Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - February 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(7/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(7/5/3/2)-(1/2/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-2   WIN (7/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/2)-(7/5/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/2)-(7/5/4/3/2)-(7/5/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/3/2)-(1/2/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/2)-(1/2/8/4)-(1/2/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-3   WIN (1/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/4)-(1/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/4)-(1/2/8/4)-(1/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/8/4)-(1/2/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/4)-(1/2/5/6)-(2/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-4   WIN (1/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/6)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/6)-(2/5/4)-(2/8/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(2/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(2/8/5/3)-(5/10/16/13) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-6   WIN (2/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/3)-(2/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/3)-(2/8/5/3)-(2/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/5/3)-(5/10/16/13) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/3)-(5/10/16/13)-(2/11/8/7/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/10/16/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/16/13)-(5/10/16/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/16/13)-(5/10/16/13)-(5/10/16/13) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/10/16/13)-(2/11/8/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (2/11/8/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/8/7/5)-(2/11/8/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/8/7/5)-(2/11/8/7/5)-(2/11/8/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BITSY PERFECTMATCH Jan27 Jan01 Dec19 Nov29 Jun08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  KAPPA HILL Feb05 Jan18 Dec21 Dec04 Nov14 (flugence hen)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00    
3  ONE LINE RULER Jan31 Jan08 Dec19 Dec08 Nov20 (henry eri)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 5.00    
4  EVERYLITTLESINGH Jan31 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 Oct17 (singh s)SINGH R 124 3.50    
5  REAL DEAL RYAN Jan27 Jan10 Dec20 Dec06 Nov20 (cormier cardel)MCMAHON J 121 3.50    
6  ANSLIE'S GUMDROP Dec19 Aug10 Jul18 Jun27 May22 (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
7  MRS. NECAISE Jan27 Dec16 Nov28 Aug24 Aug02 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-2   02/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSES FOR COOPER Feb05 Jan02 Dec19     (faul jason)MCMAHON J 117 15.00    
2  FRET NO MORE Jan24 Dec28 Dec07 Jul27   (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  WOSIEMAKS Feb06 Jan18       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CLEARSUGAR Feb15 Jan10 May03     (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.00 ★    
5  PERFECT DEAL Feb05 Jan15 Dec27 Nov16 Oct25 (landry all)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  TAKE IT TO COURT Jan04 Nov21 Oct16 Aug20 Jul01 (garcia)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 4.50    
7  LUCKY GEM Dec28 Dec12 Aug12 Jul24   (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00 39% 1.60    
8  REAL SILK Jan15 Dec27 Dec07 Oct25   (duhon jose)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 20.00    
9  REESE'S WORLD Jan16 Dec29       (zeringue w )ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 15.00    
10  GUILLOTINE Jan31 Jan01       (courville)HERNANDEZ J 117 6.00    
 
FG-3   02/23/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOSCANO Jan09 Dec08 Aug16 Jul31 Jun06 (claire alexis)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
2  NORWICH Feb01 Jan03 Oct24 Aug31 Jul11 (mcgee paul)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.50 22% 3.40    
3  BATTLEOFLEXINGTON Jul20 Jun07 May02 Apr12 Jul04 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
4  MAX IS G MONEY Dec20 Dec07 Oct17 Sep24 Sep04 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CONTEMPLATION Jan18 Dec22 Nov14 Sep25 Aug31 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 5.00    
6  RIVER RIDGE Nov17 Oct31 Oct09 Jul13 Jun09 (mcgee pau)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
7  GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Jan05 Dec07 Sep14 Aug28 Jul19 (mouton chad)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 30.00    
8  CONCENTRATION Jan27 Jan09 Dec08 Oct28 Oct18 (claire alexi)TORRES A 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  BALTIMORE HEART Feb01 Nov06 Oct07 Sep17 Aug26 (williamson )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.50    
10  CLOUD FOREST Jan27 Sep01 Jan12 Dec02 Oct20 (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 122 6.00    
 
FG-4   02/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOW KEY Aug26 Aug03       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 117 4.00 30% 2.40    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BERNARDA by BERNARDINI)
2  MOSTLY MISCHIEF         (stidham michae)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SMART INDEED by SMART STRIKE)
3  JUST A COED Jan04 Nov23 Oct25 Sep21 Dec31 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of STUDENT BODY by COLONEL JOHN)
4  CHACHING CHACHING         (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 125 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LUCY GOOSEY by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  HEAVENLY SUNSET         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 3.50 11% 8.10    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LAST FULL MEASURE by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  CATCHYALATER Jan27 Dec07 Jun08 May22 Mar22 (munoz yovani)TORRES A 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of JUST A CATCH by JUSTIN PHILLIP)
7  J BEAR BEACH Jan27         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 125 5.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CARMEL BEAUTY by ARCH)
 
