Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - February 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (5/1/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/9/10)-(5/1/9/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/9/10)-(5/1/9/10/7)-(5/1/9/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/9/10)-(1/4/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/9/10)-(1/4/2/3/5)-(9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-2   WIN (1/4/2/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/3/5)-(1/4/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/3/5)-(1/4/2/3/5)-(1/4/2/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/2/3/5)-(9) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/3/5)-(9)-(8/7/5/3/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
DED-3   WIN (9) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (9)-(9/8/1/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (9)-(9/8/1/4)-(9/8/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9)-(8/7/5/3/1) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (9)-(8/7/5/3/1)-(4/8/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-4   WIN (8/7/5/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/3/1)-(8/7/5/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/3/1)-(8/7/5/3/1)-(8/7/5/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/5/3/1)-(4/8/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/3/1)-(4/8/5/6)-(2/1/6/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (4/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/6)-(4/8/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/6)-(4/8/5/6/7)-(4/8/5/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/5/6)-(2/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5/6)-(2/1/6/5)-(5/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (2/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5/3)-(2/1/6/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/6/5)-(5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/5)-(5/3/4)-(3/2/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(3/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(3/2/7/8)-(1/8/6/7/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-8   WIN (3/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/8)-(3/2/7/8/10)-(3/2/7/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/7/8)-(1/8/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-9   WIN (1/8/6/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/7/9)-(1/8/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/7/9)-(1/8/6/7/9)-(1/8/6/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   02/24/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHORL GIRL         (roberts ro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 6.00 17% 4.80    
SUNNY AND CLEAR Jan26 Jan12 Dec30     (bruno j)BACA L 120 12.00    
GRACE'S SOLDIER Jan26 Dec09 Nov16     (zenon shelton)MCMAHON J 120 20.00    
SUE'S LITTLE ZING Feb15 Feb02       (nelson eric)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 4.50    
TDZ WHAT A DEAL Feb02 Jan04 Dec16     (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
NIKLAUSIA Feb02 Oct15 Aug20     (broussard j)LEDET THEODRICK 120 20.00    
TROSKA Feb15 Dec02 Nov16 Aug10 Jun17 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50    
BRITNEY B. Jan12         (gelner scott)BARRERA J 115 5.00    
BEAUCLAIRE         (ward ronnie)HERNANDEZ V 120 15.00 17% 4.80    
10  AMYS CANDY         (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00 17% 4.80    
 
DED-2   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC WAYS Dec09 Nov12 Oct22 Sep15 Jul22 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 36% 1.80    
TINCANDANCE Feb04 Nov02 Oct13 Jul03 Jun11 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 6.00 13% 6.50    
ANOTHER HOT MESS Jan28 Jan14 Nov12 Oct07 Sep14 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 5.00 6% 14.50    
BOW BOW GIRL Dec26 Nov26 Nov04 Aug11 Jul28 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 1.80 17% 4.70    
MY FRIEND AMY Jan06 Dec22 Nov02 Sep25 Aug26 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 112 6.00 6% 15.80    
EILEEN ALEXANDRA Feb04 Dec29 Dec09 Nov26 May28 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 114 4.50    
 
DED-3   02/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 3 F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPLITTING ACES Feb03         (larrosa a)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of HARLIE'S DREAMS by PLEASANT TAP)
MISS ST. CLAIRE         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 12.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BLANCO CANYON by LONE STAR SKY)
SCR  LONG SHOT LOUISE Feb03 Jan04       (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of IN COMMAND by SIPHON)
TENSAS BERTIE Jan13         (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 120 4.50    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of HARBOR PRINCESS by BOSTON HARBOR)
I BEAR ARMS         (breaux samue)BARRERA J 115 8.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of ENDURING ERIN by KELA)
BLESSED ASSURANCE         (dison m)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00    
  (by ZONG out of SOCIETY DOLL by THEATRICAL (IRE))
SCR  LUCKY BEAD LADY Feb03         (delahoussaye )VARGAS P 120 10.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SYNAPSE by SYNASTRY)
TDZ CORRIENDA STAR Feb03         (roberts kennet)BACA L 120 4.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of TDZ MANDYCORRIENDA by EL CORREDOR)
SWEET ALEXIS Feb09         (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of SWEET CITIZEN by PROUD CITIZEN)
10  CRIMSON GLORY Feb03         (guillory james)STOKES A 120 20.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SANDONA GIRL by DISCREET CAT)
SCR  CAJUN TRINITY Feb03 Jan25 Jan12 Dec09   (hibdon n)BIRZER E 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of CHEF BERTIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
DED-4   02/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVENDORE Feb01 Jan06 Jul18 May14 Mar24 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SARATOGA PASODOBLE Feb01 May28 Apr28 Apr09 Mar04 (fuselier j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 10.00    
RETRO RITA Nov25 Oct28 Aug12     (hibdon)RUIZ GARCIA 120 15.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  SECRET MELODY Jan29 Nov19 Sep25 Jul23 Jun18 (williams kevin)COTTO L 120 8.00    
ACELA EXPRESS Jan11 Jun20 May20 Apr26 Apr05 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 4.50 12% 7.20    
RUN NATALIE RUN Jan21 Jan04 Dec19 Nov10 Jul11 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 6.00    
FABS Jan11 Dec07 Oct26 Sep16 Aug18 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
JOAN'S WAY Jan05 Nov18 Oct29 Oct01 Mar19 (silva h)THORNTON G 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
DED-5   02/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY LOCKOUT Jan14 Dec09 May06 Apr13 Mar04 (west henry)POMPELL L 123 10.00    
  (by LOCKOUT out of MACY MY BABY by MEACHAM)
ABBEY CAKES Jan26 Nov26       (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 118 15.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of CRISTINA'S JOURNEY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
NOMADIC PRIDE Dec01 Oct30 Sep30     (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.00    
  (by FLATTER out of CAYALA by CHEROKEE RUN)
NOT ALONE Jan14         (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 5.00 52% 0.90    
  (by LONE STAR SPECIAL out of PRETTY NOT by SEFAPIANO)
SURREY Feb09 Dec15 Mar09 Feb17 Jan10 (delany sara)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 3.50 8% 12.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DOVECOTE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
LADY BOLT         (bourgeois keith)STOKES J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HYSTERICAL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
REMEMBERIN RONALD Feb11         (robinsjr aaron)HERNANDEZ V 120 8.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of STREET BLUSH by STREET BOSS)
QUEEN OF THE MOON Jan01 Dec08 Nov18 Oct06 Sep25 (antwine mich)BARRERA J 115 4.50 10% 9.10    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of IMPERIAL QUEEN by IMPERIALISM)
 
