Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Monday - October 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (2/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/8)-(5/2/9/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/8)-(5/2/9/4/8)-(5/6/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-2   WIN (5/2/9/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/4/8)-(5/2/9/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/4/8)-(5/2/9/4/8)-(5/2/9/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/9/4/8)-(5/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/9/4/8)-(5/6/4/7)-(1/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-3   WIN (5/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7)-(5/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/7)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/7)-(1/6/3)-(7/5/8/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-4   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(7/5/8/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(7/5/8/2/3)-(9/6/10/8/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PRX-5   WIN (7/5/8/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/2/3)-(7/5/8/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/2/3)-(7/5/8/2/3)-(7/5/8/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/8/2/3)-(9/6/10/8/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/5/8/2/3)-(9/6/10/8/3)-(3/4/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PRX-6   WIN (9/6/10/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/10/8/3)-(9/6/10/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/10/8/3)-(9/6/10/8/3)-(9/6/10/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/10/8/3)-(3/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/6/10/8/3)-(3/4/5)-(8/10/3/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-7   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
PRX-8   WIN (8/10/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/3/2)-(8/10/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/3/2)-(8/10/3/2)-(8/10/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PRX-9   WIN (9/1/4/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/4/11/7)-(9/1/4/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/4/11/7)-(9/1/4/11/7)-(9/1/4/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   10/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE LIKE CRAZY Oct01 Sep09 Aug11 Jul13 Jun27 (nicholson j)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 10.00    
SHE CAN SCAT Sep15 Sep01 Aug10 Jul19 Jul06 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 4.00 43% 1.30    
MARIA SAYS SO Mar19 Mar05 Feb21 Jan24 Dec27 (aristone p)SANCHEZ J 119 4.50 19% 4.30    
VANELLOPE Oct01 Aug03 Jul17 Jul02 Jun08 (lake a)OCASIO M 119 1.80    
LOST LOVE Sep25 Aug21 May03 Apr21 Mar29 (pino mic)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 6.00    
PHONE EATS FIRST Sep09 Jul18 Jun27 May27   (aro c)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 6% 16.40    
SISTER EVE Sep16 Aug29 Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 (velazquez da)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 8.00    
FLAG SONG FLYIN Oct02 Sep16 Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 8.00 5% 18.70    
SCR  ODE TO EDIE Sep30 Aug20 Jul09     (williams ab)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00    
 
PRX-2   10/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPERHEAD CREEK Sep30 Aug28 Jul25 Jun19 Jun06 (stites f)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 6.00    
REJECTED AGAIN Oct02 Sep10 Aug20 Jul24 Jul10 (brown r)AGUILAR JEAN 117 4.50 23% 3.40    
GOLDEN WILDCAT Sep09 Jun18 Jun04 Apr15 Mar12 (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.50    
CRYPT Oct02 Sep10 Aug14 Jul28 Jul15 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
DAD'S ON A ROLL Sep18 Sep11 Aug20 Aug11 Jul22 (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
BRINDISI Sep30 Aug28 Jul22 Jun17 May29 (nicholson j)VASQUEZ WILFRED 125 3.00    
BOYS AND BULLETS Oct01 Jun11 Jun04 May07 Apr23 (tapsas ilias)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 12.00    
PETULANT DELIGHT Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Jul24 Jul01 (rodriguez irv)RIVERA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
UP AGAINST IT Sep30 Sep01 Jun27 Mar16 Mar09 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 122 10.00 23% 3.40    
 
PRX-3   10/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR DAYS EARLY Sep23 Nov01 Oct14 Sep04 Aug02 (aristone phil)SILVERA RUBEN 125 4.00    
E T'S EVASIVE MOON Aug26         (arce josue)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 8.00    
ZANDUHOC Sep15         (servis j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 5.00    
KEY STAT Jul17 Jun18 May29     (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 8% 12.00    
PRINCE OF CHILL Sep18 Aug26 Aug01 Jul02 Jun10 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 125 1.80 48% 1.10    
I CAN DO MAGIC Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 Apr28 Feb07 (guerrero g)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
SPLITTING STONES Sep17 Aug27 Jul23     (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-4   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEYTON'S COLLEGE Sep03 Jul23 Jun04 Apr30 Apr10 (brown howar)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 29% 2.40    
ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE Sep10 Jul23 Jun24 May27 Apr30 (gonzalez-milia)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
LEVIOSA Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 (gonzalez-mi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 125 6.00 18% 4.50    
ROAD TO DREAMS Sep30 Aug24 Jul27 Jul09 Jun17 (chacon gusta)HERNANDEZ ANDY 125 6.00    
SCR  PATTERN BET Aug10 Jul13 Jun06 Apr19 Mar21 (tapsas i)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 5.00    
KHOZY COLBY Sep17 Aug21 Jul22 Jun28 May26 (velazquez dani)AGUILAR JEAN 117 6.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  JURADICIAL Jun05 May06 Apr16 Mar28 Feb15 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 122 3.50    
PEARLS AND HEELS Sep18 Sep03 Aug07 Jul23 Mar05 (hawthor)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
 
