Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - December 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   12/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEIRUT BEAUTY Sep25 Sep16 Aug09 Jul27 Jul19 (reavis l)FELIX E 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
2  WATCHIN THE WHEELS Dec04 Nov12 Sep17 Aug20 Aug02 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 2.00 13% 6.50    
3  LINDALOUIMAGE Dec04 Nov06 Oct23 Sep30 Aug20 (quinonez max)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 4.00 ★    
4  COUGER Nov25 Nov13 Oct29 Oct07 Sep25 (perez manny)EMIGH A 121 4.50    
5  PRANCIPANTS Dec03 Nov26 Nov13 Sep23 Sep06 (sanchez osc)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 8.00 ★    
6  BOWS N LACE Dec04 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
 
HAW-2   12/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORN AGAIN GEORGE Dec09 Nov18 Aug26 Jun27 May28 (clay pat)FELIX E 121 10.00 25% 3.00    
2  EASTER MUSIC Dec09 Nov18 Oct15 Sep24   (hernandez arma)COLON H 121 1.80 32% 2.10    
3  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND Nov18 Oct21 Oct07 Jul19 Jun24 (cook b)BAILON JADHIR 121 15.00 7% 13.40    
4  GREELEYS ICE Oct21 Jun25 Jun11 May20 May15 (reyes mar)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 13% 6.80    
5  APPLICANT Dec03 Nov13 Oct30 Sep29 Aug22 (childers va)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 3.00    
6  OLSON Dec03 Apr03 Mar12 Jan14   (haran john)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 20.00    
7  CHOPPER Dec03 Nov18 Oct16 Oct02 Jul23 (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 5.00 ★    
8  HIGH HERO Dec03 Nov18 Oct30 Oct01 Jun18 (perez manny)ORTEGA O 121 15.00    
 
HAW-3   12/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOCTURNAL MISSION Nov27 Sep29 Sep16 Aug15 Jun04 (dizeo dino)COLON H 121 15.00    
SCR  SENORITA AURORA Dec04 Nov18 Oct30 Sep23 Aug19 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 121 20.00    
3  HARD LIKE HOLLY Dec04 Nov11 Oct23 Aug18 Aug10 (hughes ea)ULLOA JOAN 121 12.00 ★    
SCR  NORTHERN ALLIANCE Oct23 Oct02 Sep07 Aug03 Jul02 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 121 2.50 57% 0.80    
5  BEZEL SET Dec04 Nov20 Nov06 Oct21 Sep17 (castro)BAILON JADHIR 121 20.00    
6  RENTAL POOL Nov11 Oct23 Oct02 Sep07 Jun11 (robertson)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 1.80 ★    
7  CAIRO SUMMER Dec04 Nov27 Nov18 Oct30 Oct14 (sanchez osc)BLANCHE RISHAWN 108 8.00 ★    
SCR  ASKEW Dec04 Nov06 Sep16 Aug28 Jul07 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.50 18% 4.40    
 
HAW-4   12/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARTE BLANCHE Nov06 Oct29 Oct09 Sep17 Sep06 (watkins m)FELIX E 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  KRAMDEN Dec02 Nov26 Nov12 Oct29 Oct14 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 4.50 ★    
3  RIVER FINN Nov26 Nov13 Sep23 Aug17 Jul21 (haran john)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 10.00    
4  TWO COOKIE RULE Nov26 Nov20 Oct30 Oct21 Oct07 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00    
SCR  WILD FOX Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 Oct14 Sep16 (watkins jam)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 4.00 13% 6.90    
6  BOURBON DELIGHT Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Oct16 Jun24 (castro isid)BLANCHE RISHAWN 108 15.00 ★    
7  YAK Nov20 Nov06 Oct21 Oct09 Sep08 (broberg karl)COLON H 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
HAW-5   12/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIP IT RYAN Dec04 Nov20 Aug02 Jul08 Jun11 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00 ★    
2  STORM'S REFLECTION Dec09 Nov20 Nov06 Oct22 Oct07 (perez manny)EMIGH A 121 4.00 10% 8.60    
3  CAPTAIN CARNEGIE Dec04 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 (ryan chri)ULLOA JOAN 121 15.00    
4  MINISTRY OF ART Nov20 Oct09 Sep19 Sep05 Aug14 (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.50 ★    
5  OFF TO THE BEACH Dec04 Nov20 Nov04 Oct16 Sep25 (hughes w)REYES ANGEL 121 30.00    
6  DARE GOES DA DEVIL Dec04 Nov20 Nov13 Oct16 Oct09 (perez manny)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 20.00    
7  WELLER ROGUE Nov13 Oct14 Sep26 Sep05 Aug14 (reavis l)FELIX E 118 30.00    
8  FUTURE VISION Dec04 Nov12 Oct16 Oct07 Aug16 (juarez)BAILON JADHIR 121 2.50 10% 8.70    
9  CLASSOFSIXTYSEVEN Nov27 Nov13 Oct07 Sep23 Aug27 (young terry)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 3.50 54% 0.80    
10  TEA AFTER BALLET Dec04 Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 Sep25 (zawitz joel)ORTEGA O 121 8.00    
 
