Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - March 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2/3/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/2)-(8/2/3/4/5)-(8/2/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2)-(6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
GP-2   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/2/3/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6)-(6/1/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GP-3   WIN (6/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/2)-(6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-4   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(11/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-5   WIN (11/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/7)-(11/7/9/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (11/7)-(11/7/9/8)-(11/7/9/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (11/7)-(2/1/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-6   WIN (2/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3/6)-(2/1/4/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/4/3)-(7/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-7   WIN (7/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/2)-(3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-8   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/5/7/2)-(3/1/5/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(10/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-9   WIN (10/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/5)-(10/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/2/5)-(10/2/5)-(10/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   03/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY FACTOR Dec04 Nov25 Oct15 Sep17 Aug19 (catanese joseph)PANICI LUCA 120 10.00    
UNA LUNA Dec11 Jul12 Jun12 May08 Jan28 (gallegos jose)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 15% 5.50    
SERENADE A KITTEN Feb15 Dec26 Dec04 Oct28 Oct02 (sanchez m)RUIZ JORGE 120 12.00    
SANDPIPER MEMORIES Feb24 Nov13 Sep30 Sep10 Aug18 (d'angelo jos)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50    
CHICA BOOM Feb16 Jan25 Dec04 Aug10 Jul26 (gracida rube)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00    
SHES THE NORTH Jan25 Dec29 Nov05 Sep29 Sep01 (depaulo mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00    
SCR  CURRENT SITUATION Feb16 Jan11 Dec23 Nov25 Aug30 (servis c)JARAMILLO E 120 12.00    
SHORT CIRCUIT Jan18 Dec14 Nov13 Oct15 Sep17 (abrams jack)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 60% 0.70    
 
GP-2   03/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAPE COD Feb15 Jan29 Nov13 Oct09 Sep18 (attard kevin)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50 42% 1.40    
TALLIS Jan20         (hess b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
OUTPERFORM Jan29 Dec17 Oct15 Sep02 Aug19 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00    
MR. BOUMA Jan12 May15 Feb05     (romans dale)PEREZ EDGAR 122 8.00    
SWEEPING GIANT Jan29 Dec24 Jul29     (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50    
HONESTO Feb15 Nov05 Oct21 Sep23 Aug27 (ramirez m)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
GP-3   03/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIFTY ONE FIFTY Jan13 Dec22 Dec02 Oct01 Sep03 (ramirez luis)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50 15% 5.70    
  (by KHOZAN out of LAGO LINDO by HIGH COTTON)
ADIOS PAPA CHICO Feb18 Jan13 Dec23 Dec03 Nov12 (heard vaughan)LEON SONNY 118 6.00 10% 9.20    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of DAYLIGHT TIME by TIME BANDIT)
BERNARDO'S LEGACY Feb18 Feb09 Dec22 Nov27 Nov12 (rodriquez roderic)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 12% 7.60    
  (by KHOZAN out of LAGO MAR LADY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  VANISHING INTEREST Feb17 Jan19 Dec23 Dec03 Oct22 (sierra ruben)SUTHERLAND C 118 3.50 8% 11.10    
  (by PERSONAL INTEREST out of VANISHING LADY by NORTHERN AFLEET)
O ROMEO         (ramirez jose )MORALES ANGEL 111 30.00    
  (by GARY D out of ROMANTIC JULIET by PUT IT BACK)
KHOZEIRESS Dec26         (pompay terri)REYES LEONEL 118 2.00 35% 1.80    
  (by KHOZAN out of BRIDLED HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
RAUL'S ENCANTO Oct15         (ramirez l)RIOS M 118 20.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of SAILING FREE by MIZZEN MAST)
 
GP-4   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ARIA Feb05 Jan18 Dec10 Nov20 Oct16 (de cerda)PEREZ EDGAR 118 10.00    
MAGNA MASSA Sep30 Aug09       (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 8.00    
SCR  CHALLENGE PRINCESS Feb19 Dec23 Oct27 Sep22 Aug21 (barboza victo)MORALES ANGEL 117 12.00 14% 6.10    
DIVINE CONNECTION Jan19 Oct14 Oct02 Sep02 Aug07 (barboza jr)SAEZ LUIS 126 3.00    
KILLARGUE'S GIRL Feb25 Feb08 Jan15 Oct28 Oct09 (nunez milton)RUIZ JORGE 126 20.00 5% 17.80    
TIZ BIZNESS Feb12 Feb02 Nov11 Oct07 May29 (tharrenos)WILSON JAYNE 126 1.40 32% 2.10    
ALICE HARPER Jan19 Jan06 Nov20     (gonzalez cla)MORELOS E 126 3.00 22% 3.70    
 
