Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - December 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   12/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROADWAY PEARL Jul04 Jun20       (turner patti)HERNANDEZ V 119 10.00    
CLASSY NANA Nov02         (chatters benard)STOKES A 122 12.00    
SHE IS MAKING RIP Dec09         (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 117 8.00    
FORGOTTEN FORTUNE         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 122 1.80 53% 0.90    
SUNNY AND CLEAR         (bruno )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00 10% 9.20    
MALLORI'S MAGIC         (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 117 8.00 10% 9.20    
COZZOLANI Nov30 Nov17 Nov02     (dixon tim)VARGAS P 122 5.00    
VODKA SUNRISE Dec02 Nov22       (landry ray)STOKES J 119 3.50    
 
DED-2   12/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP HAT CAT Dec01 Nov04 Oct20 Sep27 Aug28 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 1.80 33% 2.10    
1A  WARRIORS HAVEN Dec07 Nov16 Oct21 Jul04 Jun16 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 1.80    
WYMAN Dec07 Nov26 Nov10     (melancon don)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
MY LITTLE JUNIOR Dec07 Oct29 Oct08 Aug11 Jul15 (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
FULL POWER Dec07 Nov10 Jul14 Jun24 May18 (derousselle pet)ROMAN KEVIN 117 2.50 27% 2.60    
SCR  SPEED EFFECT Dec09 May22 Mar31 Mar17 Jan07 (tracy greg)MORALES ROBERTO 120 5.00 9% 10.50    
BAYOU BEAUX Dec07 Nov10 Oct21 Sep13 Sep03 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 8.00    
SPORTY FLYER Dec07 Nov19 Nov04 Aug05 Jul04 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 4.00 7% 14.30    
 
DED-3   12/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINK HIGGINS Dec07 Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 Aug13 (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00    
BUCK'S GLORY Dec01 Nov11 Oct06 Aug11 Jul20 (landry ray)STOKES J 122 4.00    
MARKS PROMISE         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  SKIPPA Dec10         (charles jonatha)BOURQUE J 122 12.00    
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Dec08 Nov19 Oct14 Aug27   (thompson kev)BARRERA J 117 8.00    
SETTLE ON SOMETHIN Nov30 Nov11       (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  MANLY DEEDS         (chatters benard)BIRZER E 122 8.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  MY STORY Dec20 Nov25       (rosier charles)BACA L 122 15.00    
SCR  ADDISONS WARRIOR Dec15 Oct22 Sep13     (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00    
10  CARLOS' BLAST Dec15 Oct08       (gelner scott)STOKES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-4   12/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENIUS Dec16 Nov23 Nov10 Oct06 Sep21 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 117 10.00    
JACKIE MOON Dec08 Oct15 Aug11 Jul09 Jun08 (derousselle p)VARGAS P 120 2.00 23% 3.40    
CLASSIC RED RACER Dec20 Dec07 Nov18 May25 Feb23 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
SPRY CHARLIE Dec16 Nov25 Aug13 Jul15 Jun11 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 12% 7.70    
LOOKIN FOR LARRY Dec16 Dec01 Nov04     (derousselle pet)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
AHIMAAZ Dec16 Nov18 Oct14 Jul21 Jun15 (alberto antonio)MELANCON G 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
MOONSHINE MAX Dec08 Nov23 Nov10 Oct19 Aug15 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 4.50    
 
DED-5   12/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHE'S MY LOUIE V. Nov17         (flint steve)MCMAHON J 122 4.50 8% 11.00    
SCR  REINE LE FER         (flint steve)MCMAHON J 119 4.50    
BELLE ELENA Nov10 Oct12       (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  CALIFORNIA BELLE Dec16 Oct08 Sep14     (latour nichola)BACA L 122 8.00    
HUGHES CLUES Dec15 Nov18       (cox h)THORNTON G 122 1.80    
LYRICAL MUSIC         (guillory ja)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 15.00    
FREEBRITNEY Aug20         (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 12.00    
SCR  FREE WILL Nov26         (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 122 15.00    
ALABAMA QUEEN Dec09         (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 117 8.00 17% 4.80    
VOODOO MISTRESS Nov26 Oct29 Sep04 Aug15 Jul09 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 122 4.00 41% 1.40    
 
