Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Saturday - December 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(3/7/4)-(2/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-2   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(2/5/1)-(5/7/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(5/7/2/4)-(8/9/4/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (5/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/4)-(8/9/4/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/4)-(8/9/4/2/3)-(7/5/2/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (8/9/4/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/2/3)-(8/9/4/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/2/3)-(8/9/4/2/3)-(8/9/4/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/4/2/3)-(7/5/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/4/2/3)-(7/5/2/8)-(1/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-6   WIN (7/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/8)-(1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/8)-(1/3/6)-(1/6/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-7   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(1/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(1/6/2/4)-(6/4/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-8   WIN (1/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/4)-(6/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-9   WIN (6/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/3)-(3/8/5/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-10   WIN (3/8/5/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/10/9)-(3/8/5/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/10/9)-(3/8/5/10/9)-(3/8/5/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   12/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYMANROWEN Dec07 Nov14 Oct19 Sep16 Sep04 (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 116 3.00    
SCR  MUD ON MY BOOTS Nov29 Nov16 Oct29 Oct10 Aug23 (giangrosso r)BARRERA J 120 2.00    
A'DEBRIS Nov20 Oct25 Sep18 Aug23 Feb10 (zeno benjam)MELANCON JANSEN 117 10.00    
LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN Nov20 Oct23 Aug26 Jun17 May06 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 111 4.00 30% 2.30    
TRABR'S CREED Nov29 Oct25 Sep03 Aug05 Jun26 (giangrosso )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 5.00 33% 2.10    
SUNSET WAR Nov29 Nov20 Oct23 Apr19 Apr06 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 6.00 5% 17.40    
HOMELAND MESSA Feb23 Jan12 Dec20 Nov15 Oct20 (jackson dwayne)DEONAUTH P 120 15.00    
 
DED-2   12/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECTACULAR FORCE Dec08 Oct21 Oct14 Sep16 Sep05 (carter angel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00    
SCR  CAT ISLAND EXPRESS Dec07 Nov26 Sep16 Jul09 Jun22 (winslow janine)FUSILIER C 124 12.00    
WINGS LIKE EAGLES Dec12 Nov16 Jul19 Jun21 May30 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 4.50 39% 1.60    
OVERCAST Nov22 Oct30 Sep10 Aug17 Dec08 (rengstorf tony)ROSIER R 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROYAL LAUGHTER Oct24 Sep19 Apr13 Mar24 Mar03 (rosin coty )MELANCON JANSEN 120 3.50    
BELLA CARMELINA Nov27 Oct17 Jul13 Jun20 May10 (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 123 8.00    
HIGH TONE WOMAN Sep27 Jul14 May31 Apr21 Mar22 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
MATURITY DATE Oct06 Jul17 Jun27 Jun21 Apr21 (wong jonath)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.00    
 
DED-3   12/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVILISH SEASON         (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 5.00 9% 10.50    
BEARCAT Nov14         (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 121 2.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  ABOUT THE BUSINESS Dec07         (alberto anto)BARRERA J 121 5.00    
GREATIZLOVE Dec07 Nov14 Nov01 Aug10 Jul13 (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.00    
ROLL ON LUKE         (courville rick)PEREZ CARLOS 116 6.00 9% 9.80    
PICCOLO UOMO Nov23 Oct26       (clary jaylan )VARGAS P 121 4.00    
SCR  SILENT ACCORD Oct26         (rubin donald)ROSIER R 121 12.00    
 
DED-4   12/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPLEWOOD Nov23 Nov02 Oct11 Jul11 Jun06 (matthieu ron)MAGNON H 120 5.00    
SNIVELING Oct05 Aug12 Jun26 Jun03 May08 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 6.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  DEALIN' STELEN Nov23 Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 May30 (toups b)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
MR B QUIET Dec04 Nov07 Oct19 Sep09 Aug26 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SILENT POWER Dec05 Oct30 Oct12 Aug24 Jul19 (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
BIRTHDAY PARTY Nov20 Oct18 Sep10 Aug16 Jul20 (fuselier jonah)PEREZ CARLOS 115 4.50    
ANDIAMO GIACOMO Dec04 Nov07 Aug16 Jun17 Jun03 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 117 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
DED-5   12/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSEIDON'S QUEEN Nov03 Aug12 Jul27 Jul02   (zenon shelt)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 20.00    
WAABOO Nov22 Oct17 Sep26 Sep16 Aug05 (winslow janine)ARANA KELVIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
GRITTY TORNADO Nov22         (west henry)MELANCON JANSEN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHORT STACK Nov29 Oct10 Aug21 Jul10 Jun18 (player fletch)VARGAS P 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
KERRIGAN'S TOUCH Nov29 Nov02 Aug03 Jul04 Jun11 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 5.00    
STOLEN BULLET Nov02 Oct10 Aug23 Aug09   (escobar alison)PEREZ CARLOS 118 4.50    
MR LEE'S PRINCESS Nov22 Jun20       (rubin donald)ROSIER R 120 10.00    
MERRILY RUSH Nov27 Sep26 Aug12 Jul09 Jun08 (wong jonat)RAMIREZ JR 119 2.50 61% 0.60    
AWESOME BECCA Nov27 Nov02 Oct17 Aug23 Jul20 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 123 4.00 13% 6.70    
 
