Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Sunday - May 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (1/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/2)-(1/9/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/2)-(1/9/5/2)-(1/9/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/5/2)-(6/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(2/1/6/3)-(10/2/6/9) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/6/3)-(10/2/6/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-4   WIN (10/2/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/6/9)-(10/2/6/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (10/2/6/9)-(10/2/6/9)-(10/2/6/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (10/2/6/9)-(5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(7/1/6)-(3/7/6/8/5) 45 $2.00 $90.00 
MNR-7   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(3/7/6/8/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-8   WIN (3/7/6/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/8/5)-(3/7/6/8/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/8/5)-(3/7/6/8/5)-(3/7/6/8/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   05/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANCO (MEX) Apr21 Dec08 Dec01 Nov11 Oct10 (witherow wi)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 2.00 50% 1.00    
2  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Oct27 Oct14 Oct01 Aug21 Aug07 (murtough st)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRUST FUND ROBBER Apr22 Feb14 Dec27 Dec03 Nov25 (lopez e)TAPARA LUIS 123 30.00    
SCR  NOBLE WAVE Sep22 Sep02 Aug20 Aug13 Jul28 (sanders meli)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 20.00    
5  SKYCRAFT Dec02 Nov06 Oct27 Sep22 Sep08 (depasquale l)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROYAL DECADENCE Apr11 Mar27 Feb03 Sep14 Sep05 (cambray and)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 15.00    
7  BARELYSTILLCOUNTS Apr22 Dec09 Dec02 Nov13 Nov03 (sanders mel)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 30.00    
8  RAGS SPECIAL Apr24 Apr12 Apr02 Mar23 Feb26 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 2.50    
9  CAPTURETHELAUGHTER Mar11 Mar01 Jan24 Jan06 Dec10 (gotera car)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.60 25% 3.00    
 
MNR-2   05/04/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNEADS Nov20 Oct29 Oct16 Sep23 Sep10 (cox craig)WHITACRE B 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BAZOO Apr21 Jun30 Jun04 May12 Apr23 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.60    
3  HIJACK THE PARTY Mar28 Mar06 Feb01 Jan04 Jun01 (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 123 4.00    
4  ALFIE SOLOMONS Feb28 Feb07 Nov24 Nov11 Nov03 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 5.00    
SCR  LUCAGO Jan25 Jan03 Dec10 Nov18 Oct20 (gotera car)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50    
6  MAGIC MOUNTAIN Dec08 Dec02 Nov12 Oct20 Oct06 (welsh gary)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 8.00 21% 3.70    
7  RESCUE FIVE Jan15 Nov27 Nov18 Nov04 Oct21 (kocijan marcus)TAPARA LUIS 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
MNR-3   05/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK TO REALITY Jan07 Nov25 Nov11 Oct21 Oct15 (robillard j)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 10.00 12% 7.10    
2  DEUS EX MACHINA Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 Feb08 Nov04 (spiess shane )BRACHO A 120 0.60 54% 0.80    
3  NATURE OFTHE BEAST Nov13 Nov03 Aug15 Jul25 Jul09 (flores christi)HOUGHTON D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  JADE'S DREAM Mar13 Feb27 Sep23 Sep10 Aug20 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 10.00    
5  Z U AT THE RACES Nov02 Oct10 Sep12 Aug15 Jul25 (vaughn terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00    
6  KINGDOM FORCE Nov13 Oct21 Sep25 Sep15 Aug21 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00 8% 11.90    
7  VORTEX (GB) Apr21 Nov26 Nov03 Oct13 Sep18 (barker r)WHITACRE B 120 6.00    
 
MNR-4   05/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAVEN'S HONOR Apr11 Mar18 Mar06 Feb05 Jan24 (holton a)DIAZ R 123 30.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
2  DREAMWIFEDREAMLIFE Jan26 Dec18 Oct16     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LA BELLE by DIXIE UNION)
3  LIAR FOR HIRE Mar19 Feb28 Jan10 Nov24   (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of OLYMPIC AVENUE by HARD SPUN)
4  BUXTEHUDE Nov05 Oct13       (johnson jen)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 116 30.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of STREET LINE by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  COIF Apr24 Mar27 Mar13 Feb07 Sep21 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HAYWORTH by ARCH)
6  SWEET WINDSOR Aug05 Jul22 Jun29 Jun08   (shuler r)WHITACRE B 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of SWEET ADVANCE by WAR FRONT)
7  TONI MARIE Oct02 Sep06 Jul22 Jul04   (stephen antho)CEDILLO MAURO 116 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of MALIBU ROYALTY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SUPERMODEL Apr21 Mar30       (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 116 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of G G'S DOLLY by COMIC STRIP)
9  CANON TRAIL Dec27 Dec01       (johnson jen)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of D' ORSAY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  AURORA'S MUSIC Mar30 Feb14 Jan23 Dec20 Jul13 (zook w)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AURORA POINT by MALIBU MOON)
 
