Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Thursday - September 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (1/6/3/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4/11)-(1/6/3/4/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4/11)-(1/6/3/4/11)-(1/6/3/4/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/3/4/11)-(9/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/4/11)-(9/1/8)-(3/9/1/7/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-2   WIN (9/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/8)-(9/1/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/8)-(9/1/6/7/8)-(9/1/6/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/1/8)-(3/9/1/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/1/8)-(3/9/1/7/6)-(9/3/7/8/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
LAD-3   WIN (3/9/1/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/1/7/6)-(3/9/1/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/1/7/6)-(3/9/1/7/6)-(3/9/1/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/1/7/6)-(9/3/7/8/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/9/1/7/6)-(9/3/7/8/5)-(6/2/7/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-4   WIN (9/3/7/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/7/8/5)-(9/3/7/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/7/8/5)-(9/3/7/8/5)-(9/3/7/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/7/8/5)-(6/2/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/7/8/5)-(6/2/7/8)-(2/9/5/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-5   WIN (6/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/8)-(6/2/7/8/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/8)-(6/2/7/8/12)-(6/2/7/8/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/7/8)-(2/9/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/8)-(2/9/5/6)-(5/2/4/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-6   WIN (2/9/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/5/6)-(2/9/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/5/6)-(2/9/5/6)-(2/9/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/5/6)-(5/2/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/5/6)-(5/2/4/7)-(9/4/8/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-7   WIN (5/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/7)-(9/4/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/7)-(9/4/8/5)-(9/10/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-8   WIN (9/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/8/5)-(9/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/8/5)-(9/4/8/5)-(9/4/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/8/5)-(9/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-9   WIN (9/10/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/8)-(9/10/11/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/8)-(9/10/11/8/4)-(9/10/11/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   09/26/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLIN FOR DOLLARS Sep14 Aug20 Aug12 Jul07 Jun07 (jacks kare)RAMIREZ JR 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
TRUST FUND BABY Sep04 Aug12 Jul30 Jul09 Oct29 (mickelson judy)HERNANDEZ V 124 30.00    
GYPSAN Sep02 Jul31 Jul07 Jun16 May26 (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 121 15.00 15% 5.60    
CHARLIE'S GAL Sep14 Aug28 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 (turner patti)VARGAS P 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
TROUBLE WITH SUGAR Aug27 Jul03 Jun12 May24 Apr27 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 5.00    
SMART IZZY Aug31 Aug14 Jul01 Jun11 Jun03 (hatcher d)BOREL H 121 6.00 16% 5.30    
MEGANS MILLIONS Aug20 Jul31 Jul10 Jun11 Jun03 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 121 20.00    
LASSAROCK Sep02 Aug20 Feb15 Feb02 Jan12 (hirdes john)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 30.00    
CHAPELLETE Aug31 Aug14 Jul15 Jun12 May27 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50    
10  SHEZA CAT Sep02 Aug20 Jul31 Jul04 Jun03 (fogarty )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 30.00    
11  SISTER SAINT Sep02 Jul31 Jul03 Jun17 May08 (burkes bobby)MURRAY M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  MRS. MACOMBER Sep02 Aug21 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 (wilson melton)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00    
SCR  BALITRIX Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 Jun08 (vincent jarvis)HERNANDEZ V 121 30.00    
 
LAD-2   09/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPER KAN Aug10 Jul21 Jun22 May31 May05 (garza joaquin)LOZADA CARLOS 121 12.00 34% 1.90    
AURORA AUSTRALIS Aug21 Jul09 Jun11 May07 Apr05 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.50    
THURSDAY MORNING Sep18 Aug20 Mar01 Feb11 Dec15 (soto fermin)FLORIAN JOSE 119 15.00    
MISS E. FU Aug27 Jul28 Jun10 Jan13 Jan01 (mojica a)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 12.00    
INSPECTOR PENNY Jul04 Jun11 May12 Apr11 Mar10 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50    
REAUX BINA Sep18 Jul27 Jul13 Jun20 May25 (gonzalez isa)BARRERA J 124 6.00    
RON'S LAVENDER Aug12 Jul30 Jun22 May26 Apr27 (jacks kare)RAMIREZ JR 119 8.00    
LONG SHOT LOUISE Jul23 Jun24 May27 May06 Mar17 (ramirez julio)HERNANDEZ V 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SIERRA BLANCA Sep18 Jun16 Dec12 Nov21 Nov06 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.00 37% 1.70    
 
