Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - December 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   12/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUARDSMAN PASS Jul02 May29 May08 Apr07 Mar25 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★    
2  SILVER KING BAIN Sep18 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Jun18 (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 121 4.50    
3  WIND RIVER Mar28 Feb22 Jan20     (gleason m)MAWING A 121 4.00 9% 10.10    
4  CORN POP Nov19 Oct02 Sep20 Aug13 Jun15 (howe s)BARBER R 121 6.00 ★    
5  HANKY PRANKY Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Aug30 Jul31 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 121 3.00 ★    
6  EXECUTIVE ACTION Sep11 Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 May29 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 121 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
TUP-4   12/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 2 ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MAFIOSO Nov25 Sep18       (baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 121 12.00 14% 6.30    
2  WESTERBERG Nov25 Nov08 Sep23 Aug26 Jul31 (alvarez sergi)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  HARBOR THUNDER         (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  BIG JACK Nov07         (martinez o)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00    
5  SMOKIN' GOOD TIME Sep18         (lucarelli fran)ANAYA V 121 10.00    
6  HI YAH         (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 ★    
7  DEBS WILD Nov07 Sep18       (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
TUP-5   12/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAY MAGICIAN Nov21 Nov08 Sep19 Aug20 Aug05 (ferguson curt)LEON A 124 10.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  TIGER BY HIS TAIL Nov21 Nov07 Jul09 May29 Apr24 (barrio sergi)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 6% 17.10    
3  MR. WHO Nov07 Sep08 Sep01 Aug18 Jul30 (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
4  RIVER ROSE Nov29 Aug18 Aug04 Jul09 Jun29 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
5  MOVE OVER (GB) Nov21 Sep09 Aug07 May27 May06 (howey quinn)VERGARA P 124 3.00    
6  BERNALINHO Nov16 Sep09 Aug13 Jul23 Jul09 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 124 8.00    
7  HEY SEQUOIA Nov21 Nov07 Oct14 Sep09 Aug27 (baze lisa)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
8  WEAR THE CROWN Nov16 Sep10 Aug14 Jul09 May29 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 12.00    
9  REALLY SLOW Nov21 Oct28 Oct14 Sep19 Sep07 (brown jared)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 5% 17.60    
10  PALACE PRINCE Nov24 Nov05 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 (belvoir vann)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00    
 
TUP-6   12/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 2 ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAPACITY Oct10 Jul30 Jul02 Jun10   (fales matt)BEVERLY JR 121 8.00    
2  HE'S A CANDY MAN Sep23 Sep01       (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 2.50 11% 8.20    
3  CONSUMING Nov07 Oct10 Sep24 Aug12   (baze robert)ANAYA V 121 15.00    
4  ANGELA'S ANGEL Nov25 Oct26 Oct16 Oct04 Aug27 (silva pa)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 6.00    
5  CAANFOOLERY Nov30 Sep22 Sep09 Jun26   (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
6  BEAUTIFUL MESS         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 3.50 64% 0.60    
7  GLORY CITIZEN Nov30 Jul24 Jun10 May22   (silva rodrig)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00 ★    
8  RENEGADE WARRIOR Oct29 Sep18       (chambers mi)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.50 ★    
9  SIX SHOTS OF T Oct10 Sep10 Aug13 Jul17 Jul10 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   12/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR EMPIRE Oct30 Sep24 Sep04 Jul30 Jun25 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 3.00 ★    
2  THIRSTY KISS Nov30 Nov08 Aug31 Aug13 Jul30 (potts ashley )ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 ★    
3  MUSICAL GEM Sep05 Aug22 Apr03 Mar11 Feb12 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00    
4  W. WHITEHOUSE Nov29 Sep05 Aug19 Jun25 Jun04 (dominguez an)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
5  MISAWA Sep04 Aug18 Jun30 Jun01 Apr14 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
6  MORE ACTION         (lavanway da)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00 15% 5.50    
7  SHORT RIB Oct30 Oct15 Oct07 Sep09 Mar25 (allred jeff)LEON A 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
8  MYBESTISYETTOCOME Nov14 Jun25 Jun10 May06 Apr21 (simpson sha)DISDIER NICOLLE 124 12.00    
9  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Nov04 Sep09 Aug27 Jul02 Jun11 (simpson shan)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00    
 
TUP-8   12/08/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN ALE Nov19 Jun17 May27 May06 Mar24 (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 ★    
2  BOBBY BRINKLEY Nov21 Jul30 Jun04 May07 Mar26 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
SCR  NOBLE PURSUIT Nov21 Nov07 Sep17 Sep08 Aug14 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 ★    
4  SONNY SMACK Sep07 Aug13 Jul27 Jun11 Jan15 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 3.00    
5  LOOPY Nov26 Sep28 Aug16 Aug06 Jun26 (si)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 5% 18.90    
6  SHINNY Nov15 Sep17 Jul04 Jun08 May18 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 124 5.00 56% 0.80    
7  COURAGEOUS Nov08 Sep26 Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 (hop mike)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 12.00    
8  FATHER O'FLAHERTY Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep25 Sep11 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
SCR  MOONLITE GRAHAM Nov21 Nov05 Jul23 Jun26 Apr21 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 6.00 10% 8.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.