DED-6   12/21/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE Z Dec04 Oct19 Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 4.50    
LIGHTENING MO Nov26 Oct19 Sep24 Sep04 Jul23 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
LITTLE E Aug14 Aug05 Jun11 May13 Feb17 (schultz l)HERNANDEZ V 120 12.00    
LEXI'S FURY Nov22 Nov01 Oct23 Sep24 Sep10 (duhon paul)VARGAS P 119 3.50    
UNIFIED LOVE Nov01 Jun08 May22 May04 Apr13 (sauceda jes)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
TAKEN IT Nov28 Oct12 Sep18 Aug24 Jun27 (journet alb)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00    
APRIORITY CATCH Nov29 Nov08 Jun22 May17 Apr20 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
KAPPA HILL Dec04 Nov14 Oct26 Aug28 Jul25 (flugence henry)ARANA KELVIN 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRUE RED SLEW Nov25 Oct25 Jun30 Nov09 Oct26 (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
 
DED-7   12/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELI'S GIRL Nov21 Aug10 Jul12 May24 May08 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE Dec06 Nov27 Nov09 Oct18 Aug22 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 124 2.00    
CATO'S LADY Nov21 Oct19 Sep26 Sep14 Aug22 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 35% 1.90    
SCRAPBOOK Nov30 Nov08 Oct19 Sep02 Aug20 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 4.00    
SCR  ITSNOTMYJOB Dec12 Nov08 Apr13 Mar23 Feb24 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 8.00    
SUMMERTIME BANDIT Nov29 Nov09 Aug10 Jul25 Jul01 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAMBA OUT Nov29 Oct22 Sep24 Sep07 Aug13 (martinez ra)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00    
 
DED-8   12/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAB'S HUMOR Nov21 Oct26 Jul07 Jun23   (bryant george)FUSILIER C 121 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by CUTTING HUMOR out of PEACELOVEANDJOY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SHAKE EM BELLA Dec07 Nov21 Oct26 Jun14   (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.50 11% 8.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of MY LITTLE MINX by EMPIRE MAKER)
SASSI IDOL Dec06         (thomas lee)MELANCON JANSEN 118 5.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of SHE'S PRADO'S IDOL by SCREEN IDOL)
WHO'S MADIE         (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 121 8.00 10% 9.00    
  (by CARACARO out of POTICHE by DIXIE UNION)
LEMON MARMALADE Dec05         (cravens ronnie)THORNTON G 121 8.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of JELLY ROLL by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  GILDED DAZE Oct26         (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 121 2.00 25% 2.90    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of GOLDEN HAZE by POMEROY)
NORMA JEAN BLING Dec07         (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 15.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of BROOKE'S A BOOKIN by JONESBORO)
LAOBAN'S CARAT Aug03         (courville ri)MAGNON H 121 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of DIAMOND DONA by BERNARDINI)
 
DED-9   12/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAVEN'T A RED CENT Aug14 Jun29 May27 Apr18   (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00    
DEVIL'S POOL Oct11 Aug31 Aug02 Jul24 Jul12 (johnson )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 5.00    
MY LIL POKER FACE Oct26 Jul19 Jul05     (zenon charles)LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S MAGNIFICENT Dec06 Oct25       (segura kear)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
TAKEITTOTHEHOUSE Oct25         (jeane scott)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00 19% 4.30    
KIP THE DISTANCE Nov30 Oct19 Sep14 Aug31 Aug16 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 117 2.00 32% 2.20    
CASUALLY CLASSY Nov08 Oct26 Sep28 Sep12 Aug24 (litfin veron)BARRERA J 117 4.50    
 
DED-10   12/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET A GRIP ON IT Dec07         (bernard john)JOURNET JARRED 124 6.00    
MAGICAL DEAL Dec04 Nov07 Jun29 May17 May04 (segura kearn)BARRERA J 123 3.00    
SASSY SPRY Dec04 Nov07 Jan27 Sep12 Sep02 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
COUNTRY GEM Nov26         (brinkman brett)BIRZER E 123 6.00    
MISS DAAHEN         (richard russell )FUSILIER C 124 12.00 21% 3.70    
LATER LATERTIFFANY Nov26 Jul28 May19 Feb10   (bernard john)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 15.00    
ACESANDDIAMONDS Nov15 Jul20 Jun29 Feb15 Jan27 (thompson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 10.00    
KISSTER Nov13 Oct16 Jul25 Jul12 May31 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.50 24% 3.20    
E R'S MIREYA Nov15 Sep24 Aug22 May27 May04 (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  DEBBO Nov15 Sep16 Aug09 Jul26 Jun08 (knudsen kent)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 12.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  DIAMOND COUNTRY Dec05 Nov07 Oct17 Aug09 Jul26 (thompson k)RAMIREZ JR 118 6.00    
SCR  DISCREET DEAL Dec04 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jun24 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.