Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - August 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(8/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(8/3/1)-(5/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (8/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/1)-(8/3/1/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1)-(8/3/1/10/2)-(8/3/1/10/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/1)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1)-(5/6/4)-(3/2/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(3/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(3/2/6/5)-(2/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/5)-(3/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/5)-(3/2/6/5)-(3/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/5)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/5)-(2/6/3)-(7/9/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(7/9/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(7/9/3/4)-(7/3/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (7/9/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/3/4)-(7/9/10/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/3/4)-(7/9/10/3/4)-(7/9/10/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/9/3/4)-(7/3/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/3/4)-(7/3/1/5)-(4/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (7/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/5)-(7/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/5)-(7/3/1/5)-(7/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/5)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODNESS SAKES Jul09 Jun23 May27 May08 Apr23 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 5% 17.70    
2  MISSION GIRL Jul01 Jun18 Dec04 Nov18 Oct09 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 1.60 64% 0.60    
SCR  HELLO SWEETS Jul01 Jun07 May21 Mar17 Feb08 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
4  FABULOUS CLOWN Jul09 Jun23 Jun02 May12 Apr22 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 121 8.00    
5  TRULY INCLUSIVE Jul01 Jun18 Jun02 May12 Jan24 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 18.40    
6  STATE OF GRACE Jul09 Jun10 May21 Apr23 Apr07 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 15.00    
7  TWERK Jul09 Jun18 Jun02 May12 Apr28 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
 
TDN-2   08/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSIC JEWEL Jul18 Jul10 Jun21 Jun06 May02 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of SHANGHAI JEWEL by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
2  TRUTH N SOUL Jul09 Jun12 Apr29 Aug31 Jul27 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 ★    
  (by INDY WIND out of SAYITRIGHT KAT by SURF CAT)
3  SON OF A G Q         (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of MS. G Q by MERCER MILL)
4  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Jul01 Jun12 May26 May14 Apr29 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 20.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
5  EL MEXICANO Jul09 Jun12 Jun04 May14 Apr29 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of FLASHY PEARL by FLASHY BULL)
6  LUCKY'S PRIZE Jul09 Jun21 May20 Apr29 Dec08 (baird michael)AVILES YAN 123 4.50    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SARAH'S PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
7  I'M LUCKY BUCKY Jul09 Jun24       (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of MANDALAY BEACH by LONHRO (AUS))
8  DRILL EM Mar04 Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 Dec12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 76% 0.30    
  (by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
9  PLUM TUFF Jul22 Jul01 Jun17     (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 10.00    
  (by GRIZZLY out of POP OF COLOR by OLD FASHIONED)
10  EL FAITE Jul12 Jun20 May29 Oct28 Oct09 (genoves)PILARES P 119 3.50 ★    
  (by FORT LARNED out of JUSTICEINACTION by FLASHBACK)
 
TDN-3   08/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Jul14 Jun24 Jun02 May17 May03 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 121 2.50    
2  MO DONT NO Jul10 Jun17 May28 May14 Apr30 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
SCR  HITE Jul10 Jun24 Jun16 May12 Apr29 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
4  SAMMY'S SMILE Jul01 Jun04 May12 Apr30 Oct03 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Jul01 Jun17 Jun04 May14 May05 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.00 26% 2.90    
6  CONTROLLER Jun02 May12 Feb04 Jan09 Dec17 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 25% 3.00    
 
TDN-4   08/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTINY'S TOT Jul15 Jun23 Jun11 May07 Apr07 (romero oscar)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of DESTINY OVER FATE by DRILL)
2  CRACK A SMILE         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of SALTY SMILE by BELLAMY ROAD)
3  JILLY RUNS DEEP         (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of JILLYBEAN by KETTLE CORN)
4  COUNT ON JANE Jul03 Jun11       (genovese )MARTINEZ L 119 15.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
5  EBONY'S SECRET Jul01 Jun11 May27 Nov21 Aug06 (radosevich)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of SCARLET GIRL by LOFT (GER))
6  MY PLEASURE         (vazque)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 16% 5.20    
  (by MARFA out of PAPPIAS PLEASURE by ALCINDOR)
SCR  SALUTE THE GHOST         (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 2.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of PRAYER SALUTE by MEADOW PRAYER)
8  I BELONG FIRST Jun21 Nov07 Oct10     (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 4.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COSI CELESTE by BERNARDINI)
 
