Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Keeneland
Friday - April 24, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(5/8/1/2)-(2/1/7/5/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-2   WIN (5/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2)-(5/8/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/1/2)-(2/1/7/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/2)-(2/1/7/5/9)-(2/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-3   WIN (2/1/7/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/5/9)-(2/1/7/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/5/9)-(2/1/7/5/9)-(2/1/7/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/7/5/9)-(2/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/5/9)-(2/7/8)-(2/7/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
KEE-4   WIN (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/8)-(2/7/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/8)-(2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/8)-(2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8)-(2/7/3)-(1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
KEE-5   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/3)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(1/4)-(3/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
KEE-6   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(3/2/1)-(9/1/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
KEE-7   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/6/4/1)-(3/2/6/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(9/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(9/1/3/5)-(7/1/6/9/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
KEE-8   WIN (9/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/5)-(9/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
KEE-9   WIN (7/1/6/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/9/2)-(7/1/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/9/2)-(7/1/6/9/2)-(7/1/6/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/6/9/2)-(6/11/1/4/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
KEE-10   WIN (6/11/1/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/11/1/4/5)-(6/11/1/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/11/1/4/5)-(6/11/1/4/5)-(6/11/1/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
KEE-1   04/24/2026 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLIGHTER Mar20 Jul15 Jun23     (navarrete ann)MORALES EDGAR 126 6.00 24% 3.20    
PUNKIN BOY Jun15 May25 May03 Aug18   (mccall will)CONCEPCION AXEL 126 20.00    
BACKSIDE Apr12 Mar14 Feb19 Nov16   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 126 1.80 43% 1.30    
SCR  QUALITY SPIRITS Mar05 Feb14 Aug02 Jun29   (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 1.40    
DOKKODO Mar27 Feb21       (thompson ron)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
OTZELBERGER Mar04 Jan07 Dec05 Oct08 Aug24 (murphy conor)SHEEHY DANNY 118 3.00    
ADMIRAL HALL May23         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 126 4.00    
 
KEE-2   04/24/2026 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE CHAMPAGNE         (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REDATTORE (BRZ) out of NO PESO NO DANCE by EMERALD JIG)
GLITZ AND RITZ         (hancock a)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of RITZ AND GLITZ by DESERT PARTY)
MALLET LADY         (bahe)ANTONGEORGI JR 119 30.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HELEN SUNG by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  FRONTLINE FURY Apr08         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of WHOA NELLIE by ORB)
SHINING MOMENT         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 32% 2.10    
  (by YES IT'S TRUE out of BLIND COPY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
ZARZUELA         (caramori )CARRASCO R 119 8.00    
  (by SEATTLE SLEW out of HARD TO COPY by MR. PROSPECTOR)
MIGHT COULD         (wojczynski jus)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of POP BY by CITY ZIP)
EXTRAVAGANZOO         (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by GOLDEN PAL out of PRISONER'S DILEMMA by BLAME)
SCR  JOKER'S CHIC Apr15         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CHICALELEE by CHEROKEE RUN)
 
KEE-3   04/24/2026 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPRUDENT Mar14         (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
SPEED SKATER Apr11 Mar14 Jan18     (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.20 31% 2.20    
UNIONVILLE Mar22         (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00    
RATHER LATE Mar26 Aug18 Jul05 Jun11 May15 (hancock john )MACHADO DYLAN 118 30.00    
STAY BEAUTIFUL Feb14 Jan15 Nov05 Oct08 Sep16 (knippenberg )RAMOS D 118 10.00 10% 8.60    
LEXI'S MELODY Apr08 Feb19       (mckeever andre)SHEEHY DANNY 118 20.00    
SENORA D'ORO Mar27 Mar13 Feb14 Dec18 Nov23 (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 18% 4.50    
SHIDONI Apr14 Mar19 Feb26 Feb12 Jan15 (sala)ANTONGEORGI JR 118 30.00    
DREAMWIFEDREAMLIFE Mar27 Feb12 Aug09 May30 May04 (reed r)MCKEE J 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLEXGO Mar26 Mar12 Feb14 Jan15 Nov22 (grubbs ja)BERMUDEZ E 118 30.00    
 
KEE-4   04/24/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($58K) 3 ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EPIC SUMMER Mar29 Jan31 Jan03 Oct26   (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80    
DAMASCUS STEEL Feb21 Jan24       (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
NINE BALL Mar06 Nov01 Sep13 Aug23   (mott riley)TORRES A 118 4.50    
SOMETIME Mar27 Mar06 Jan03 Dec06 Nov08 (simms jr)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
TOBIN LEE Apr08 Mar14 Sep27 Sep19   (anderson doug )SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
COMPRESSED Feb06 Jan23 Oct09 Aug17 Jul19 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
STOLEN POWER Mar18 Mar05 Nov13 Oct27 Oct02 (williams colby)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 24% 3.20    
DR FENN Mar14 Jan21 Nov13 Nov05 Oct15 (ennis john)SHEEHY DANNY 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AMERICAN BEAR Feb14 Feb06 Oct24 Oct09 Sep13 (bahe)ANTONGEORGI JR 118 20.00    
 
KEE-5   04/24/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($77K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INORDINARY Apr15 Oct04 Sep26 Aug23 Aug05 (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
EASY DIAL Mar20         (meah m)SHEEHY DANNY 125 8.00 48% 1.10    
DIXIE DEVIL Jun21 May10 Apr19 Mar27 Feb14 (humphries tho)MACHADO DYLAN 125 6.00 6% 16.30    
CREATURE         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  MAINSTREAM Feb08 Jul16 Jun07 May03 Mar29 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 125 1.20    
MY LUCKY PENNY         (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
CITY OF LIFE Mar25 Feb13 Jan16 Dec18 Nov23 (wism)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 10.00 20% 4.00    
HYPERLINK Aug11 Jun12       (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SCR  HIGH HONORS Apr11 Feb19 Nov30 Oct26 Oct05 (meah m)CURTIS BEN 118 20.00    
 