HAW-6   12/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAY TOO SMARTE Dec04 Nov15 Oct25 Jul16 Jun28 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
2  KEEPMEINTHE MOMENT Nov27 Nov11 Sep02 Aug20 Jun11 (manley steve)FELIX E 122 5.00 25% 3.10    
3  SHARP HERO Nov25 Nov13 Oct16 Oct02 Sep13 (ross s)EMIGH A 124 2.50 12% 7.40    
SCR  SOMEONE SAID SO Nov15 Oct02 Jul17 Jul08 Jun19 (rosin w)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 8.00    
SCR  HONEY MUG Oct23 Sep24 Aug19 May15 Apr30 (hernandez a)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 4.00 14% 6.20    
6  STOPSHOPPINGAMY Nov25 Oct30 Jul22 Jun28 Jun11 (hernandez a)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 11% 7.90    
7  PLUS CHIC Nov25 Oct16 Sep23 Sep01 Aug02 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 6.00 ★    
8  GO MADI GO Nov25 Oct22 Sep13 Aug23 Aug09 (plasters lori)COLON H 119 12.00    
 
HAW-7   12/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOING WITH STYLE Nov19 Oct28 May23 May03 Apr17 (young r)EMIGH A 121 4.00 26% 2.80    
2  ANDREW THE GIANT Nov13 Oct21 Oct01 Jun25   (ross brad)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00    
3  SCAT SHACK Nov27 Nov12 Oct21 Sep29 Sep13 (young r)COLON H 121 20.00    
4  BABA'S BOY Nov20 Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Jul22 (bahena fe)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 15.00    
5  FIRST MASAMUNE Dec11 Nov20 Nov04 Oct16 Jun17 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 121 5.00    
6  CARLOS L. Oct08 Apr02       (robertson hugh)FELIX E 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  PINEDALE Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Oct07 Aug05 (rodriguez j)ORTEGA O 118 15.00    
8  SEMINOLE BEACH Nov19 Oct22 Oct07 Sep20 Sep06 (randazzo frank)DIEGO JAVIER 121 6.00 ★    
9  GITA'S LAD Dec11 Nov20 Oct29 Jun28 May28 (hernandez a)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.00 11% 8.10    
10  STALLONE Nov18 Oct22 Oct02 Sep16 Aug30 (retana gabe)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-8   12/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAUREENLOVESFRANK Nov27 Nov11 Oct23 Sep24 Sep05 (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 121 6.00 24% 3.20    
2  RACEDAY ATTIRE Dec04 Nov01 Oct11 Sep20 Aug17 (sanchez osc)ORTEGA O 119 12.00    
3  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN Nov16 Oct24 Oct04 Sep24 Aug29 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 4.00 8% 10.90    
4  WILDWOOD BYE Dec09 Nov19 Oct23 Oct01   (becker sc)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
5  AVASARALA Nov27 Oct23 Sep24 Jun24 Jun10 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 8.00    
6  STORMY EMPIRE Dec09 Nov25 Nov04 Oct15 Aug02 (kirby )BAILON JADHIR 124 5.00 ★    
7  CHROME ATTACK Nov27 Oct16 Sep23 Jun17 Jun11 (childers vance)COLON H 121 15.00    
8  TAP'S LULLABY Jul05 Jun04 May10 Apr26   (randazzo frank)HUGHES CARLY 121 30.00    
9  IGGY BIGS Nov27 Oct22 Sep06 Aug09 Jun25 (hernandez armando)FELIX E 119 6.00    
10  JOLIE RULER Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 Oct09 Sep13 (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-9   12/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR WALKER Dec09 Sep26 Sep12 Sep04 Aug21 (shephard )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 12.00    
2  MY LADY SLEW Dec02 Oct21 Oct01 Jul30 Jul16 (rodriguez jo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
SCR  SCAPITURE Jul01         (wells duane)BLANCHE RISHAWN 109 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  SEQUAYA Dec04 Nov11 Oct06 Sep22 Sep08 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 15.00    
5  MAIDEN ROCK Nov11 Oct16 Sep17 Sep01 Aug20 (riecken bru)ORTEGA O 121 10.00    
6  RUNNERS HEAT Dec04 Nov18 Oct23 Sep23 Sep08 (wilson l)FELIX E 119 5.00 51% 1.00    
7  FROST WARRIOR Dec09 Nov25 Oct16 Sep17 Aug27 (meraz anton)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 17% 5.00    
8  MORNING LINE NEWS Dec09 Nov25 Nov18 Nov08 Oct23 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 4.50    
9  QUEEN EKATI Nov25 Nov11 Oct23 Sep03 Aug02 (nesbitt amy)HUGHES CARLY 121 10.00 ★    
10  MUD HUT Dec04 Jun11 Jun03 May07   (kirby )BAILON JADHIR 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
11  GOSHEN GIRL Nov25 Nov11 Jun25 Jun04 May13 (lada liana)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 30.00    
12  DRAGONFLY KISSES Nov11 Oct22 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.