DED-6   02/24/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAVE CITY GIRL Feb03 Jan11 Dec22 Mar02 Jan22 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 115 2.00 25% 3.00    
GYPSYROSELEE Jan25 Dec17 Nov26 Oct12   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 3.00 30% 2.40    
FOLLOW THE SAINT Feb11 Jan04 Dec08 Nov10 Sep25 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 120 6.00    
LIL ADEAU Feb11 Jan21 Dec01 Nov02 Jul08 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 5.00    
SAY WHAT Jan26 Dec27 Nov02 Aug27 Aug01 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 8.00 6% 15.50    
APRIORITY MAGIC Jan26 Jan06 Oct29 Oct15 Aug28 (segura kearney)COTTO L 117 4.50 14% 6.00    
TWN MS MIDSHIP Jan26 Sep13 Aug08 Jul11 May22 (nixon w)TORRES HUGO 112 12.00    
 
DED-7   02/24/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3 F PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRACIE DIAMOND Dec29 Oct29       (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 109 6.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  LADY DREAMER Feb09 Jan14 Dec19 Nov26 Oct29 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 8.00    
CORA PEARL Dec08 Oct22       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 114 4.00 26% 2.90    
TRIPLE L'S CUTTER Feb12 Jan16 Dec22 Nov17 Oct22 (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 12% 7.20    
HUGHES CLUES Dec30 Dec15 Nov18     (cox h)THORNTON G 117 1.40 37% 1.70    
FREEBRITNEY Feb09 Jan20 Dec30 Aug20   (richard chris)STOKES J 120 8.00    
 
DED-8   02/24/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS JANA Feb04 Jan12 Nov18 Apr15 Mar26 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 112 10.00    
SNOWBALL Feb04 Jan12 Dec10 Nov18 Oct07 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 12% 7.00    
SWEET TEMPERAMENT Jan06 Dec17 Jul21 Jun16 May27 (bourgeois keith)STOKES J 117 3.00 46% 1.20    
SUGAR SHACK QUEEN Feb01         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 6.00    
FLASHY MEG Feb01 Dec29 Oct20 Aug10 Jul13 (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 120 6.00    
SCR  TUGBOAT Jan19 Dec28 Dec01 Oct20 Sep24 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00    
SPIRITED BEAUTY Feb04 Jan07 Dec29 Dec10 Nov18 (camejo m)THORNTON G 114 5.00 11% 8.40    
TRACK SMART Dec27 Nov16 Oct04 Sep04 Jul31 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 112 20.00 6% 14.80    
SCARLETT O'HARA Feb04 Jan19 Dec17 Nov16 Sep21 (alberto anton)VARGAS P 117 20.00    
10  FIRST I'VE SEEN Jan29 Jan01 Oct20 Aug10 Jul06 (arceneaux victor)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
 
DED-9   02/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATS A SUPERSTAR Jan25 Nov25 Oct08 Jul17 Jun04 (gibson jonas)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
UMEA ZING GRACE Sep04 Aug07 Jul09 Jun25   (charles keith)BIRZER E 118 10.00    
MAGNA COLORS Oct16 Feb02 Jan12     (nelson eric)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.50    
SHOTGUN ANNIE Jan28 Jan07 Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 15.00    
AD LIBITUM Apr02 Mar12       (zenon charles)BOURQUE J 123 20.00    
WHY KENZLY Jan21 Jan07 Dec09 Apr02 Mar18 (godfrey edmond)STOKES A 123 6.00 11% 8.10    
TALENTS HOT DEAL Jan14 Dec20 Oct27 Oct13 Aug17 (blanchet chr)BARRERA J 115 5.00 5% 18.10    
PURE PAM DEMONIUM Dec09         (ward ronnie)HERNANDEZ V 118 8.00 24% 3.10    
I'M CONTENT         (kanhai joseph)TORRES HUGO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  MS. PRIESTLY Nov25 Aug24 Aug11 Jul28 Jun29 (chevis vinc)LEDET THEODRICK 123 6.00    
SCR  MARIA GONE WILD Jan16 Jan07 Dec21 Mar26 Mar18 (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 20.00    
SCR  PREACH IT GIRL Feb09 Jan25 Sep26 Aug29   (dixon tim)VARGAS P 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.