KEE-6   04/24/2026 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY PRINCESS Mar06 Feb14 Jan16 Dec26 Nov29 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  TRUST FUND PHILLY Feb28 Jan31 Jan01 Nov26 Feb15 (eurton peter)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00    
SCR  ABSOLUTE HONOR Feb05 Oct17 Aug14 Jul10 Jun06 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40    
QUEEN JUBILEE Jan30 Feb27 Jan19 Dec29 Nov30 (beckman whit)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 13% 6.50    
TESOURO DE PIRATA Jun27         (aranha lu)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00    
EXPECTO PATRONUM Apr08 Jul26 May02 Feb27 Feb01 (rice linda)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
 
KEE-7   04/24/2026 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($69K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVE O' SOMEWHERE Mar14 Feb14 Jan03 Nov28 Nov12 (shirer matt)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHOW TIME Mar01 Jan29 Jan08 Nov27 Sep11 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
SWILL Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 Dec20 Nov23 (foster )DE CRUZ 118 5.00 41% 1.40    
FREEZE THE FIRE Mar22 Feb14 Jan23 Dec20 Nov29 (salzman john )ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
MIACOMET Jan09 Dec06 Nov15 Aug23 Jul14 (esquivel gu)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 30.00    
FUNNY UNCLE Feb21 Jan11 Jan03 Dec05 Nov28 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
UNWORKABLE Mar14 Feb19 Dec27 Oct15 Sep25 (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 20.00    
CHISELER Mar21 Feb05 Dec06 Nov15 Sep18 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 8.00    
CERVARO DELLA SALA (GB) Mar06 Dec21 Nov30 Nov05 Oct08 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 113 10.00    
 
KEE-8   04/24/2026 7920ft TURF RC12 FIRM Bewitch Purse ($350K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAY TO BE MARIE Mar21 Nov08 Sep06 Jul10 May17 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WOMAN OF THE WORLD by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
VIRGIN COLADA Feb25 Jan10 Nov07 Aug31 Jul05 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EPISCOPAL by CARPE DIEM (FR))
VENENCIA (FR) Feb28 Jan24 Dec24 Oct19 Sep06 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RECOLETOS out of SIGN OF LIFE by LEMON DROP KID)
TRIUMPHANT SPIRIT Jan17 Dec26 Nov27 Oct23 Nov30 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 20.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of SWEET CANDY DANCE by TWIRLING CANDY)
GOLDEN SUNSHINE Feb11 Dec21 Oct31 Sep27 Aug22 (harty eoin)TORRES A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FITFUL SKIES by DUBAWI)
MRS. ASTOR Mar15 Jan19 Nov23 Aug15 Jun14 (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of CAUSAL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
SCR  JUST BASKING Mar28 Feb28 Jan15 Mar18 Aug17 (wilkes r)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
  (by ARROGATE out of SPANISH STAR by BLAME)
LITERATE Mar21 Feb28 Jan10 Dec21 Nov15 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of INFANTA BRANCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SPEED SHOPPER Mar28 Jan24 Dec20 Oct04 Aug24 (walden willia)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FAST RETAILING by MALIBU MOON)
 
KEE-9   04/24/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISLAND TOWN Aug08         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 29% 2.40    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of CHRISTIANSTED by ARTIE SCHILLER)
STUNNING         (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of OH MY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
HOVLAND Feb19         (davis christo)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
  (by CONNECT out of BAG OF TRICKS by DEVIL'S BAG)
EL TIO         (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ROUGHING by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  MUMDOGGIE Mar15 Nov23 Oct26     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of MISS BEATRICE by LIAM'S MAP)
IMPRACTICAL Mar21 Nov23 Oct19     (beckman w)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PREDECESSOR out of BREAD N' WATER by HIGH ECHELON)
NATIONAL CHARTER         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TOTALLY TUCKER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
GUN RANGE         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BELLA CARINA by WAR FRONT)
MR. ALL IN Mar21         (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of AIN'T NO ELMERS by GOLDENCENTS)
SCR  MCCANN Apr15         (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
  (by MITOLE out of TASTE LIKE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
11  HAPPY I GOT IT         (mitchell sher)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 30.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of K D'S GIRL by CURLIN)
 
KEE-10   04/24/2026 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG DESTINY Mar06 Jan09 Oct27 Sep26 Aug10 (sims ma)DE CRUZ 118 4.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  CLASSY'N CONNECTED Feb12 Dec26 Nov16 Sep26 Sep06 (drury tho)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
EQUITAS Mar21 Feb22 Jan18 Dec28 Sep19 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 30.00    
AWESOMESAUCE Mar14 Feb13 Jan15 Dec20   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 10% 9.40    
NECESSITY Mar12 Jan24 Dec26 Nov28 Oct18 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
PRETTY PICTURE Nov28 Oct18 Sep06 Aug03   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
NIGHT OF ROSE         (lobo h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 30.00    
UNMERITED FAVOR Dec27 Nov15 Oct10 Sep04 Aug10 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
BEFRIENDED Feb25 Jan14 Mar26 Mar06 Jan23 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
SCR  RANDOM HARVEST (IRE) Mar29 Dec21 May11 Dec20 Oct26 (toner j)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
11  MASSARAT Sep04 Jun29 May01 Mar22 Feb27 (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 18% 4.60    
12  SARAWAK RIM (ARG) Jan15 Nov01       (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.