Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - January 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7/6)-(5/4/1/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/1/7)-(2/3/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/7)-(2/3/6/1)-(5/4/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/1)-(5/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/1)-(5/4/3/2)-(2/5/7/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2/8)-(5/4/3/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/3/2)-(2/5/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/2)-(2/5/7/1)-(8/6/2/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/1)-(8/6/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/1)-(8/6/2/4/5)-(2/6/8/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/6/2/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/4/5)-(8/6/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/4/5)-(8/6/2/4/5)-(8/6/2/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/2/4/5)-(2/6/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2/4/5)-(2/6/8/5)-(2/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/5)-(2/6/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/8/5)-(2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/5)-(2/5/1)-(7/2/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/4/1/3)-(2/5/4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3/6)-(7/2/1/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDSOR'S CHAMPION Dec14 Oct13 Sep02 Jun11 May21 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 10% 8.90    
2  MARY'S LISTED NEXT Mar19         (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
3  MS BIG SPRING Oct29 Oct14 Oct07 Sep22 Aug13 (hummer )NUNEZ ANAHI 122 20.00    
4  CHARM WEAVER Dec02 Nov03 Oct12 Sep21 Apr07 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
5  CAPTAIN SAM Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 Oct12 Aug28 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
6  BIG AL'S GAL Nov17 Oct20 Aug30 Jul21 Jul02 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 ★    
7  SECRET AFFIRMATION Oct04 Sep06       (reynolds )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 8% 11.30    
 
CT-2   01/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3 F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA MELA Dec03 Oct08 Sep23     (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  IMPRESSIONISM Dec17 Oct29 Oct13 Sep17 Sep02 (runco c)LEWIS M 111 2.00 15% 5.70    
3  BEST VIRGINIA Dec15 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Jul22 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
4  KEEP ON SPURRIN Dec17 Nov19 Oct29 Oct06 Sep17 (casey a)LARROSA G 118 3.50    
SCR  XANTHE Dec17 Nov04 Oct21 Sep23   (moschonas gera)MONTANO JOSE 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  LUCKY BLONDE Dec17 Nov24 Oct29 Oct08 Sep23 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 12% 7.10    
 
CT-3   01/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAP Aug20 Jul31 May29     (merryman mic)LEWIS M 117 4.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of SISTA by TWO PUNCH)
2  T J STORM VISION         (hunt ja)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 15.00 5% 17.70    
  (by COURT VISION out of STORM BOUNTY by MYSTERY STORM)
3  MY SILVER LADY Dec20         (lynch cathal)ACOSTA D 124 3.50 6% 14.60    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TOO MUCH PRADA by TOO MUCH BLING)
4  SIZZLING HOT Jan01 Nov14 Sep16     (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.50 15% 5.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of WOOD NOT by KISSIN KRIS)
5  TALENTED CORINNA Oct28 Oct05 Aug04 Jul14 Jun18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of MARY COLE by BROKEN VOW)
6  RADAGAST May01         (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 124 10.00    
  (by ASTERN out of BELLE AMIDST by BELLAMY ROAD)
7  MIDSUMMER NIGHTS Dec02 Nov17 May30 Jan07   (shanley mark)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of KYNESS by CONGRATS)
8  LINDA'S TAJ Dec14 Dec02 Nov02 Oct07 Sep16 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 8.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of R B'S LINDA by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
 
CT-4   01/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER THIS Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 Oct05 Sep22 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 13% 6.80    
2  CHASE LIL ME Nov30 Nov04 Oct22 Oct05 Sep19 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.20 27% 2.70    
3  MASTER YOO Dec16 Dec10 Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 (downie loff)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
4  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Dec16 Dec02 Nov25 Nov16 Oct27 (pennella m)BAEZ M 115 8.00    
5  POSTED Dec16 Nov25 Nov10 Oct12 Sep28 (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 122 3.50 13% 6.60    
SCR  PONTICELLO Nov04 Oct14 Oct05 Sep01 Jul22 (racanelli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 12% 7.10    
7  A FAREWELL YODEL Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 Oct12 Apr07 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 13% 6.80    
 
