Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - November 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (1/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/7/6)-(5/1/4/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-2   WIN (5/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/4/8)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/8)-(4/3/5)-(1/4/7/8) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(1/4/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (1/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/7/8)-(4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/4)-(3/8/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4)-(3/8/4)-(3/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4)-(4/5/6)-(2/9/10/3/6) 45 $2.00 $90.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(2/9/10/3/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-8   WIN (2/9/10/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/10/3/6)-(2/9/10/3/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/9/10/3/6)-(2/9/10/3/6)-(2/9/10/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   11/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($6.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESCUE FIVE Nov18 Nov04 Oct21 Oct09 Sep24 (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
HARPERSGONEFISHING Nov04 Oct16 Sep23 Sep09 Aug17 (cuttino l)WHITACRE B 120 15.00    
SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Nov18 Jul30 Jun19 Jun04 May13 (ewell sr)LEON A 120 10.00    
SCR  RIP THORN Aug04 Jul15 Jun30 Jun18 Jun02 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00    
ROCKET APPEAL Nov04 Oct18 Aug24 Aug16 Jul26 (sprigg)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00    
TIMBERRY TIDDLER Oct09 Sep30 Aug21 Jul24 Jul03 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 8.00 9% 9.70    
BLACK CANDY Nov19 Nov03 Oct21 Oct09 Sep24 (blackhurst)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 6.00 11% 7.70    
TEAM LEYENDECKER Dec28 Dec13 Nov28 Aug09 Jul12 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 10.00 25% 3.00    
 
MNR-2   11/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN SENSE Nov18 Nov12 Oct22 Oct13 Sep29 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
MACHEN IT RAIN Jul03 Apr28 Feb03 Jan12 Aug21 (carri)MONSERRATE A 120 50.00    
EL CARDINAL Nov17 Nov04 Oct13 Sep29 Sep17 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 6.00    
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Nov06 Oct07 Sep16 Sep03 Aug11 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
GATES OF HEAVEN Oct22 Oct07 Sep29 Sep04 Jul14 (treharne dav)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 1.00 37% 1.70    
CAJUN HOPE Oct22 Oct09 Sep29 Sep14 Sep05 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 4.00    
SCR  TWO GUNS Oct22 Sep29 Jul30 Jun17 Apr23 (poole c)WHITACRE B 120 20.00    
CLASSY BOY Nov13 Oct21 Oct15 Oct01 Sep16 (robillard )WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-3   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT STROLLER Sep24 Sep10 Jul31 Jun19 Jun04 (shuler r)WHITACRE B 118 2.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of KINDRED SOUL by FED BIZ)
DONALD'S NATION Jul01 Jun19 Jun04 May19   (clouston )HERNANDEZ H 118 8.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of HOPE RUN by EUROSILVER)
YOUNG ELVIS Nov20 Oct21       (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of ANDREA'S LILLY by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
GC'S MACHENTHUNDER         (baird michael)AVILES YAN 118 1.60 66% 0.50    
  (by MACHEN out of COBRA GIRL by BADGE OF SILVER)
I'M GREAT TWO Jul07 Jul01 Jun19 Jun04 May19 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of DEA by MIDSHIPMAN)
ALL ROADS TO DENIS Nov12 Sep24 Sep10 Aug25 Jul31 (ewell sr)LEON A 123 2.50    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
 