TDN-5   08/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARQUITOS M Jul09 Jun21 May28 May20 Nov26 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 2.50    
2  D J'S FIRST STEP Jun26 May29 May13 Apr22   (lopez jacint)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 1.80 70% 0.40    
3  GRETCHENS MANE MAN Jul07 Feb08 Jan15 Dec19 Sep20 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  REDDEN Jul09 Jun17 May28 May06 Jul11 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
5  JOHN FITZGERALD Jul09 Jun17 May07 Mar13 Mar03 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 4.00    
6  VECCHI Jul09 Jun21 May28 May07 Oct23 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   08/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY FOR O ONE KAY Jul09 Jun21 May14     (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 119 30.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RED DREAD by FIVE STAR DAY)
2  AROUNDTHERIVERBEND Jul09 Jun21 Apr29     (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of SURELY DIMPLE by COLONEL JOHN)
3  TURKODANCER Jul01 Jun03 May26 May14 Jul29 (langley joshu)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
4  MUSIC MO Jul09 Jun21 May08     (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of MO MARGARITA by UNCLE MO)
5  CASH COUNTIN Jul09         (er)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FAB AUTUMN GIRL by COUNTRY BE GOLD)
6  WANDALOU'S PRIDE Jul09 Jun03 May14 Feb11 Jan28 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of DEPUTY WANDA by WANDO)
7  TYSON'S LIL' STAR Jun21         (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of FABLED STAR by OFFLEE WILD)
SCR  COUPLE BEERS DEEP Jun03 May14 Apr29 Nov13   (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00    
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of LATE LOVER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
9  BANK ON FRANK         (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 23% 3.40    
  (by POLISH NUMBERS out of HUSHLU by TSUNAMI SLEW)
10  RUN VINICIUS Jun20         (genoves)PILARES P 119 5.00 ★    
  (by FORT LARNED out of CLASSY KATHERINE by OLD FORESTER)
 
TDN-7   08/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAPPER Jul01 Jun12 May22 Mar25 Mar11 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 4.50 11% 8.20    
2  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Jul09 May27 Apr29 Nov07 Oct08 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 6.00    
3  DARK VADER Mar31 Mar03 Feb10 Dec11 Oct26 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 31% 2.30    
4  GRAY DAY Jun23 May26 Apr29 Mar18 Mar03 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
5  QUIET AMIGO Jul03 Jun12 May21 Apr30 Mar30 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CONDEMNATION Jun25 Jun04 May26 May05 Apr21 (morales sa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
7  CLASSIC MO Jul03 Jun11 Oct07 Aug21 Jul18 (skerrett jeffre)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-8   08/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTICAL MOBIL Jul03 Jun11 May08 Apr21 Mar20 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.00    
  (by MOBIL out of QUEEN OF SPRING by SPRING AT LAST)
2  PLEASURE PEARL Jul03 Jun21       (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CORFU out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
3  RON DAH LOU Jul03 Jun10 Oct19 Oct02 Aug26 (tumblin andr)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 2.00    
  (by CORFU out of WINNERCOASTTOCOAST by SUPER SAVER)
4  HELLO EVELYN         (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 1.80 43% 1.30    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of BUTTIE by ANGUS)
5  ONE MORE THING         (vazquez ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00 26% 2.80    
  (by SEGOVIA out of CRAQUELURE by POWERSCOURT)
6  PLAY BALL SUSIE Oct23 Sep24 Sep12     (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00    
  (by SEGOVIA out of AFTERTHEBALLISOVER by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  ISA FORTRESS Jun21 Jun09       (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of STARSHIP LISA by INCLUDE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.