Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Thursday - October 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (2/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/1)-(2/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/1)-(2/8/6/1)-(2/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/6/1)-(7/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/1)-(7/4/10)-(8/7/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (7/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/10)-(7/4/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/10)-(7/4/10)-(7/4/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/10)-(8/7/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/10)-(8/7/9/5)-(2/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (8/7/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/5)-(8/7/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/5)-(8/7/9/5)-(8/7/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/9/5)-(2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/9/5)-(2/4/7)-(8/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(8/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(8/4/3)-(5/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-5   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/4/3)-(8/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/3)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3)-(5/2/1)-(8/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(8/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(8/4/1)-(2/10/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-7   WIN (8/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/1)-(8/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/1)-(8/4/1)-(8/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/1)-(2/10/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/10/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/1)-(2/10/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/10/1)-(2/10/1)-(2/10/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   10/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIPI N MIMI         (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  UP IN FLAMES Sep14 Jul06 Jun23 May27   (salzman)BRICENO GREGOR 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
3  FLEX WARRIOR Aug21         (shuman mar)SANCHEZ J 122 12.00    
4  GORDITO         (perri gin)BETANCOURT R 118 15.00    
SCR  WALKONTHEWILDSIDE         (salzman)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 2.50    
6  GALA STAR Aug25         (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50 5% 17.40    
7  WORK FOR PEACE         (capuano phill)KARAMANOS A 122 5.00    
8  BAD BOY BLAZE Aug24         (robb gina)PEREZ XAVIER 122 4.00 16% 5.10    
 
LRL-2   10/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($41K) 35 M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  X GENE Sep13 Aug30       (capuano phill)KARAMANOS A 118 10.00    
2  STEAM KNOT Sep04 Aug11 Jul05 Jun08 May25 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 15.00    
SCR  KAKE'S TAP DANCER Sep08 Aug17 Jul26 May25 May03 (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.00    
4  DEAD SEXY Sep08 Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 Jun16 (meyers madison)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  BAYWATCH BLONDE Aug24 Jun05       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 1.80    
6  INTRO Aug23 Jul18 Jun13 May23 May03 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 126 30.00    
7  NOT GUILTY Aug16 Jul19 Jun22 May25   (brion ker)CARRASCO R 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
SCR  INDEPENDENCE WAY Sep13 Jul26 Jul13 Jun16 May25 (synnefias )SANCHEZ J 122 10.00    
SCR  WORKING ON IT Sep06 Aug16 Jul20 May30   (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 118 20.00    
10  KEEP IT SWEET Sep08 Aug11 Jul10 Jun04 Nov05 (sanche)GONZALEZ JR 122 20.00 5% 17.90    
 
LRL-3   10/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTH PACIFIC Sep08 Jul26 Jul05 May25 Apr19 (eppler e)RUIZ JORGE 122 4.00    
SCR  FROSTY MAYA Sep26 Aug30 Aug17 Jul14 Jun28 (perri g)BRICENO GREGOR 119 8.00    
SCR  STORMY IRISH LASS Sep22 Sep01 Aug16 Aug02 Jul07 (eubanks anne)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 3.00    
4  JUST THE THING Sep08 Aug23 Aug04 Jul26 Jun15 (corrales)AMADOR RUIZ 119 10.00    
5  MY SUGAR BOO Sep06 Aug04 Apr13 Feb25 Jan12 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DIVINE SPIRIT Sep13 Aug04 Jul13 Jun06 May27 (smith valri)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 30.00    
7  TOOSHAY Sep05 Jul24 Jul08 Jun14 May25 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 126 8.00 18% 4.40    
8  SUPER SPIN Aug11 Jul07 May25 May02 Mar07 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 126 2.50 48% 1.10    
9  ICED MOCHA Sep08 Jul14 Jun20 Nov03 Oct10 (perri g)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 8% 11.30    
10  SKIP THRU DA FIRE Sep19 Sep08 Aug23 Aug17 Jul26 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 30.00    
 
