Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Saturday - August 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/06/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRACK MATE         (lukas d )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 ★    
2  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) Jul22         (o'brien josep)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  CARA'S PRINCE Jul21 Jul01 Jun09     (friedman mit)HARKIE K 119 20.00    
4  MULLINGAR Jul23         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
5  RED ROUTE ONE         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 6% 15.10    
6  MOONFLYER         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 ★    
7  BATTLE OF NORMANDY         (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
SAR-2   08/06/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCHOOL OF THOUGHT Jul15 Jun23 Jun09 May13 Feb27 (lucas bonnie)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 ★    
2  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Jul10 Jul01 Jun10 Jan14   (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00    
3  MADAME ROSE Jul29 Jul10 Jun25 Jun12 May21 (jones eduard)SAMUEL L 124 12.00 ★    
4  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00    
5  MOSTLY HARMLESS Jun30 May27 Apr30 Apr09 Feb18 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 3.00 21% 3.70    
6  AFILADA Jun23 May13 Apr06 Feb18 Jan20 (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
7  TOOSWEETTOBESOUR Jul01 Mar03       (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
8  TEKILA Jun23 May13       (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.50 ★    
 
SAR-3   08/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY SOPHIA Jul09 Feb27 Feb06     (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 122 20.00    
2  KHALI MAGIC Jul15 Jun17 May20 Apr08 Mar13 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80 44% 1.30    
3  QUALITY STONES Jun17 May19 Apr29 Apr07 Mar26 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00 ★    
4  MISS ALACRITY Jun24 Apr30       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00    
5  PRETTY CLEVER Jul15 Jun17 May19 Apr03 Mar18 (begg bent)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00    
6  IMPAZIBLE DONNA Apr23 Mar25 Feb27 Jan08   (levine b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 9% 10.40    
7  MOSIENKO Jul15 Jun17 Jun04 Apr29 Apr03 (lalman dennis)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 7% 12.50    
8  BEAUTIFUL KAREN Mar25 Feb27 Feb06     (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 10% 8.80    
 
SAR-4   08/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYES ON TARGET Jul09 May28 Apr21     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
1A  DREAM WORKS (FR)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00    
2  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) Feb04         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 34% 1.90    
3  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE May20         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
4  FOUNDER         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
5  FAMISHED Jun25 May13 Apr14 Mar25 Feb20 (quick j)CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00    
6  WICKED FAST Jun03 Apr02 Mar16 Feb18   (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
7  CASANOVA KITTEN Jul04 Apr28       (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00 ★    
8  TURN OF EVENTS Jun26         (weaver george)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
SCR  KINETIC SKY         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  TWO THIRTY FIVE Jul17 Jun18 May07 Apr08 Mar20 (klesaris steve)RIDER TBA 122 2.00    
SCR  SWIFTSURE Jul24 Jun26       (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 11% 8.30    
 
SAR-5   08/06/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUBLIC SECTOR (GB) Jul15 Jun18 May07     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 14% 6.40    
2  SAFE CONDUCT Jun18 May05 Mar05     (serpe phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
3  SOUTH BEND Jul09 Jun05 May07 Apr09   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 8% 11.20    
4  DUKE OF HAZZARD (FR) Jul09 May22       (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
5  DYNADRIVE Jul01 Mar11 Feb25     (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
6  T D DANCE Jun18 Apr20 Mar12 Feb14   (barkley jason)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 ★    
7  SIFTING SANDS (GB) Jul03 May05       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 13% 6.70    
8  SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN Jul09 May30       (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
 
SAR-6   08/06/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 2 ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUPI         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 41% 1.50    
1A  POINT PROVEN         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 ★    
2  DISARM Jun19         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  PERFORM Jul03         (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 8% 10.90    
4  ARTHUR'S RIDE         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
5  WADSWORTH         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 ★    
6  ROCKET CAN         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 ★    
7  WESTERN GHENT Jul23 Jun19       (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 119 20.00    
8  OLAZABAL         (delgado gust)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/06/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPLE CITY TERROR Jul09 May28 Apr14     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 ★    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of IT TAKES TWO by DANCE CENTRE)
2  VIRGINIA JOY (GER) Jun10 May07 Mar05     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by SOLDIER HOLLOW (GB) out of VIRGINIA SUN by DOYEN (IRE))
3  PETRICOR (GB) Jul16 Jun05 Apr24     (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
  (by FRANKEL (GB) out of RUSCOMBE by DANSILI (GB))
4  FLANIGAN'S COVE Jul03 Jun05 Apr21     (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 ★    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HUNGRY ISLAND by MORE THAN READY)
5  KEY BISCAYNE Jul09 Jun12 May08 Mar20 Feb26 (alvarado ju)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 30.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of BOA TWELVE by LEMON DROP KID)
6  WAR LIKE GODDESS Apr29         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.50 39% 1.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MISTY NORTH by NORTHERN IDOL)
7  TREASURE TAILS Jul09 Jun25 May06     (holtzinger)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 50.00    
  (by TREASURE BEACH (GB) out of BODUA by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
 
