Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - January 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (3/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/5)-(11/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/5)-(11/7/4/1)-(9/5/3/4/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-4   WIN (11/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/7/4/1)-(11/7/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/7/4/1)-(11/7/3/4/1)-(11/7/3/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/7/4/1)-(9/5/3/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/7/4/1)-(9/5/3/4/1)-(9/2/6/5/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-5   WIN (9/5/3/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/3/4/1)-(9/5/3/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/3/4/1)-(9/5/3/4/1)-(9/5/3/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/3/4/1)-(9/2/6/5/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/5/3/4/1)-(9/2/6/5/4)-(8/5/6/10/9) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-6   WIN (9/2/6/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/6/5/4)-(9/2/6/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/6/5/4)-(9/2/6/5/4)-(9/2/6/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/6/5/4)-(8/5/6/10/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/2/6/5/4)-(8/5/6/10/9)-(8/10/1/4/2) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-7   WIN (8/5/6/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/10/9)-(8/5/6/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/10/9)-(8/5/6/10/9)-(8/5/6/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/6/10/9)-(8/10/1/4/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/10/1/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/1/4/2)-(8/10/1/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/1/4/2)-(8/10/1/4/2)-(8/10/1/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   01/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOSICAL LADY Dec26 Dec05 Jun30 Jun09 May02 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 5.00    
2  DEFICIT MAJA Dec27 Dec05 Nov11 Sep27 Aug01 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 4.50    
3  DESERT GAL Jul22 Jun24 May02 Apr17 Apr03 (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 1.40 42% 1.40    
4  HEAVENLY VIOLET Jan09 Jan01 Nov17 Sep07 Aug30 (ortega joe)GARCIA F 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  KAMIKAZE BLUE Dec27 Nov27 Aug17 Jul14 Jun28 (marin martin)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  RUSSIAN TOTHE WIRE Dec26 Dec05 Nov27 Sep09 Jul27 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.00    
7  DIAMOND DEE Jan02 Nov26 Nov12 Sep19 Sep05 (thompso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
TUP-4   01/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Jan02 Dec10 Nov30 Nov20 Oct14 (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY DAD IS THIRSTY Jan14 Dec18 Nov30 Nov20 Oct13 (villamar c)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00    
3  LEPRINO Jan02 Sep16 Aug18 Jul09 Jun23 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 8.00 ★    
4  LANGSTON ROAD Jan06 Dec07 Nov17 Nov08 Oct20 (lucarelli fran)REYES R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  DR. TROUTMAN Jan14 Dec27 Nov16 Oct19 Sep21 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
SCR  ESTEEMED Nov26 Nov14 Oct25 Oct13 Oct05 (macvittie willia)MAWING A 124 20.00    
7  SIR FLATTER Jan07 Dec26 Dec17 Nov26 Nov13 (valerio raymond)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 9% 10.60    
8  STORMIN HONGKONG Dec27 Dec10 Nov20 Nov12 Sep25 (silva gabr)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 6.00    
9  CORN POP Jan14 Dec16 Dec02 Nov13 Oct14 (bean a)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
10  HADLEES HONOR Dec19 Dec12 Nov20 Oct14 Sep29 (crowe shell)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
11  STAR ENTRY Jan13 Dec18 Nov30 Nov13 Sep29 (ferguso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 66% 0.50    
12  ESTIFRAAD Dec05 Nov13 Jul31 Jul12 Jun28 (hodgso)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00    
 
