Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - February 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/10/5/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/5/3/9)-(2/10/5/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/5/3/9)-(2/10/5/3/9)-(2/10/5/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/5/3/9)-(5/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/10/5/3/9)-(5/3/7)-(7/2/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(7/2/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(7/2/6/9)-(6/2/9/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/2/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/9)-(7/2/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/9)-(7/2/6/9)-(7/2/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/9)-(6/2/9/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/9)-(6/2/9/3/4)-(3/13/8/5/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (6/2/9/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/9/3/4)-(6/2/9/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/9/3/4)-(6/2/9/3/4)-(6/2/9/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/9/3/4)-(3/13/8/5/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/2/9/3/4)-(3/13/8/5/1)-(4/5/7/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (3/13/8/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/13/8/5/1)-(3/13/8/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/13/8/5/1)-(3/13/8/5/1)-(3/13/8/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/13/8/5/1)-(4/5/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/13/8/5/1)-(4/5/7/8)-(7/8/5/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/8)-(4/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/8)-(4/5/7/8)-(4/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/8)-(7/8/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/8)-(7/8/5/3)-(10/2/6/8/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/3)-(7/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/3)-(7/8/5/3)-(7/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/5/3)-(10/2/6/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5/3)-(10/2/6/8/9)-(3/6/4/2/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (10/2/6/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/6/8/9)-(10/2/6/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/6/8/9)-(10/2/6/8/9)-(10/2/6/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/6/8/9)-(3/6/4/2/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/6/4/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/2/10)-(3/6/4/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/2/10)-(3/6/4/2/10)-(3/6/4/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/07/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LYLA'S LUCKY BOY Dec22 Nov30 Sep06 Aug30   (paramo martin)LARA VICTOR 112 30.00    
2  ETERNAL GLORY Jan19 Dec29 Dec22 May25 Jun04 (contessa c)CENTENO E 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  DETERMINED FREEDOM Jan03 Dec11 Nov03 Oct26 Jan07 (smith r)IORIO MELISSA 122 10.00 6% 17.00    
4  VITTORIANO Jan12 Dec27 May03     (parra hern)ALONSO LUIS 122 20.00    
5  ADMIRAL CURL Jun20 Apr13 Feb14 Dec23   (hunt donald)FERRER C 122 10.00 15% 5.90    
6  ICONIC ROCK Jan19 Dec29 Dec14 Nov29 Oct26 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
7  RIGHT ON TARGET Jan12 Jun19 Apr20     (granitz an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00    
8  JOHNNY FROM BOSTON Jan12 Oct17 Sep18 Aug31 Aug14 (downing wi)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 3.50    
9  CUCUY Jan05 Dec08 Nov17 Sep22 Aug25 (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  BIVOL Jan19 Dec29 Dec11 Nov20 Nov09 (kutt m)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  FRANKIE R. Nov27 Nov13 Oct17 Apr19 Mar09 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 20.00    
SCR  STARSHIP MAGELLAN Dec29 Sep28 Aug31     (crichton rohan)GIL CIPRIANO 122 3.00    
 
TAM-2   02/07/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. SWEETS Jan08         (hamm timothy)FERRER C 120 1.80    
SCR  NEOSTAR Jul21         (lilly jam)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 12.00    
3  GUNNER         (deaton wil)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 15.00 16% 5.30    
4  MISTER BABY Dec19 Oct20 Aug24     (o'connell kath)GIL CIPRIANO 120 10.00    
5  WINGS OF GOD         (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  MY SATISFACTION Jan24 Dec27 Nov08 Sep07 Aug10 (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 8.00    
7  LUCKY TWIST         (dini mike)HESS SARA 113 8.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  SHOCKING MALICE         (hamm timothy)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 5.00    
 
