Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(3/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(3/2/1)-(1/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(1/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(1/4/3)-(6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(6/1)-(5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-4   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/1)-(5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(5/1)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-5   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/8/1)-(5/8/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(1/7/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(1/7/3)-(4/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(4/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(4/2/3)-(5/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(5/7/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE THE HOUR Aug28 Aug12 Jul24 Jul01 Jun10 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 1.60    
2  NIGHTSCAPE Jun13 May02 Mar15 Feb21 Jan25 (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 8.00 5% 17.30    
3  HOLLA AT YOUR BOY Aug28 Jul24 Jul07 Jun26 May29 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 2.50    
4  PENTATONIC Aug07 Jun11 May22 May02 Mar22 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 53% 0.90    
5  BANG A RANG Jun04 May11 Apr23 Mar02 Dec23 (hamm timothy)BAYS BROOKE 115 4.50 8% 10.80    
6  S S FUN AND GAMES Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 Jul23   (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 120 10.00    
 
PID-2   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POQUITO ROSE Aug26 Aug05 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  EVERY LITTLE BIT Sep11 Aug14 May22 Oct25 Oct02 (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 13% 6.60    
3  NEW WAYS TO DREAM Sep10 Aug26 Jul22 Jul10 Jun26 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
4  FOREVER UNCAPTURED Jul18 Jun11 May27 Apr24 Mar15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 3.00    
5  RAISE YOUR GAME Sep10 Aug21 Jul18 Jun13 May16 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 1.60    
6  SHORESY Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 12.00    
 
PID-3   09/23/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR STRONG VOWS Aug16 Jul18 Jun18 May03 Oct29 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
SCR  NATURE TRAIL Sep04 Aug13 Jul08 Jun06 May15 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
3  SPECTACULLARI Aug28 Aug08 Jul19 May04 Apr02 (boyer jr)BAYS BROOKE 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  REIGERT GIRLS Sep03 Aug07 Jul10 Jun17 Jun04 (girten t)GALLARDO A 117 4.00 26% 2.90    
5  TOOTSIE TOES Sep01 Aug16 Jun28     (o'connell kat)MORALES PABLO 117 6.00    
6  LOUISE BROOKS Aug24 Aug17 Aug08 Jul11 Jun27 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 122 2.50    
 
PID-4   09/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD ON (GER) Aug31         (brion keri)SPIETH S 120 6.00 33% 2.00    
  (by FLATTER out of PATTITUDE by CITY ZIP)
2  HIDDEN RECIPE Aug07 Jul03       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SECRET INGREDIENT by CONGRATS)
SCR  LIST         (mccarthy)MARTINEZ A 120 8.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of ZEENUT by MINGUN)
4  HER LUCKY DIAMOND Aug26         (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 120 5.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of WATCH HER STRUT by STROLL)
5  ART NOUVEAU Aug27 Jul22 Jul03     (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 4.00 ★    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MODERN MASTERPIECE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  EVERYBREATHYOUTAKE Sep01         (thomas j)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of HENNY'S HURRICANE by HENNY HUGHES)
7  SWEET BEBSI Aug29 Jul13       (walsh colleen)DELGADO DAVID 120 4.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SWEET NKOSI by A. P. WARRIOR)
 
PID-5   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOYLAKE Aug19 Jul23 Jun18 Mar23 Feb16 (hetrick )RODRIGUEZ O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SWEET SWINGIN by STREET SENSE)
2  SIG Aug27 Jul06 Jun02 May18 Feb03 (rivera justin)MARTINEZ W 124 5.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of SUEDE SHOE by PULPIT)
3  HOBBS Aug31 Aug03       (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00    
  (by ASTERN out of GYPSY LASS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  ODDLY ATTRACTIVE Aug27 Aug07       (wismer glenn )WALKER M 120 12.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
5  R CHELLO Jul01 Jun11 May29     (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABSOLUTE PACKAGE by PURE PRIZE)
6  HARBOUR BRIDGE Aug26 Jul28 Dec16 Oct26 Sep28 (hetrick )GALLARDO A 124 4.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TIGER MOTH by STREET SENSE)
SCR  MR. IMPATIENT Sep03 Aug21 Aug07 Jul29 Jul04 (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 120 8.00    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of TURKOCRAFT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
8  JIMMY RULES Aug06 Jul16       (anderson susa)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 ★    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of ZENA RULES by A. P. WARRIOR)
 
PID-6   09/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICHIESINTHEHOUSE Sep03 Aug19 Jul02 Jun12 Mar28 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 124 2.50 54% 0.80    
2  CITY TRIPPER Sep09 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 Jun24 (barron r)GALLARDO A 122 10.00    
3  CHEERS FOR KITTEN Sep02 Aug16 Jul05 Jun13 May27 (brion keri)SPIETH S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Sep11 Sep02 Aug14 Jul22 Jul02 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
SCR  WOODCHUCK Aug21 Aug07 Jul15 Jun26 Jun10 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 6.00    
6  TONY SMALL Sep11 Aug21 Aug13 Jul23 Jun24 (hoffman mark)BAYS BROOKE 115 8.00    
7  THE SINNER IS YOU Sep09 Jun26 Jun10 May22 Feb20 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
8  FIELDER Sep03 Jul09 Jun24 Jun12 May21 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00    
 
PID-7   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIVATE CREDIT Aug30 Aug07 Jul11 Jun18 May30 (hendriks rich)WALKER M 122 6.00    
SCR  RHAPSODY Jun01 May16 Apr19 Oct08 Sep16 (thomas j)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
3  STRUTSHERSTUFF Aug24         (meyers m)MARTINEZ A 120 10.00 9% 10.30    
4  FLEUR DELACOUR Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Jun17 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  DWELLER Aug29 Aug01 Jul10 Jun11 May21 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
6  NORMANDY LIFE Aug28 Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 May30 (albright ge)CALDERON OLIVER 118 6.00    
7  PAGEANT PRINCESS Jun26 Nov02 Sep19 Aug21 Aug10 (crook-demasi kat)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 ★    
 
PID-8   09/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMPLIO ESQUEMA Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 Jul08 Jun18 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50    
SCR  JULIETTE FALLS Aug28 Aug13 Jul10 Jun11 May22 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00    
3  SUSIE'S SAVER Sep04 Aug26 Aug13 Jul24 Jul04 (amaya joan)DELGADO DAVID 122 15.00    
4  GREEN CHILE Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 Jul10 May24 (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 3.00    
5  KAGERO Sep04 Aug27 Aug06 Jun26 Jun03 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50 25% 3.10    
6  SECRET WISPER Aug22 Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 Nov16 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  WHATS GOIN ON Sep10 Aug26 Jul24 Jun29 Jun07 (gotera juan )AYALA J 122 8.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  BOCA Sep04 Aug27 Jul24 Mar16 Feb25 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.