Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Wednesday - September 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (4/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/2)-(4/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/8/2)-(4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8/2)-(4/1)-(5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(5/6/4)-(1/11/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-3   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(1/11/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(1/11/7)-(6/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-4   WIN (1/11/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/11/7)-(1/11/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/11/7)-(1/11/7)-(1/11/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/11/7)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/11/7)-(6/1/4)-(5/8/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-5   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(5/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(5/8/3)-(7/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-6   WIN (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/3)-(5/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/3)-(5/8/3)-(5/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/3)-(7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3)-(7/5/3)-(6/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-7   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DEL-8   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AWESOME PRINCE Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 Jun30 May11 (caison jody )TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 20.00    
JARLIAN Aug29 Aug03 Jul24 Jul08 Jun24 (sullivan )HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MUNDO MIX Sep15 Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 Jun16 (cole-dav)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 6.00    
JOHN'S PROMISE Sep02 Aug23 Aug07 Jun27 Jun12 (gorham michael )MENA E 122 3.50 59% 0.70    
YO NESSROUNDONKERN Aug15 Jul26 Jul01 Jun08 May18 (jo)LUNA PAUL 122 12.00    
NOTION TO TAPIT Sep14 Aug16 Jul28 Jul13 Jun30 (serey mario )BATISTA A 120 12.00    
BALTASAR Sep04 Jul25 Jun15 May22 Apr26 (arriagada juan)HIRALDO JOHN 120 1.80 7% 13.80    
POSITIVELY AWESOME Sep01 Aug01 Jul11 Jun12 Oct12 (kelly blake)CENTENO E 122 6.00 6% 15.20    
BRIGHT FORECAST Sep04 Aug14 Aug02 Jul12 Jun07 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 8.00    
 
DEL-2   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS KAIULANI         (husak j)HIRALDO JOHN 119 8.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  MAKING BREAD Aug17         (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00    
VANAKA Sep14 Jul11       (ashby lynn)ROBLES O 114 2.00    
NOHAI Sep19 Aug31 Aug10     (lynch cathal)BATISTA A 119 1.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  EMMA BELLA MAX         (ashby lynn)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 4.00    
DERBY EFFORT Aug17 Jul31       (smith g)CENTENO E 119 10.00    
 
DEL-3   09/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF HOLLYWOOD Sep15 Aug31 Aug09 Jul28 Jul04 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 1.80    
SCR  HARRY'S ONTHEBEACH Sep04 Aug10 Apr05 Mar15 Feb17 (flores-coba f)RANGEL JOEZER 120 12.00    
GREYZER Sep07 Aug01 Jul17 Jun12 May03 (de kar)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
AWESOME LAUNCH Aug22 Jul31 Jul15 Jul02 Jun08 (guerrero )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Aug29 Aug08 Jul17 Jun29 Jun08 (simone mi)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
MR MAC QUHAE Sep14 Aug24 Jul20 Jul03 Jan14 (richards re)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
DEL-4   09/25/2024 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Aug17 Aug07 Jun27 May17 Apr12 (atras rob)CURTIS BEN 121 2.50 57% 0.80    
FINAL OPPORTUNITY Sep05 Aug07 Jul18 Jun08 May18 (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 114 6.00    
WALKER'S GAP Aug14 Aug01 Jun20     (deiter l)LUNDIE KEVIN 124 20.00    
SCR  ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE Aug28 Jul28 Jul06 Jun20 May24 (shuman mark)RUIZ JORGE 124 4.50    
SCR  ICANDOTHAT Sep05 Aug15 Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 (mcdermott)HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00    
SCR  MIZTERGRANDCENTRAL Aug29 Aug03 Jul07 Jun07 Dec31 (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 121 12.00    
SCR  BRAVE SAND RIDER Aug14 Aug01 Jun22 Jun01 Apr06 (jo)LUNA PAUL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUNGO Aug14 Aug01 Mar20 Feb28 Jan05 (richards re)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.50    
SCR  MERGING TRAFFIC Aug28 Dec18 Nov15 Oct23 Oct04 (truehart jenni)ADORNO ABNER 124 10.00    
10  SHIP MASTER Aug31 Jul11 Jun15 Oct13 Sep02 (salazar marco)MENA E 124 20.00    
11  DOMINGUEZ Sep06 Aug16 Jul06 Jun20 May24 (shuman mark)RUIZ JORGE 124 10.00 20% 4.00    
 
