Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - January 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (2/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7/1)-(2/4/6/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/6/7)-(4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/7)-(4)-(3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-3   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/3/6/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4)-(3/4/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4)-(3/4/1)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HOU-4   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1/7/5)-(3/4/1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(3/2/4)-(8/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
HOU-5   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(8/6)-(3/1/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-6   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/4/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/4/10)-(8/6/4/10) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/6)-(3/1/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/7/2/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-7   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6/7)-(3/1/5/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/5/6)-(3/7/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/6)-(3/7/2/4)-(1/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-8   WIN (3/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4/5)-(3/7/2/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/2/4)-(1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
HOU-9   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/3/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/3/7/8)-(1/5/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   01/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF JERSEY         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 8.00 ★    
2  IFFY ASSET CLASS Dec15         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
3  WILDCATS'S MEOW         (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 122 10.00    
4  GUSTAVO Aug29 Aug08       (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  DEVITO Nov07 Oct14       (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 20.00    
6  MY CALANTE Dec15 Nov26 Nov03 Oct06   (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 1.80 11% 7.70    
7  LOOPY DUDE Nov26         (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00 7% 12.90    
 
HOU-3   01/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMURAI CAUSE Dec16 Nov02 Oct20 Oct15 Sep28 (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00 ★    
2  SOUL SET FREE Dec15 Nov26 Nov07 Sep28 Sep09 (canales r)DIEGO V 116 20.00    
3  CARBON STRYKER Dec15 Nov18 Oct22 Sep01 Jul24 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 119 3.00 ★    
4  GOOD SCOUT Nov12 Oct28 Sep26 Jun25 May21 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  KIERKEGAARD Dec31 Nov26 Nov04 Oct23 Oct01 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.00 44% 1.30    
6  MOVER Nov14 Oct12 Sep28 Sep03 Jun26 (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 121 2.00 ★    
 
HOU-4   01/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVER EZ Nov22 Aug28 Jul30 May30 Mar26 (williams st)MELANCON JANSEN 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  BROTHER AARON Dec03 Nov04 Jun19 May27 Apr16 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 3.50    
3  DRUM AND BASS Dec07 Oct31 Oct07 Sep21 Aug26 (montano wilfrido)MONTALVO C 123 3.00 51% 1.00    
4  SILVER PONZI Dec13 Dec06 Nov01 Sep30 Sep04 (williams f)DIAZ RENE 123 12.00 15% 5.70    
5  DREAMS OF VALOR Dec07 Oct28 Oct13 Jul24 Jun18 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 7.00 ★    
6  AFLEET SNIPER Dec09 Nov08 Oct12 Sep08 Aug26 (pruitt jody )ALVAREZ L 123 4.50    
7  GREAT FACES Dec15 Dec03 Nov18 Oct28 Oct21 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 1.80 ★    
 
HOU-5   01/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIZZY LEGS Nov19 Nov08 Oct20 Oct12 Sep21 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 121 2.50    
2  HALF OURS TO KEEP Nov07 Oct21 Sep23 May19 May01 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 119 10.00 10% 9.00    
3  CAIRO WARRIOR Sep25 Sep15 Aug20 Jul09 Jun25 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.00 15% 5.60    
4  FREEDOM FACTOR Nov24 Oct06 Sep25 Sep04 Jul23 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 119 20.00 9% 10.60    
5  CHARLIECANDO Dec16 Nov21 Nov14 Oct15 Sep24 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 119 8.00    
6  ENGLANDER Nov08 Oct27 Sep21 Sep08 Aug26 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 119 6.00    
7  RANDELLO Dec02 Nov08 Oct26 Jul24 Jun26 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 121 3.00    
8  DOC IRWIN Dec10 Nov04 Oct06 Sep26 Sep03 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 119 10.00    
SCR  PEACOCK KITTEN Jul23 Mar26 Feb12     (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 5.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE) Nov08 Oct27 Oct12 May19 Mar12 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 119 8.00    
SCR  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Nov08 Oct27 Oct12 Sep05 Jul23 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 0.60 28% 2.50    
SCR  SUNRISE KITTEN Oct12 Sep15 Aug20 Jul23 Jul02 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 119 4.00    
 