FG-5   02/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REIMAGINE Jan20 Dec15 Sep08 Aug22 Jul11 (simpson da)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00    
2  AVISO Feb01 Jan04 Dec16 Oct25   (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  TODA GAGA Jan20         (schultz lin)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
4  MANAGE XPECTATIONS Jan20 Dec19       (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
5  AHAMO Jan10 Nov21       (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  MCKINZIE MAGIC Jan25         (leonard ge)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
7  EYES ON ITALY Jan31 Jan09 Dec15 Nov10   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50    
8  LOLO'S GIRL Jan31         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
 
FG-6   02/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROYAL O'HAIGAIN Jan30 Jan11 Dec15 May03 Apr10 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 12.00    
2  CLASSY JUDY G Feb01 Jan11 Nov30 Oct16 Sep03 (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
3  CUSTOM DESIGN Nov24 Jun29 May24 May08 Mar07 (pitzer fl)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  WUPKAR Jan30 Nov14 Oct29 Oct03 Sep04 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
5  FREEBURN Jan11 Dec14 Nov22 May03 Apr12 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 14% 6.30    
6  SHE HAS IT ALL Jan09 May29 May11 Apr12 Mar07 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 121 15.00    
7  BLESSED ASSURANCE Feb01 Jan09 Dec14 Nov23 May03 (dison phil)RAMIREZ JR 116 15.00    
8  SWEET DARLIN Jan30 Jan28 Nov25     (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
FG-7   02/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WICKED SECRET Feb02 Jan03 Dec14 Aug10 Jul13 (zeringue j)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.50    
SCR  DEER CROSSING Jan30 Jan01 Jul11 Jun22 May11 (delhomme jeff)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
SCR  HOUSE BOURBON Jan30 Jan11 Jan01 Dec14 Dec05 (govea ces)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50    
SCR  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Jan04 Dec12 Sep18 Aug20 Jul10 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
5  WISE VERDICT Jan30 Jan11 Dec27 Nov23 Oct11 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 6.00 59% 0.70    
6  CYPRESS GOLD Jan02 Dec21 Nov23 Feb13 Jan19 (bourgeois kei)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00    
SCR  MOMENT OF STARDOM Jan01 Aug16 May11 Mar23 Feb08 (wilson shane)TORRES A 121 12.00    
8  AMERICAN DOLLARS Feb02 Jan11 Nov02 Sep14 Aug20 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 12.00    
SCR  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Feb07 Jan17 Jan04 Dec14 Sep14 (ney john)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00    
10  LIKE THIS Feb01 Dec28 Oct17 May04 Apr18 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  BONS TEMPS ROULE Jan03 Dec14 Sep05 Aug04 May19 (simpson daniel)ORTIZ L 121 12.00    
SCR  CHEATIN CHARLIE Jan12 Dec22 Nov30 Nov15 Oct23 (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
13  JOEY'S LIGHTENING Feb06 Dec28 Dec11 Nov09 Oct29 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
14  HEZA PICKLE Feb01 Nov23 Nov05 Oct19 Aug26 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 6.00    
SCR  ELLS Feb05 Jan16 Dec20 Nov16 Oct29 (delany )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
16  PESO PESADO Jan01 Dec05 Aug01 Jul04 Jun07 (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00 6% 17.20    
 
FG-8   02/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Feb02 Dec22 Nov30 Feb03 Jan13 (thompson kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00    
2  HANDSOME HAROLD Jan24 Jan09 Dec07 May06 Apr06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
3  GOTMY MO JO WORKIN Feb01 Dec13 Nov07 Aug23 Jul18 (ramirez eduardo)COHEN DAVID 121 4.50    
SCR  CHAD'S FLASH Feb05 Dec12 Nov16 Aug15 Jul30 (fuselier j)RAMIREZ JR 116 20.00    
5  HARD FOUR Feb02 Jan12 Dec15 Nov24 Jun07 (guillory hen)TORRES A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  ZION Feb02 Aug05 May29 May06 Mar18 (hatcher nat)ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 30.00    
7  CREOLE CHARLIE Feb02 Jan03 Dec15 Nov23 Oct17 (sanchez juan)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00 7% 12.90    
8  SAMMY DANSEUR JR. Feb12 Jan30 Jan02 Dec04 Nov13 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
9  MUCHO MARVIN Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 Nov30 Nov07 (chevis vince)MAGNON H 121 15.00    
10  CIGAR VAN Dec22 Nov30 Oct23 Aug15 Jul26 (charles keith)MCMAHON J 121 10.00    
11  HOORAY AUSTIN Feb02 Jan05 Nov24 Aug15 Jul18 (degeyter j)CURTIS BEN 121 6.00 29% 2.50    
12  BOULDERING Feb05 Jan24 Dec04 Nov14 Sep11 (ramirez ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
SCR  CHARLI MICHAEL Jan03 Nov23 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 (charles k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.