MNR-5   05/04/2025 1320ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SYNCLINES TRIP Oct22 Oct06 Sep16 Dec10   (kocijan marcus)HOUGHTON D 123 50.00    
2  REMYS GUNSMOKE Mar13 Feb19 Dec07 Oct19 Sep27 (cuttino l)WHITACRE B 123 4.00    
3  KRUSIN ROCKET Mar20 Nov24 Oct16 Sep21 Sep11 (meeks karl)GONZALEZ KEVIN 125 2.00    
4  SKYLAS GOLD Nov24 Nov11 Oct29 Oct16 Sep24 (stanoszek s)OLIVEROS CHARLE 127 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  CAN SHE SCOOT Dec10 Dec03 Nov24 Nov11 Oct29 (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
6  GOLDEN NOLE Apr02 Aug28 Dec06 Oct31 Oct18 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 2.50 18% 4.60    
7  SOMERSET BAY Dec10 Nov27 Nov17 Oct16 Sep29 (stanoszek sara)DIAZ I 123 30.00    
 
MNR-6   05/04/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  S S FLAMINGO Dec09 Nov24 Oct27 Oct01 Sep11 (bishop jos)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  TALENTED LORD Mar15 Feb01 Nov20 Oct30 Oct11 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 1.60 65% 0.50    
3  FIERY SIDE Nov17 Oct30 Oct20 Sep23 Aug21 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 8.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  REMY'S HOTSHOT Apr03 Mar14 Jan30 Nov13 Oct19 (grams c)WHITACRE B 120 2.50    
SCR  COAL COUNTRY Apr28 Apr05 Feb26 Jan31 Jan10 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 2.00    
6  ULTRA DIVA Apr20 Dec03 Nov26 Oct28 Oct02 (ewell sr)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00    
7  HOLLY ROLLER Dec09 Oct08 Oct01 Sep11 Aug11 (baird michael)TAPARA LUIS 120 15.00    
 
MNR-7   05/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($6.5K) Purse ($15.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE RED CENT Mar30 Feb27 Jan28 Dec12 Nov21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
2  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) Mar28 Mar07 Feb07 Dec12 Nov08 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 8.00    
SCR  STELLARS IN CHARGE Apr23 Mar22 Feb03 Dec12 Nov07 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.00    
4  REVEREND JACK Apr22 Mar13 Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 (cuttino l)WHITACRE B 123 4.50    
SCR  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Mar13 Jan24 Dec26 Dec10 Oct29 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 50.00    
6  INFLATION NATION (IRE) Apr12 Mar29 Feb27 Jan26 Oct26 (lopez e)TAPARA LUIS 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
7  UNRAPTURED Apr15 Apr03 Mar06 Jan23 Jan04 (ciardullo ric)BRACHO A 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
8  BATTLE OF BASTOGNE Apr12 Mar13 Feb06 Jan24 Jan17 (ovando melvin)CEDILLO MAURO 120 8.00    
 
MNR-8   05/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  S S ALTERNATE Oct15 Oct09 Jul29 Jul15 Jul07 (dixon geoffrey )TAPARA LUIS 123 30.00    
2  MISS WILD Apr19 Mar29 Mar01 Jan24 Nov30 (obed-letts ketur)WHITACRE B 123 15.00    
3  BIG JAVA Apr12 Mar31 Mar22 Mar10 Feb26 (brown t)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
4  HIGH FASHION LADY Mar01 Oct23 Oct02 Aug21 Jul16 (morzan e)DIAZ R 123 10.00    
5  SHELLY THE ROCKET Apr20 Nov19 Oct29 Oct15 Oct02 (inman robert)TAPARA BRANDON 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  KINGSTON TIME Apr20 Jan28 Dec19 Nov11 Oct27 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 20% 4.10    
7  SEEMS TO WHISPER Apr20 Nov18 Nov10 Oct28 Jul17 (scallan robe)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
8  BIG SIS NIC Dec04 Nov17 Aug21 Aug06 Jun18 (murtough st)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  WINYAH BAY Nov16 Oct22 Oct15 Oct03 Sep05 (robillard )WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 3.50    
10  SUGAR BRITCHES Apr20 Dec03 Nov04 Oct22 Oct09 (witherow wil)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00    
SCR  SECRET SEDUCTION Apr12 Mar31 Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.