Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - April 25, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(3/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-2   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/2)-(3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/2)-(3/2/6)-(1/4/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-3   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-4   WIN (1/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/7)-(1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/7)-(1/6/4)-(2/9/11/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-5   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(2/9/11/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(2/9/11/3)-(4/7/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-6   WIN (2/9/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/11/3)-(2/9/7/11/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/11/3)-(2/9/7/11/3)-(2/9/7/11/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/11/3)-(4/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/11/3)-(4/7/1/6)-(3/10/9/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-7   WIN (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/6)-(3/10/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/6)-(3/10/9/5)-(2/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-8   WIN (3/10/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/9/5)-(3/10/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/10/9/5)-(3/10/9/5)-(3/10/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/10/9/5)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/10/9/5)-(2/6/3)-(3/2/8/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-9   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(3/2/8/6/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CD-10   WIN (3/2/8/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/6/9)-(3/2/8/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/6/9)-(3/2/8/6/9)-(3/2/8/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   04/25/2026 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOO MANY MIKES Mar22 Jan25       (motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 8.00    
  (by LINE IN THE SAND out of A THOUSAND WORDS by LYPHARD'S WISH (FR))
2  ISLAND GIRL Apr04 Feb26 Jan15 Oct26 Oct03 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 9% 9.60    
  (by GOLDEN SOLDIER out of BANK'S IN TROUBLE by FAR OUT EAST)
3  ATI GIRL Mar29 Feb07 Dec27 Dec06 Aug28 (mott william )ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of HEAVENLY SCAT by SCAT DADDY)
4  UNA QUAEDAM Mar06 Dec03 Oct24     (caramori edu)TORRES A 118 20.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of TRENSITA by CURLIN)
5  PLAZA CUE Apr04 Jan09 Dec20 Nov16 Oct17 (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 126 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by SKY MESA out of SAMBA BREEZE by SUPER SAVER)
6  PURE JOY Mar14 Feb17 Jan22     (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 1.60 20% 4.00    
  (by ZAMINDAR out of PURE CLAN by PURE PRIZE)
 
CD-2   04/25/2026 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARGENT BILKO         (kenneally eddi)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by ARMY MULE out of HANDLE WITH CARE by TAPIZAR)
2  TIO COLOCHO         (hernandez )HERNANDEZ N 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHLY MOTIVATED out of COVEY TRACE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
SCR  BE MY PAL         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 4.50    
  (by GOLDEN PAL out of SANTA GUAPA by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  TIGRADO Apr03         (douaihy michel)ROMAN A 119 8.00 16% 5.40    
  (by NASHVILLE out of DANCENSING by TIZNOW)
5  HAPPY AWAY         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 116 1.40 38% 1.60    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of PAOLINA by FROSTED (GB))
6  MINDFUL KEEPER         (pomier chasey)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
  (by KEEPMEINMIND out of MAMA MAXINE by MORE THAN READY)
7  UNCLE WITH MONEY Apr09         (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
  (by UPSTART out of ROLL UP MO MONEY by UNCLE MO)
8  MO SURPRISES         (ennis john)SHEEHY DANNY 119 10.00    
  (by MO DONEGAL out of SURPRISE WEDDING by HIGH COTTON)
 
CD-3   04/25/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMPAGNE NIGHTS Mar18 Feb21 Feb05 Jan15 Dec27 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 124 8.00    
2  BARBRATINA May03 Mar16 Jun01 Apr06 Mar01 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  LADY ORIENT Mar09 Feb05 Jul31 Jul11 Jun06 (larose kinnon)ORTIZ L 124 1.20 37% 1.70    
4  MINT DRIVEN Mar28 Mar08 Dec27 Dec12 Oct06 (king l)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 12.00    
5  SAINT NANCY S Mar01 Jan15 Nov27 Nov14 Oct18 (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.50    
6  WILD ACCLAIM Mar04 Feb14 Dec19 Nov16 Oct22 (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-4   04/25/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ILLINI Apr08 Mar12 Feb25 Dec27 Dec10 (heath g)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
2  BET ON BRET Mar25 Mar04 Feb11 Jan21 Jan10 (wismer s)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
3  BE HERE Mar25 Mar05 Feb19 Jan22 Nov22 (walsh d)SHEEHY DANNY 118 10.00 14% 6.40    
4  UPTURNED BRIM Apr14 Feb26 Jan11 Jan02 Dec19 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00 15% 5.50    
5  LORD MAJESTY Apr08 Mar07 Feb19 Dec26 Nov23 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
6  READY PURSUIT Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan09 Dec20 (gonzalez reina)ROMAN A 118 15.00    
7  OUTLIER Feb23 Feb02 Jan13 Jan01 Dec12 (hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  HOCUS (GB) Nov12 Sep21 Jul11 May18 Jun21 (thompson mic)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50    
 