HOU-6   01/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLIATH RIDGE Sep19 Sep06 Aug08 Jul24 Jul09 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 30.00    
SCR  NOAH Jul23 Jun24 May22 May01 Apr09 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 20.00 ★    
3  KLIMCO Dec02 Nov08 Sep11 Aug22 Mar09 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 6.00    
4  TEXAS PRADO Dec02 Nov19 Oct20 Sep29 Feb11 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00 ★    
5  LINC'S BOY Jul24 Jul09 Jun19 Jun05 May28 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 12.00    
6  POLICY LIMIT Dec20 Nov25 Nov02 Oct20 Oct12 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 4.00 32% 2.20    
7  PARABELLUM Dec19 Dec01 Nov08 Oct16 Sep27 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 10.00    
8  DOUBLE TRAP Dec22 Nov26 Oct27 Oct07 Sep25 (bryant al)MONTALVO C 123 4.50 40% 1.50    
9  INFINITE MORO Sep19 Sep06 Aug13 Jul24 Jul03 (k)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
10  PLAY RULE Oct20 Sep17 Sep08 Aug26 Jul22 (dupuy allen)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 15.00 ★    
11  VICTOR VALENTINO Sep03 Jul21 Jun19 May28 May15 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
 
HOU-7   01/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENORITA BROOKE Dec14 Nov19 Nov03     (chacaltana doming)DIEGO V 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of ITHIRTYCONNECTION by LYDGATE)
2  PHUNK Jul17 Jun26 May13     (davis h)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of ESS E CEE by LAWYER RON)
3  MY PATRIOTIC GIRL         (cruz ed)GONCALVES R 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by REVOLUTIONARY out of MY GOLDENS A HONEY by MY GOLDEN SONG)
4  CRANKY SHEILA Dec14         (w)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BLING'S ACE by TOO MUCH BLING)
5  MOONPIE IN THE SKY         (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 122 12.00 7% 13.30    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of READUM N REAP by YOUR EMINENCE)
6  MOLA MIA         (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 20.00 7% 13.30    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of AWAKE MY SOUL by RAHY RAHY)
7  SATIN HEART Jun19 May19       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 3.00 ★    
  (by BRADESTER out of IN GOLD BLOOD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
8  ANNA B Oct12 Sep23 Sep01 Jul10 Jun26 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of FORMAL FLYER by EARLY FLYER)
 
HOU-8   01/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST PASSING THRU Dec22 Sep27 Aug27 Aug02 Jul01 (wilson shan)HAMILTON WESTON 119 10.00    
2  SILVERSCAPE Dec07 Nov05 Sep30 Aug26 May28 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 119 3.50 14% 5.90    
3  QUINN ELLA Dec16 Sep03 Jul16 Jul01 May30 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.50 33% 2.00    
4  CHIKARA Oct20 Sep29 Jul21 Jun23 May14 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 119 12.00 14% 6.10    
5  ENDLESS ROMANCE Nov05 Sep30 Aug19 Jun25 May12 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 119 15.00 ★    
6  RED HOT MOON Nov15 Sep30 Sep15 Aug25 Jul21 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 2.50    
7  MISSION BELLE Dec22 Dec14 Nov25 Oct28 Oct02 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 6.00 16% 5.40    
8  PRINCESS PAULINE Sep05 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 Apr30 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 4.00    
9  STREET TAPPER Dec07 Nov05 Sep30 Sep10 Aug06 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 4.50    
 
HOU-9   01/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE THAN SHAKIN Dec19 Dec05       (voorhees gl)HAMILTON WESTON 122 3.00 66% 0.50    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MORE THAT LILY by MORE THAN READY)
2  GOLD MEMORIES Oct05 Sep14 Jul10 Jun19 May14 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLIGHT QUEEN by EARLY FLYER)
3  THEHUNKSCLASSYLADY         (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 122 6.00 ★    
  (by THE HUNK out of WILD MS. PULVEY by HALF OURS)
4  HIGINIA         (bravenec )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 12.00    
  (by FALL OF TROY out of TROUBLEINABAG by FIVE DEMON BAG)
5  KAYLEE'S SHADOW Jul10 Jun19 May14     (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 4.50 7% 12.50    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of PETE'S FIVE by ARCH)
6  SKY TIZZY Nov02 Oct22       (bryant geor)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of WINNING TURN by TIZNOW)
7  QUEENS HOLIDAY Oct28 Oct12 Sep14 Aug19 Jul23 (padilla car)WETHEY JR 122 2.00 ★    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of QUEENS PEG by IN EXCESS (IRE))
8  REASON OVER RICHES         (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00 ★    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TUT'S TREASURE by UNTUTTABLE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.