Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (9/2/7/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/7/4/3)-(9/2/7/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/7/4/3)-(9/2/7/4/3)-(9/2/7/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/7/4/3)-(7/1/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/2/7/4/3)-(7/1/2/5)-(6/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5)-(7/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/5)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/5)-(6/3/1)-(3/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(3/2/1)-(6/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(6/5/1)-(3/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(3/5/4)-(1/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(1/2/4)-(4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAY MAYHEM Sep09 Jul17 Jun21 May28 May03 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
2  CORNER OFFICE Sep18 Aug27 Aug04 Mar11 Feb10 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 14% 6.00    
3  SAMMY'S SMILE Aug12 Jul01 Jun04 May12 Apr30 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  TURNING PAGES Jul09 Jul10 Jun18 May23 Oct12 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LITTLE TOY GUNS Sep09 Aug18 Jun21 Jun03 May03 (tooley )PILARES P 119 6.00    
6  MUTINY Sep09 Aug27 Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
7  PROSECUTOR Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul14 Jun26 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 4.00 13% 6.80    
8  IRONCLAD ALIBI Aug06 Jul09 May27 Apr29 Apr02 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 121 10.00    
9  WETZEL Sep04 Aug19 Aug04 Jul08 Jun25 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  MEDIA DARLING Aug19 Jul16 May22 Apr01 Mar19 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 20.00    
 
TDN-2   09/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCH ME DADDY Aug23 Jul17 Jul05 Jun18 Jun06 (smith larry)RIVERA R 115 1.80 36% 1.80    
2  WILD MARIAH Aug19 Aug07 Jun30 Jun09 Jan23 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  RIVER HUSTLER Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 Jun09 May09 (urieta johann)TOLEDO S 119 6.00    
4  SHEMITEBEAPORCHE Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jun21 May27 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 121 8.00    
5  ZASHIXIARAYAN Aug19 Aug14 Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 (ott l)PEREZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY DANIELA Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 Jun24 (blackhurst randy)AVILES YAN 119 4.50    
7  MON MINOU Aug29 Jul17 May08 Apr21   (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 117 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
TDN-3   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER FLOWING Aug25         (zielinski rich)DIAZ I 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PERPETUITY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  ROSES N LACE Sep10 Aug25       (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 118 12.00    
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
3  LOCO COCO Aug25         (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALLIDE VALLEY out of CAFFEINE RUSH by HANDSOME MIKE)
4  JAC'S COCOABELLA Sep02 Aug25       (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 2.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of SPIT'S IMAGE by MOBIL)
5  HOLLY'S HOBBY         (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118 3.50    
  (by TAPIDOR out of RAGGEDY ANNIE by UNION RAGS)
6  PERFECT ANGEL Sep10 Aug25 Aug06 Jul17 Jul03 (dacosta ja)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 1.40 69% 0.50    
  (by CISCO ROAD out of ABSOLUTE DELIGHT by BABY SLEWY)
 
TDN-4   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAKS HONEY Sep09 Aug06 May12 Mar31 Feb05 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 5.00 15% 5.80    
2  HENRY THE CAT Sep09 Oct11 Aug27 Aug13 Jul25 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 3.00 16% 5.40    
3  POWERFUL PHIL Aug29 May07 Apr21 Mar22 Feb11 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 1.60 47% 1.10    
4  RUN ROCKY Jul17 Jun25 Sep09 Aug06 Jul10 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 8.00    
5  VENTURE ON Sep10 Aug27 Aug14 Aug04 Jul15 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00    
 
TDN-5   09/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITE Sep11 Jul10 Jun24 Jun16 May12 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 18% 4.40    
2  RED HEAD KID Sep10 Aug29 Aug07 Jul26 Jul18 (orantes y)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 4.00    
3  CLEVELAND POWER Aug07 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 Jun12 (lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 119 2.50    
4  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Sep18 Aug27 Aug12 Jul09 May27 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
5  DR. ZARNETT Aug29 Jun04 May12 May03 Mar31 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
6  INDIAN FEVER Nov11 Oct03 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-6   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLLIE'S FOLLY Jun21 May28 May07 Apr21 Mar19 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 1.60    
2  GRAY DAY Sep04 Aug12 Jun23 May26 Apr29 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00    
3  RED CHILI PEPPER Aug11 Jul17 Jun10 Jan16 Dec02 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 121 3.50 35% 1.80    
4  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Sep11 Aug06 Jun12 May22 Apr30 (tumblin an)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 5.00 16% 5.40    
5  MOMMA K'S BOY Sep04 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 Jun10 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
TDN-7   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLESTON Sep04 Aug18 Jun21 May27 May06 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 1.80 49% 1.00    
2  ALL MY LIFE Sep11 Mar22 Feb28 Dec12   (dacosta ja)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 8.00 22% 3.60    
3  KNICKS GLORY Sep15 Aug13 Jun30 May08 Mar02 (colebrook ben)BRACHO A 119 2.50    
4  IT'S BOBS BUSINESS Sep20 Aug20 Jul30 Jul04 Jun19 (be)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  PENSACOLA Aug25 Jun23 May13 Oct11 Aug04 (cowans d)RIVERA R 121 2.00    
 
TDN-8   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REVENUE TRAIN Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 Aug05 Jul06 (ramgeet tina)RIVERA R 121 15.00    
SCR  BAH HUMBUG Sep12 Aug25 Jun24 Jun02 Jan10 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00    
3  EXPLOSIVE LADY Jun04 May14 Apr24 Mar30 Mar07 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 4.50    
SCR  GETAWAY BAY Jul01 Sep26 Sep11 Aug21 Jul11 (dacosta ja)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
5  OVERLY DRAMATIC Sep08 Aug12 Aug03 Jun24 Jun10 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 121 4.00 ★    
6  SWEET MUSIC (CHI) Aug27 Jul26 Jul03 Jun07 May22 (be)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.