CD-5   04/25/2026 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISTUCKY Mar28 Feb15 Dec21 Nov22 Nov01 (dibona s)SAEZ LUIS 126 1.40 27% 2.70    
2  BAYTOWN BRUISER Mar07 Feb28 Dec21 Nov16 Oct31 (king barry)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50    
3  EXPLORATION Feb15 Feb05 Dec10 Sep27 Aug16 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00    
4  BRIDGE CLASSIC Feb26 Jan03 Sep14 Aug28 Jul20 (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MICHAEL'S COVE Mar12 Feb19 Dec18 Nov27 Jan31 (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00    
6  TIGER'S LEGACY Mar25 Apr30 Apr09 Feb23 Jan18 (davis christop)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
 
CD-6   04/25/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOKIE TIME Mar19         (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 8.00    
2  BLASPHEMOUS RUMORS         (stall alber)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00 63% 0.60    
3  FROSTY FOR EVER Mar19 Feb28 Jan03 Nov26 Oct26 (blair jordan)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  PAULINE'S ANGEL Apr03 Mar14 Feb18 Jan16   (king l)MACHADO DYLAN 125 30.00    
5  MUSCLE MOMMY Mar14 Feb27 Jan15 May26   (gorostiet)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 125 20.00    
6  MARIPOSA MOON Apr09 Mar18 Feb19 Jan22 Dec18 (foster eric)RAMOS D 118 12.00    
7  COCOA NIMBUS Mar26 Feb11 Jan21     (ennis john)SHEEHY DANNY 118 4.50 ★    
8  DANCEWHENYOUCAN Feb14 Dec14 Oct26 Sep11   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 5.00    
9  DODECAHEDRON Apr09 Mar26 Mar07 Feb18 Jan14 (antonuik jerry)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 8.00 7% 12.40    
10  EVALINA Mar07 Feb18 Jan22 Dec06 Oct27 (guerrero sa)JIMENEZ J 125 12.00    
11  VELVETEEN Apr07 Mar06 Feb13 Jan23 Dec20 (williamson bria)MEEKS MICAH 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
12  OJOS LOCOS Mar26 Mar13 Feb18 Jan14   (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 30.00    
SCR  CLICK Apr09 Mar14 Feb19 Jan15 Dec11 (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.50    
SCR  BIRKIN ELEGANCE Mar05 Jan30 Dec18 Nov28 Nov03 (bends p)MOJICA JR 118 30.00    
 
CD-7   04/25/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($78K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSY BEE Mar26 Feb07 Dec10 Nov06 Oct15 (foster eric)RAMOS D 118 10.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  SHEILA'S LION Mar14 Jan19 Dec26 Nov16 Nov07 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
3  JILL JITTERBUG Mar26 Mar11 Feb13 Jan16 Dec18 (walsh d)SHEEHY DANNY 118 8.00    
4  CLASSY'N CONNECTED Feb12 Dec26 Nov16 Sep26 Sep06 (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  RAZZLE RED Mar07 Feb13 Jan14 Dec27 Nov03 (grubbs ja)CORREA L 118 12.00    
6  WHITE LILACS Feb25 Feb07 Jan10 Dec27 Dec10 (salas fel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOODBETTERBEST Mar27 Feb27 Dec05 Nov01 Oct04 (vanden ber)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 30% 2.40    
8  LADY BLAKE Mar25 Feb19 Jan16 Dec04 Nov06 (baker )GUTIERREZ RAMOS 113 30.00    
9  DOZEN DIAMONDS Apr17 Mar13 Feb13 Nov28 Nov16 (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00    
 
