Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - April 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(2/3/7)-(3/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
OP-2   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/6/3/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/6/3/7/9)-(2/6/3/7/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(3/4/5)-(3/1/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
OP-3   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(3/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(3/1/2/8)-(7/4/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-4   WIN (3/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/8)-(7/4/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/8)-(7/4/9/2)-(4/6/2/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
OP-5   WIN (7/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/2)-(7/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/2)-(7/4/9/2)-(7/4/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/9/2)-(4/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9/2)-(4/6/2/5)-(5/3/12/4/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-6   WIN (4/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/5)-(5/3/12/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/5)-(5/3/12/4/9)-(10/7/8/11/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-7   WIN (5/3/12/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/12/4/9)-(5/3/12/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/12/4/9)-(5/3/12/4/9)-(5/3/12/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/12/4/9)-(10/7/8/11/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/3/12/4/9)-(10/7/8/11/9)-(4/6/10/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-8   WIN (10/7/8/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/8/11/9)-(10/7/8/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/8/11/9)-(10/7/8/11/9)-(10/7/8/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/8/11/9)-(4/6/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/7/8/11/9)-(4/6/10/9)-(10/2/7/8/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-9   WIN (4/6/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/10/9)-(4/6/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/10/9)-(4/6/10/9)-(4/6/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/10/9)-(10/2/7/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
OP-10   WIN (10/2/7/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/7/8/3)-(10/2/7/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/7/8/3)-(10/2/7/8/3)-(10/2/7/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   04/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  END OF INNOCENCE Mar02 Feb14 Jan18 Oct31 Sep19 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 1.60    
SCR  PEPPERS GIRLFRIEND Jan26 Jan03 Dec06 Nov22 Jul07 (mason ingrid)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00    
3  FLOATING Mar30 Feb16 Jul12 Jun07 May20 (anderson )DE CRUZ 120 8.00 19% 4.40    
4  CHIPOTLE PEPPER Apr12 Mar23 Feb14 Jan18 Dec01 (rosin cot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 1.80 21% 3.80    
5  SWEET MOTHER MARY Apr11 Mar09 Jan23 Jul28 Jul12 (jordan todd )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00 18% 4.70    
6  CHASING SHADOWS Apr11 Mar09 Sep19 Aug04 Jun27 (riecken b)BEALMEAR C 115 10.00    
7  LEGALLY LUCKY Apr12 Mar16 Feb28 Feb01 Dec15 (haran joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
 
OP-2   04/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REWIRE Apr18 Mar14 Feb07 Dec20 Nov20 (shorter a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50    
2  A LA CARTE May04 Mar15 Feb23 Jan05 Dec17 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 1.40 76% 0.30    
3  NATORADE Apr13 Mar14 Jul15 Jun14 May26 (van thoma)CEDILLO ABEL 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CLEAR ECHO Apr18 Apr06 Mar22 Feb16 Feb01 (stuart sh)TORRES A 116 15.00    
5  STATLER Apr13 Mar14 Feb16 Jan26 Dec27 (martin ke)DE CRUZ 116 30.00    
6  HAYAHLOOKATME Mar16 Feb01 Apr21 Mar24 Mar15 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 116 6.00 ★    
7  CRAVENSWORTH Jan03 Apr12 Mar16 Mar02 Oct20 (martin timoth)BACON W 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  REV TOO Apr18 Jan24 Jan05 Sep24 Sep04 (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 121 30.00    
9  BIG GAIN Apr12 Mar28 Feb28 Jan23 Dec14 (hewitt mi)BEALMEAR C 116 5.00 ★    
10  TO TOO TWENTYTWO Apr13 Mar22 Mar09 Jan23 Dec20 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 114 10.00    
 
OP-3   04/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($22.5K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR EXTON Mar16 Feb16 Jan23 Dec15 Nov10 (stidham m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 4.00    
2  HIGGINSVILLE Apr12 Mar12 Feb17 Jan05 Dec15 (hartman chris)BACON W 125 3.00 ★    
3  BETTERA Mar28 Feb17 Jan17 Jan01 Dec14 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 125 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  TEN DAYS LATER Apr12 Sep28 Mar30 Feb25 Feb03 (mason ingr)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 10.00 28% 2.50    
5  MONEYSHOT Apr12 Mar02 Feb16 Feb03 Dec22 (jewell ian)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  WICKED MELODY Apr12 Mar16 Jan05 Nov23 Oct30 (santamari)CAMACHO JR 121 5.00    
7  RIVETAGE Mar28 Mar09 Mar01 Jan05 Dec13 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 125 4.50    
 