DED-6   12/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CYCLONE SORORITY Nov23 Nov02 Oct15 Oct06 Sep26 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 117 4.50    
DIANNA'S JET Dec14 Nov23 Oct15 Sep26 Sep03 (guillory j)FUSILIER C 117 6.00    
DIXIE PENNY Dec17 Nov26 Nov12 Oct28 Sep23 (gustaf)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00    
KELLYS THE BOSS Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 Oct27 Sep24 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 117 10.00    
SAMURAI SONG Aug29 Aug02 Jul25 Jul07 Jun21 (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 8% 11.20    
BLAZING CHARM Dec02 Nov05 Sep04 Aug27 Aug05 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
WILDWOOD MAGGIE Dec19 Nov23 Nov09 Aug28 Aug11 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 16% 5.10    
 
DED-7   12/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARBUCK LUCK Oct27 Jul29 May06 Apr20 Mar03 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 12.00 8% 11.60    
HURRICANE TIZWAY Nov02 Aug13 Jul10 Jun18 May16 (turner patti)BACA L 120 8.00    
TIDDLY Dec03 Nov16 Oct27 Sep20 Jun19 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
PAISLEY CROSS Nov19 Mar05 Jan20 Jan08   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 3.50 25% 3.10    
LUCKY EVERY DAY Oct27 Sep02 Aug15 Jul25 Jul16 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
SHADES OF TRUTH Nov19 Oct20 Aug27 Aug06 Jun01 (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50 23% 3.40    
SUMMERJUSTBET HER Oct27 Oct12 Sep11 Jul22 Jun27 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 119 5.00 11% 8.40    
PUZZLING PRIORITY Dec10 Nov19 Oct20 Sep18 Aug04 (thomas lee)COTTO L 117 3.00    
 
DED-8   12/30/2022 4950ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR LEO Dec09 Nov26 Nov17 Oct13 Aug19 (broberg kar)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 15.00    
BALLINONABUDJET Dec10 Nov18 May21 Apr27 Mar27 (cox h)THORNTON G 118 2.50 27% 2.80    
GUITAR SLIM Dec10 Nov17 Oct27 Sep20 Aug12 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 120 4.50    
HIGHLAND CREEK Dec10 Nov19 Oct08 May07 Mar27 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 32% 2.20    
BINDING Dec10 Oct27 Oct14 Oct05 Sep10 (broberg karl)MELANCON G 118 6.00    
VENN Dec10 Nov03 Jul14 Jun01 May07 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00 11% 7.80    
WISE VERDICT Dec10 Nov17 Nov03 Oct13 Jun22 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 120 5.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  LAURI'S WISH Dec08 Nov04 Oct15 Aug05 Jul02 (thomas lee)COTTO L 117 10.00    
 
DED-9   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
F J'S GEM Dec01 Aug27 Aug18 Jun30 Jun11 (maturi)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 8.00    
MACHO MARK Dec01 Nov09 Oct08 Mar04 Feb04 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 5% 17.90    
TROPHY DADDY Dec01 Sep24 Aug29 Jul31 Jul04 (antwine mich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
PAT ME DOWN Dec21 Dec14 Nov26 Nov10 Oct21 (west henry)VARGAS P 117 20.00    
OSO NEGRO Dec14 Nov04 Oct12 Sep25 Sep12 (lorefice ma)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 5.00 7% 12.60    
MISTY'S FOOL Dec17 Dec07 Oct26 Oct01 Sep10 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
HE'S A LUCKY MAN Jun30 May18 Apr14 Mar04 Jan07 (kanhai joseph)STOKES A 120 20.00    
BOTTOMLESS Dec16 Nov25 Nov05 Oct20 Sep19 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.