CD-8   04/25/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR MUNNY Mar27 Mar08 Feb14 Dec27 Dec12 (vance thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
2  GUARDIAN Apr08 Feb28 Feb19 Feb05 Nov20 (foster eric)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
3  SHADOW COAST Feb15 Nov09 Sep24 Aug01 Jun06 (crichton g)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  A CAB ON THE ROCKS Mar12 Jan29 Jan04 Dec06 Oct03 (west w)TORRES A 118 8.00    
5  MR. SENSEI Apr08 Mar14 Feb19 Jan21 Nov25 (hernandez )HERNANDEZ N 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHI TOWN PRINCE Mar11 Jan21 Aug16 Jul20   (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50    
SCR  ARMY WILDCATTER Feb06 Dec17 Nov28 Oct17   (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 124 6.00    
SCR  DEWY'S DENALI Apr10 Mar27 Feb12 Dec18 Oct01 (gonzalez rei)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
9  PULGARCITO Mar12 Feb19 Dec12 Nov09 Aug08 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00 10% 8.90    
10  WHERE Y'AT Mar05 Feb01 Dec03 Nov02 Sep25 (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 5.00 14% 6.20    
11  IMPERIAL RULER Apr08 Mar19 Jun20 May25 Apr11 (bahena is)CORREA L 124 30.00    
SCR  STEFAN'S TITLE Apr08 Mar19 Feb27 Feb07   (pitts helen)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
SCR  ALTER BOY Apr10 Mar12 Feb28 Dec11 Nov12 (cline c)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
 
CD-9   04/25/2026 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Roxelana Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MAGIC PHILLY Jan24 Dec26 Nov15 Oct11 Sep01 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MY PHILLY GIRL by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  JERSEY PEARL Dec21 Nov08 Sep11 Jul04 Aug11 (miller darrin)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of JERSEY'S SOUL by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
3  MINK'S PALACE Dec21 Nov08 Sep13 Jul21 Jun21 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 18.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SCATTERING MINK by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  LOTSANDLOTSOFCANDY Feb17 Jan10 Nov30 May24 Jul29 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LOTSANDLOTSOFHOPE by TIZNOW)
SCR  LUCILLE BALL Mar01 Feb06 Jan02 Nov08   (englehart c)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SASSY REDHEAD by HENNY HUGHES)
6  ZEITLOS Mar27 Nov01 Oct04 Aug30 Jul19 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 19% 4.10    
  (by CURLIN out of THYME FOR ROSES by REDOUTE'S CHOICE)
7  VINCEY GIRL Mar27 Sep20 Aug16 Jun22 May11 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of GRACIOUS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  ASTERNIA Mar27 Mar06 Feb13 Aug30 Jul21 (morse l)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
  (by ASTERN out of LA CHEPIS by SUPER SAVER)
 
CD-10   04/25/2026 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE DOVER SPECTER Apr03 Feb26 Apr24 Mar29 Mar05 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 20.00    
2  ASHLEY'S ARCHER Mar28 Sep09 Aug16 Jul13 Apr09 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 125 4.50 29% 2.50    
3  WITHOUT (IRE) Apr03 Feb28 Jan31     (motion grah)ORTIZ JR 125 1.60 37% 1.70    
4  RAMBLIN Apr11 Feb28 Feb12 Jan16 Dec20 (barnett bob)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 30.00    
5  SEVEN WONDERS Jul19 Jun20 Sep28 Sep01 Jul26 (eurton peter)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00    
6  FORT THOMAS Apr03 Nov30 Nov02 Oct11 Sep04 (arnold geor)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  THEODORE GEORGE Feb08 Jan18 Nov20 Nov01   (mccarthy micha)SHEEHY DANNY 125 12.00    
8  TREATY OF ROME Mar22 Feb08 Jan04 Dec07 Oct26 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.00 9% 10.20    
9  CURLIN'S GESTURE Apr08 Mar21 Nov30 Nov07 Sep17 (jacobson d)CORRALES GERARDO 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  TELESCOPIC Jan03 Nov21 Oct25 Oct06 Sep01 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 125 15.00    
SCR  TAUNTING Mar18 Feb12 Dec11 Oct31 Oct05 (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 30.00    
SCR  WAR OFFICER Feb26 Jan29 Oct23 Oct09 Sep12 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 20.00    
SCR  WRITE OFF JERRY Mar06 Feb07 Jan17 Jan02 Nov16 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 125 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.