MNR-4   11/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE SMOKE Nov04 Oct13 Sep29 Sep08 Aug27 (corder)RODRIGUEZ A 110 5.00 32% 2.20    
FIRST CROWNED Nov12 Oct28 Oct15 Sep19 Aug20 (donjuan ser)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00    
CHELSEA DAGGER Nov17 Nov06 Oct17 Sep18 Aug30 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00    
CADILLAC JUSTICE Nov17 Oct30 Oct23 Oct09 Sep18 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 4.00 26% 2.80    
COLD PLUNGE Nov17 Oct21 Oct01 Sep22 Aug12 (reffner tara)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 6.00    
HOLLYWOOD HERO Nov17 Nov03 Oct21 Oct08 Oct02 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00    
PUNCTUALITY Nov17 Nov04 Oct20 Oct07 Sep25 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 120 5.00 11% 7.80    
RESVALON Nov12 Oct20 Oct03 Jul29 Jul08 (ccamaque mar)TAPARA BRANDON 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-5   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALABAMA SLAMMER Nov05 Oct29 Sep29 Sep17 Aug26 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 2.50 7% 12.40    
CRAFTY CONQUEST Nov13 Oct23 Oct08 Sep04 Aug18 (pizzurro jessica)AVILES YAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
APPRAISAL Nov13 Sep23 Sep11 Sep01 Jun30 (treharne da)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
MALIBU COWBOY Nov13 Oct08 Sep08 Aug13 Jul25 (cuttino l)WHITACRE B 120 1.40 68% 0.50    
SCR  BRIT'S CANDYMAN Nov05 Oct23 Sep04 Jul11 Jun06 (lopez )RODRIGUEZ A 110 3.50    
FATIH Sep15 Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 May08 (trevino stephen)NEGRON LUIS 120 6.00    
 
MNR-6   11/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOW ME THE BEST Nov10 Oct21 Oct07 Sep03 Aug07 (jenkins wa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 4.50    
SCR  LA REINA DEL NORTE Nov10 Aug20 Jul22 Jun18 May30 (trevino stephen)LEON A 120 20.00    
LATER DAYS Oct07 Jul17 Jun10 May21 May14 (treharne da)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
SUFFERIN SUCCOTASH Nov10 Oct23 Oct15 Sep22 Aug06 (inirio o)TAPARA LUIS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
CARLY HUSTLE Nov20 Oct25 Sep22 Aug28 Aug21 (salinas jose)PAUCAR E 120 20.00    
SCR  REDWHITEANDTACOS Nov13 Oct29 Oct14 Sep09 Sep02 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 10.00    
MISS SHADY Nov10 Jul15 Jun24 Jun12 May22 (trevino stephen)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00    
SCREAM MACHINE Nov12 Sep28 Sep19 Jul27 Jul14 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 118 2.00 17% 5.00    
 
MNR-7   11/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YEARS AGO Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jul17 Jul03 (trevino stephen)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.50    
SILVER CANDICE Nov04 Sep30 Sep09 Aug13 Jul15 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
LADY JEAN Oct30 Oct20 Sep18 Aug21 Jul29 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 5.00    
WATERWORKS Nov04 Oct22 Sep29 Sep02 Aug14 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 1.40 34% 2.00    
LUCYLOU WHO Nov06 Oct12 Sep21 Jul11 Jun22 (jones michae)LEWIS M 115 4.00 26% 2.80    
GIRL BYE Nov06 Oct20 Sep29 Sep18 Sep03 (fletcher jeff)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-8   11/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE FILTER Nov17 Nov04 Oct21 Sep29 Aug25 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 4.50    
ITALIANO Nov17 Nov04 Oct21 Feb19 Jan29 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 53% 0.90    
BLAME BISHOP Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 Aug12 May03 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SOMERSET BAY Nov17 Oct16 Sep29 Sep16 Sep03 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 50.00    
BEASTFROMTHEEAST Nov20 Nov05 Oct16 Aug18 Oct25 (cordero-lop)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 5.00    
CAJUN CHAOS Nov04 Oct06 Aug25 Aug12 Dec06 (montano wilfrid)HERMAN NOEL 123 50.00 5% 19.00    
I'M A LAWMAN Oct21 Oct06 Jul08 Dec05 Oct30 (crago terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 8.00    
SCR  LADY'S BOY Nov11 Oct21 Oct06 Sep29 Sep16 (brown)MONSERRATE A 123 20.00    
JACK BOB AND LARRY Nov04 Oct21 Jul02 May29 Mar21 (barker r)WHITACRE B 123 3.00 18% 4.60    
10  CRACK THE MOON Nov12 Nov03 Oct06 Sep22 Sep11 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 4.00 5% 18.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.