TUP-5   01/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPORTY NUGGET Dec28 Aug16 Jul13 Jun21 Jun01 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  POCKET KNIFE Jan06 Dec09 Nov19 Sep06 Aug10 (carlson dou)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 15.00    
3  MARK OF VICTORY Jan07 Dec09 Nov26 Sep25 Aug15 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.50 9% 10.60    
4  LADY YELLOWSTONE Jan08 Dec19 Dec09 Nov09 Oct19 (fuentes ru)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 7% 14.20    
5  R B'S TIGER Dec13 Nov29 Oct20 Sep07 Aug09 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
6  UPTOWN RHAPSODY Dec19 May04 Apr10 Mar25 Feb28 (perkins f)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
7  HOT BETTY Dec18 Nov08 Oct25 Oct11 Jul26 (thomas jamey)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
8  INTRUSIVE Jan08 Dec09 Nov26 Oct13 Oct07 (perez hilario)REYES R 124 15.00    
9  SKY SAILING Dec26 Dec04 Nov19 Sep08 Aug25 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
TUP-6   01/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIRTH OF COOL Jan15 Dec31 Sep13 Sep01 Aug03 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 4.50    
2  ARREST Dec31 Dec02 Nov13 Aug17 Jul24 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
3  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Jan08 Dec30 Dec16 Sep15 Aug11 (evans )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 3.00    
SCR  DON'T LET ME DOWN Dec31 Oct13 Sep22 Aug24 Aug10 (anderson gonzal)VERGARA P 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  CREATIVE BID Dec30 Dec02 Nov13 Oct04 Aug25 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  OWHATARUSH Dec31 Dec18 Nov25 Sep15 Aug04 (wisdom ann)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 6% 17.10    
7  MY MAN BIGGIE Dec02 Nov17 Mar18 Feb15 Nov08 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 122 15.00    
8  YOU'RE THE CAUSE Dec31 Dec11 Sep15 Sep07 Aug17 (van debbie)MONTALVO C 122 20.00    
9  CORNISHMAN Dec31 Dec16 Nov10 Sep14 Aug24 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
 
TUP-7   01/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBYSA Jan07 Dec04 Nov12 Sep26 Sep09 (fuentes ruben)REYES R 124 10.00    
2  YODA GLITZ Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 Sep25 Sep07 (kereluk ed)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 20.00    
3  WE ALL AGREE Dec30 Nov30 May01 Mar28 Mar20 (alcoverde er)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00    
4  TAVALINE Nov22 Oct10 Sep07 Jul27 Jun15 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
5  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Jan07 Dec19 Nov21 Sep08 Aug23 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 3.00 13% 6.60    
6  IN THE VAULT Dec28 Dec09 Sep08 Aug17 Jul06 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 124 4.00 9% 9.80    
7  DOMINEERING Mar01 Feb04 Dec30 Dec16 Nov29 (perkinson cc)HARVEY B 124 12.00    
8  HIGH GUNNER Dec28 Jun01 May01 Mar25 Mar04 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 51% 0.90    
9  CHARMANT E Dec28 Dec05 Sep01 Aug17 Aug03 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  REIGN OF FIRE Jan07 Nov27 Oct07 Sep22 Sep06 (velasquez rigober)KRIGGER K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  TROUBLE N PARADISE Dec19 Dec04 Nov12 Sep21 Jul06 (trela rosem)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 8.00    
 
TUP-8   01/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEANT FOR ME Jan01 Dec10 Nov25 Oct04 Jul26 (barraza ra)VERGARA P 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  WELTON Dec23 Nov19 Sep08 Aug09 Jul14 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  COASTAL KID Dec18 Dec05 Nov14 Oct06 Sep15 (rarick wade)CRUZ M 124 4.50    
4  DEPARTURE Dec30 Aug17 Jun29 May19 Mar17 (ortiz man)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MR NAVIGATOR Dec23 Dec03 Nov20 Oct27 Sep28 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 20.00    
6  BUCK OWENS Jan06 Dec18 Dec02 Nov13 Sep29 (story chad)GARCIA F 124 10.00    
7  MR. WHO Dec11 Sep30 Sep14 Aug23 Apr11 (silva jose)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00    
8  EXXEL Dec23 Dec11 Nov19 Sep21 Sep05 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
9  LYKAN Dec31 Oct09 Aug24 Jul10 Jun28 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 6.00    
10  CENTRAL PARK Jan06 Dec18 Dec02 Nov19 Nov04 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 33% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.