Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - December 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(3/1/4)-(4/7/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(4/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(4/7/3/5)-(6/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/5)-(6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/5)-(6/7/5)-(7/1/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(7/1/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(7/1/9/3)-(7/8/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (7/1/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/9/3)-(7/1/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/9/3)-(7/1/9/3)-(7/1/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/9/3)-(7/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/9/3)-(7/8/1/6)-(1/5/8/2/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-6   WIN (7/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/1/6)-(1/5/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1/6)-(1/5/8/2/9)-(11/5/3/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/5/8/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/2/9)-(1/5/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/2/9)-(1/5/8/2/9)-(1/5/8/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/8/2/9)-(11/5/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-8   WIN (11/5/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/5/3/10)-(11/5/3/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/5/3/10)-(11/5/3/10/2)-(11/5/3/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELEVATE Nov02 Oct03       (mcpeek )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 1.40 43% 1.30    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of DR. MELFI by FREUD)
2  WAVELESS (GB)         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
  (by THREE VALLEYS out of WEMYSS BAY by SADLER'S WELLS)
3  FORMAGGIO Oct30 Nov08 Oct18 Sep22 Aug25 (brion ke)SANTANA JR 122 3.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LAQUEZZA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  LAYLANI LOU Nov02 Oct03 Sep01     (martin carl)RIVERA A 115 8.00 6% 16.90    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MISS LUANN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  PAY THE BILLS (FR) Nov02 Sep21 Aug24 Jul24 Jun05 (metivier)VILLA FAVINHO 124 20.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of AVOCATE by LAWMAN)
6  ENDLESS KISS Nov20 Oct25       (synnefias pan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of TRADING KISSES by AROUSE)
 
AQU-2   12/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALVATION Nov01 Oct03 Jul27 Nov07 Oct03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00 22% 3.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LOVELY RATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
2  ROGER ROGER Oct03 Aug10 Jul04 Feb01 Dec21 (green amelia )VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CAXAMBAS PASS by TIZNOW)
3  TIME TO WIN Nov01 Oct03 Sep01     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.00 49% 1.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NAGAMBIE by FLATTER)
4  LOVE'M OR LIAM Nov01 Feb22 Jan11 Dec01   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00 7% 14.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of FLY ME TO DUBAI by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  IMPLACABLE Oct10         (summers ch)RIVERA R 121 10.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of ELUSIVE COLLECTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  TIZ FREEDOM Nov13 Oct12 Aug17 Jul06   (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 121 15.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of ENOUGH by ARCH)
 
AQU-3   12/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MCDIESEL Nov12 Apr26 Mar16 Jan02 Nov16 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
2  TAPWRITS TEMPER Nov01 Oct23 Oct04 Jul16 Jun12 (potts wayne)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
3  DARK VECTOR Nov13 Oct22 Sep20 Aug14 Jan13 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
4  SHADOW SURGE Nov23 Nov01 Oct11 Apr13   (kantarmaci )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 1.60 34% 1.90    
5  READY SET TWIRL Oct22 Sep19 Sep01 Aug16 Jul26 (rodriguez r)LABOY CHRISJOEL 110 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  PANDEMIC HERO Oct28 Oct17 Sep14 Aug13 Jul14 (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
7  SPIRIT DRAGON Nov01 Jun26 May09     (kimmel j)SANTANA JR 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
 
AQU-4   12/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRESLAU Oct18 Aug13 Jun26 May01 Mar22 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
2  LIGHT THE WAY Nov02 Oct18 Sep27 Aug29 Jul12 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00    
SCR  OVER AND OLLIE Nov02 Oct09 Aug23 Jul04 Jan18 (dutrow richar)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
SCR  ACOUSTIC AVE Oct25 Oct18 Oct09 Aug30 Jul04 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00    
5  SIGNATOR Nov15 Sep10 Aug01 Jun14 May24 (synnefias pan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00 5% 18.50    
6  EXACT ESTIMATE Sep27 Aug09 Jun19 Apr19 Jan25 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
7  DEAR DAD Nov15 Oct17 Sep27 Sep06 Aug06 (arriaga ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00 26% 2.90    
 