DEL-5   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEATIFUL KARLA Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 Jul05 Jun09 (mancilla ca)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 17% 4.80    
ANSWER THE CALL Aug11 Aug04 Jun08 May01 Mar13 (contessa )HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
SCR  LEVISA Sep04 Jul21 Feb07 Dec30 Nov18 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 4.50    
ACE UP HER SLEEVE Aug30 Jul18 Jun23 May26 Jul14 (klesaris steve)CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00 5% 17.30    
PRIZE DEBATE Sep05 Jul05 Jun04 Apr19 Mar16 (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 119 12.00    
PUDD'N N PIE Aug10 Jul05 Jun15 May26 May04 (magee kie)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  STYLE TO FOLLOW Sep07 Aug02 Jul04 Jun14 May21 (arriagada juan)HIRALDO JOHN 120 8.00    
SCR  DELTA CHARM Sep05 Jun27 Jun07 Mar28 Feb24 (smith robert)BATISTA A 123 8.00    
 
DEL-6   09/25/2024 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGHWAYMAN Aug28 Jul10       (matz michael )KARAMANOS A 120 8.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of GRAND FOLLY by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  WIN AND BE HAPPY Jul18         (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of VICTORY ON TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
LUCA IL CAVALLO Aug28 Aug10 Jun21     (coletti edward )CENTENO E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ARCHSTONE by ARCH)
ST PETE'S PASSION Aug10 Jun29       (ma)LUNA PAUL 120 10.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of PASSION POINT by POINT GIVEN)
CONTEMPLATION Aug31 Aug03 Jun26 May21 Mar30 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
  (by STREET BOSS out of TOO COMPLICATED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  THIRTY WEST Aug28 Jun29 Jun06 May09 Mar29 (bennett j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of WHO'S HAPPY by CALLER I. D.)
SCR  WIZARDOFEZ Jul07 May22       (miceli michael)RUIZ JORGE 120 2.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of DEVILSFROSTREPORT by DEVIL HIS DUE)
SPIN IT Aug13 May18 Apr14     (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by HARD SPUN out of TRY YOUR LUCK by TELLA FIB)
SCR  POPS HARPER Sep15 Jul27 Jul04 Jun13 Mar15 (lynch cathal)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BAYOU MISS by DARING GROOM)
10  JUST BE HONEST Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 Jun30 Apr14 (carvajal luis )COTTO L 120 10.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of FOLKSY by MIDWAY ROAD)
 
DEL-7   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLOW CREEK ROAD Sep07 Aug15 Jul18 Jun29 May04 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 3.00    
SCR  EASTER BET Aug28 Jul12 Jul04 May29 May08 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 118 15.00    
LITTLE ROO ROO Aug23 Aug11 Jul12 Jun15 May24 (jones mic)HERNANDEZ A 121 15.00 14% 6.00    
LORD BERRIER Sep04 Aug15 Jun27 May01 Apr14 (de kar)BATISTA A 121 15.00    
INTREPID'S LEGACY Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 May16 Apr12 (capuano gar)ROBLES O 113 1.80 30% 2.40    
SCR  ELECTRIC EEL Aug25 Jul20 Jun08 May19 Oct01 (david a)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
ATOMIC TONE Sep01 Jul20 Jun30 May19 Apr19 (ward dan)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.50 33% 2.10    
 
DEL-8   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN PASS TIME Sep13 Aug31 Aug21 Jul11 Jun29 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
WEMBY Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul20 Jul13 (sepulveda ca)BATISTA A 120 2.00    
TEAM TRAVIS Sep12 Aug23 Jun19 May03 Dec28 (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
CLEVER TIGER Sep12 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun26 (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 113 4.00    
HAVE NO REGRETS Sep03 Aug09 Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 (martin ramon )OLVER MADISON 120 8.00    
SWAY'SINMYDNA Jul07 Jun22 Nov18 Nov10 Oct21 (serey jr)MENA E 121 3.00 49% 1.00    
GRAND BEY Sep13 Aug29 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 (nazario pedr)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 8.00 20% 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.