Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Monday - November 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (4/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/1)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/1)-(4/5/2)-(5/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(5/6/2)-(6/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-3   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(6/1/4)-(4/5/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-4   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(4/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(4/5/7/2)-(5/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-5   WIN (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/2)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/2)-(5/2/6)-(6/4/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-6   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(6/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(6/4/3/5)-(4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-7   WIN (6/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/5)-(4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/5)-(4/2)-(3/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-8   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/4/6)-(10/3/4/12/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PRX-9   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(10/3/4/12/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PRX-10   WIN (10/3/4/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/4/12/6)-(10/3/4/12/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/4/12/6)-(10/3/4/12/6)-(10/3/4/12/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   11/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOIS Oct29 Oct16 Sep16 Aug28 Aug05 (aro mich)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
RAINBOW TROUT Feb26 Feb02 Jan10 Dec13 Nov24 (lake scott )VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 3.00 11% 8.10    
GANGSTER RAP Nov04 Oct02 Sep16 Aug09 May10 (padilla esteba)ADORNO ABNER 122 4.00    
LUNA T Nov02 Jul09 Jun04 May13 Apr24 (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 4.50 36% 1.80    
MERCY MERCY Nov04 Oct11 Sep27 Sep11 Aug21 (castillo mic)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00    
LULINDA'S HEART Oct15 Sep11 Aug27 Aug19 Jul23 (st uriah)OTERO AAROM 112 10.00    
LA TOURISTA Oct25 Mar13 Jan11 Dec06 Nov18 (pino mic)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 2.50 28% 2.60    
CREME CARAMEL Oct07 Sep25 Sep04 Aug27 Jul24 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 122 20.00    
 
PRX-2   11/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE RANSOM Oct23 Sep18 Sep04 Aug27 Jul24 (dandy ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.50    
OBSTINATE Oct16 Sep30 Sep11 Aug19 Jul17 (flores-coba)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CATTI LA BELLE Oct28 Sep25 Sep02 Aug19 Jul17 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 122 2.50    
BUNNY BONUS Oct28 Oct16 Oct07 Sep11 Jul17 (hogan william )ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 3.50 31% 2.20    
CREATIVE COPY Oct28 Jul04 Apr17 Apr10 Mar19 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
HEART LIGHT Nov04 Oct23 Sep30 Sep02 Dec18 (caban carlo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 125 4.00    
 
PRX-3   11/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GWEN STACY Oct22 Sep25 Sep02 Jul17 Jun08 (linder louis )RIVERA D 122 12.00    
WINBORI Oct22 Sep18 Jun18 May27 May14 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
LA DE PELUCHE Oct22 Oct04 Aug17 Jul27 Jun22 (santaella-calde)RUIZ ELISEO 125 2.50    
SCR  FAUX PAS (IRE) Oct22 Sep18 Sep02 May29 May14 (brown r)AGUILAR JEAN 120 3.00    
NAPOLITAN Oct22 Sep25 Sep11 Aug26 Jul10 (dandy ro)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 1.60 37% 1.70    
END OF THE RAINBOW Oct29 Oct12 Sep27 Sep08 Aug29 (pattersha)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 8.00 30% 2.30    
HER TICKET TO RIDE Oct23 Aug24 Jul02 Jun08 May14 (smylie timoth)RANGEL JOEZER 125 20.00    
 
PRX-4   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCHIES PACKIN         (crowell l)BOWMAN ADAM 125 6.00 12% 7.10    
E T'S EVASIVE MOON Nov11 Oct23 Oct14 Aug26   (arce josue)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 5.00    
FOUR DAYS EARLY Oct14 Sep23 Nov01 Oct14 Sep04 (aristone phil)RANGEL JOEZER 125 4.00    
SPLITTING STONES Oct14 Sep17 Aug27 Jul23   (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 10.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  D DAY Nov05 Oct20 Aug10 Jun27 Jun05 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 122 1.20    
FULLY COMMITTED Oct23 Sep24 Sep08 Aug10 Jul14 (perez ru)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
 
PRX-5   11/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS SMARTY Z Oct23 Sep21       (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of ZAHAVA by JUMP START)
MARY LOVES LOUIE Oct30 Sep10 Jul30 Jul16 Jun28 (santaella-calde)RUIZ ELISEO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of LAWANDA by PIONEERING)
ALYVIA MAVIS Oct30 Oct22 Oct07 Sep21 Sep11 (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 3.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of J'RAY'S SUNSHINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
MAXIMUS ANGELICUS Oct22 Sep21 Aug19 Jul22 Jun24 (reid robert )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 0.80 67% 0.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DISCO ROSE by WEIGELIA)
VAGUE Oct22 Sep21       (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 6.00 9% 10.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of REQUIRE by BLAME)
FUR ELISE Oct12 Aug03       (lawrence jame)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of TEASE by CROWD PLEASER)
CAROUSEL QUEEN Oct14 Sep28 Sep21     (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of LA PADRINA by EL PADRINO)
 
