Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - December 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON DAY         (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
2  HARD CANDY Nov11 Jul23 Jun18 Jun05 May20 (hernandez l)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 4.50 ★    
3  PRINCE PERFECTA Nov23 Nov12 Oct28 Oct19 Sep24 (johnson henry )COTTO L 120 5.00 46% 1.20    
4  ROYAL CONSORT Jun18 May29 Apr23 Mar26 Feb11 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 122 6.00 9% 10.40    
5  EGOR OTAY Mar25 Mar09 Feb17     (nelson r)ROMAN KEVIN 123 10.00 ★    
SCR  NOT A NYKI Dec01 Oct29 Aug27     (constantine )EDISON JOCELYN 118 20.00    
7  EUROBELIEVER Dec02 Nov18 Nov04     (garza e)TORRES HUGO 118 8.00    
8  KING OF SONG Aug31 Aug18       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 2.50    
 
DED-2   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOLLI WAY Nov26 Oct20 Feb10 Jan28   (romero john )BARRERA J 115 8.00    
2  UNIFIED LOVE Dec08 Nov26 Nov05 Oct12   (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  GYPSYROSELEE Nov26 Oct12       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 15.00 ★    
4  MEET ME Nov19 Oct26 Oct05 Aug01 Jul16 (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 13% 6.90    
5  MS. CAJUN QUEEN Oct26 Jul07 Jun17 Jun03 Apr28 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.50    
6  MISS TARGET Nov26 Jul24 Jun28     (shamsie mike)BIRZER E 119 6.00 6% 15.50    
7  CUSTOM FOR TINA Nov26 Oct26 Oct05 Jul11 Feb25 (johnson henry )COTTO L 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
 
DED-3   12/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUKE'S CAJUN STAR Dec02 Jul08 Jun29 Jun03 May21 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  MASTERLY (ARG) Dec03 Nov19 Oct13 Aug13 Jul06 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 ★    
2  I'M A SPECIAL STAR Oct29 Jun23 Apr16 Feb10 Jan29 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00    
3  WHY JOEY WHY Aug24 Jul20       (delahoussaye bre)FUSILIER C 117 4.00 16% 5.10    
4  HULEN Nov30 Nov05 Aug28 Jul09 Jun28 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 10% 8.70    
5  NOSBOR Nov17 Oct29 Oct02 Aug22 Jul11 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
SCR  WONDER RUN Nov22 Oct26 Oct14 Jul24 Feb24 (turner patti)BACA L 117 6.00 ★    
7  JAKE THE BAND MAN Nov18 Oct05 Aug27 Aug17 Jul20 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 117 15.00    
8  TAPIZARS SECRET Nov18 Oct05 Sep20 Aug27 Jul28 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
 
DED-4   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J C'S IN TOWN Nov19 Oct28 Oct08 Jun11 May18 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
2  CIROC O CLOCK Nov24 Sep17 Aug20 Jul10 Jun20 (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 115 15.00    
3  TIN DELAY Nov09 Oct22 Aug10 Jul13 Jun01 (charles keith)BIRZER E 120 10.00 9% 10.10    
4  GOTTATAKEHIMTO Nov19 Oct20 Aug25 Jul13 Jun24 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00    
5  M AND M'S CUSTOM Nov10 Oct19 Jul16 Jun30 Jun08 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 ★    
6  IT'S A BIRD Nov30 Nov17 Oct28 Oct19 Mar27 (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 5.00 28% 2.60    
7  GENERAL EISENHOWER Dec01 Nov16 Aug03 Jul08 Jun10 (fuselier jonah)FUSILIER C 119 15.00    
8  JOEBOY Dec01 Nov09 Oct22 Sep11 Jul23 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
9  MY BOOK Nov17 Oct22 Oct06 Jul27 Jul08 (cormier housto)THORNTON G 120 4.50 ★    
 
DED-5   12/17/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUCHDOWN JOE Dec01 Nov16 Jul16 Jun09 May20 (noel dane)BIRZER E 120 15.00    
2  JEFFROW Nov30 Nov04 Aug20 Apr29 Feb25 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 5.00    
3  CPRIORITY Nov30 Nov17 Oct15 Sep10 Aug15 (thomas lee)COTTO L 120 5.00 ★    
4  JANET'S DEVIL Nov17 Oct28 Jul27 Jun10 May19 (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 10.00    
5  YOUR TIME'S COMING Oct06 Sep08 Aug17 Jun29 Jun02 (richard chris)MELANCON G 120 6.00 28% 2.50    
6  SY MICHAEL Nov02 Aug30 Aug03 Jun03 May11 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.00 10% 9.30    
7  CHARLIES TICKET Nov16 Mar18 Mar06     (johnson b)FUSILIER C 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SARAH'S VISION Nov17         (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
 
