Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(2/6/5)-(5/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/7/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(5/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(5/4/1)-(6/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(6/7/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(6/7/1)-(8/7/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(8/7/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(8/7/2)-(4/3/2/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/2)-(8/7/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (8/7/2)-(8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/7/2)-(4/3/2/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2)-(4/3/2/9)-(1/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (4/3/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/9)-(4/3/2/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/9)-(4/3/2/9)-(4/3/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/9)-(1/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/9)-(1/8/6)-(10/3/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(10/3/2/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (10/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/2/8)-(10/3/2/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (10/3/2/8)-(10/3/2/8)-(10/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERBAL GEYSER (FR) Sep09 Jul23 Jul10 Feb25   (potts ro)MARTINEZ A 118 1.60    
SCR  CARLOTUK Sep18 Aug28 May27 Oct24 Oct11 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 3.50    
SCR  EASY SEVEN Sep16 Aug27 Jul31 May27   (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50    
4  DREAMFUL Sep04 Jun03 Mar03 Oct17 Sep18 (martin will)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 3.00 67% 0.50    
5  URBAN COWGIRL Jul17 Apr25 Apr08 Mar06 Feb15 (cline c)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-2   09/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT'S JUST GREAT Sep16 Sep02 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 120 6.00    
2  GOLD FRANC (IRE) May18 Apr27 Feb21 Sep10 Aug13 (bourke joh)AYALA J 124 1.80 34% 1.90    
3  CHAPS KNIGHT May28 Mar29 Mar06 Feb14 Feb02 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 120 6.00    
4  QOROKWE Sep02 Jul10 Jun10 May29 May17 (monserrate )CAMILO D 124 12.00    
5  NORTHERN WEIGELIA Sep16 Jul30 Jul07 Nov17 Sep27 (antus lawrence)SPIETH S 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  EMMA AT THE GATE Sep10 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 May29 (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
7  LAST POST Sep16 Aug21 Jul29 Jun25 Mar16 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 ★    
 
PID-3   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEELINGNDEALING Sep11 Aug19 Jul29 Jul04 Jun18 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 10.00 12% 7.70    
2  LAWN DART Sep17 Aug26 Aug05 Jul17 Jul03 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00    
3  SOLAIR Sep11 Aug28 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 5.00    
4  QUEEN WIGGY Sep10 Aug19 Jul17 Jul02 May27 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  WILD DELIGHT Sep11 Aug27 Jul29 Jul16 Jul04 (rogers mi)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
6  FLOAT AWAY Sep04 Aug20 Jul17 Jul03 Jun03 (bourke joh)AYALA J 124 6.00    
 
PID-4   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEONARD'S LEGACY Sep09 Aug27 Jul22 Jul03 Jun12 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 9% 10.40    
2  ROBO WARRIOR Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul22 Jul03 (rojas e)SPIETH S 122 5.00    
3  LOOKIN TO EXCEL Sep09 Aug26 Jun30 May11 Apr14 (stokes lance)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
4  WOW WHATA PARTY Sep06 Jul26 Jun25 Jun06 May17 (lawrence l)MARTINEZ W 120 12.00    
SCR  FORCE OF JUSTICE Sep16 Aug28 Jul29 Jul03 Jun08 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50    
6  TARSUS WARRIOR Aug27 Aug05       (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 1.80 44% 1.30    
7  HECTOR Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul02 Jun17 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
PID-5   09/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARINARA SAUCED Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 Jul31 Jun26 (antus lawrence)SPIETH S 124 8.00    
2  PARTNER TOURS Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LORD KNOWS Aug31 Aug11 Jul20 Jul03 Jun11 (dini mike)ALLEN D 118 2.50    
4  TAP THE SKY Sep11 Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 (connelly teres)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 ★    
5  WHY NOT ME Jul03 Apr26 Apr05 Jan26 Dec24 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00    
SCR  TRIPLE START Sep18 Sep04 Jun15 Jun01 Apr27 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00    
7  REAPPLY Sep04 Aug20 Aug05 Jul09 Jun18 (girten tim)MARTINEZ W 118 3.50 13% 6.80    
8  UNCLE KENNY Sep20 Sep02 Aug13 Jul22 Jul03 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 58% 0.70    
 
PID-6   09/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINANT STRANGER Sep16 Jul29 Jun26 Jun11 May22 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
2  OMIKAMI Sep03 Aug20 Aug07 Jul15 Jun25 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 124 4.00 7% 12.70    
3  HOUSE OF MELODY Sep09 Aug13 Jul14 May31 Apr26 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 3.50 8% 11.40    
4  SHE'S GOT RHYTHM Sep16 Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 Jun17 (russell randall)BAYS BROOKE 115 2.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  PATH TO VICTORY Sep09 Aug13 Jul23 Jul04 Jun04 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
6  CARMEL SUNRISE Sep16 Aug28 Aug13 Jul08 Jun18 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 30.00    
SCR  ORPHAN EXCHANGE Sep16 Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 Jul10 (russell randal)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
8  EQUINAMOUS Sep17 Aug28 Aug19 Jul16 Jul02 (bourke john)MARTINEZ W 118 8.00    
9  SWEET NOLA Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul23 Jul03 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 15.00 6% 15.50    
10  READY SHE IS Sep16 Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 Jul17 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 15.00    
SCR  HOP TO A DECISION Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 May15 May03 (harigeorgiou )WALKER M 122 30.00    
 
PID-7   09/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD Sep04 Aug17 Aug11 Jul08 Mar24 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  DOWAGIAC CHIEF Sep16 Aug21 Aug07 Jul15 Jun12 (rogers mi)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00    
3  FAN CLUB Aug25 Aug08 Jun25 Jun04 Oct25 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
4  HE'S A MESS Sep20 Aug12 Jul22 Jun17 May31 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
SCR  CLARESTOWN Sep03 Jul16 May10 Apr12 Mar08 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00    
6  PAYNTED WARRIOR Aug26 Jul22 Jul01 Jun05 May27 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOODIE GOOMER Aug21 Oct18 Sep18 Aug21 Aug10 (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 4.50    
8  POSSIBLEMENTE Aug17 Aug01 Jul07 Mar30 Feb16 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
PID-8   09/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JO JO HANS Sep16 Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.00    
2  PATRIOT DRIVE Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 Jun12 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 122 12.00 13% 6.70    
3  VELOCE Sep11 Aug26 Aug13 Aug05 Jul23 (bernardi)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  MARSAC Aug26 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 30.00    
5  JEN'S SONG Aug28 Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 Jun05 (depasquale k)AYALA J 122 20.00    
SCR  BEE BY THE SEA Sep17 Aug30 Aug16 Jul18 Jun20 (salvaggi)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
SCR  PURPLE SHIRT Sep11 Aug08 Aug01 Jul25 Jul12 (harigeorgiou k)LOPEZ DERECK 115 30.00    
8  KING NATE Sep16 Sep06 May04 Apr21 Mar29 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  CRAZY KATER Sep10 Aug23 Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00    
10  AULT Sep16 Jul01 Jun12 Oct18 Oct04 (martin will)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 6.00 37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.