Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Meadowlands Tb
Friday - October 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MED-1   WIN (1/7/2/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/3/10)-(1/7/2/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/3/10)-(1/7/2/3/10)-(1/7/2/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/2/3/10)-(6/2/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/3/10)-(6/2/8/4)-(9/4/2/1/11) 100 $1.00 $100 
MED-2   WIN (6/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/4)-(6/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/4)-(6/2/8/4)-(6/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/8/4)-(9/4/2/1/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8/4)-(9/4/2/1/11)-(6/5/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
MED-3   WIN (9/4/2/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/1/11)-(9/4/2/1/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/1/11)-(9/4/2/1/11)-(9/4/2/1/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/2/1/11)-(6/5/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/4/2/1/11)-(6/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
MED-4   WIN (6/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4)-(6/2/10/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
MED-5   WIN (1/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/4)-(6/2/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MED-6   WIN (6/2/10/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/10/5/7)-(6/2/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/10/5/7)-(6/2/10/5/7)-(6/2/10/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MED-1   10/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU MUST CHILL Sep10 Aug26 Jul01 May31 May11 (d'angelo jose)IORIO MELISSA 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
NATIVE THUNDER Sep07 Jul03 Jun20 May09 Feb12 (carrascojr vic)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00 8% 11.70    
LORD KNOWS Sep30 Aug31 Aug11 Jul20 Jul03 (dini mik)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 4.50 5% 19.00    
KOBLA MAS Sep27 Aug23 Dec15 Oct18 Sep14 (ward dan)RIVERA R 122 8.00    
GO GREEN Oct05 Sep21 Sep01 Dec21 Nov15 (cole-da)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 20.00    
CHICO CHARLIE Sep14 Aug10 Jun29 Jun01 Apr10 (gomez pompeyo)COTTO L 124 5.00    
COLPO D'ORO Oct04 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 (gonzalez claud)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  NICOLE'S KING Sep14 Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 Mar14 (miceli mich)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
KINGDOM ON PAWS Sep18 Aug13 Jul28 Jul10 Jun18 (davis d)MOYA F 122 20.00    
10  NEW YORK PANTHER Sep21 Aug31 Aug01 Jul07 Jun28 (nunn douglas)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MED-2   10/11/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Aug21 Aug01 Jul12 Jun25 Jun11 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00    
TAP IT UP Sep20 Sep08 Aug24 Jul25 Mar16 (ryerson ja)RIVERA R 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
PERFORMANCEANXIETY Aug24 Jul26 Jun29 Mar01 Jan31 (sweezey kent)TORRES JOMAR 122 15.00    
BOSS LADY KIM Nov18 Oct26 Sep22 Aug05 Jun30 (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BUSTIN TIME Aug05 Jul04 Jun18 May14 May06 (davis d)MOYA F 119 12.00    
ACT OF CONGRESS Aug23 Jul13 Jun15 Jun22 May27 (levine bruc)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
HIPNOTIZADA Oct02 Sep20 Aug14 Aug08 Jul28 (smith lawr)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 10.00    
CANDY ARCADE Sep28 Aug18 Jul27 Jun29 Jun16 (ward dan)IORIO MELISSA 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MED-3   10/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERCY MERCY Sep27 Sep11 Aug21 Jul19 Jun25 (castillo)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN HEART Sep27 Sep07 Aug17 Jul13 Jun19 (iannotti t)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 10.00 15% 5.80    
ARMONIA Sep27 Sep15 Aug23 Jul26 Jul12 (avila juan )VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 5.00    
SPECIAL AFFAIR Sep27 Sep21 Aug24 Aug04 Jul13 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
COOL FRONT Sep09 Aug25 Aug07 Jul18 Jun25 (pickett cryst)OLVER MADISON 124 10.00    
VELIKIY Sep28 Aug17 Jul14 Jun22 Apr26 (ward dan)IORIO MELISSA 124 15.00    
