Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Wednesday - October 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (7/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3)-(6/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (1/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/3)-(6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/3)-(6/8/5)-(6/11/3/12/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (6/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/5)-(6/2/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/5)-(6/2/8/5)-(6/2/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/5)-(6/11/3/12/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5)-(6/11/3/12/7)-(9/10/5/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (6/11/3/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/11/3/12/7)-(6/11/3/12/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/11/3/12/7)-(6/11/3/12/7)-(6/11/3/12/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/11/3/12/7)-(9/10/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/11/3/12/7)-(9/10/5/4)-(8/2/3/4/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-5   WIN (9/10/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/5/4)-(9/10/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/5/4)-(9/10/5/4/7)-(9/10/5/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/10/5/4)-(8/2/3/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/10/5/4)-(8/2/3/4/1)-(8/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (8/2/3/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/4/1)-(8/2/3/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/4/1)-(8/2/3/4/1)-(8/2/3/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/3/4/1)-(8/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/4/1)-(8/4/6)-(2/5/7/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (8/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/6)-(8/4/9/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6)-(8/4/9/3/6)-(8/4/9/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/4/6)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (2/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/6/3)-(2/5/7/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   10/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONFABULATION Oct09 Aug14 Aug03 Jan23 Dec28 (nevin mich)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
BROWN DON'T STOP Aug19 Jul25 Jun21 Jun07 May11 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 124 20.00    
COLLECT FROM IKE May24 Mar16 Feb27 Feb09 Jan04 (diprima gr)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST OF HIS NAME Aug10 Jun07 Apr17 Feb21 Aug24 (potts wayne)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
AWESOME EMPIRE Sep23 Aug26 Aug08 Jul04 Jun12 (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 28% 2.60    
FUNNY UNCLE Sep12 Aug27 Jan24 Dec13 Nov09 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 124 3.50    
FLAT ON Sep12 Aug20 Jul17 Jul03 Apr12 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
KNOX Sep27 Aug12 Jun15 May31 May17 (summers cha)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APALTA Oct03 Aug08 Jul04     (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
EXTRASENSORY Aug27         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
KAVANAUGH Sep01 Aug07 Jul13 Jun28 May31 (brown bruc)RIVERA R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
FIDDLING FELIX Oct03 Aug27 Jul30 Jul17 Jun27 (abreu fernando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 6% 17.00    
METATRON Sep12 Jun06 Apr13     (david ca)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 11% 8.50    
POROSITY Feb07         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
PRIVATE FLIGHT Sep01 Jul16 Jun20     (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
SCR  THORSNESS Sep19 Feb27 Jan25     ( )TBA null      
 
BAQ-3   10/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKTRACK Aug08 Jun28 May26 Apr17 Mar27 (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 120 3.00    
SMILENSAYCHEESE Oct04 Jul16 Jun04 Jan02 Dec14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50    
DIALBOLICO Sep20 Aug22 Jul26 Jun14 May24 (quick patrick)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00    
ZAKAT Jul24 Jun27       (kantarm)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00    
MACKVILLE Aug22 Jul06 Jun14 May24 Apr23 (potts way)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
DARK VECTOR Sep20 Aug14 Jan13 Dec28 Dec02 (barrera osc)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 70% 0.40    
SENOR PICKLES Jul05         (giangiul)SANTANA JR 123 10.00    
SITTIN CHILLY Oct04 Sep13 Aug22 Jul06 May03 (parker joseph)JARA FERNANDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/22/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION EXPRESS Sep13 Jul24 Jun28 May25 Mar15 (charler)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 20.00    
MISSION HILL Aug31 Jul27 Jun04 Jun30 Jun06 (duggan david )FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
THE BOONDOCKER Aug28 Jul04 Jun01 Aug10   (morley thom)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00 8% 10.80    
LANDAUER Sep13 Aug14 Jul24 Jun28 May18 (sciacc)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00    
READY SET TWIRL Sep19 Sep01 Aug16 Jul26 Jul10 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
LANDMAN FRIDAY Aug16 Jul05 Apr05 Mar07   (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
BULLDOZE Aug30 Jul12 Jun07 Apr23 Mar02 (zito nicholas )LUZZI J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NEW MATTHEW Sep12 Aug21 Aug04 Jul15 Jun30 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
SPINBACK Sep19 Mar27 Feb12 Jan18 Dec06 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
10  OATH OF OMERTA Aug28 Jul27 Jun14 May25 Jan17 (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
11  REAL SAVVY Sep12 Aug17 Nov03 Aug30 Aug01 (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
12  COGNOSCENTI Sep12 Jul30 Jul06 May11 Mar09 (dougherty devon)DAVIS KATIE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
13  COME FULL CIRCLE Oct05 Aug01 Jul19 Jun28 May26 (dunham )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00    
SCR  I CAN SEE THAT Sep28 Aug31 Apr05 Mar24 Mar10 (levine b)SANTANA JR 124 6.00    