CT-5   01/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK DIAMOND RAIN Nov26         (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 3.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of STARVISTA by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
2  IMAGINE RITA         (craig lewis)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 13% 6.90    
  (by IMAGINING out of LOVELY SENORITA by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  COSMIC REWIND Dec08 Oct28 Sep24     (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of IN A CLOUD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  CALERA LOVE         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 10.00 13% 6.90    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABUNDANTLY CLEAR by PULPIT)
5  LUCKY BOP         (craig lewis)RAMGEET R 122 12.00 13% 6.90    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of BEBOPPIN BETTY by BOP)
6  COWGIRL HOP         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ELECTRIC COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
SCR  BRICK ALLEY Dec08         (rose david )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of GINNY G by EXCHANGE RATE)
8  MANAGED MISCHIEF Dec07 Nov10       (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 1.20 16% 5.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VICKIE WINS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
CT-6   01/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS HEART Dec10 Nov18 Oct29 Oct17 Oct02 (pennella m)BAEZ M 117 15.00    
2  SHE FIGURES Dec10 Oct29 Oct05 Sep09 Aug27 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 26% 2.90    
3  PARTY MONSTER Jan06 Nov25 Nov03 Oct12 Oct01 (raymond donov)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
4  UPSY DAISY DO Dec03 Nov18 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 (aylor willia)MARRERO CARLOS 120 12.00    
5  FONDA ROMANA Oct22 Sep10 Sep01 Jul30 Jun25 (hummer )NUNEZ ANAHI 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  THUNDERTURTLE Dec03 Nov24 Nov10     (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  SEEDS OF TIME Dec10 Nov12 Oct29 Oct20 Sep11 (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 120 2.00 15% 5.80    
8  LIFE IN FLASH Nov18 Oct29 Oct06 Aug27 Jul09 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 10.00 14% 6.10    
 
CT-7   01/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E J'S REVENGE Jan01 Dec16 Nov14 Nov03 Oct14 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 120 12.00 6% 16.30    
2  MAJESTIC SEAS Oct28 Jul08 Jun17 May19 Apr27 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
3  BUSTIN PIETRE Nov23 Nov08 Oct17 May02 Apr10 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 ★    
4  ALWAYS DRINKING Dec16 Nov25 Oct26 Oct05 Aug31 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60 ★    
5  MR TINGLES Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 Aug12 Jul15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
6  GOLDEN G Dec16 Nov25 Nov05 Oct09 Sep26 (gillespie ryan )PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
7  REY O REYES Jan05 Dec15 Dec09 Nov23 Nov04 (adorno l)BAEZ M 113 12.00    
 
CT-8   01/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY MINION Dec02 Nov09       (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of ROBBINETTE by EAVESDROPPER)
2  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Jan03 Dec09 Nov20 Nov06 Oct28 (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STUDY HARD by MALIBU MOON)
3  SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 Oct05 Sep15 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of THREE GRACES by DONERAILE COURT)
4  URBAN BANDIT Dec08 Nov06 Oct23 Oct07 Sep11 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ONEMINUTETOMIDNITE by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  SHARP STYLE         (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
6  DAREDAVITE Dec10 Nov20       (albert l)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00 ★    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MOLDAVITE by COSMONAUT)
7  CHROME HEIR Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 Oct07 Sep17 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 4.50 48% 1.10    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of KOMBAT KITTY by WILDCAT HEIR)
8  MALIBU ROCK STAR Sep17         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of VILAO by GRAVE DIGGER)
9  ARROGANT RIDER Dec09 Nov21       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of GO UNBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED JET)
10  REAL RAMBO         (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 8.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of PARK LANE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE Dec09 Nov26 Oct29     (shuman)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISSTREATED by DEHERE)
SCR  DREAM OF GOLD Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Oct06   (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 117 15.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of CRIMSON AND GOLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.