Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Sunday - December 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LILY'S TRUMPET Nov23 Oct31 Sep28 Jul14 Jul07 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00    
2  GATTO MARRONE Nov28 Nov02 Oct23 Oct02 Sep14 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
SCR  WILLYMAR Nov28 Nov15 Oct24 Oct16 Sep14 (rangel arnul)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 6.00 ★    
4  JOSHY JAK Nov07 Oct30       (chapma)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.60 70% 0.40    
5  WILD RIVER WOLF Nov28 Nov01 Oct17 Oct10 Aug30 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 113 2.50 ★    
6  JULIE'S FERRARI Nov27 Nov14 Oct24 Oct03 Aug24 (welsh r)DIAZ I 123 3.50 ★    
7  FANCY LANCY Nov28 Nov02 Oct16 Sep26 Sep07 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 120 12.00 ★    
 
MNR-2   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PETTIGO GIRL Dec02 Nov10 Oct12 Sep22 Aug26 (joy ke)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
2  SUPER DONNA G Dec05 Nov14 Oct31 Oct10 Sep18 (logston chris)CEDILLO MAURO 120 10.00 5% 18.80    
3  BIRDIE BLUE Nov27 Nov15 Oct23 Sep20 Aug28 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  DIXIE RED Nov21 Oct23 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 (silva juan )LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  OUR FLIRTATION Dec05 Nov22 Nov08 Oct25 Oct03 (dixon geo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 10.00    
6  SHANNON'S GIRL Nov30 Nov15 Nov02 Sep13 Aug15 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 120 4.00 ★    
7  DESIGNATE Nov14 Nov01 Sep14 Aug24 Aug08 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50    
 
MNR-3   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY MECHANIC Nov09 Nov01 Oct09 Sep25 Sep05 (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.00 ★    
2  LOVE'S TAVITO Nov28 Nov22 Oct30 Sep28 Sep14 (mcgaffic )CORREA L 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
3  ORGANZA Nov22 Nov06 Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
4  NOT SHY Nov28 Nov22 Nov01 Oct25 Oct09 (herri)MONSERRATE A 120 12.00    
5  TIPARILLO Nov28 Nov06 Oct22 Oct10 Sep21 (buckne)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00 ★    
6  GRAND VENUS Nov28 Nov06 Oct25 Oct19 Sep22 (gotera c)CEDILLO MAURO 113 5.00 ★    
 
MNR-4   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIVE VALLEY Nov28 Nov15 Oct31 Oct10 Oct03 (bird dann)CORREA L 120 3.50 ★    
2  CHALDEA Nov28 Nov08 Oct24 Oct10 Oct03 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00 17% 5.00    
3  SWEET TOOTSIE LU Nov28 Nov15 Oct31 Oct10 Sep20 (jackso)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00 ★    
4  VIVE EL MOMENTO Nov23 Nov15 Nov02 Sep28 Sep15 (gotera juan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
5  WICKED VALENTINE Nov28 Nov15 Nov02 Oct23 Oct09 (mcdonald william )YARANGA Y 120 15.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  PAINTED ROCKET Oct18 Aug08 May22 May08 Mar23 (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.50    
 
MNR-5   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JANSELLE Nov29 Nov14 Sep25 Aug14 Aug01 (weyme)MONSERRATE A 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  FRAGRANT Oct18 Sep25 Aug07 Jun23   (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 0.80 50% 1.00    
3  ICY RAIN Nov09 Sep14 Aug15 May31 Apr09 (ratliff gobel)YARANGA Y 118 8.00 ★    
4  LITTLE FOUR Nov21 Nov04 Oct15 Sep23 Sep04 (fiesman r)CORREA L 123 15.00    
5  IRON BERTIE Nov25 Oct29 Oct15 Sep15   (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 12.00    
6  DIALED ME PERFECT Oct24 Aug03 Jul13     (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  NELL'S BELLS Nov29 Nov02 Oct24 Sep27 Sep19 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 12.00    
8  CLIMATE Nov29 Nov13 Oct26     (montano w)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 12.00 ★    
 
MNR-6   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER RANSOM Dec05 Nov29 Oct11 Sep28 Sep05 (weyme)MONSERRATE A 120 2.50 ★    
2  SHAENA BUE Nov13 Oct18 Sep25 Aug30 Jul24 (herrington c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00 10% 9.20    
3  GALLIPOLIS Nov28 Nov06 Oct23 Sep27 Sep05 (sanders melinda)DAVILA M 120 12.00    
4  PRETTY LOUD Nov28 Nov15 Nov09 Oct25 Oct18 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 8.00 ★    
5  MINE NOT MINE Dec03 Nov14 Sep29 Sep15 Sep05 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 0.80 45% 1.20    
6  EL DUQUE Nov28 Nov15 Sep27 Sep07 Aug23 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
 
MNR-7   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ESCAPE VELOCITY Nov23 Nov17 Oct26 Oct04 Sep13 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  JUST U AND ME KID Oct24 Oct09 Sep27 Sep07 Jun07 (cain crysta)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 6.00 7% 13.90    
3  WELL CONNECTED Nov29 Jun30 Jun11     (march william)YARANGA Y 120 15.00 ★    
4  ACROSS THE AISLE Nov14 Nov02 Oct25 Oct12 Sep28 (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.00    
SCR  GRAY MAMBA Nov07 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 Aug12 (calvo kelsi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 15.00    
6  GRANDGRAN Nov27 Oct24 Sep19 Aug31 Aug04 (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 6.00    
7  KITCHI Nov28 Nov14 Nov02 Oct24 Oct19 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
8  BACK ALLEY CAT Nov28 Nov02 Oct24 Sep04 Aug30 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 4.50 8% 10.90    
 
MNR-8   12/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAK'S HIDDEN GEM Dec02 Nov12 Oct01 Sep10 Aug16 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 116 3.00    
2  K FOR KATHY         (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50 9% 10.10    
3  DEWYALOVEMENOW Nov15 Nov08 Nov02 Oct18 Oct03 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.50 47% 1.10    
4  AVENIDA MANANA Nov30 Aug29 Jul31 Jul23 Jun27 (larue steve)DIAZ I 123 4.00 16% 5.30    
5  FLAT OUT APPEALING Dec04 Nov27 Nov08 Oct18 Oct03 (knowles luci)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00    
6  DAH PHILLY Nov22 Nov08 Oct02 Sep04 Aug24 (gray c)ENRIQUEZ JR 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEE WINGS Dec04 Nov15 Oct26 Oct12 Sep14 (noland a)YARANGA Y 123 6.00 ★    
8  MIA PROMESSA Nov29 Nov15       (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.