LRL-4   10/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 2 F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GATHERED Sep08 Jul18       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 2.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of SEATTLE GREY by FRIENDS LAKE)
2  GOTANOTHATHINGCOMN         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 50% 1.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of WALLOON by ALPHABET SOUP)
SCR  SOCIAL LOVE Sep08 Aug15 Aug02     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of DEVILISH LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  RADIANT TONES Aug23         (milosevic mila)TORREALBA JG 122 15.00 29% 2.50    
  (by TONALIST out of SERENA'S JOY by FORESTRY)
SCR  ABUNDANT LOVE Aug29 Aug02       (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of TSUNAMI OF LOVE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  WINNING STREEP Sep08 Aug15       (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 122 3.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of SHOP AGAIN by WILD AGAIN)
7  DRINK DEEPLY Sep05 Aug15 Jul11     (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SO DEAR by FURY KAPCORI)
8  BOYS GO TO JUPITER Sep08 Jul27 Jun29 Jun08   (hohlbein kerry)ROSADO JOHAN 122 30.00    
  (by ECLIPTICALSPRALINE out of TREASURE TIME by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
SCR  SEGER SONGS Sep08 Aug15       (brion keri)CENTENO E 122 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of IMAGINARY SAINT by SAINT LIAM)
SCR  COMMEMORATIVE         (motion h )CARRASCO R 122 5.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MEMORIAL WALL by CHATTAHOOCHEE WAR)
11  SMILINGONTHEINSIDE Sep13         (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 20.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of TWO'S COZY by COZZENE)
SCR  JULIA'S A FOX Aug23 Jul21 Jun22     (morgan )BRICENO GREGOR 122 30.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of WHITE EYE JULIA I. by TAPIT)
SCR  PHAROAH'S MARC         (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 122 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of PURPLE TRILLIUM by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  CANADIAN BEAR Sep08 Aug10 Jun29     (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00    
  (by CUPID out of INCLUDE A CHECK by INCLUDE)
SCR  THE SUGARS Sep14 Aug28 Jun21 May16   (terranova p)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
LRL-5   10/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YOUR ANALYSIS Aug24 Aug02 Jul12 Jul05 Jun19 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.50    
2  PENNY LOAFER Aug17 Jul13 Jun21 May26 Sep17 (smith ham)CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
3  TOPS THE CHART Aug02 Jul13 Jun30 May27 Apr21 (allen a)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00 16% 5.10    
4  AMERICAN LAW Aug16 Jul28 Jul12 Jun22 May25 (ward dan)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  MARTINI MARTIN Jul05 Jun08 May07 Mar17 Feb17 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00    
6  ENERGY EFFICIENT Aug17 Jul20 Jun29 May25 May09 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 4.50    
7  CAJUN DREAM Aug30 Aug11 Jul21 Jun29 May17 (mcmahon i)BOYCE FOREST 123 8.00    
8  MOSE PERFECT Aug16 Jun28 May11 Apr21 Mar10 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 123 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
LRL-6   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATTA Aug16 Jul14 May17 Oct12 Sep16 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 6% 15.70    
2  INEVTABL CONECTION Sep07 Aug23 Jul19 Jun01 Aug03 (hohlbein )SCAMPTON BRITTANY 126 8.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  NOBLE JON Sep20 Aug29 Aug07 Jul23 Jul05 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 126 15.00    
4  MR. HUSTLE Sep14 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 Jun30 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 10.00    
5  EASY ACTION Sep11 Aug18 Apr05 Mar03 Jan27 (schultz lindsay)RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00 44% 1.30    
6  SMOOTH FLYIN MIKE Aug24 Aug03 Jun17 May27 May06 (cibelli jane)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 20.00    
SCR  VAMOS VIEJO Sep11 Jul14 Jun16 May19 Mar28 (breen j)CENTENO E 123 8.00    
SCR  BARZINI Aug16 Jul27 Jun21 May17 Jan07 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 123 3.50    
SCR  CLOUDY Aug22 Jul27 Jul04 May17 Dec31 (mcgaughey claude)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.50    
SCR  COAST ALONG Aug23 Jul21 Jun21 May19 Apr21 (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 126 2.50    
SCR  FLUID SITUATION Jun07 Apr20 Jan12 Oct27 Aug24 (terranova p)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
 
LRL-7   10/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENOMOUS VIXEN Sep05 Aug22 Nov17 Oct26   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 6.00 8% 11.30    
2  COAL MINE Sep15 Aug10 Jul28 Jun29 Jun15 (singh somra)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 15.00    
3  SPENCERIAN Sep02 Aug10 Oct27 Oct05 Sep22 (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 121 3.00    
4  STICKWITHTHECOLORS Aug30 Aug04 Jul19 Apr13 Mar23 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  MARLEY'S GHOST Sep15 Aug30 Jul12 May05 Apr07 (corrales jose)FUENTES ERICK 113 12.00    
6  STOP THE CAP Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 May31 May10 (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 123 4.50    
SCR  SWEET HEIDELBERG Sep01 Aug08 Jul20 Jun29 Jun21 (corrales)AMADOR RUIZ 123 30.00    
8  PLANET CLARE Sep14 Aug24 Jul27 Jul08 Jun01 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 120 1.80 47% 1.10    
 
LRL-8   10/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($45K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER AGENT Sep20 Aug24 Jul21 Jul14 Jun22 (singh somraj)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 11% 8.10    
2  DERBYNESS Jun01 May12 Apr20 Mar29 Feb10 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.40 42% 1.40    
3  STEADY JOHN Sep04 Jul04 Jun21 May22 Apr14 (bentley fennek)BOYCE FOREST 123 10.00    
SCR  KEROUAC Aug24 Jun07 Apr25 Nov19 Oct29 (toner jam)CARRASCO R 123 1.60    
SCR  MISSIONAIRE Sep07 Aug18 Jul28 Jul13 Jun09 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
SCR  PROWLING TIGER Jul08 May19 Mar24 Jan08 Nov13 (russell bri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00    
7  HOMETOWN HERO Aug30 Aug22 Jul25 Jul05 Jun26 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 123 15.00    
SCR  GETTIN'DOWNONIT Aug29 Jul20 Jun13 May27 Nov04 (beecher mark)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00    
SCR  P MONEY Sep14 Aug18 Jul13 May25 May11 (farrior antho)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00    
10  ITALIAN SYMPHONY Aug18 Jul20 Jun23 Mar29 Jan28 (cibelli jane)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00 21% 3.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.