TAM-3   02/07/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTUNE DREAMS Jan19 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 Nov03 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 115 12.00    
2  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Jan26 Jan10 Dec18 Aug30 Aug16 (munoz carlos)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
3  KOZAK SPIRIT Jan25 Dec13       (sherman a)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 115 4.00    
SCR  THATSTHEWAYITIS Nov25         (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 30.00    
5  LADY LYLA Jan10 Dec18 Sep06 Jul21 Jun16 (paramo mar)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
6  ENNEREILLY (IRE) Dec22 Oct01 Sep01 Nov11 Aug19 (kintz matthe)COTTO L 122 8.00 12% 7.20    
7  THE MONEY MONKEY Nov26 Nov03 Oct08 Aug23 Jun16 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
8  STARVIEW TWINKLE Jan26 Jan10 Oct11 Jul06   (mazza w)FERRER C 122 3.50    
9  A FANCY SOLUTION Mar01 Feb02 Dec09 Oct28 Sep30 (cascallares n)IORIO MELISSA 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   02/07/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOVEREIGN OF SPEED Jan25 Jan15 Jan08 Dec22 Dec14 (lopez mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 115 30.00    
2  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Jan05 Dec27 Nov20 Oct22 Oct09 (sacco d)FERRER C 122 2.50 25% 3.10    
3  CALLIHOO Jan24 Dec08 Feb03 Jan21 Jan13 (carmichael)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNDALAY Jan12 Oct12 Aug18 Jun01 Apr25 (mckanas j)GIL CIPRIANO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MONEY SONG Jan25 Jan08 Oct12 Sep20 Jun27 (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.50    
6  MAGICAL WARRIOR Aug18 Jul28 Jun01 May01 Apr14 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 122 1.40 41% 1.40    
7  CHAMPAGNEONME Jan08 Dec11 Nov06 Oct05 Sep25 (sherman a)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 115 30.00    
8  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Jan24 Jan08 Dec22 Dec13 Oct14 (dimmett james)HESS SARA 115 20.00    
9  OLD TOWN ROAD Jan24 Jan05 Dec18 Apr28 Apr17 (waltke thomas )SUAREZ JESUS 122 8.00 7% 14.10    
 
TAM-5   02/07/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARD LEADER Jan01 Oct12 Sep27 Sep01 Aug18 (ryan s)FERRER C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  IN THE WEEDS Jan01 Dec11       (stewa)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 10.00    
3  ACT OF MUTINY Dec29 Aug29 Mar09 Oct28 Sep07 (mcgaughe)GALLARDO A 122 1.40 29% 2.50    
4  MIDNIGHT LEGEND Jan01 Dec11 Oct27 Sep26 Aug15 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 122 30.00    
5  I'M NO ANGEL Jan17 Dec27       (potts ro)RODRIGUEZ O 122 5.00 12% 7.20    
6  LENA'S JAZZ Jan17 Dec27 Mar24 Feb18 Jan24 (barbazoniii lest)BRACHO A 122 10.00    
7  SNOVEMBER Dec27 Apr19 Mar03 Feb11 Dec30 (lerman s)CENTENO E 122 20.00    
8  MUNGO Jan17 Dec27 Dec06 Nov03 Aug14 (richards rena)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
9  COASTAL RIVER Jan10 Dec27 May03     (ellebracht g)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 30.00    
SCR  LAKE CHAPALA Jan17 Sep14 Sep01 Aug04 Jul20 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 12.00    
SCR  GRAND PARK VIEW Jan10 Dec27 Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 3.00    
SCR  FROZEN FOUR Jan25 Jan17 Dec27 Dec06 Nov29 (barron r)GALLARDO A 122 10.00    
13  OCALA ROCKET Jan01 Dec01 Aug02 Jul06 Apr27 (delgado jorge)GIL CIPRIANO 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  TRIUMPHANT ROAD Dec22 Aug02 Jun21 Jun02 May19 (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 122 2.00    
 