AQU-5   12/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE NINES FINE Nov06 Jun04 Apr26 Jan23 Dec28 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SILVER STREET by STREET BOSS)
2  RARE SOCIETY Nov06 Oct09 Feb22     (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MARVELOUS MARTINA by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  PATIENCE N GRACE Nov06 Sep18 May16 Mar29   (bond kevin)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of COUNTABLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  LUMINESCYNT Oct01 Sep10       (coffey )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 30.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of AMERICAN LYNX by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  RED VELVET CAKE Nov06 Sep18       (giddings mela)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50    
  (by DIAMOND (GB) out of MADE FROM SCRATCH by WAQUOIT)
6  SASSETTI Oct24 Oct09 Aug24 Jul26 Jun29 (bond ja)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SCHEME by TIZWAY)
7  FOREVER TO GO May25 Apr13 Mar29 Feb08 Dec28 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  WILL OF A WOMANNE Aug24 Jul26 Jun05 Apr26 Mar08 (morley t)SANTANA JR 122 5.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of ANNIE GO LIGHTLY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
9  RED BOOTS Nov06 Aug21       (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STORM BOOT out of CRIMSON CASHMERE by MT. LIVERMORE)
 
AQU-6   12/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS LAO Nov19 Oct27 Oct13 Oct01 Sep21 (sells r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 6.00 8% 11.70    
2  SPRING MAGIC Nov14 Nov03 Sep14 Jul25 Jul10 (noda orland)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00    
3  FARM HOUSE Nov09 Oct22 Aug21 Jul23 Jun14 (lalman denn)RIVERA A 113 8.00    
4  FLOGE Nov20 Sep21 Aug06 Jul13 May26 (romero j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.00    
SCR  RODEO STAR Oct23 Sep25 Aug06 Jul10 Jun28 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 120 5.00    
6  DOLCE SERA Oct23 Oct03 Sep14 Jul27 Jun28 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  FOXY CARA Nov19 Oct09 Sep25 Aug29 Jul27 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
8  DIVINE GRACE Nov11 Oct10 Sep20 Aug19 Jul19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-7   12/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUT THE CORD Nov12 Oct13 Sep13 Aug16 Jul27 (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 40% 1.50    
2  PALACE BOSS Oct11 Sep12 Aug16 Jun20 May24 (de hor)RIVERA R 121 5.00 7% 13.50    
3  WYNSTOCK Nov14 Oct24 Sep25 Aug22 Jul31 (abreu ferna)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00    
4  BARON OF SEALAND Oct22 Sep13 Aug27 Jun14 Feb15 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
5  RUSSIAN REALM Oct11 Aug10 Jul05 Jan16 Dec14 (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50 13% 6.60    
6  ALAN TURING Nov06 Oct16 Sep14 Aug16 Jul20 (quick patri)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
7  DOLLY'S BANK Oct11 Aug02 Mar01 Jan26 Dec15 (winne)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
8  KING'S LEAP Nov07 Oct06 Aug21 Jul29 Jul14 (ferraro anth)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 12% 7.30    
9  WILLINTORISKITALL Oct11 Sep01 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  CHIEF LIAM Oct05 Aug24 Feb24 Jan04 Nov23 (mcpeek )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00    
 
AQU-8   12/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPLEX MUSIC Nov14 Oct19 Sep12 Aug18 Jun27 (chichakly amir)CIVACI SAHIN 120 10.00    
2  SMILENSAYCHEESE Oct22 Oct04 Jul16 Jun04 Jan02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 ★    
3  JUNGLE GLOW Nov01 Oct04 Aug22 Aug02 Jul20 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 15.00 11% 8.20    
4  SOLO EMPIRE Nov07 Oct05 Aug27 Aug03 Jul11 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00    
5  LOU Nov07 Sep13 Aug27 Jul17 Jun19 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  TWO'S A CROWD Nov07 Sep13 Dec14 Nov22 Oct24 (ryan s)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
7  AERO STAR Nov14 Oct17 Sep20 Aug14 Jul16 (potts wayne)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SCR  ELVIS HIMSELF Nov07 Oct10 Sep14 Aug29 Aug08 (salazar)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00    
9  REGISTER Oct24 Sep12 Aug20 Jul12 Jun15 (donk david)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00    
10  FREE DANCE Nov14 Oct02 Sep22 Jun15 Apr25 (englehar)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 7% 12.40    
11  FRIZZANTE Nov07 Oct24 Oct09 Sep13 Aug17 (summers cha)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.