Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Thursday - July 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (2/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/5)-(4/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/5)-(4/1/6/3)-(5/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/3)-(5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/3)-(5/3)-(4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(4/3/2)-(3/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(3/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(3/4/6/7)-(3/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/7)-(3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/7)-(3/2/5)-(5/2/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(5/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(5/2/7/3)-(6/5/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3)-(5/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/3)-(6/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   07/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNT ON JANE Jun11         (genovese )MARTINEZ L 119 15.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of LEMONESQUE by LEMON DROP KID)
IT'S BROWNS TIME Jun21 May27       (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 1.80 43% 1.30    
  (by FORT LARNED out of WINNERCOASTTOCOAST by SUPER SAVER)
Z B READY Jun11 May27 Aug29 Aug09 Jun19 (maddox a)JIMENEZ S 123 15.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of MAMA ZEE by J BE K)
DRILLING Jun11 May22 May07 Mar20 Feb28 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 15.00    
  (by DRILL out of EAST AND UNION by INTO MISCHIEF)
MYSTICAL MOBIL Jun11 May08 Apr21 Mar20 Mar06 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of QUEEN OF SPRING by SPRING AT LAST)
RON DAH LOU Jun10 Oct19 Oct02 Aug26 Aug07 (tumblin andr)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 6.00 11% 8.40    
  (by CORFU out of WINNERCOASTTOCOAST by SUPER SAVER)
LAKETOWN ELLY         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by DRILL out of SAY HEY ELLY MAE by TOUCH GOLD)
PLEASURE PEARL Jun21         (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
  (by CORFU out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
 
TDN-2   07/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAW OF THE JUNGLE Jun09 May08 Apr22 Mar26 Mar11 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  RAMSEY Jun18 Jun04 May22 May06 Mar30 (castillo jabdiel)AVILES YAN 123 12.00    
STAR ENTERTAINER Jun12 May28 May05 Apr08 Mar19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
STRIKE APPEAL Jun21 Jun02 May08 Apr21 Mar26 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 56% 0.80    
ROUNDBALL ROCK Jun12 May23 May14 May07 Feb23 (romero oscar)PEREZ A 123 6.00    
SOUTH STREET Jun09 May13 Jan24 Dec28 Dec04 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
MAGICAL MONARCH Jun09 May17 Apr28 Apr07 Mar26 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 3.50    
VERBIER (IRE) Jun04 May27 May06 Apr08 Mar22 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.00    
 
TDN-3   07/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DUNN'S RIVER Jun17         (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 118 2.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of I'M READY by MORE THAN READY)
SHE'S MAD May26 May08       (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 4.50    
  (by LEOFRIC out of KORITSI by ATREIDES)
MESA'S SPUNKY GIRL         (meyers shane)BRACHO A 118 10.00 22% 3.50    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of JING by SKY MESA)
SCR  STRIKING LADY Jun17         (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 118 2.50    
  (by LORD CARLOS out of MUTTAK BAY by MUTAKDDIM)
DOS AMORES Jun16         (gorost)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of LONG LEAF by PROUD CITIZEN)
BOTTLED TIME         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of DOWNHILL JOEY by HENNY HUGHES)
 
TDN-4   07/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATIN SPICE Jun11 Jan03 Dec13 Oct29 Oct15 (poole jeffrey)BRACHO A 123 1.80    
LAUDA SPEED Jun10 May14 Apr12 Mar03 Feb03 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
OWN THE TOWN Jun11 May14 Nov06 Oct22 Sep30 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 18% 4.70    
DON'T CROSS JACK Jun10 May06 Apr08 Oct16 Sep29 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 1.60 57% 0.80    
UNCLEJACKOMO Jun11 May14 May05 Apr08 Mar20 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 12.00    
THE DRAKE Jun10 May18 Apr08 Mar06 Feb08 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 123 5.00    
 
TDN-5   07/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAVA'S GOLD         (jackson r)RIVERA R 115 3.50    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
LIGHTNING SPEED         (hamm timoth)NUNEZ Y 118 5.00    
  (by TWO PUNCH out of FIVE STAR NIGHT by STAR DE NASKRA)
RUN BOBBY RUN         (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of BESIDE STILL WATER by LEMON DROP KID)
PERFECT ANGEL         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.00 18% 4.50    
  (by CISCO ROAD out of ABSOLUTE DELIGHT by BABY SLEWY)
SOUND CITY Jun17         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 8.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
MARK MY WORDS         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 12.00 5% 17.30    
  (by APTITUDE out of BALL GOWN by TWIRLING CANDY)
DOIN MISCHIEF         (flores israel)GONZALEZ A 118 8.00 5% 17.30    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DOINWHATSHELIKES by INCLUDE)
 
TDN-6   07/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAN MACHINE Sep05 Aug10 Jul08 Jun26   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 5.00    
TAKE FIVE CHARLIE May29 Apr23 Oct29     (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 117 1.80 29% 2.50    
HIDDEN RANSOM May12 Apr22 Oct29 Sep23 Aug29 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
FULL SPECTRUM Jun16 May12 Apr22 Oct26 Oct10 (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
RAMBLER May27 Apr22 Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WIN HERBIE WIN May31 May12 Oct26 Oct10 Aug14 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 115 10.00    
 
TDN-7   07/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORKSTATION         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of JUMPIN JETT by YES IT'S TRUE)
BISCUITS 'N GRAVY         (jackson r)RIVERA R 118 1.80 28% 2.50    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BROADWAY ANNIEROSE by STALWART)
LEFTITFORYOU         (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENTICED out of POCO UNO by E DUBAI)
SKYTREE Jun17         (hamm timoth)NUNEZ Y 118 10.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
GLOBAL EVENT Jun07 May24       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by COZZENE out of TERRE DES HOMMES (IRE) by EXBOURNE)
MOONLIGHTER         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 12.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of DRILLIT by DRILL)
SCARED CAUSE         (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 118 2.50 12% 7.50    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of MOONLIGHT RIDE by MALIBU MOON)
 
TDN-8   07/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSIE'S KID Jun17 May21 Apr30 Jun04 May15 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH Feb10 Jan13 Nov04 Oct10 Sep10 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
HOTROD BOBBY May03 Apr03 Mar22 Mar12 Jan23 (morales m)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
MCGRAW May21 Mar31 Jun22 May08 Apr01 (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 4.50    
QUIET AMIGO Jun12 May21 Apr30 Mar30 Mar11 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 7% 13.20    
CLASSIC MO Jun11 Oct07 Aug21 Jul18 Oct13 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 60% 0.70    
GOLDSTRIKER Jun17 May27 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.