LAD-3   09/26/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND THE HYPE Sep11 Jul30 Jul12 Jun19 May31 (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 122 8.00 13% 6.80    
NO COST Sep11 Sep02 Aug03 Jul04 Jun03 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.50    
LAYLA'S SONG Jul25 Jul01 Jun12 May15 Apr17 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
BASKET CASE Aug16 Jun28 May19 May05 Apr26 (rufino euseb)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00    
ELMO'S SECRET Aug05 Jul01 Jun08 May22 May04 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50    
OURS AND THEIRS May20 May07 Mar10 Feb10 Jan15 (schmidt denis)VARGAS P 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAJUN ACES Aug26 Aug14 Jul31 Jun17 May28 (wilson mel)RAMIREZ JR 116 5.00 10% 8.70    
OUR AMEN Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 Jun18 Jun05 (morris rowdy)SINGH R 119 15.00    
STARSNMOTION Aug19 Jul01 Jun05 May21 Apr06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
LAD-4   09/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOOSIER Aug05 Jul02 Jun10 Mar06 Feb18 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 122 8.00    
SCR  PRIZELESS Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 May10 Apr28 (winslow janine)PEREZ CARLOS 117 12.00    
DIXIE STREET Aug05 Jul09 Jun11 Jan25 Dec09 (alfortish se)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Aug07 Jul17 Feb03 Jan12 Dec02 (charles keit)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00    
WAR SONG Aug28 Aug15 Jun25 Feb07 Jan19 (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 117 12.00 7% 13.40    
PATIO'S PORCH Sep02 Aug03 Jul20 Jan11 Nov30 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 124 5.00    
CABOCHON TREASURE Aug24 Jun08 May24 Apr12 Mar16 (charles keit)BARRERA J 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
GOLDENLUTE Aug27 Aug15 Jul20 Jun28 May24 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 8% 12.10    
ADIOS CARLOS Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 Mar21 May15 (broberg )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
10  ROYAL UNLIMITED Jun17 Apr22 Mar23 Mar12 Feb16 (peterson jes)MURRAY M 122 20.00    
11  CUSTOM PRAYER Jul30 May29 Apr19 Feb22 Dec14 (peterson jessi)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 20.00    
 
LAD-5   09/26/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNINSPIRED Sep14 Aug31 Aug13 Jul29   (rivera nestor)VARGAS P 117 4.50    
  (by LONE SAILOR out of CONSPIRED by ZENSATIONAL)
MAGNOLIA WEST Sep14 Aug13 Jul22     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of WORSTCASESCENARIO by FORBIDDEN APPLE)
KEEP UP THE PACE Sep14 Aug28 Jul14 Jun15   (garza joaqu)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 30.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of SWEET SAMMIE by FIRST SAMURAI)
BUTCHY BOY Sep14 Aug28 Aug19     (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 20.00    
  (by ORDAINED out of LUCY'S MISS MUSKET by MUSKET MAN)
TWEET SOME MO Sep14 Aug19       (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of HASHTAGSID by SCAT DADDY)
D. A.'S FAVORITE Sep14         (gibson jonas)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of BERT'S ALTARCATION by BERTRANDO)
DEFTLY DONE Sep14 Aug24 Jul25     (wilson sha)RAMIREZ JR 115 12.00 6% 15.40    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of DANCE STUDIO by BERTRANDO)
DOES NOT COMPUTE         (roberson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MARIA WHO by SKY MESA)
SWEET TALKIN SLICK Sep14 Jul22       (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of OUR SLICK CHICK by ESKENDEREYA)
10  BIG MARV Sep16         (foster josep)BARRERA J 117 20.00    
  (by LONE SAILOR out of FASTHAPPY by RUNHAPPY)
SCR  REXINATOR Sep16 Aug31 Aug13 Jul29   (hatcher d)BOREL H 117 30.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of MYKINDALADY by BODEMEISTER)
12  MAXIMUM GRACE Sep16 Aug15       (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of GABBY'S GOT GRACE by SCAT DADDY)
 