SCR  CLOUDY BAY Sep27 Sep15 Aug22 Aug02 Jul11 (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 124 8.00    
UP HER SLEEVE Sep27 Aug16 Jul04 Oct26 Sep03 (delgado jos)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.00    
GIRLY THE BUTCHER Sep27 Sep07 Aug16 Aug04 Jul19 (gonzalez claud)ADORNO ABNER 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
10  MY BOSS LADY Sep27 Sep07 Aug22 Aug02 Jul17 (lawrence jame)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00    
11  LIPLOCK Sep25 Sep02 Aug17 Aug01 Jul23 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HEARTBURN Aug22 Aug02 Jun27 Jun15 Jun07 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 124 6.00    
 
MED-4   10/11/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY'S ROSEBUD Sep15 Sep07 Jul14 Jul06 Jun08 (mazza w)CARRERO V 120 15.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of WALKING PRIMROSE by RAVEN'S PASS)
MOLLY'S A BULLET Aug25 Jul26 Jul06 Aug27 Jul21 (margotta antho)MOYA F 120 4.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MILAYA by ESKENDEREYA)
LADY MARLEEN Aug25 Aug09 Jul06 Oct26   (mcburne)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 5.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MARY N' EILEEN by INDY KING)
J WILLARD Sep07 Aug25 Aug09 Jul06 Jun16 (simon linda)BOWMAN ADAM 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of SKIP AWAY BELLE by SKIP AWAY)
ONE FINE WINE Sep07 Aug25 Jul26 Jul06 Jun08 (mcburney patri)COTTO L 120 2.00 14% 5.90    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of PINOT GRIGIO by UNBRIDLED JET)
RED HEAD ITALIAN Oct18 Aug27 Jul21 Jun30   (breen kell)RIVERA R 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by BUCCHERO out of DANGEROUS DAWN by FOREST DANGER)
BEER PONG         (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 10% 9.00    
  (by REDEEMED out of WINTER PLACE by MARIA'S MON)
STARVIEW TWINKLE Jul06         (mazza joseph )IORIO MELISSA 123 6.00    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of HIDDEN JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
MED-5   10/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Sep21 Jul20 Jun29 Jun09 May01 (delgado jos)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
PETIT FILS (FR) Sep21 Sep05 Aug29 Jul17 Nov12 (lawrence jame)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.50    
SCR  VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Oct04 Sep08 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 (avila juan )VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 12.00    
BAIL OUT Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun07 (de paz)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
MORE THAN WORK Sep17 Jul08 Jun17 Aug25 Aug10 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
CABINET PIK Oct04 Sep21 Sep07 Aug11 Jul20 (gomez pompeyo)COTTO L 120 10.00    
FATIMA'S BLESSING Sep14 Aug17 Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 (dini mike)RIVERA R 120 3.50 9% 9.70    
SHPILKES Sep17 Jul28 Jun10 May18 Apr15 (preciado)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 15.00    
PRINCE OF JOY Sep29 Sep14 Aug10 Jul12 May25 (legal)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
 
MED-6   10/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSICAL TALE Sep01 Jul26       (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 118 20.00    
SHOOT THE WAVES Aug30 Jul07       (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
PLEASANT FANTASY Sep07 Aug04       (dini mik)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 6.00    
GORMLEY'S SECRET Oct03         (rodriguez rudy)ADORNO ABNER 118 10.00    
BINGO'S GRIND         (delgado h)COTTO L 118 10.00 10% 9.10    
FRIDAYSWITHMURRAY         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 5.00 29% 2.40    
I'M SOLO N IN LOVE Sep22 Aug21 Jul07     (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARCHIN INTO APRIL Sep26 Jul24 Jul09     (aristone phili)AGUILAR JEAN 113 20.00    
BERNIE GOES BOOM Aug31         (miceli )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 111 6.00    
10  CITY TIME Aug22 Jul27 Jun21     (sacco greg)RIVERA R 118 3.00 10% 8.80    
11  GAP TO GAP Sep07         (avila juan )VASQUEZ WILFRED 116 5.00    
SCR  WILDING LANE Sep14         (weaver george)CRUZ ANGEL 118 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.