TAM-6   02/07/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EROS'S GIRL Jul02 Jun10 May07 Mar10 Feb19 (ferraro an)BATISTA A 118 5.00    
SCR  ABBY THE BULL DAWG Jan31 Dec22 Nov30 Oct19 Sep28 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 118 30.00    
3  THAT'S MY CAT Dec20 Oct09 Sep20 Aug22 Jul13 (hardesty l)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 20.00    
4  LADY QUINN Jan08 Dec21 Nov11 Sep10 Aug21 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 118 3.50 36% 1.70    
5  INOUAINTALKINTOME Jan26 Jan15 Jan04 Dec27 Nov13 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 120 2.50 15% 5.60    
6  RITABOOK Jan12 Dec28 Dec04 Aug18 Jul26 (clark a)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00    
7  LADY DOMINANCE Jan26 Jan15 Jan03 Dec11 Aug17 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 4.00 14% 6.30    
8  PURE ELEGANCE Jan24 Oct20 Sep27 Sep12 Aug29 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   02/07/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR TITO'S Jan22 Dec20 Dec04 Oct16 Oct03 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 118 20.00    
2  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Dec28 Nov23 Sep27 Sep14 Aug08 (doming)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 4.50    
3  SCENIC JUSTICE Jan25 Jan01 Oct22 Sep16 Sep05 (granitz anth)BATISTA A 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  FROSTY THE SOLDIER Jan22 Jan11 Dec28 Dec20 Oct02 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 12.00    
5  BREAK THE ICE Jan18 Dec28 Nov23 Nov03 Sep27 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 2.50 13% 6.40    
SCR  UNCAPTURED BOY Jan01 Sep01 Jul28 Jul06 Jun08 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 8.00    
7  RONIC Jan24 Jan05 Sep22 Aug19 Jul26 (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
8  OFF THE MEDS Jan19 Dec06 Nov04 Sep26 Aug17 (rodriguez dari)CASTANON L 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
TAM-8   02/07/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUR VALENTINO Dec13 Nov23 Nov16 Aug23 Jul19 (mcpherso)GALLARDO A 118 15.00    
2  CAJUN VENOM Jan08 Sep27 Aug31     (sacco gregor)MENESES MARCOS 122 5.00 27% 2.80    
3  SKYLOFT Jan18 Dec22 Nov30 Oct24 Oct04 (dini mike)CASTANON L 122 12.00    
SCR  JUST LOOKIN AT YOU Nov15 Oct06       (ramsey nolan)FERRER C 120 30.00    
SCR  SIMO Dec06         (o'connell kathl)PANICI LUCA 120 4.50    
6  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS Jan17 Jan04 Dec07 Nov02 Oct07 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  ADMIRAL MO Jan04         (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00    
8  MY LUCKY ANGEL Jan05 Dec24       (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  RUNNING BAYOU Jan08 Oct06 Sep01 Aug17   (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  ITS PIZZA TIME Dec18 Nov23 Oct27     (arnett g)TOHILL S 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
11  JUAN COLORADO Jan11 Dec21 Nov27 Nov02   (gardea abraham)GIL CIPRIANO 120 20.00    
12  RAYDAR CONTROL Jan15 Dec24       (ward dennis)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 5.00    
 
TAM-9   02/07/2025 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG Z OG Jan18 Dec02 Oct19 Sep16 Jul17 (crook-demasi )MORALES PABLO 118 2.50    
2  TRUE SPUN Mar13 Jan20       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 117 10.00 7% 14.20    
3  JETAROS Jan04 Nov27 Sep07 Aug23 Jul27 (pompay terri)CASTANON L 118 2.00 35% 1.80    
4  GRAYTANA Jan17 Dec24 Nov23 Oct06 Sep01 (campb)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 6.00 7% 13.80    
5  DADDY'S DINERO Jan18 Nov17 Oct03 Sep08 Aug13 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 118 30.00    
6  MIDNITE MUSKET Jan04 Oct04 Sep08 Aug16 Jun16 (clark a)CENTENO E 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
7  PUTMAN Jan12 Oct20 Sep13 Aug16 Jul04 (vazquez m)DIAZ S 118 30.00    
8  EE YAH Jan15 Jan05 Dec11 Nov04 Oct13 (ocasio osva)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 20.00    
SCR  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT Aug23 Jul26 Feb18 Dec27 Sep16 (hemingway mich)GIL CIPRIANO 118 30.00    
10  MAX'S MAP Dec28 Nov29 Oct10 Sep21 Aug31 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.