OP-4   04/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K C ROCKET Apr06 Jun30 Jun17 Aug14 Jul22 (martin william )BOWEN ROCCO 120 5.00    
1A  LUV TO WIN Apr04 Mar08 Feb17 Jan19 Jun10 (martin willia)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
2  CANE CREEK ROAD Apr04 Mar08 Feb28 Jan26 Jan01 (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 115 6.00 8% 11.50    
3  MID DAY IMAGE Apr04 Mar08 Mar01 Dec07 Nov16 (mason ingrid)BACON W 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
4  MACHO RONNIE Mar30 Feb02 Jan17 Sep05 Jul18 (mcbride bur)POSTON K 105 15.00    
SCR  TEE BURNS Apr02 Mar19 Mar01 Feb17 Jan24 (hewitt mi)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
6  VULCAN Apr06 Mar22 Feb17 Jan31 Jan23 (compton g)TORRES A 120 2.50    
7  THE QUEENS JULES Mar22 Feb17 Dec14 Sep21 Aug08 (van thoma)CEDILLO ABEL 120 10.00    
8  DERBY DATE Apr04 Mar14 Feb07 Jan04 Dec14 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00 7% 14.20    
9  SUPER BRADY Apr13 Mar14 Mar01 Feb16 Jan26 (green ike)GALLARDO EDUARDO 120 15.00    
 
OP-5   04/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SICILIAN GRANDMA Feb07 Jan05 Dec15 Oct28 Feb04 (tranquilino )MEDELLIN ERICK 118 30.00    
2  LIL TOWN SIS Apr12 Mar16 Jan31 Jan05 Dec12 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SARANAC LAKE Mar30 Mar02 Jan26 Jan05 Nov13 (cravens r)DE CRUZ 124 10.00    
4  MARINA'S GOLD Mar16 Jan31 Jan17 Dec21 Jul16 (loy dew)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 20% 3.90    
5  DELPHIA Feb07 Dec14 Nov21 Oct24 Oct03 (mcknight n)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.00    
6  CLASS CODE Apr12 Mar16 Feb07 Dec14 Sep21 (jewell ian)WALES T 118 20.00    
7  BLAZE ON Mar16 Jan26 Nov23 Nov02 Oct02 (ramirez-r)TORRES A 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
8  BABY GUNDIN Mar16 Mar02 Jan31 Nov21 Sep22 (mason ingrid)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50    
9  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Mar30 Feb20 Dec26 Dec07 Oct13 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 115 12.00 14% 6.20    
 
OP-6   04/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLE CHERIE Mar07 Feb16 Dec20 Oct10 Sep07 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 6.00    
2  SONGMAKER Apr11 Mar30 Feb17 Dec22 Apr12 (casse nor)TORRES A 125 4.50 9% 10.10    
3  KERRY'S KISS Apr04 Mar16 Jan31 Jan03 Dec13 (mcbride burl)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
4  PERFECT SHOT Apr06 Feb15 Jan05 Nov24 Feb17 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 123 2.00 59% 0.70    
5  LADY WOOPIG Mar02 Jan24 May03 Apr06 Mar08 (milligan allen)QUINONEZ S 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  STANDOUTSENSATION Mar15 Feb15 Jan17 Dec20 Nov21 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 123 1.80 10% 8.90    
7  GEORGIA ON E'SMIND Apr12 Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 Jan26 (haran joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
8  CATCHING HEAT Mar07 Nov29 Nov21 Oct10 Aug31 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 15.00    
 
OP-7   04/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REACH'NFORRAINBOWS         (creighton bre)PUSAC ALBERTO 114 20.00    
2  MAXIE LADY Mar30 Mar15 Sep13     (anderson doug )CEDILLO ABEL 119 12.00    
3  LOTTERY TICKET Mar16         (cox brad )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.00 9% 9.60    
4  CUR NON         (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CALL SADIE Apr12 Mar21 Feb17 Feb02 Jan18 (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 109 3.00 55% 0.80    
6  MISS MAKENNA Mar30 Feb14 May24 May02   (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00    
7  MAZARN Mar28 Feb16 Jan31     (moquett e)BEJARANO R 114 12.00    
8  LINE RUNNER Apr11 Mar22 Mar01 Jan26 Apr14 (martin timoth)BACON W 124 20.00    
9  UNOITDON'TCOMEEASY         (cunningham s )ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  MYSPITTINIMAGE Apr13 Mar21 Mar01 Feb14 Feb02 (soto fermin)POSTON K 109 30.00    
11  Y CITY Mar21 Feb28       (prather john)CASTILLO ISAAC 114 30.00    
12  LOVE RESTRAINED Sep09 Jul29 Jul10 May20 Oct13 (mason ingr)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 3.50 7% 13.50    
 
