Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - June 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(3/1)-(6/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(6/2/4)-(1/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(1/3/2)-(3/1/2/8/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(3/1/2/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(3/1/2/8/4)-(1/2/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (3/1/2/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/8/4)-(3/1/2/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/8/4)-(3/1/2/8/4)-(3/1/2/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/2/8/4)-(1/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/8/4)-(1/2/5)-(1/5/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/5/7/4)-(5/11/12/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (1/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/4)-(5/11/12/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (5/11/12/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/11/12/3)-(5/11/12/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/11/12/3)-(5/11/12/3)-(5/11/12/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   06/12/2025 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN GOOSE         (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 ★    
  (by STRIKE GOLD out of ELECTRICITA by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  NONNA'S LOVE Apr23         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of NONNA BELLA by STAY THIRSTY)
3  MATADORA         (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by OLE' out of BERTIE'S IMAGE by READY'S IMAGE)
4  VENERINI         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of NICKNAME by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
5  MAIORA         (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SIXTH STREET by TAPIT)
6  CHRYSALISM         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PACHATTACK by PULPIT)
7  CONNECT THE STARS         (casse ma)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SPLIT TIME by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  STREET SUE May23         (giddings melanie)RIDER TBA 119 2.50    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of LOVISA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
BAQ-2   06/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE G TWENTYTHREE         (miceli mic)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
  (by ENGAGE out of STOLEN HEART by ECTON PARK)
1A  SWEETNESSTHRTYFOUR         (miceli m)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 14% 6.10    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of SUBTLE SWEETNESS by DURING)
SCR  DINNER ROYALE         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of DINNER FOR TWO by SHACKLEFORD)
3  GENIE         (delgado jorg)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by WAITING out of GIVEN TIME by MORE THAN READY)
4  ONE TIME FRANKIE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of DAPHNE MOON by CAIRO PRINCE)
5  RESIDE         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MORE GLITTER by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  NOWUCME NOWUDONT         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of POPSTAR by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
BAQ-3   06/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RODEO STAR May02 Apr11 Feb14 Jan19 Jan01 (johnston r)RIVERA R 118 5.00    
2  THAT'STHEFACTJACK May11 Apr18 Mar28 Mar07 Feb27 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 124 4.50 23% 3.40    
3  ACCELERINA May11 Mar28 Mar07 Feb02 Jan18 (rodrigue)VILLA FAVINHO 124 10.00    
4  YAYI NIKOLLE May26 Apr24 Apr11 Mar08 Feb09 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 15% 5.90    
5  TE AMO May17 Sep27 Sep15 Aug25 Jul28 (keithan)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 15.00    
6  ROCK HARBOR Apr09 Mar16 Feb20 Dec28 May03 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 0.50 37% 1.70    
 
BAQ-4   06/12/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERIC FROM MIAMI Apr11 Mar15 Feb13 Jan18 Jan01 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 124 1.40 29% 2.50    
2  PROVISION May17 Apr26 Apr11 Mar08 Feb15 (shivmangal lol)LUZZI J 124 5.00 13% 6.60    
3  SIX KINGS May24 May17 May03 Apr05 Mar15 (chichakl)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
4  GOLDEN PURCHASE May16 May01 Apr06 Feb28 Jan25 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.00    
5  BECAUSE THE NIGHT May24 May17 Apr26 Apr05 Mar21 (arenas marcelo)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00    
SCR  BOSS THREE O TWO May24 Apr26 Apr12 Apr04 Mar21 (samsundar rosh)CHANDRA PREM 114 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   06/12/2025 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LIFE STORY May26 May02 Oct25 Oct17 Sep19 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  SOCIAL HOUR May23 Mar21 Jan11 Nov07 Oct13 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
2  MASTER FREUD May17 Apr25 Feb23 Jan17 Dec15 (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 13% 6.90    
3  KING COVEE May02 Dec27 Nov08 Oct20 Sep07 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 4.50 40% 1.50    
4  TAPWRITS TEMPER May23 Apr26 Mar23 Feb28 Jan31 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  AWESOME EMPIRE May11 Feb12 Jan17     (sacco grego)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
6  READY SET TWIRL May18 Mar16 Dec27 Dec06 Oct24 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
7  UNBROKEN CHAIN May26 May08 Mar01 Feb08   (giddings)VILLA FAVINHO 118 15.00    
8  KICK A BUCK May25 Mar18 Nov09 Oct26 Sep19 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 12% 7.40    
9  SPOKEN BLUNTLY Dec29 Nov07 Oct17 Sep13 Jun29 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00    
SCR  EPITAPH Apr18 Mar07 Feb06 Jan04 Dec13 (contessa gar)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SCR  TIOTE May23 May04 Mar29 Feb21   (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
 
BAQ-6   06/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMAN GODDESS Apr10 Mar21 Feb15 Dec29 Nov14 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.80    
1A  CATCHPHRASE May18 Apr03 Mar01 Jan31 Dec13 (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 62% 0.60    
2  STREET VIEW May23 Apr18 Mar21 Feb22 Jan31 (schauer steve)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 16% 5.10    
3  LOOKS FIRST May09 May01 Mar28 Mar15 Feb27 (samsunda)VILLA FAVINHO 123 8.00    
4  MELLE MEL Apr12 Mar16 Feb27 Dec05 Nov02 (giddings mel)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
5  FLORIDA FLOWER May21 Apr18 Mar21 Mar09 Feb19 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  DESPO'S DREAM May23 May09 May01 Apr04 Mar22 (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50    
 
BAQ-7   06/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTH END LADY Apr13 Mar22 Sep22 Aug25 Jul27 (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  AMY'S LIGHT May15 Mar22 Feb06 Dec15 Nov17 (pringle)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 20.00    
3  CARA'S DREAMWEAVER May17 Apr26 Apr10 Mar21 Mar02 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
4  SPIRIT OF ESTHER May24 May01 Nov22 Sep22 Aug18 (martin c)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOMMY'S TURN May03 Dec28       (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
6  GRACE AND GRIT May17 Nov24 Oct20 Oct06 Sep13 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
7  TRAIL OF GOLD May17 May02 Oct27 Sep22 Aug25 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  LADY JASMINE May24 Dec12 Nov25 Oct20 Aug25 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 12.00    
 
BAQ-8   06/12/2025 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAC TO MOORE Mar13 Jan30 Jan09 Oct15 Sep16 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 12.00    
SCR  DANGHERECOMESSHANG (IRE) May16 May22       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
3  AUNT YOLA May17 Apr24 Nov22 Oct26 Sep26 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  INFASTUATION Jan17 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Sep13 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 118 30.00    
5  CYNANE Apr11 Mar01 Feb02 Jan04 Jun29 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  NO FACTOR May15 Mar08 Feb07 Jan17 Nov18 (charler)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 30.00    
7  SPUN SIZE May11 Apr13 Mar29 Jan01 Dec26 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
SCR  DARE TO BREEZE Mar23 Oct05 Aug04 Jul13 Jun16 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
SCR  RHAENYS Sep14 Aug29       (thomas jonatha)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
SCR  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Mar01 Feb02 Jan18 Dec14 Dec08 (keithan )ELLINGWOOD A 123 20.00    
11  PROUD MARY Apr20 Mar22 Feb23 Oct10 Sep14 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 28% 2.50    
12  QUIET CONFIDENCE Apr10 Mar09 Jan16 Dec18 Nov15 (ryerson jame)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  I'M KIDDING May24 Apr26 Apr10 Mar02 Jan16 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.