Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - December 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAVE CITY GIRL Mar02 Jan22 Jan01     (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 115 4.00 33% 2.10    
2  WON DAY Dec01 Nov10 Oct08 Apr14 Mar25 (landry r)THORNTON G 119 1.80 34% 2.00    
3  GLADS LOVE CAT Nov11 Aug24 Aug05 Jul08 Jun22 (trahan walter)BOURQUE J 120 10.00    
4  SHEZA SALTY GAL Nov10 May05 Apr16     (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 13% 6.80    
5  BRIDLED UP Jun03         (bourque warr)MAGNON H 120 8.00 ★    
6  ARROGANT GIRL May22 Jan19       (gomez c)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00    
7  DEAL ME A PENNY Dec08 Nov10 Oct15 Sep12 Feb25 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 6.00 ★    
 
DED-2   12/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURN ON THE MAGIC Dec03 Nov08 Oct26 Aug12 Jul21 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 3.50    
SCR  JR'S PACIFICO Nov04 Jul28 Jul03 Jun12 May17 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 119 3.50    
2  MAGAWILDTIME Nov05 Aug12 Jul14 May22 Apr22 (cormier winston)STOKES J 117 12.00    
3  DREAMER'S DISEASE Nov05 Oct23 Sep16 Aug07   (courville ricky)FUSILIER C 120 2.50 ★    
4  WILD BERT Dec01 Nov05 Jul22 Jun06 Apr14 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 5.00 65% 0.50    
5  ENTERTAINMENT Dec10 Sep24 Jul19 Mar19   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
6  INTIMIDATION Dec03 Nov03 Oct20 Jul28 Jun18 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 6.00 ★    
7  AMERICAN CODE Jul22 Jul10 Jun24     (ruggeri nicole)BIRZER E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  LUCK OF THE DRAW May08 Feb05 Jan01     (richard chri)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 10.00    
SCR  ADIOS CARLOS Oct20 Aug21 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 (johnson henry )COTTO L 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-3   12/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'SAGAMECHANGER Dec08         (kanhai)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00    
2  MY LITTLE MIA Nov26 Oct27 Jul23 Jun24 May05 (perron gerard)STOKES A 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
3  PSALM PRAYER Nov26 Oct27 Oct06 Jul23   (romero john )BARRERA J 118 4.50 ★    
4  WHO DAT GINGER         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
5  BLUERIDGEBALLERINA Nov26         (toups brent)RAMIREZ PAULINA 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  MS. MILLER TIME Dec08         (toups brent)EDISON JOCELYN 117 10.00    
7  LITTLE Z Dec08 Nov05 Oct12 Sep05   (nelson r)STOKES J 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
 
DED-4   12/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPEYES HEART Nov19 Oct15 Sep18 Aug27 Jul24 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 117 5.00 ★    
SCR  MR LIBERTY Oct19 Sep15 Aug25 Aug09 Jul12 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 122 8.00    
3  DARE TO FAIL Oct21 Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.00 25% 2.90    
4  ALLIGATOR CRAWL Nov05 Oct15 Sep10 Aug08 Jul03 (gomez rafael)MAGNON H 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  JOEY'S LIGHTENING Nov22 Nov02 Aug26 Aug17 Jul15 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 114 12.00    
SCR  TWIRLING CHIEF Nov19 Oct01 Sep11 Aug15 Jul16 (guillory j)FUSILIER C 123 6.00    
7  MR. WIMBLEDON BAY Oct14 Sep11 Aug16 Jul01 Jun17 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.50 32% 2.10    
8  MR. B CAUSE Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
 
DED-5   12/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OMG UR KIDDING ME Dec10 Nov26 Oct29 Oct07   (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 119 8.00    
SCR  PETEY Dec10 Nov04 Oct12 Jul02 Mar04 (baker cebur)RAMIREZ PAULINA 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  CASTLEBERRY Dec11 Nov22 Oct21 Oct07 Sep11 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00 20% 4.00    
4  TIME TO MOVE Nov22 Nov12 Aug27 Aug04 Jul01 (blanchet chris)BACA L 122 10.00    
SCR  BLACKHEATH Jun03 May22 Apr18     (kotara rona)FLORES S 122 15.00    
6  DARK MATTER Dec10 Oct22 Sep26 Sep04 Aug03 (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00 ★    
7  COLE'S SENSATION Dec10 Oct29 Aug24 Aug06 Jul09 (delahoussaye tom)FUSILIER C 120 4.50 ★    
8  SILVER CHALICE Dec10 Nov22 Nov11 Oct26 Feb25 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
9  DOUBLE TRAP Nov26 Oct27 Oct07 Sep25 Aug27 (bryant)RUIZ GARCIA 122 15.00    
 
