Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - September 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (6/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/4)-(1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/4)-(1/4/8)-(2/1/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/8)-(1/4/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/8)-(1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/8)-(2/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8)-(2/1/3/4)-(3/2/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/4)-(3/2/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/4)-(3/2/4/8)-(3/4/2/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/8)-(3/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/8)-(3/4/2/1)-(6/4/7/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/1)-(6/4/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/1)-(6/4/7/1)-(7/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/1)-(7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/1)-(7/6/1)-(2/8/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(2/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/9)-(2/8/1/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/9)-(2/8/1/9)-(2/8/1/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   09/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIESTE Aug16 Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 May24 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 119 3.00    
SCR  HOLY MOAT Mar06 Feb23 Feb02     (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 10.00 13% 6.40    
BIT OF BLESSINGS Sep09 Aug21 Jul26 Jul22 Jun30 (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 2.50 17% 4.80    
ITSUPTOME Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May24 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BUTTERFLY WORLD Aug16 Jul25 Jun30 Jun20 Dec15 (brown ronney )BATISTA C 118 4.50    
FUNNY ROAD Jul26         (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
IMADHI Aug16 Jan24 Jan03 Oct12 Sep21 (bourne lo)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 111 5.00    
 
CT-2   09/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAN OUT OF TRAINER Aug15 Jul25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep29 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.00 63% 0.60    
CANDY TRICKS Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 Apr18 Mar20 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 124 8.00    
PALACIO Aug22 Jul26 Jun28 Jun06 May16 (tobin edwi)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 120 50.00    
PETTY PERFECT Aug22 Jul13 Jun20 May30 May09 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 3.00 11% 8.10    
DREAM LEADER Aug22 Jul25 Jun29 May30 May02 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 12.00    
DAY DRAMA Aug22 Jul27 Jun20 Jun08 May24 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.50    
NAVY BAND Aug22 Nov22 Oct14 Sep22 Aug31 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50    
LA MADDALENA Aug15 Jul25 Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   09/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLESSEDNOTLUCKY Aug25 Jul19       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of KIPLEY by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SEPTARIAN         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of AMADEUS MELODY by AMADEUS WOLF (GB))
EXPLOSIVE LOVE         (stites fl)BOCACHICA J 122 5.00 7% 13.60    
  (by VOLATILE out of LAST TRUE LOVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
BULLRING BULLY         (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of GREATER PLAN by SECRET CIRCLE)
FEAR THE FACTS Sep05 Aug01 Jun21 May24 May03 (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of LILBOURNE ELIZA by ELUSIVE CITY)
UNCLE TIMMY Aug18 Jul27       (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SOMETHINGELSE by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
MIDNIGHT KOA         (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  SUPER LINO Aug15         (lucas bonnie)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of BLUE VALENTINE by SILVER TRAIN)
SCR  KING PITTHEUS         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of MISS MANIJEH by COASTAL STORM)
SCR  ELUSIVE NOTION Aug31         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ELUSIVE GIFT by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
CT-4   09/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EL DE CHIREL Sep02 Aug03 Jul13 Jun30 Jun14 (picket)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
SUTTON VALLEY Sep12 Aug12 Jul24 Jun23 Jun04 (hetrick kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 33% 2.00    
STARLITE WALKER Aug10 Jul17 Jun27 May23 May10 (graci kim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
GEORGE May18 Apr27 Feb23 Feb02 Dec16 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 7% 14.10    
DICEY GREY Aug23 Aug09 Jul27 Jul07   (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 8.00    
BUFFALO SHUFFLE Aug03 Jul04 Jun08 Apr20 Mar22 (dollinger-sthr)CHILO MAXIMO 120 10.00    
CAJUN JOE Aug10 Jul06 Jun13 May23 May04 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
CIDERHOUSE WAY Jun08 Apr05 Mar16 Dec16 Oct18 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BODYSLAM Aug03 Jun21 Jul28 Jun30 Jun22 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
 