SAR-8   08/06/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERFECT MUNNINGS Jun10         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00    
2  ANEJO May29 May01 Apr02     (o'neill doug)VELAZQUEZ R 124 15.00    
3  SCILLY CAY Jun10         (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 21% 3.80    
4  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Jun26 May14 Apr16 Mar19 Jan14 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00    
5  FLUID SITUATION Jul02 May15 Mar27 Feb26   (terranova jo)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
6  HOMETOWN         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 ★    
7  MONEY SUPPLY Jun19 May07 Apr08 Feb12   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
8  SAINT TAPIT Jun26         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 26% 2.90    
9  OSBOURNE Jun19 May07 Apr08 Jan29   (moquett ronal)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 8% 11.10    
10  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN May07 Apr07 Mar05 Feb05 Jan08 (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 122 20.00    
 
SAR-9   08/06/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATAREYA Jun11 May06 Apr10 Feb26   (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 0.40 55% 0.80    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of INNOVATIVE IDEA by BERNARDINI)
2  STERLING SILVER Jul09 May30 Apr08 Mar05 Jan22 (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CUPID out of SHEET HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  ELM DRIVE Jul04 May08       (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 ★    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of LETS DANCE CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  WISH YOU WELL May06 Apr02       (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 ★    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of LISTEN TO LIBBY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  NOVEMBER REIN Jul09 May30       (breen j)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of JU JU EYEBALLS by GATORS N BEARS)
6  HOT PEPPERS Jul09 Jun12 Mar27 Feb20 Jan27 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
  (by KHOZAN out of FRIENDS PRO by FRIENDS LAKE)
7  CHI TOWN LADY May19 Apr10       (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of TONI'S HOLLYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
SAR-10   08/06/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMERICANREVOLUTION Jul02 Jun04       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of POLLY FREEZE by SUPER SAVER)
2  HOT ROD CHARLIE Jun18         (o'neill doug)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 ★    
  (by OXBOW out of INDIAN MISS by MI CIELO)
3  ZOOMER Jul17 May22 May07 Mar26 Feb26 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 118 30.00 ★    
  (by CURLIN out of RASINDY by A.P. INDY)
4  OLYMPIAD Jul02 May06 Mar26 Feb19 Jan15 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TOKYO TIME by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  HAPPY SAVER Jun11 May06       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 21% 3.90    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of HAPPY WEEK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  LIFE IS GOOD Jul02 Jan29       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 26% 2.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BEACH WALK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
SAR-11   08/06/2022 6270ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($1000K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAIN EVENT Jul02 May07 Apr02 Mar05 Jan30 (weaver george)ORTIZ L 122 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of TOTAL KNOCKOUT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  GRAND SONATA Jul09 Jun04 Apr08 Feb05 Jan01 (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of A. P. SONATA by A.P. INDY)
3  EMMANUEL Jun04 Apr09 Mar05 Jan30   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 19% 4.40    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HARD CLOTH by HARD SPUN)
4  NATIONS PRIDE (IRE) Jul09         (appleby cha)BUICK T 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
  (by TEOFILO out of IMPORTANT TIME by OASIS DREAM (GB))
SCR  STOLEN BASE Aug05 Jul09 May07 Apr02 Mar05 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of RUNNING WILD by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  ANNAPOLIS Jul04 Jun03       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by WAR FRONT out of MY MISS SOPHIA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  ROYAL PATRONAGE (FR) Jul09         (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT (GB) out of SHALOUSHKA by DALAKHANI (IRE))
8  SY DOG Jul09 May07 Apr08     (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00    
  (by SLUMBER out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
9  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY Jul09 Jun25 May07 Apr02 Mar12 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 16% 5.10    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of PRIVATE WORLD by THUNDER GULCH)
10  STONE AGE (IRE) Jul29 Jul09 Jun30 Jun19 May21 (o'brien aidan)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.50    
  (by GALILEO out of BONANZA CREEK by HUNTERS BAY)
11  ETHEREAL ROAD Jun25 May21 Apr16 Apr09 Feb26 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SUSTAINED by AFFIRMED)
 
SAR-12   08/06/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERT BERT BERT Jul09 Jan09       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
SCR  URAGANO Jul15 May30 May06 Apr08 Mar05 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00    
2  YOUR MISSION Jul15         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  CURLIN'S WISDOM Jul28 May29 May01 Apr07 Feb05 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 17% 4.90    
4  ACTION JACKSON         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00    
5  SIR JOHN         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  EXCURSIONNISTE Jul09 May21 Apr24 Feb21   (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
7  WALK EM DOWN         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  DREAMPOINT Jul09 Jun10 May21 Apr24 Mar20 (sciacca gary)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00    
9  BIONDI Jul15 May30 Apr24     (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
10  CONQUIST Jun30 Jun09       (kimmel john)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
SCR  OLYMPIC DREAMS Jun30         (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.