DED-6   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A WISH FOR MADELYN Dec14 Oct20 Oct05 Aug03 Jul01 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
1A  CHARGED TEMP Dec09 Nov30 Nov19 Oct07 Aug01 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 119 2.50 ★    
2  CZAR'S BALLERINA Nov03 Sep25 Aug24 Aug01 Jul06 (courville ri)MAGNON H 119 4.50 7% 13.10    
3  MEAN AMERICAN Dec15 Dec01 Nov19 Nov03 Oct14 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 10% 9.20    
4  EMMAS RULER Nov22 Nov04 Oct05 Sep06 Jul05 (de bea)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
5  JERSEY HOTTIE Dec08 Oct26 Sep25 Aug01 Jun21 (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 115 3.50    
SCR  BEYOND D'ORO Nov22 Oct21 Aug13 Jul28 Jul15 (simon )RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 12.00 ★    
7  BEAUTIFUL ENDING Mar05 Feb12       (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00 ★    
8  TRINITY HOPE Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 Sep26 Aug24 (alberto antoni)BACA L 120 8.00    
 
DED-7   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IM SINGLED UP Nov19 Jul23       (flint steve)MCMAHON J 122 3.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  SHE'S MY LOUIE V. Nov17         (flint steve)MCMAHON J 122 3.00 ★    
2  TRIPLE L'S CUTTER Nov17 Oct22       (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.00 56% 0.80    
3  SWEET OLIVE Jul23         (gelner jayde)MAGNON H 122 8.00    
4  MEGANS MILLIONS Dec02 Nov05 Oct22     (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 114 5.00 ★    
SCR  FREE WILL Nov26         (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 122 4.50 8% 11.50    
SCR  TECHE SOLUTION Oct21 Aug10       (meza m)BOURQUE J 119 10.00    
SCR  TENSAS BERTIE         (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 119 6.00 5% 18.00    
8  DANCING TRICK Nov12 Sep04       (ward ronnie)HERNANDEZ V 119 15.00    
SCR  ABBEY CAKES Nov26         (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 122 15.00    
 
DED-8   12/22/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAJESTIC WAYS Dec09 Nov12 Oct22 Sep15 Jul22 (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
2  MY FRIEND AMY Nov02 Sep25 Aug26 Jul09 Jun10 (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00    
3  ONAMARGARITADAY Nov04 Oct12 Jul29 Jun20 May28 (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 114 3.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  COURTLY DOC Dec09 Nov04 Oct13 Jun04 May17 (nelson)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 6.00 ★    
5  MISSION BELLE Dec14 Nov25 Oct28 Oct02 Aug20 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 122 5.00 9% 10.00    
6  TEASIN' TESLA Nov12 Aug25 Aug06 Jul01 May06 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 119 8.00    
7  SPEED QUEEN Nov12 Oct15 Aug06 Jul06 Feb23 (pike l)THORNTON G 119 8.00 ★    
 
DED-9   12/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYNTED LOVER Dec08 Nov09 Sep24 Aug27 Aug14 (beavin judy)BACA L 120 20.00    
2  GRAND PRODUCTION Nov19 Oct15 Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00    
3  SASSI ASPEN Nov19 Nov02 Sep05 Jul26 Jul18 (cox edward )RAMIREZ PAULINA 119 4.00 5% 17.40    
4  SHOT ON WINDY HILL Nov19 Oct27 Oct15 Jun30 Jun08 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  TED STRIKER Dec01 Nov17 Oct26 Oct12 Jul18 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 8.00    
6  IDE LIKE HAWAII Nov10 Oct27 Oct12 Aug25 Jul27 (zenon shelton)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 6% 17.10    
7  FORGED IN STEEL Nov02 Jun04 May11 Mar16 Feb19 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 114 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  CANDY SHOPPER Dec08 Sep24 Sep05 Jul09 May26 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 8.00 22% 3.60    
9  BIG SESSY Dec08 Nov04 Sep27 Aug25 Aug11 (washington richard)STOKES J 119 5.00    
10  AMAZING AMERICAN Dec08 Oct15 Jan22     (meza m)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 20.00    
SCR  CROOKS REBEL Sep24 Aug30 Aug15     (jarvis robert)STOKES J 120 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.