CT-5   09/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEGS GOLDEN BOY Aug24 Aug16 Jul20 Jul12 Jun27 (boykins k)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 20.00 8% 12.30    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
PULPIT'S JUSTICE         (caiazzo corby)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00 10% 8.60    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of LIPSTICK PULPIT by PULPIT)
ROMANTIC WARRIOR Aug22 Jul12 Jun21     (lewis r)LARROSA G 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by DECLAN'S WARRIOR out of ROMANTIC TWIST by WILD RUSH)
BLOOD BROTHER Aug22 Jul04 Jun16 May23 May09 (viands stace)LEWIS M 115 3.00 12% 7.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PINE NEEDLES by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
NO BRAKE NEEDED Aug22 Jul27 Jun13 May26 Apr12 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of NO NAME NEEDED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  UNDERRATED Aug16         (viands r)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
  (by UNFETTERED out of KRISTAL KIWI by E DUBAI)
VOODOO DEVIL Jun26 Apr16       (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 6.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of DEVILS DRAGONFLY by DEVIL ON ICE)
RUN ROCKY RUN Sep02 Jul04 Jun12 May25 Apr12 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of LA TINA by LABEEB (GB))
RAPTOR RAZZLE Aug17 Jul27       (rofe j)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 113 8.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of WARDROBE by WAR CHANT)
 
CT-6   09/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL CATCHER Jul20 Jun07 May11 Apr20 Mar30 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
JUNGLE BEAST Aug31 Aug03 Jun27 Apr12 Mar22 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
PAYMENGOLD Jul12 Jun06 May17 Apr04 Mar14 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00    
XCELLENT START Aug17 Jul19 Jun08 May10 Apr18 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  FANCY CONCHO Jul26 Jul09 Jun27 May16 Oct14 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50    
THEWITCHISGONE Aug10 Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May18 (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
JUDGEMENT DAY Jul20 Jun27 Jun06 May09 Mar09 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 10.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  ROCKET APPEAL Aug24 Aug16 Jul26 Jun14 Jun01 (spriggs tosc)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
SCR  PENGUIN PARADE Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 Jun06 Apr26 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 115 15.00    
10  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Aug24 Aug10 Jul19 Jun29 Jun06 (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 124 10.00    
 
CT-7   09/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA'S HAT TRICK Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 Jun27 Jun08 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
LATE IN THE GAME Aug23 Aug13 Jul12 Jul02 May19 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00    
JUBA'S NOTION Aug23 Aug13 Jul19 Jul12 Jul02 (petty kris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
SCR  JUBAWITHATWIST Aug23 Jul20 Jun27 Jun08 May11 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 1.40    
SOCIAL CHIC Aug23 Jun22 Apr20 Mar30 Feb07 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50    
MUAD'DIB Aug23 Jun22 Apr20 Mar30 Feb07 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 115 4.50 24% 3.20    
TEACHINTHERELEASE Aug23 Jul19 Jun20 May24 Apr06 (murdock s)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
 
CT-8   09/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHO MACHO MRYTLE Aug25 Aug02 Jul24 Jun01 May06 (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 122 3.50    
INTERCEPTION Aug15 Jun21 Jun06 May16 Apr26 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Aug23 Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 124 4.50    
SKIP THRU DA FIRE Sep08 Aug23 Aug17 Jul26 Jul07 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.00    
WILD GIRL Aug13 Jul10 May21 Jan03 Dec19 (caiazzo corby)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00    
JUJU ON DA BEAT Aug24 Jul26 Jun28 Jun08 Mar15 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
SCR  BRACCESCA Jul11 Jun12 Apr28 Jan17 Dec08 (rodrigu)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
LOVE OF GRACE Aug15 May23 May13 Mar21 Feb08 (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 20.00 9% 10.20    
MY SWEETHEART DANI Aug10 Jul21 Jun16 May05 Mar28 (ramgeet andre )CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.