SCR  DESPERATE PROPOSAL Sep01 Aug03 Jul06 May17 Apr23 (green amelia )VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00    
SCR  GOTTA GUY Sep13 Aug14 Jul25 May25 Feb09 (padilla o)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/22/2025 3960ft TURF RC2 GOOD Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVERY'S WONDERLAND Sep25 Aug16       (dutrow richar)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
CATHOLIC VICE Sep25 Aug27       (martin f)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
DOPPIO ESPRESSO Aug27         (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 15.00    
GREYJOY Sep21         (terranova )RIVERA R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
HONOR THE NUMBERS Aug27         (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ALMA'S LAW Sep06 Aug16       (jimenez jos)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 12.00    
BASHFUL BABY Aug28         (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
MARAJOLINE Sep14         (sacco gregor)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
ALWAYS READY Sep11 Jul12 May03     (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
10  PRINCESS ANDI Aug29         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOUTH PHILLY SLIDE Sep21 Aug21       (green am)SANTANA JR 119 4.00    
SCR  COPPER CADUCEUS Oct03         (morley thomas)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
SCR  BLACK ROSE Oct05 Aug14 Jul24     (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50    
SCR  MEDIUM COOL Aug31         (sanchez jose)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
SCR  NEVER HEATHER Sep25 Aug07       (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
SCR  CREDIT RISK Sep12         (bartkows)SANTANA JR 119 2.50    
 
BAQ-6   10/22/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEED OF SOUND Sep26 Aug24 Jul27 May23   (summers ch)RIVERA R 120 8.00 6% 15.80    
ITWILLBEFUN Sep12 Jul12 May25 Apr18 Feb17 (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 14% 6.00    
HELEN'S REVENGE Mar28 Feb09 Jan04 Dec13 Oct18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 11% 8.10    
AURORALINNA Sep25 Aug15 Jul30 Jul10 Jun12 (potts way)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 8% 11.30    
BLENHEIM BABY Mar22 Feb22 Jun27 Jun15 Apr17 (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 123 20.00    
MARGAUX TREASURE Aug29 Aug01 May25 Apr26 Feb19 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00    
FARM HOUSE Aug21 Jul23 Jun14 May16 Mar28 (lalman dennis)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
TAKE ME TO LONDYN Jan01 Nov30 Oct31     (cox h)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.50 32% 2.10    
CHOCOLATECHOCOLATE Sep21 Jul30 Jul03 May17 Apr12 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
SCR  THAT'S FUNNY Oct09 Aug15 Jul16 Jun20 May17 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYTHICAL MAN Aug16 Jul04 Dec06 Oct03 Aug21 (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
GENE AND JUDE Aug03 Jun28 Jan11 Dec08 Aug30 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00    
GEM MINT TEN Aug24 Jul17 Jun04 May11 Nov08 (falcone ro)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
FINAL DENILE Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 Apr05 Mar15 (de h)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
OUTTAWATERBURY Sep12 Aug21 Jul30 Jul20 May25 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 12.00    
BARON OF SEALAND Sep13 Aug27 Jun14 Feb15 Jan05 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
STORM THE STREETS Sep20 Jul12 Jun01 Apr13 Mar13 (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
RIGHT TO WIN (IRE) Sep12 Jul24 May26 Mar22 Feb23 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
HEDGE THE RISK Sep13 Aug14 Jul26 Jun29 Jul13 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00    
10  LIFE AND LIGHT Sep12 Jul17 Jun21 May02 Mar29 (pringle ed)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
SCR  HEATHGUARD Sep12 Feb08 Jan18 Nov29 Nov02 (lerman )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 8.00    
SCR  BAY OF BENGAL Sep12 Feb15 Jan17     (motion gr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
SCR  MR FLOWERS Oct05 Sep01 Jul30 Jul17 May17 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50    
SCR  HOUSE UNITED Oct05 Sep12 Aug16 Jul18 Jun12 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80    
SCR  RANGER BATTALION Oct05 Sep12 Aug14 Jul12 May08 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
SCR  FRIZZANTE Oct09 Sep13 Aug17 Jun29 Jun06 (abreu fernando)RIDER TBA 124 3.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/22/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY DELILAH Sep25 Aug24 Aug07 Jul18 Jun26 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
JUST ONE MORE Sep20 Aug24 Aug02 Jun29 Jan11 (de h)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
ON A SUMMER DAY Sep20 Jul26 Jun29 Jun05 Apr24 (pregman jr)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
VIETTI Sep20         (bond kevin)DAVIS KATIE 124 12.00    
PRINCESS SUMMER Aug07 Jul18 Jun13 Jul27 Jun27 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
ADDAGIRL ADDIE Sep20 Aug23 Jul25 Jun26 Jun13 (rodriguez g)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00    
SKY LOW LOW Aug23 Oct20       (devaux )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
KISSED BY KARMA Aug07 Jun13 Nov02 Sep13   (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
CHARMEUSE Sep25         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
10  MY GORGEOUS Sep19 Jul30 Jun26 Jun19 May26 (keith)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 30.00    
SCR  HEAVENS LEE Sep20 Aug23 Apr03 Feb27 Dec06 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
SCR  TIZALLMINE Sep20 Aug23 Jul30 Jul13 May26 (metivier)VILLA FAVINHO 124 30.00    
SCR  FIRE AGATE Oct03 Aug23 Jul18     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00    
SCR  BROKEALLTHERULES Sep27 Sep18       (dutrow rich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE Oct02 Aug24 Jun26 Jun13 May26 (pregman jo)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 8.00    
SCR  ASHDALE Jun26 May24 Oct19     (bond kevin)DAVIS KATIE 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.