-(3/9/4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/9/5)-(7/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/5)-(7/5/4/8)-(7/1/9/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-5   WIN (7/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/8/2)-(7/5/4/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/4/8)-(7/1/9/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/8)-(7/1/9/8/2)-(4/7/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
HOU-6   WIN (7/1/9/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/9/8/2)-(7/1/9/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/9/8/2)-(7/1/9/8/2)-(7/1/9/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/9/8/2)-(4/7/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/9/8/2)-(4/7/5/6)-(10/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
HOU-7   WIN (4/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/6)-(4/7/5/6/8)-(4/7/5/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/5/6)-(10/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/6)-(10/3)-(2/10/1/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-8   WIN (10/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/3)-(10/3/8/1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (10/3)-(10/3/8/1/2)-(10/3/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/3)-(2/10/1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HOU-9   WIN (2/10/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/1/7)-(2/10/8/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/10/1/7)-(2/10/8/1/7)-(2/10/8/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   03/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RABBIT HOLE Feb17 Jul03 Jun09     (garza e)SANCHEZ M 122 30.00    
SCR  UTSIRA Feb19 Feb05 Jan07 Nov25   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 1.20 37% 1.70    
3  FABULOUS TALE Feb05         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50 ★    
4  DR Z'S ELSA Feb11 Sep15       (silva migue)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 20.00    
5  POETIC UNION Jan22 Jan07 Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
6  WATCH OUT NOW Feb05 Dec14 Oct28 Aug19   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 12% 7.10    
7  CLASSICALLY WICKED Jan22         (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 20.00 8% 10.90    
 
HOU-2   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET OUT TONIGHT Feb05 Nov04 Sep16 Jun26 Feb23 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 12.00 9% 10.10    
2  LUMBERJACK LESLIE Feb24 Jan27 Jul04 May22 May14 (jacks karen)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00 9% 9.90    
3  CHAPARRITA Jan13 Dec08 Nov25 Nov19 Sep15 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 115 3.50 32% 2.20    
4  MAZI Feb04 Jan13 Dec15 Nov22 Nov04 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 4.50    
5  SADIE'S RANSOM Feb23 Jan06 Dec21 Mar25 Feb26 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 8.00 18% 4.60    
6  MRSG'S LIL DREAMER Feb05 Jun28 Jun07 Apr27 Apr06 (george wayn)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
7  MAVE RUNNER Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 Oct15 Aug10 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00    
8  IN THE FAST LANE Feb17 Jan22 Jan07 Jul21 Jun05 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 115 20.00 5% 18.20    
9  LUNA S Feb04 Jan13 Nov07 Oct19 Oct01 (m)DE CRUZ 123 2.00    
 
HOU-3   03/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE NEXT BIG BLING Feb26 Jan27 Jan07     (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 20.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PRECIOUS PLAY by INTIMIDATOR)
2  HAPPY IN HEELS Feb05 Jan15 Nov03 Oct19 Sep26 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  WITT'S GRIS Feb25 Feb11       (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 30.00    
  (by FIVE DEMON BAG out of MISS JONESY by DEVON LANE)
4  ITA         (c)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 9% 10.60    
  (by KLIMT out of MONEY FOR MAKEUP by FORESTRY)
5  IRISH WRIT Feb05         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of COLM'S LADY by UNCLE MO)
6  SKY ROCKER         (willis mi)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 12.00 7% 13.50    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of SPECIAL ROCKSTAR by SPECIAL RATE)
7  FLY CONDOR Feb05 Jan07 Dec15 Nov03 Oct01 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 4.50 9% 10.60    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MOUNTAIN MAMBO by MT. LIVERMORE)
8  GRACIE'S KITTEN Oct05 Aug19 Jul17 Jul04 Jun05 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 122 3.50    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of EVEN WITH ODDS by EVEN THE SCORE)
9  WILD EXPRESS Feb10 Jan13 Dec14 Nov19 Nov02 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
  (by BAYERN out of HARD GRACE by HARD SPUN)
10  CHARMING LEAH Feb17 Jan27       (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00    
  (by LEA out of SPECIAL CHARM by DANSILI)
 
HOU-4   03/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO NALA Feb25 Feb10 Jan08 Jul22 Jul09 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 ★    
  (by MORO TAP out of ZENDERELLA by ZENSATIONAL)
2  JULIE'S PASSION Feb26 Feb11 Jan15 Jul21   (scholl kevi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 115 4.50    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of PASSION FOR WORDS by BENCHMARK)
3  ZEEBAR Feb10 Jul21       (dunaway k)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 6.00 42% 1.40    
  (by BEHINDATTHEBAR out of ZAHARA by STORM CAT)
4  WICKED SONG Feb10 Jul09 Jun19     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00 ★    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of WICKED PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
5  BLOOD ORANGE Feb10 Jan08       (h)DE CRUZ 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
6  SI QUERE Jan15 Jul24 Jul04 Jun19 May22 (castellanos ja)MORA GERARDO 123 30.00    
  (by RIVER SQUALL out of BUDDY'S EAGLETTE by DISTANT VIEW)
7  FLAT OUT FREDA Feb26 Nov10 Oct26 Oct13 Sep26 (love alan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 115 1.80    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FREDA STORM by HEART OF THE STORM)
SCR  DESTRON BAY Feb26 Jan22 Dec14 Aug19 May14 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 115 20.00    
  (by MOBILE BAY out of ARCH'S LI'L NIETA by EL CORREDOR)
9  MORO DANDY Feb10 Jan21 Jan07     (broberg karl)ELLIOTT S 123 15.00 23% 3.30    
  (by MORO TAP out of YANKEE LADY by YANKEE VICTOR)
 