GP-5   03/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CADET CORPS Feb26 Jan21 Jan07 Dec10 Nov05 (winebaugh)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
OUR COUNTRY Feb09 Jan12 Nov19 Jul22 Jun05 (hennig mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
JAIS'S SOLITUDE Jan25 Dec11 Oct23 Sep10   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
SWASHBUCKLE Feb09 Jan13 Oct13 Jul24 Jun04 (negret)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
SCR  MY MAN FLINT Feb19 Jan13 Dec31 Dec03 Nov04 (davey kathryn)RIOS M 120 15.00    
SCR  PLENUM Jan13 Nov18       (sierra ruben)LEON SONNY 120 30.00    
ALLEY OOP JOHNNY Feb18 Jan18 Oct30 Oct02 Sep04 (drexler mart)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 12% 7.40    
EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Feb09 Jan13 Dec22 Nov14 Oct25 (trombetta mi)ZAYAS J 120 8.00    
PARKLAND Feb09 Dec14 Oct09 Sep09 Jul03 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
10  XY TIME Sep24 Jul27 Jul02 May30   (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 120 20.00    
11  FLY THE W Feb26 Jan07 Dec10 Nov12 Oct22 (dibona s)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 62% 0.60    
12  MAJOR WAGER Feb09 Jan12 Dec10 Oct19 Sep08 (meah m)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 20.00    
SCR  GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR Feb15 Dec31 Nov11 Sep15 Jul15 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
 
GP-6   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR Feb01 Oct29 Sep15     (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 126 2.00 26% 2.90    
QUINCY CAFE Feb12 Jan18 Dec17 Oct01 Jul31 (gaudet lacey)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
DOMINICAN ICE Dec28 Dec01 Nov06 Oct15 Sep16 (jimenez l)REYES LEONEL 126 6.00 8% 12.20    
JRUE BREEZE Feb01 Dec29 Dec14 Nov18 Oct23 (attard ke)WILSON JAYNE 126 5.00 11% 7.70    
PACIFIC LEGEND Feb09 Jan11 Dec07 Nov12 Oct14 (nunez eduardo)RIOS M 126 15.00    
CUPID'S DART Feb26 Feb01 Oct24 Sep14 Aug27 (preciado guadal)PANICI LUCA 126 8.00    
I FOUND IT Feb09 Nov23 Aug31 Aug10 Jul13 (gonzalez javie)SUTHERLAND C 126 6.00    
 
GP-7   03/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIDIN Dec01 Nov17 Oct30 Oct09 Sep25 (sweezey kent)LEON SONNY 118 10.00    
MOONCAPTURE Feb09 Jan19 Dec23     (minguet ramo)MORELOS E 118 5.00 6% 15.40    
MY VOODOO DOLL         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 12% 7.20    
GET KHOZY Feb17 Jan19 Dec21 Aug06   (d'angelo jos)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  INSTINCTUAL Jan22 Dec24 Nov12 Oct15 Jul18 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
CADDY MAN Nov05 Oct08 Aug27 Jul30   (plesa edward)ZAYAS J 118 12.00    
FREE SMOKE Feb09         (david a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  ST JOE HARBOR Feb18         (jackso)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 30.00    
 
GP-8   03/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3 F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACHANGA LOCA Feb18 Feb08 Jan20 Dec17 Oct06 (gutierrez faus)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 25% 2.90    
TRIBUTE Feb08 Jan20 Nov06     (collazo henr)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
FLAG WOMAN Feb10 Jan04 Dec17 Nov25 Jun24 (fisher david)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  VAL'S GAL Oct16 Sep09 Aug06 Jul08 Jun09 (maragh aubrey )REYES LEONEL 118 5.00    
BLETCHLEY GIRL Feb02 Oct28       (cibelli jane)PEREZ EDGAR 118 5.00    
STURDY GIRL Jan06 Dec04 Oct29 Sep16   (moubarak nader)LEON SONNY 118 12.00    
SOFIA D 'AMORE Feb10 Oct29 Oct01 Sep16   (depaulo mic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50 7% 14.30    
 
GP-9   03/09/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCESS BLAKELY Nov06 Jul16 Apr09 Jan09   (gambolati ca)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
CLAUDETTE HEIR Nov20 Sep25 Aug12 Jul09   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 12.00 18% 4.50    
MOANAS POWER Feb10 Dec31 Feb25 Jan14   (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 120 20.00    
SCR  ST. PAT'S DAY Feb15 Jan20 May07 Mar30   (vinson joh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00    
DAVID'S ROSE Feb10 Jan14 Dec17 Sep25 Aug26 (plesa edwar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPEED SALSA Feb03 Jan06 Dec09 Oct22 Sep23 (breen j)MORALES ANGEL 113 8.00    
ADIOS BABE Feb09 Jan14 Dec10 Nov20 Oct29 (dobles samanth)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
SCR  VELOCE BELLA Jan14 Dec18 Nov20 Oct22 Oct02 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
FULMINATE Jan15 Nov25 Oct21 Sep22 Aug27 (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50    
10  BABY STEPS Nov20 Oct30 Sep22 Aug27 Aug04 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 5.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  MUSICAL DESIGN Feb02 Jan05 May21 Apr22 Mar16 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  GOLDEN ISLE Feb10 Dec10 Nov27 Oct29 Sep30 (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.