OP-8   04/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY BIG UN         (compton g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
2  HEAVENLY DEACON Apr18         (tranquilino )MEDELLIN ERICK 125 30.00    
3  MAJOR MACK Apr04 Mar16 Feb01 Dec21 Oct25 (von kelly)VAZQUEZ A 125 4.50    
4  HEAVENLYCONVEYANCE Apr12 Sep28 Sep14 Aug17   (tranquilino s)JARA FERNANDO 125 15.00    
SCR  JOEWILLY Apr12 Mar15       (witt erni)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
6  TROJAN PRIDE Apr06         (vance d)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
7  AMERICAN LITIGATOR Apr12 Mar07       (medina ro)TORRES A 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
8  SOLEVO Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan20 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 6.00 23% 3.30    
9  JESTER SANG Apr04 Mar02 Apr13 Mar30 Mar08 (robertson)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  WORLD FAIR Apr04 Mar07 Dec20 Oct10 Aug24 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 125 3.50 26% 2.90    
11  TARTARIAN Mar12 Feb12 Jan18 Dec14 Nov23 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  MCMUSIC Mar01 Feb07       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 10.00    
 
OP-9   04/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Natural State Breeders' Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BENNYKAYANDSUZYTOO Apr19 Mar29 Mar01 Feb01 Jan18 (vance tho)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of CORA AND JAS by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  PUNCHY GIRL Mar23 Mar01 Feb01 Nov27 Sep19 (morse rand)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of UNION BOSS by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  SHE'S A DREAMER Apr06 Mar15 Feb02 Jan19   (eoff terry)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 20.00    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of BEAN PEACEFUL by WAR FRONT)
4  CALIENTE STAR Apr06 Feb14 Dec22     (hornsby t)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 36% 1.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of CALIENTE CANDY by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
5  GOLD STRATEGY Mar02 Jan24 Dec06 Aug25 Jul26 (ward dan)CEDILLO ABEL 117 20.00    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of SOCHI GOLD by BIG BROWN)
6  KANTEX Apr12 May03 Mar02 Feb03 Jan13 (morse l)BEJARANO R 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of WICKED DIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
7  COURTNEY FAY Mar02 Feb07 Jan17 Oct12 May03 (durham danele)CASTILLO AMIN 117 30.00    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of HI HEELS N JEWELS by PURGE)
8  ARR PIRATETREASURE Apr04 Mar01 Feb14 Jan24 Dec15 (durham danele)VAZQUEZ A 124 12.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of THATBOSSANOVASOUND by BLAME)
9  APPEALING ADDIE Apr04 Mar01 Jan24 Dec15 Apr06 (morse ran)TORRES A 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of SENSATIONAL APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
10  LASSIE MY GIRL Mar08 Feb01 Jan18 Dec15 Aug22 (wilson m)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of ROBIN MY GIRL by MUTAKDDIM)
 
OP-10   04/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OINK Apr18         (cline n)HARR KELSI 125 20.00    
2  GIANT MOON Mar29         (cox brad )TORRES A 120 4.00 11% 7.80    
3  TAKEN ON THE RUN         (creighton bre)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLDEN CITY STREET Apr19 Apr04 Mar07     (dixon tim)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
5  BIGWRIGDUDE Apr04 Feb08       (burchell greg)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 15.00    
6  FERRIS STAR         (jackson richard)BOWEN ROCCO 120 15.00    
7  MR. BUTCH Apr19 Mar29 Feb01 Jan04 May05 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 125 3.00 7% 14.10    
8  LORD HENNESSY Apr18 Mar23       (witt erni)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RED RIVER Mar28 Mar01 Dec27 Dec07 Apr21 (mcbride bur)POSTON K 115 30.00    
10  TIZMARKUS Apr19 Mar29 Feb23 Jan25   (hartman chris)BACON W 125 1.60 57% 0.80    
11  KENSINGTON COVE Apr18 Mar28       (brennan terry)VAZQUEZ A 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.