PRX-5   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIRMAN TREVOR Oct07         (gallim)GONZALEZ JR 122 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of BALBINA by LEMON DROP KID)
ALPHADINI         (velazquez da)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of RIGHT ROUND by MORE THAN READY)
BROTHER VINNY         (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of SAHARA MOMENT by SAHARA HEAT)
DAVE'SBOLDTHUNDER         (krebs s)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 12.00    
  (by BOLD THUNDER out of NOSUBSTITUTEFORLUV by NOT FOR LOVE)
STAR MAN BOB Aug26         (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by WEIGELIA out of OUR STAR by TAPIZAR)
MY MILITARY HERO Sep21 Sep07 Aug03 Jul13   (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of DINN RIGH by KARAKONTIE (JPN))
AU SOME WARRIOR Sep21 Aug15       (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of AU FUDGE by JUMP START)
SON OF THOR         (coletti edward)PENNINGTON F 122 5.00 14% 6.40    
  (by ROWAYTON out of CHARLYBROWN'S ROSE by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN)
COJELO PA TI         (martinez)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 6.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of SWEETHEART LADY by OVERDRIVEN)
10  ANYTHING BUT MINE         (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 122 8.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of NEWLY ESCAPED by TIZNOW)
 
PRX-6   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANDY GIRL (ARG) Sep14 Aug31       (smith ever)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of LOVING LORRI by TALE OF THE CAT)
MARIAH KATHRYN         (gallimore trevo)BOWMAN ADAM 122 20.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of TRAVELING ALONE by MT. LIVERMORE)
BEYOND BELIEF         (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ABRACADABRA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  YELENA BELOVA Sep28         (penalo)GONZALEZ JR 122 12.00    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of ANGEL WAVE by MALIBU MOON)
CAROUSEL QUEEN Sep28 Sep21       (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of LA PADRINA by EL PADRINO)
SHOCK         (hills timoth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.50 11% 8.20    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NAKED AVENGER by CONGRATS)
SCR  THAT GIRL CHARLIE         (bedard alan)RIVERA D 122 12.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BLUEGRASS BLONDE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
DELRAY         (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MALIBU COUGAR by MALIBU MOON)
ANGEL OF HOPE Sep21 Sep09       (padilla hug)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 3.50 57% 0.80    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of EASTER BLOSSOM by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  DEADLY ANGEL Sep24         (dotolo davi)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 8% 12.00    
  (by PAT ON THE BACK out of THE COLOR GRAY by WELL SPELLED)
11  OURDAYDREAMINGGIRL         (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of ITSINTHESTARS by ASTROLOGY)
 
PRX-7   10/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D DAY SKY Sep21 Aug17 Jul21 May18 Apr05 (giangiuli)VARGAS A 119 2.00    
WHISKEYROMEOSIERRA Sep16 Nov28 Oct23 Sep12 Aug21 (coletti edward)PENNINGTON F 119 10.00    
THE MONOPOLY MAN Sep16 Jul20 Apr28 Mar27 Mar06 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 39% 1.50    
TURN UP THE TREES Aug30 Aug09 Mar28 Feb10 Jan13 (margotta antho)MOYA F 119 4.50 17% 5.00    
BRONX BOYS Sep16 Aug28 Jul08 Jun17 May18 (coletti edw)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
LIGHT THE WAY Aug28 Jul13 May16 Apr20 Mar08 (nevin michell)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00    
 
PRX-8   10/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEPOLI Sep21 Sep01 Aug16 Jul17 Jun30 (cole-davis tina)RUIZ ELISEO 122 15.00    
CAPITAL CONQUEST Sep23 Sep02 Aug21 Jul17 Jul08 (lake scot)VARGAS A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAPO Sep21 Aug26 Jul15 Jul08 Jun24 (solis jacint)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 4.50 10% 8.70    
I DON'T SEE COLORS Sep16 Aug19 Jul12 Jun11 May22 (coletti )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 5.00    
SCR  EGO MAN Oct02 Sep17 Aug19 Aug02 Jul23 (maymo )GONZALEZ JR 122 8.00    
SCR  PALM ISLAND Sep23 Aug16 Jul13 Jun09 Aug26 (crook-de)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 8.00    
SCR  TALKIN PHAROAH Aug21 Jul08 May22 Mar22 Mar07 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50    
CATTY'S UNCLE Aug16 Jul15 Jul01 May29 May01 (padilla-prec)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
DISTURBED Sep23 Sep16 Sep04 Aug19 Jul17 (jones c)BOWMAN ADAM 122 10.00    
10  PUTTHEBLAMEONME Nov15 Oct17 Sep25 Sep06 Aug23 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  BERNIE'S MITTS Sep07 Aug24 Jul26 Dec27 Nov27 (caban carlos )RIVERA D 119 20.00    
 
PRX-9   10/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREDICTED Sep30 Sep08 Jul27 Jun28 Jun08 (soto- martinez)ADORNO ABNER 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  FEDERAL CASE Oct02 Jul19 Jun11 May22 May10 (santaella-c)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 15.00    
SOCIAL GROUP Sep04 Aug20 Jul22 Jun17 Jun03 (bouchard le)DE KEMICH 117 20.00    
STAR WEAVER Sep30 Sep11 Aug28 Aug01 Jul19 (diaz jorge)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 15% 5.70    
MINXZHIPPSDONTLEYE Sep30 Aug28 Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 6.00    
NOTABLE BOB (CHI) Sep30 Aug11 Jul19 Jul06 Jun23 (ramirez silv)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00    
MEGA CHARLIE Oct02 Sep11 Jun08 May28 May13 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
EMPIRE'S SCORE Sep07 Jun23 Jun12 May27 May07 (brown howar)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
RACKATAPTAP Jun07 May23 Apr05 Mar07 Jan26 (guerrero)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 2.00 37% 1.70    
10  BIG BROWN SHOES Sep30 Aug28 Aug15 Jul26 Jul07 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 122 12.00    
11  AHSAD Sep30 Sep04 Aug20 Aug03 Jul15 (vega ri)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00 8% 11.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.