LAD-6   09/26/2024 6600ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET PRESENT Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 (gomez jorg)RAMIREZ JR 119 15.00    
EGO Sep09 Aug24 Aug09 Jul31 Jul12 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
BIG ROJO Aug19 Jun02 May21 Apr27 Apr11 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.00    
SCR  GUITARTUITION PLZZ Aug21 Aug06 Jun17 Apr12 Feb29 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 5.00    
DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Sep10 Aug20 Jul15 Jun10 Feb17 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 4.50 16% 5.40    
FABLED RULER Sep09 Aug27 Aug12 Jul24 Jul02 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIG BROTHER Sep09 Aug21 Jun02 May17 Apr27 (bryant geor)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 10.00    
MAX PANDOWDY Aug19 Jun03 May14 Mar10 Feb18 (hirdes john)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 8.00    
UNANIMOUSLY Sep09 Aug26 Jul06 Jun08 Apr11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50 31% 2.30    
 
LAD-7   09/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER EKATI Sep04 Jul06 May04 Apr05   (love alan)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 15.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of SUPER ESTHER by MALIBU MOON)
MYSTIC HOPE Aug28 Aug14 Jul16 May29   (rivera)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by BIND out of MYSTIC DREAMER by FED BIZ)
OBVIOUS CONCLUSION Sep04 Jul29 Jul14 Jul04 Jun16 (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 116 12.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of FREDA STORM by HEART OF THE STORM)
SPOONMAN Sep17 Sep04 Aug19 Jul29 Oct27 (borel renay)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50 9% 10.00    
  (by SHADY GROVE out of COLD HARD TRUTH by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
DISTORTED MATH Sep04 Jul10 Jun25 Apr25 Jan13 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of KIDDARI by SMARTY JONES)
ROYAL IRISH Sep14         (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
  (by DOUBLE IRISH out of POLOMINT by LEMON DROP KID)
MIDNIGHT AVENGER Sep14 Aug14 Jul17 Jun28 May31 (turner patti)VARGAS P 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLATTER out of MIDNIGHT SWEETIE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  GRAND SAM Aug14 Apr30       (degeyter ran)BARRERA J 121 4.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of WHAT WHAT WHAT by ARCHARCHARCH)
STATLER Sep14 Aug20 Jun26 May28 May18 (martin kevin)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
  (by JUST A COINCIDENCE out of FOSTERING HARMONY by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
 
LAD-8   09/26/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUN ON ACES Aug22 Jul18 Jun21 Jun07 May18 (perron gerar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00    
DUMBSTRUCK Aug14 Jul12 Jun06 Apr25 Mar24 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50    
BRAZIL NUT Sep03 Aug14 Jul17 Jun23 May31 (jacks e)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 4.50    
BENDETTIJOE Aug15 May28 May06 Mar03 Feb17 (diodoro rober)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 14% 6.20    
COOKN WIT CATMAN Jul09 Jun04 Mar24 Feb04 Jan12 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
BAY BE GONE Aug28 Jul21 Jul06 Jun15 May18 (garza joaqu)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 15.00    
SCR  CHIEF KIMOSABI Aug17 Jul11 Jun15 May29 May04 (journet albert)FLORIAN JOSE 114 8.00    
ROCKALL Aug28 Aug07 Jul24 Jun18 May18 (melancon d)RAMIREZ JR 117 5.00 13% 6.90    
EL PERFECTO Aug14 Jun07 May10 Apr27 Apr13 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.00 49% 1.10    
 
LAD-9   09/26/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCELERATEDVICTORY Jul26 Jun29 Jun20     (peterson j)RAMIREZ JR 116 30.00    
ATHELAS Sep03         (witt ernie )RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 20.00    
SCR  SHELLEY'S ROSE Aug21 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18   (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 30.00    
SCAMPERING MA'AM Aug06 Jul10 Jun18 Jun04 May03 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 119 5.00    
MISS GYPSY Sep04 Aug12       (gomez ra)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
CHARMING LEAH Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jun22 Jun07 (jacks e)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 15.00    
FREE WILL Aug03 Jun04 May04 Aug18 Jul16 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00    
ROBERTS REVENGE Sep16         (duke s)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
OVER THE CLOUDS Sep03 Aug24 Jul09     (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 52% 0.90    
10  MERRILY RUSH Aug12 Jul09 Jun08 Apr18 May29 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
11  UNO PEA Aug21 Jul10       (balderas alfo)LOZADA CARLOS 118 4.50    
12  DEES LITTLE GIRL Aug20 Jun11 May29     (vincent ja)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 30.00    
13  WAABOO Sep16 Aug05       (winslow janine)SINGH R 121 30.00    
SCR  ANDTHISTOOWILLPASS         (mickelson jud)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.