HOU-5   03/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER KAT Feb19 Jan21 Dec03 Nov05 Oct05 (keen dallas)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00    
2  DEANOS CAPE Feb26 Feb10 Jan08 Dec15 Nov21 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.20 ★    
3  CROQUE MONSIEUR (GB) Feb23 Feb09       (gonzalez ja)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 12.00    
4  BIG MONEY MACHINE Jan27 Dec15 Nov11 Oct28 Sep28 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 6.00 12% 7.10    
5  ANALYZE THIS JET Feb19 Jun04 May14     (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.50 13% 6.70    
6  RAILROADER (GB) Feb10 Jan27 Aug27 Jul17 Jul02 (c)DE CRUZ 123 30.00    
7  FRA MAURO Feb26 Feb10 Jan14 Dec15 Dec03 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 123 3.00 45% 1.20    
8  CALCULATING KING Feb19 Jan27 Jan08 Dec16 Nov08 (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00 6% 16.30    
 
HOU-6   03/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSISZIPPY BLING Feb20 Jan21 Jan08 Nov22 Nov04 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  EAGLE EXPRESS Feb12 Jan08 Sep02 Jul22 May22 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 8.00 8% 11.50    
3  QUEENS HOLIDAY Feb11 Jan27 Jan06 Oct28 Oct12 (padilla car)WETHEY JR 115 15.00    
4  XTRA SPICY Feb26 Jan27 Jan08 Oct14 Sep14 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 119 4.50    
5  HEAD OVER BOOTS Feb26 Feb04 Aug27 Jul24 Jul08 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00    
6  HAWKEYE GIRL Nov26 Oct14 Sep14 Jul22 May28 (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 119 30.00    
7  BLING ON THE LIGHT Sep14 Jul22 Jul03 Jun10 Apr30 (scholl kevi)MELANCON JANSEN 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
8  WOO HOO Feb26 Jan13 Jan08 Dec16 Nov23 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00 11% 8.40    
9  RUBIANA Jan01 Nov27       (hebert matt)DIEGO V 119 3.00 11% 7.80    
 
HOU-7   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEILAZIG Feb04 Jan16 Dec07 Nov12 Nov04 (hebert matt)HAMILTON WESTON 123 10.00    
2  BEBOP BABY Feb20 Feb04 Jan16 Nov30 Nov12 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00    
3  MISS M J Feb12 Jan13 Oct08 Sep25 Sep10 (duhon paul)ALVAREZ L 123 3.50    
4  FISH N CHICK Jan19 Dec19 Dec10 Nov10 Oct19 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 8.00 28% 2.60    
5  TAY TAY'S BABY Feb19 Jan18 Dec10 Nov23 Nov12 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00 15% 5.70    
6  INDAWIN Feb19 Nov26 Nov11 Oct29 Oct07 (broberg karl)ELLIOTT S 123 12.00 7% 14.00    
7  SUFFRAGETTE Feb20 Jan29 Jan22 Jan06 Dec11 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.50 26% 2.90    
8  SALACIOUSACUSATION Feb04 Oct27 Sep20 Aug29 Aug14 (mejia jacobo)SANCHEZ M 123 20.00 ★    
9  SHACKLELACKALACKA Feb19 Feb11 Jan21 Nov18 Oct19 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 1.80    
 
HOU-8   03/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY RULE Feb25 Feb19 Feb03 Jan06 Oct20 (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 ★    
2  KLIMCO Jan21 Jan06 Dec02 Nov08 Sep11 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 8.00 ★    
3  POLICY LIMIT Jan14 Jan06 Dec20 Nov25 Nov02 (broberg karl)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 22% 3.60    
4  RED BIRD'S STORM Feb17 Jan13 Nov03 Oct22 Sep30 (c)DE CRUZ 123 4.50    
5  MYSTERIOUS STAR Feb22 Jan25 Dec27 Dec07 Nov10 (lloyd an)MORA GERARDO 118 20.00    
6  PROUD TO SERVE Feb12 Feb03 Jan14 Aug27 Aug13 (carrizales edel)BENAVIDES D 123 30.00    
7  RECKLESS RED Feb12 Jan14 Oct08 Sep28 Jul23 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00    
8  TENACIOUS LION Feb02 Jan04 Dec13 Sep11 Aug28 (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 123 10.00 ★    
9  TEXAS GOLD RUSH Feb12 Dec21 Dec09 Nov09 Oct08 (butler ke)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 30.00    
10  FEARLESS PRINCE Feb19 Feb03 Jan21 Jul22 Jul02 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 3.50 53% 0.90    
11  OH SNAP Feb03 Nov16 Oct21 Jul04 Jun23 (broberg karl)ALVAREZ L 123 10.00    
 
HOU-9   03/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA RIZZO Oct01 Sep08 Aug11 Jul09 Jun02 (roberts bla)SANCHEZ M 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  PERFECT STAR Feb24 Jan07 Sep25 Jul16 Apr30 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  MUFFIN NUTS Feb15 Jan25 Jan06 Dec15 Nov22 (reeves jeffery)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00    
4  DOBBINS G Jan08 Dec08 Nov02 Oct21 Sep22 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 123 15.00    
5  EASTER SNAP Feb18 Jan28 Jan08 Nov25 Nov07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
6  G'S TURN Feb10 Sep25 Sep13 Aug20 Aug01 (davidson ni)DIEGO V 123 15.00    
7  WAR CHEST Nov08 Sep08 Aug31 Aug10 Jul16 (silva migue)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  HALF OURS TO KEEP Feb17 Jan06 Nov07 Oct21 Sep23 (dupuy allen)WETHEY JR 123 3.50 ★    
9  DOC IRWIN Feb17 Jan20 Jan06 Dec10 Nov04 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 8.00    
10  ENGLANDER Feb24 Jan28 Jan20 Jan06 Nov08 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.