Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - April 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(6/3/2)-(8/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(8/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(8/4/3)-(6/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/4/3)-(8/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/3)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3)-(6/5/1)-(8/5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(8/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(8/5/3/1)-(2/3/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (8/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/3/1)-(2/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/1)-(2/3/4/5)-(1/2/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/5)-(1/2/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/5)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/9/7/2/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/6)-(1/9/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/9/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/2/3)-(1/9/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/2/3)-(1/9/7/2/3)-(1/9/7/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWICE SHY Apr01 Mar12 Feb11 Jan16 Dec08 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 3.00 41% 1.40    
2  TEARAWAY TOM Mar19 Feb19       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.60    
3  CUPIX Aug31 Jul27 Jun22     (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.00 29% 2.50    
4  STEAL THE RHODE Mar27 Feb23 Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 126 2.50    
5  KLIMTSTER Apr02 Mar20 Mar04 Feb12 Jan16 (aguirre jua)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 126 20.00 6% 17.00    
SCR  HAPPYCASTLE Mar30         (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00    
 
MVR-2   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE MAN Apr01 Mar12 Feb11 Jan16 Dec02 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 4.00 ★    
2  ONE FAST MIDDIE Feb22 Feb17 Jan06     (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  PAIGE PERFECT Oct24 Aug05 Jul13 Jul05 Jun25 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MR. MAC MIDNIGHT Mar01 Jan29 Jan04 Dec20 Sep30 (hamm timothy)STOKES J 118 8.00    
5  GAISGEACH Apr02 Mar04 Feb03 Jan16 Nov18 (loudin-smith)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00    
6  TOMORROWNEVERCOMES Mar12 Feb10 Jan24 Dec28 Dec16 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 77% 0.30    
7  RAGS SPECIAL Apr02 Mar23 Feb26 Feb08 Jan11 (higham nicole)DIAZ I 126 1.80    
 
MVR-3   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS LITTLE BIT Mar30 Mar03 Feb13 Jan29 Jan16 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 20.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HIP NINETY THREE by HARLINGTON)
2  REVOCATA Mar20 Mar03 Jan27 Nov18 Nov05 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 122 12.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of UNCHECKED by UNBRIDLED)
3  ON TIME TAM Mar03 Feb03 Jan23 Jan06 Dec15 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of YOU'RE LATE by LUCKY PULPIT)
4  SOLO SURPRISE Mar30 Mar12 Jan29 Dec05   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of HALO'S SURPRISE by HALO'S IMAGE)
5  PISGAH PIKE Mar14         (lobo h)TAPARA BRANDON 122 5.00    
  (by BLAME out of RUBINDY by BERNARDINI)
SCR  SLYBOOTS Feb26         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of WHAT A FOX by BERNARDINI)
SCR  AZTEC MELODY         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of STARVISTA by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
8  LOVEBUG Mar30 Mar12 Jan29 Dec05 Oct30 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 122 4.00 72% 0.40    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BEACON OF LIGHT by POINT OF ENTRY)
 
MVR-4   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANTBACKOFF Mar31 Mar22 Mar10 Feb28 Feb03 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  GRACE AND GLORY Mar31 Mar12 Feb28 Feb03 Jan09 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.00    
SCR  RAPID RUBY Mar21 Mar05 Jan02 Dec09 Nov14 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
4  LIVING IN STYLE Mar31 Mar19 Mar05 Jan27 Jan09 (morales saul)TAVARES JAVIER 126 15.00    
5  QUICK RECOVERY Mar22 Feb28 Jan27 Jan09 Dec23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
6  BATTLE TESTED Mar10 Feb28 Jan24 Jan06 Dec04 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 124 1.40 39% 1.50    
7  TESHIMA Mar18 Feb28 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUDA SPEED Mar03 Feb03 Jan13 Nov19 Nov04 (schuster rob)TAVARES JAVIER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  VERSATILE Mar30 Mar17 Mar06 Oct14 Sep26 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 3.00    
3  KOSCIUSZKO Mar31 Mar17 Nov19 Nov02 Oct09 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 7% 13.00    
4  THAT KHENNY Mar25 Mar13 Feb27 Jan28 Sep10 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 2.00    
5  MONTAUK COVE Mar30 Mar17 Feb27 Feb11 Jan29 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 10.00 27% 2.70    
6  CALL ME GUSTO Mar30 Feb27 Jan28 Sep03 Aug12 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
SCR  TOYI Nov20 Nov02 Oct22 Oct10 Sep24 (brown glen)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
8  MARKHAMIAN Mar26 Mar03 Feb08 Jan28 Jan13 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
MVR-6   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET BELEN Apr02 Mar12 Feb03 Jan25 Dec16 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
2  ACT LIKE A LADY Feb26 Jan28 Dec19 Sep15 Aug27 (skelton t)STOKES J 126 6.00 32% 2.10    
3  CURIOSITY KILLS Aug21 Jul29 Jul17 Jun30 Jun09 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  BIG JAVA Mar31 Mar22 Mar10 Feb26 Feb12 (szczepanski)NUNEZ Y 126 15.00 9% 9.60    
5  SECRET SEDUCTION Mar31 Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 Jul08 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TATTERED HEART Apr02 Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 Jun24 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 126 2.50    
7  MAY MAYS CASTLE Mar22 Mar11 Oct15 May05 Apr21 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 126 20.00    
8  HOWIZEE Sep14 Aug12 Jul26 Jul06 Jun21 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 1.80    
 
MVR-7   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOSEBUMPS Oct26 Aug10 Jul19 Jun15 May25 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 116 3.00 39% 1.50    
2  WONDER WORLD Mar20 Feb27 Oct26 Oct09   (gorham m)RIVERA R 116 2.00 21% 3.80    
3  LA ARTISTA Aug10 Jul19 Jun26     (cowans willia)BRACHO A 116 4.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI DELIGHT Mar05 Feb04 Dec27 Dec10 Oct26 (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 116 12.00    
5  TOASTMASTER Oct26 Aug10 Jul19 Jul04 Jun17 (hamm timothy)STOKES J 116 3.50 17% 4.70    
6  WINDY VALLEY Apr03 Mar18 Feb06 Jan23 Jan08 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  FOXY'S COUNTRY HIT Mar27 Feb10 Jan25 Dec27 Dec10 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 116 10.00    
8  FUNNYSTASTIC Mar24 Oct26 Oct09     (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 116 20.00    
 
MVR-8   04/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOWY Jun22 Jun07 May09 Apr13 Dec21 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
2  INFLATION NATION (IRE) Mar29 Feb27 Jan26 Oct26 Sep27 (donjuan sergio)MOJICA JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SWING STATE Apr01 Jan11 Dec30 Dec14 Nov14 (gonzalez rica)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  OKLAHOMA JOE Mar31 Mar04 Feb10 Jan29 Nov25 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 10.00    
5  BATTLE OF BASTOGNE Mar13 Feb06 Jan24 Jan17 Dec12 (ovando m)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00    
6  MY HANDSOME MAN Feb12 Jan24 Jan11 Dec30 Dec11 (ovando melvin)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
7  BAILAMOS Mar30 Mar13 Jan23 Jan07 Nov27 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 10% 9.40    
8  TIZ SPEEDY Mar24 Mar11 Mar01 Dec28 Dec08 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50    
9  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Mar30 Mar11 Jan09 Dec04 Nov18 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 11% 7.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.