DED-6   12/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIZELESS Dec01 Nov11 Oct19 Aug17 Jul28 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
1A  MEXICAN WONDER BOY Oct07 Sep25 Aug18 Aug10 Jun19 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 ★    
2B  PRADO'S PRIORITY Nov18 Oct20 Sep18 Aug12 Jul09 (thomas lee)STOKES J 116 2.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  MY PAL MATTIE Oct14 Sep21 Aug05 Jun17 Jun06 (thomas lee)STOKES J 115 2.00    
3  SIMPLY WICKED Nov24 Oct07 May21 Apr16 Feb26 (diodoro robert)THORNTON G 117 6.00 ★    
4  SLITHER Dec01 Nov05 Oct07 Sep18 Aug06 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 115 15.00    
5  SCARLETTSBLACKJACK Nov19 Aug21       (delany sarah)TORRES HUGO 113 2.50 ★    
6  BLACK SWORD Oct08 Aug06 Jun04 Apr27 Mar27 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.50 ★    
 
DED-7   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL CATOMINE Nov23 Oct14 Aug30 Jul21 Jun26 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 8.00    
2  GETCHA Nov12 Oct08 Aug10 Jul17 Jun30 (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  HONOR MY SPEED Nov09 Oct27 Oct13 Aug17 Jul28 (landry ray)STOKES J 118 4.50 38% 1.60    
4  PARTY OF FIFTEEN Oct26 Aug25 Aug05 Jul06 Jun08 (cox l)THORNTON G 118 20.00    
5  GRAB THE MUNNY Dec03 Nov14 Jul23 Jun25 May30 (garza e)TORRES HUGO 113 10.00 9% 10.30    
6  MIAS MOONBEAM Dec07 Nov16 Oct19 Aug17 Jul16 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00 ★    
7  HOT LE ROY Dec03 Oct13 Aug26 Aug05 Jun23 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 8.00    
8  HOLY EMPEROR Nov17 Oct08 Sep11 Jul31 Jul12 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50    
9  HOT STOVE LEAGUE Dec07 Nov24 Aug25 Jul29 Jul06 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
DED-8   12/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADEN'S RANSOM Nov04 Apr15 Mar02 Feb09   (milburn katina)BOURQUE J 117 15.00    
2  SCARLETT O'HARA Nov16 Sep21 Aug20 Aug06 Jul21 (alberto antoni)BACA L 117 8.00    
3  KELA'S TURN Nov26 Nov04 Oct01 Sep05 Aug12 (guillory j)BIRZER E 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
4  MISTY DAY Nov16 Feb02 Jan07     (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50 8% 12.10    
5  MY SISTER ANNETTE Nov16 Sep11 Aug20 Jul12 Jun18 (schult)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 ★    
6  SWEET TEMPERAMENT Jul21 Jun16 May27 Apr30 Apr08 (bourgeois keith)STOKES J 116 3.50 24% 3.10    
7  FIRSTSLATE Nov19 Oct27 Sep18 Aug08 Jul10 (melancon do)FLORES S 123 8.00    
8  IMA DISCREET LADY Nov26 Oct05 Jul17 Jun19 May21 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
DED-9   12/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLD HEARTED WENCH Nov09 Jun10 May21 May04 Apr13 (rochau)RUIZ GARCIA 120 15.00 9% 10.60    
2  DIXIE PENNY Nov26 Nov12 Oct28 Sep23 Sep12 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 4.50    
3  FOURSWEETNIECES Dec03 Nov11 Oct06 Feb16 Jan27 (cormie)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 117 12.00 8% 11.50    
4  STORM BREACH Nov22 Oct05 Aug12 Jul23 Jul06 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  FINNLEYS ENCORE Nov30 Oct22 Apr28 Feb12   (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 8.00    
6  STELLA'S SURPRISE Dec03 Jun23 May28     (richard russell )STOKES A 117 12.00 7% 12.70    
7  AMERICAN REBEL Nov16 Oct21 Aug11 Jul13 Jul01 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 112 20.00    
8  FIRE OF GOLD Nov23 Oct27 Aug14 Jul23 May21 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 112 6.00 13% 6.40    
9  UNHERDOF Nov09 Oct27 Sep19 Sep09 Aug28 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 5.00    
10  SASSY SUE'S BAND Dec07 Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 Oct12 (nelson r)ROMAN KEVIN 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.