PRX-6   11/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING ON AIR Nov05 Oct22 Jul09 Jun19 Jun05 (uhacz wendy)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.50    
  (by AIROFORCE out of BOTTLE DANCE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
FENTON FOREVER         (servis j )VARGAS A 122 8.00 23% 3.40    
  (by PAT ON THE BACK out of FAIRY GRAY by CAT THIEF)
AU SOME WARRIOR Nov04 Oct14 Sep21 Aug15   (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of AU FUDGE by JUMP START)
OKIE DEN DEN Sep21 Sep03       (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 122 5.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of BAETYKATY by CAT THIEF)
REELIN N DEALIN Oct19 Sep21       (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
  (by PAT ON THE BACK out of FRINGE BENEFITS by TRAJECTORY)
REGALPAINS Sep21 Aug26 Jul23 Jun24   (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ROYALASPEN by CONGRATS)
 
PRX-7   11/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JESS'S MOMENT Oct29 Oct15 Sep25 Sep11 Aug24 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 118 4.50    
SPANISH GIRL Oct23 Oct09 Sep11 Sep02 Jul21 (santaella-calde)RUIZ ELISEO 118 8.00    
ANGEL OF HARLEM Aug03 Jul05 May31     (lake a)MOYA F 125 4.00 9% 10.00    
LADY SRIRACHA Oct24 Oct09 Sep15 Aug27 Jul02 (moore michael)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
KEYSTORMRISING Oct29 Oct09 Sep11 Aug26   (bedard alan)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
TEMPTING LADY Sep25 Aug19 Apr13 Mar08 Feb09 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
SWEET DISTRACTION Oct21 Sep23 Jul10 Mar05 Feb24 (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 10.00    
SCR  DAISY BELIEVES Jul02         (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00    
 
PRX-8   11/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 (valdez m)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 8.00    
BANANA SPLIT Oct12 Sep20 Sep06 Jul25 Jun21 (jones michael)SILVERA RUBEN 117 8.00 22% 3.60    
LADY ROBO Oct29 Oct09 Sep25 Aug19 Jul22 (mosco r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50    
SHE CAN SCAT Oct30 Oct14 Sep15 Sep01 Aug10 (brown howar)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
VANELLOPE Oct14 Oct01 Aug03 Jul17 Jul02 (lake scot)VARGAS A 117 3.00    
LOST LOVE Oct14 Sep25 Aug21 May03 Apr21 (pino mic)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 4.00    
 
PRX-9   11/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETSY IS THE GAL Jul19 Jul03 Jun12 May20 May06 (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 118 12.00    
JODY'S RUBY May21 May06 Mar18 Nov22 Sep23 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 118 8.00    
DAZZY Oct23 Sep11 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 0.80 45% 1.20    
REASSESS Sep29 Sep05 Aug08 Jul14 Mar06 (preciado guadal)RUIZ ELISEO 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
XTRA EXTRAORDINARY Oct12 Sep13 Jul07 Jun15 May26 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 122 3.50    
MELODY'S KISS Aug21 Jul22 Jun26 Feb25 Jan19 (noble f)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-10   11/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARLORD Oct08 Sep18 Sep04 Jul15 Jun16 (coletti edwa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50    
SCR  CRACK THE CODE Oct21 Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 Jul22 (conrad paul)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 20.00    
SHAKE THE GOLD Jul04 Jun13 May24 May09 Dec15 (lake a)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 6.00 14% 6.00    
SECRET SATURDAY Oct31 Oct24 Sep21 Sep13 Aug15 (deiter l)CEDENO CAROL 119 5.00 10% 8.90    
O'BRIEN Sep18 Jul27 Dec06 Oct24 Aug26 (dotolo davi)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 20.00    
TAPORICAL Jul04 May15 May04 Feb21 Feb14 (zubenko gerald )BOWMAN ADAM 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
CISCO KID Oct21 Oct05 Sep16 Aug20 Jul15 (padill)GONZALEZ JR 119 8.00    
DOS DE OROS Oct21 Oct02 Sep16 Sep04 Jun04 (brown howar)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 6.00    
OPTIMISTIC NATE Oct19 Oct08 Sep20 Jul25   (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
10  ONE AMERICA Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Oct29 Sep17 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
11  CHECKING BOXES Oct02 Sep23 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 (guerrero gua)AGUILAR JEAN 114 6.00    
12  SEPARATE WAYS Oct16 Sep18 Aug28 Aug01 Jul02 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.00 7% 13.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.